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North Carolina vs Duke Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 05 Feb 2022
Tip-off: 23:00
Final 67-87
28-39 39-48
Position#41
Record16-6
FormLWWWW
Points / game78.5
Allowed / game72.0
vs
Duke 🏆
USA
Position#12
Record18-3
FormLWWWW
Points / game80.4
Allowed / game64.7
USANCAA
Other2021-22
Meetings · North Carolina v Duke
07 Feb 2026
NORT71
DUKE68
08 Mar 2025
NORT69
DUKE82
03 Feb 2024
NORT93
DUKE84
04 Mar 2023
NORT57
DUKE62
05 Feb 2022
NORT67
DUKE87
06 Mar 2021
NORT91
DUKE73
08 Feb 2020
NORT96
DUKE98
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

North Carolina winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Duke winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

North CarolinaUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Boston College
#270
W
91-65
91
65
+26
A02/01
NCAA
Notre Dame
#72
L
73-78
73
78
-5
A06/01
NCAA
Virginia
#135
W
74-58
74
58
+16
H08/01
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#298
W
88-65
88
65
+23
H16/01
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#58
L
57-85
57
85
-28
A19/01
NCAA
Wake Forest
#50
L
76-98
76
98
-22
A23/01
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#102
W
78-68
78
68
+10
H25/01
NCAA
Boston College
#270
W
58-47
58
47
+11
H27/01
NCAA
NC State
#297
W
100-80
100
80
+20
H29/01
NCAA
Louisville
#265
W
90-83 OT
90
83
+7
A02/02
NCAA
1H
2H
49-20
42-45
35-39
38-39
31-25
43-33
42-26
46-39
22-49
35-36
36-46
40-52
37-33
41-35
33-31
25-16
56-31
44-49
36-35
38-39
151.2Avg total
78.5Scored
72.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)78.572.0150.5+6.573%
Season at home (14)78.566.6145.1+11.986%
Season away (8)78.681.5160.1-2.950%
Last 10 (10)78.572.7151.2+5.870%
Last 5 (5)80.475.2155.6+5.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)76.595.5172.0-19.00%
vs Similar (15)72.871.7144.5+1.153%
vs Weaker (13)84.869.4154.2+15.492%
This opponent (Duke) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
DukeUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Virginia Tech
#102
W
76-65
76
65
+11
H23/12
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#298
W
69-57
69
57
+12
H05/01
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#58
L
74-76
74
76
-2
H09/01
NCAA
Wake Forest
#50
W
76-64
76
64
+12
A13/01
NCAA
NC State
#297
W
88-73
88
73
+15
H15/01
NCAA
Florida State
#168
L
78-79 OT
78
79
-1
A19/01
NCAA
Syracuse
#205
W
79-59
79
59
+20
H22/01
NCAA
Clemson
#190
W
71-69
71
69
+2
H26/01
NCAA
Louisville
#265
W
74-65
74
65
+9
A29/01
NCAA
Notre Dame
#72
W
57-43
57
43
+14
A01/02
NCAA
1H
2H
32-36
44-29
35-23
34-34
32-32
42-44
35-29
41-35
45-36
43-37
38-33
29-34
36-22
43-37
36-36
35-33
40-35
34-30
27-14
30-29
139.2Avg total
74.2Scored
65.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)80.464.7145.1+15.886%
Season at home (15)83.663.7147.3+19.993%
Season away (6)72.567.2139.7+5.367%
Last 10 (10)74.265.0139.2+9.280%
Last 5 (5)71.863.0134.8+8.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)84.081.0165.0+3.0100%
vs Similar (9)74.270.2144.4+4.067%
vs Weaker ◀ (20)81.062.6143.7+18.485%
This opponent (North Carolina) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: +4.2+4.21st half: +6.0+6.02nd half2nd half: +0.9+0.92nd half: +3.3+3.3
-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: +4.2+4.21st half: +6.0+6.02nd half2nd half: +0.9+0.92nd half: +3.3+3.3
North CarolinaDuke
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
North CarolinaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Boston College
#270
W
49-20
49
20
+29
A02/01
NCAA
Notre Dame
#72
L
35-39
35
39
-4
A06/01
NCAA
Virginia
#135
W
31-25
31
25
+6
H08/01
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#298
W
42-26
42
26
+16
H16/01
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#58
L
22-49
22
49
-27
A19/01
NCAA
Wake Forest
#50
L
36-46
36
46
-10
A23/01
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#102
W
37-33
37
33
+4
H25/01
NCAA
Boston College
#270
W
33-31
33
31
+2
H27/01
NCAA
NC State
#297
W
56-31
56
31
+25
H29/01
NCAA
Louisville
#265
W
36-35
36
35
+1
A02/02
NCAA
71.2Avg total
37.7Scored
33.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.634.970.5+0.747%-
Last 30 at home (19)37.333.771.1+3.663%-
Last 30 away (11)32.536.969.5-4.418%-
Last 10 (10)37.733.571.2+4.270%-
Last 5 (5)39.635.274.8+4.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)32.040.572.5-8.50%-
vs Similar (15)32.135.667.7-3.533%-
vs Weaker (13)40.233.273.4+6.969%-
This opponent (Duke) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
DukeLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Virginia Tech
#102
L
32-36
32
36
-4
H23/12
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#298
W
35-23
35
23
+12
H05/01
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#58
D
32-32
32
32
+0
H09/01
NCAA
Wake Forest
#50
W
35-29
35
29
+6
A13/01
NCAA
NC State
#297
W
45-36
45
36
+9
H15/01
NCAA
Florida State
#168
W
38-33
38
33
+5
A19/01
NCAA
Syracuse
#205
W
36-22
36
22
+14
H22/01
NCAA
Clemson
#190
D
36-36
36
36
+0
H26/01
NCAA
Louisville
#265
W
40-35
40
35
+5
A29/01
NCAA
Notre Dame
#72
W
27-14
27
14
+13
A01/02
NCAA
65.2Avg total
35.6Scored
29.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.130.870.0+8.383%-
Last 30 at home (19)40.631.271.8+9.479%-
Last 30 away (11)36.530.266.7+6.491%-
Last 10 (10)35.629.665.2+6.070%-
Last 5 (5)35.428.063.4+7.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)45.042.087.0+3.0100%-
vs Similar (9)35.632.668.1+3.078%-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)40.529.570.0+11.085%-
This opponent (North Carolina) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
North Carolina wins
2
Duke wins
DateGameScore
06/03/21North Carolina v Duke91-73
06/02/21Duke v North Carolina87-91
07/03/20Duke v North Carolina89-76
08/02/20North Carolina v Duke96-98 OT
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/02/22ALouisville90-83 OT
29/01/22HNC State100-80
27/01/22HBoston College58-47
25/01/22HVirginia Tech78-68
23/01/22AWake Forest76-98
19/01/22AMiami (FL)57-85
16/01/22HGeorgia Tech88-65
08/01/22HVirginia74-58
06/01/22ANotre Dame73-78
02/01/22ABoston College91-65
Dukelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/02/22ANotre Dame57-43
29/01/22ALouisville74-65
26/01/22HClemson71-69
22/01/22HSyracuse79-59
19/01/22AFlorida State78-79 OT
15/01/22HNC State88-73
13/01/22AWake Forest76-64
09/01/22HMiami (FL)74-76
05/01/22HGeorgia Tech69-57
23/12/21HVirginia Tech76-65

