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Duke vs Virginia Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 08 Feb 2022
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 68-69
29-34 39-35
Position#12
Record19-3
FormWWWWW
Points / game80.7
Allowed / game64.8
vs
Position#135
Record14-9
FormLWLWW
Points / game63.2
Allowed / game59.5
USANCAA
Other2021-22
Meetings · Duke v Virginia
14 Mar 2026
DUKE74
VIRG70
28 Feb 2026
DUKE77
VIRG51
02 Mar 2024
DUKE73
VIRG48
07 Feb 2022
DUKE68
VIRG69
20 Feb 2021
DUKE66
VIRG65
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Duke winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Virginia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

DukeUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Georgia Tech
#298
W
69-57
69
57
+12
H05/01
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#58
L
74-76
74
76
-2
H09/01
NCAA
Wake Forest
#50
W
76-64
76
64
+12
A13/01
NCAA
NC State
#297
W
88-73
88
73
+15
H15/01
NCAA
Florida State
#168
L
78-79 OT
78
79
-1
A19/01
NCAA
Syracuse
#205
W
79-59
79
59
+20
H22/01
NCAA
Clemson
#190
W
71-69
71
69
+2
H26/01
NCAA
Louisville
#265
W
74-65
74
65
+9
A29/01
NCAA
Notre Dame
#72
W
57-43
57
43
+14
A01/02
NCAA
North Carolina
#41
W
87-67
87
67
+20
A05/02
NCAA
1H
2H
35-23
34-34
32-32
42-44
35-29
41-35
45-36
43-37
38-33
29-34
36-22
43-37
36-36
35-33
40-35
34-30
27-14
30-29
39-28
48-39
140.5Avg total
75.3Scored
65.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)80.764.8145.5+16.086%
Season at home (15)83.663.7147.3+19.993%
Season away (7)74.667.1141.7+7.471%
Last 10 (10)75.365.2140.5+10.180%
Last 5 (5)73.660.6134.2+13.0100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)84.081.0165.0+3.0100%
vs Similar (8)74.972.4147.2+2.562%
vs Weaker ◀ (21)81.362.9144.1+18.486%
This opponent (Virginia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VirginiaUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Clemson
#190
W
75-65
75
65
+10
A05/01
NCAA
North Carolina
#41
L
58-74
58
74
-16
A08/01
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#102
W
54-52
54
52
+2
H13/01
NCAA
Wake Forest
#50
L
55-63
55
63
-8
H15/01
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#301
W
66-61
66
61
+5
A20/01
NCAA
NC State
#297
L
63-77
63
77
-14
A22/01
NCAA
Louisville
#265
W
64-52
64
52
+12
H25/01
NCAA
Notre Dame
#72
L
65-69
65
69
-4
A29/01
NCAA
Boston College
#270
W
67-55
67
55
+12
H01/02
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#58
W
71-58
71
58
+13
H05/02
NCAA
1H
2H
36-37
39-28
25-31
33-43
25-23
29-29
29-27
26-36
29-25
37-36
32-43
31-34
35-23
29-29
27-34
38-35
30-25
37-30
35-26
36-32
126.4Avg total
63.8Scored
62.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)63.259.5122.7+3.761%
Season at home (13)64.256.9121.1+7.269%
Season away (10)62.062.9124.9-0.950%
Last 10 (10)63.862.6126.4+1.260%
Last 5 (5)66.062.2128.2+3.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)57.666.2123.8-8.620%
vs Similar (13)63.263.0126.2+0.246%
vs Weaker (12)65.856.2122.0+9.783%
This opponent (Duke) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-9-5+0+5+91st half1st half: +7.5+7.51st half: +0.9+0.92nd half2nd half: +2.7+2.72nd half: +0.3+0.3
-9-5+0+5+91st half1st half: +7.5+7.51st half: +0.9+0.92nd half2nd half: +2.7+2.72nd half: +0.3+0.3
DukeVirginia
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
DukeLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Georgia Tech
#298
W
35-23
35
23
+12
H05/01
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#58
D
32-32
32
32
+0
H09/01
NCAA
Wake Forest
#50
W
35-29
35
29
+6
A13/01
NCAA
NC State
#297
W
45-36
45
36
+9
H15/01
NCAA
Florida State
#168
W
38-33
38
33
+5
A19/01
NCAA
Syracuse
#205
W
36-22
36
22
+14
H22/01
NCAA
Clemson
#190
D
36-36
36
36
+0
H26/01
NCAA
Louisville
#265
W
40-35
40
35
+5
A29/01
NCAA
Notre Dame
#72
W
27-14
27
14
+13
A01/02
NCAA
North Carolina
#41
W
39-28
39
28
+11
A05/02
NCAA
65.1Avg total
36.3Scored
28.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.131.170.2+8.183%-
Last 30 at home (19)40.631.271.8+9.479%-
Last 30 away (11)36.530.867.4+5.791%-
Last 10 (10)36.328.865.1+7.580%-
Last 5 (5)35.627.062.6+8.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)45.042.087.0+3.0100%-
vs Similar (8)35.134.069.1+1.175%-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)40.429.469.8+11.086%-
This opponent (Virginia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VirginiaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Clemson
#190
L
36-37
36
37
-1
A05/01
NCAA
North Carolina
#41
L
25-31
25
31
-6
A08/01
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#102
W
25-23
25
23
+2
H13/01
NCAA
Wake Forest
#50
W
29-27
29
27
+2
H15/01
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#301
W
29-25
29
25
+4
A20/01
NCAA
NC State
#297
L
32-43
32
43
-11
A22/01
NCAA
Louisville
#265
W
35-23
35
23
+12
H25/01
NCAA
Notre Dame
#72
L
27-34
27
34
-7
A29/01
NCAA
Boston College
#270
W
30-25
30
25
+5
H01/02
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#58
W
35-26
35
26
+9
H05/02
NCAA
59.7Avg total
30.3Scored
29.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)30.329.860.1+0.550%-
Last 30 at home (17)31.728.159.8+3.671%-
Last 30 away (13)28.432.160.5-3.723%-
Last 10 (10)30.329.459.7+0.960%-
Last 5 (5)31.830.262.0+1.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)26.432.258.6-5.840%-
vs Similar (13)30.232.462.5-2.231%-
vs Weaker (12)32.026.058.0+6.075%-
This opponent (Duke) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Duke wins
1
Virginia wins
DateGameScore
21/02/21Duke v Virginia66-65
29/02/20Virginia v Duke52-50
Dukelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/02/22ANorth Carolina87-67
01/02/22ANotre Dame57-43
29/01/22ALouisville74-65
26/01/22HClemson71-69
22/01/22HSyracuse79-59
19/01/22AFlorida State78-79 OT
15/01/22HNC State88-73
13/01/22AWake Forest76-64
09/01/22HMiami (FL)74-76
05/01/22HGeorgia Tech69-57
Virginialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/02/22HMiami (FL)71-58
01/02/22HBoston College67-55
29/01/22ANotre Dame65-69
25/01/22HLouisville64-52
22/01/22ANC State63-77
20/01/22APittsburgh66-61
15/01/22HWake Forest55-63
13/01/22HVirginia Tech54-52
08/01/22ANorth Carolina58-74
05/01/22AClemson75-65

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Duke
NCAA 2021-22
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW86%
HomeWLWWW93%
AwayWLWWW71%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games22157
Win %86%93%71%
Points / game80.783.674.6
Allowed / game64.863.767.1
Point differential+16.0+19.9+7.4
Avg total145.5147.3141.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+68%80%43%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)50% (2)33% (3)
Overtime %5%0%14%
Virginia
NCAA 2021-22
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW61%
HomeWLWWW69%
AwayWLWLL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231310
Win %61%69%50%
Points / game63.264.262.0
Allowed / game59.556.962.9
Point differential+3.7+7.2-0.9
Avg total122.7121.1124.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+43%54%30%
Close games (≤5 pts) won57% (7)67% (3)50% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Atlantic Coast conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Duke2219386%80.764.8+16.0
2 Wake Forest2419579%79.369.0+10.3
3 SMU Mustangs2116576%75.167.1+8.0
4 North Carolina2316770%78.072.7+5.4
5 Notre Dame2316770%70.065.5+4.5
6 Miami (FL)2316770%74.671.3+3.3
7 Stanford2214864%67.968.3-0.4
8 Virginia2314961%63.259.5+3.7
9 Florida State2213959%72.169.8+2.3
10 Virginia Tech23131057%70.862.7+8.1
11 Clemson22121055%72.667.2+5.5
12 Syracuse23121152%78.475.2+3.3
13 Louisville23111248%69.070.0-1.0
14 Boston College2191243%65.166.0-0.8
15 NC State24101442%74.575.2-0.7
16 Georgia Tech2291341%69.369.9-0.6
17 California2491538%64.166.4-2.3
18 Pittsburgh2381535%62.566.7-4.2
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Duke293968
Virginia343569
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