📊 11. Overall Statistics

North Carolina
NCAA 2021-22
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW73%
HomeWWWWW86%
AwayWLLLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games22148
Win %73%86%50%
Points / game78.578.578.6
Allowed / game72.066.681.5
Point differential+6.5+11.9-2.9
Avg total150.5145.1160.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+64%79%38%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %5%0%12%
Duke
NCAA 2021-22
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW86%
HomeWLWWW93%
AwayLWLWW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games21156
Win %86%93%67%
Points / game80.483.672.5
Allowed / game64.763.767.2
Point differential+15.8+19.9+5.3
Avg total145.1147.3139.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%80%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)50% (2)33% (3)
Overtime %5%0%17%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Atlantic Coast conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Duke2118386%80.464.7+15.8
2 SMU Mustangs2016480%76.066.8+9.2
3 Wake Forest2419579%79.369.0+10.3
4 North Carolina2216673%78.572.0+6.5
5 Notre Dame2316770%70.065.5+4.5
6 Miami (FL)2316770%74.671.3+3.3
7 Stanford2113862%67.068.3-1.3
8 Virginia2314961%63.259.5+3.7
9 Florida State2213959%72.169.8+2.3
10 Virginia Tech22121055%70.562.3+8.3
11 Clemson22121055%72.667.2+5.5
12 Syracuse23121152%78.475.2+3.3
13 Louisville23111248%69.070.0-1.0
14 Boston College2191243%65.166.0-0.8
15 NC State24101442%74.575.2-0.7
16 Georgia Tech2291341%69.369.9-0.6
17 California2491538%64.166.4-2.3
18 Pittsburgh2281436%62.166.3-4.2
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
North Carolina283967
Duke394887
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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