PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Louisville vs Duke Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 29 Jan 2022
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 65-74
35-40 30-34
Position#265
Record11-9
FormLLWLL
Points / game68.5
Allowed / game67.7
vs
Duke 🏆
USA
Position#12
Record16-3
FormWWLWW
Points / game82.0
Allowed / game65.8
USANCAA
Other2021-22
Meetings · Louisville v Duke
06 Jan 2026
LOUI73
DUKE84
08 Dec 2024
LOUI65
DUKE76
23 Jan 2024
LOUI69
DUKE83
29 Jan 2022
LOUI65
DUKE74
10 Mar 2021
LOUI56
DUKE70
23 Jan 2021
LOUI70
DUKE65
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Louisville winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Duke winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

LouisvilleUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Western Kentucky
#129
L
72-82
72
82
-10
A18/12
NCAA
Wake Forest
#50
W
73-69
73
69
+4
H30/12
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#298
W
67-64
67
64
+3
A02/01
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#301
W
75-72
75
72
+3
H06/01
NCAA
Florida State
#168
L
70-79
70
79
-9
A09/01
NCAA
NC State
#297
L
63-79
63
79
-16
H13/01
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#301
L
53-65
53
65
-12
A15/01
NCAA
Boston College
#270
W
67-54
67
54
+13
H20/01
NCAA
Notre Dame
#72
L
70-82
70
82
-12
H22/01
NCAA
Virginia
#135
L
52-64
52
64
-12
A25/01
NCAA
1H
2H
37-46
35-36
26-31
47-38
31-28
36-36
35-32
40-40
40-50
30-29
27-35
36-44
24-28
29-37
30-28
37-26
45-38
25-44
23-35
29-29
137.2Avg total
66.2Scored
71.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)68.567.7136.1+0.855%
Season at home (11)71.267.7138.9+3.564%
Season away (9)65.167.6132.7-2.444%
Last 10 (10)66.271.0137.2-4.840%
Last 5 (5)61.068.8129.8-7.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)67.970.4138.3-2.536%
vs Similar (18)66.666.7133.3-0.261%
vs Weaker (1)72.078.0150.0-6.00%
This opponent (Duke) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
DukeUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Appalachian State
#156
W
92-67
92
67
+25
H17/12
NCAA
Elon
#313
W
87-56
87
56
+31
H18/12
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#102
W
76-65
76
65
+11
H23/12
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#298
W
69-57
69
57
+12
H05/01
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#58
L
74-76
74
76
-2
H09/01
NCAA
Wake Forest
#50
W
76-64
76
64
+12
A13/01
NCAA
NC State
#297
W
88-73
88
73
+15
H15/01
NCAA
Florida State
#168
L
78-79 OT
78
79
-1
A19/01
NCAA
Syracuse
#205
W
79-59
79
59
+20
H22/01
NCAA
Clemson
#190
W
71-69
71
69
+2
H26/01
NCAA
1H
2H
50-37
42-30
44-26
43-30
32-36
44-29
35-23
34-34
32-32
42-44
35-29
41-35
45-36
43-37
38-33
29-34
36-22
43-37
36-36
35-33
145.5Avg total
79.0Scored
66.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)82.065.8147.8+16.284%
Season at home (15)83.663.7147.3+19.993%
Season away (4)76.073.8149.8+2.250%
Last 10 (10)79.066.5145.5+12.580%
Last 5 (5)78.468.8147.2+9.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)84.081.0165.0+3.0100%
vs Similar (10)75.572.3147.8+3.260%
vs Weaker ◀ (19)83.165.2148.2+17.979%
This opponent (Louisville) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-9-5+0+5+91st half1st half: -3.3-3.31st half: +7.3+7.32nd half2nd half: -1.5-1.52nd half: +5.3+5.3
-9-5+0+5+91st half1st half: -3.3-3.31st half: +7.3+7.32nd half2nd half: -1.5-1.52nd half: +5.3+5.3
LouisvilleDuke
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
LouisvilleLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Western Kentucky
#129
L
37-46
37
46
-9
A18/12
NCAA
Wake Forest
#50
L
26-31
26
31
-5
H30/12
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#298
W
31-28
31
28
+3
A02/01
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#301
W
35-32
35
32
+3
H06/01
NCAA
Florida State
#168
L
40-50
40
50
-10
A09/01
NCAA
NC State
#297
L
27-35
27
35
-8
H13/01
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#301
L
24-28
24
28
-4
A15/01
NCAA
Boston College
#270
W
30-28
30
28
+2
H20/01
NCAA
Notre Dame
#72
W
45-38
45
38
+7
H22/01
NCAA
Virginia
#135
L
23-35
23
35
-12
A25/01
NCAA
66.9Avg total
31.8Scored
35.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.732.465.0+0.360%-
Last 30 at home (17)33.731.765.4+2.071%-
Last 30 away (13)31.333.264.5-1.946%-
Last 10 (10)31.835.166.9-3.340%-
Last 5 (5)29.832.862.6-3.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)33.334.567.8-1.345%-
vs Similar (18)32.931.063.9+1.972%-
vs Weaker (1)21.033.054.0-12.00%-
This opponent (Duke) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
DukeLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Appalachian State
#156
W
50-37
50
37
+13
H17/12
NCAA
Elon
#313
W
44-26
44
26
+18
H18/12
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#102
L
32-36
32
36
-4
H23/12
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#298
W
35-23
35
23
+12
H05/01
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#58
D
32-32
32
32
+0
H09/01
NCAA
Wake Forest
#50
W
35-29
35
29
+6
A13/01
NCAA
NC State
#297
W
45-36
45
36
+9
H15/01
NCAA
Florida State
#168
W
38-33
38
33
+5
A19/01
NCAA
Syracuse
#205
W
36-22
36
22
+14
H22/01
NCAA
Clemson
#190
D
36-36
36
36
+0
H26/01
NCAA
69.3Avg total
38.3Scored
31.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.932.171.9+7.880%-
Last 30 at home (21)41.032.373.3+8.776%-
Last 30 away (9)37.231.468.7+5.889%-
Last 10 (10)38.331.069.3+7.370%-
Last 5 (5)38.031.269.2+6.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)45.042.087.0+3.0100%-
vs Similar (10)35.933.469.3+2.570%-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)41.730.872.5+10.884%-
This opponent (Louisville) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Louisville wins
1
Duke wins
DateGameScore
10/03/21Louisville v Duke56-70
27/02/21Duke v Louisville73-80 OT
23/01/21Louisville v Duke70-65
18/01/20Duke v Louisville73-79
Louisvillelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/01/22AVirginia52-64
22/01/22HNotre Dame70-82
20/01/22HBoston College67-54
15/01/22APittsburgh53-65
13/01/22HNC State63-79
09/01/22AFlorida State70-79
06/01/22HPittsburgh75-72
02/01/22AGeorgia Tech67-64
30/12/21HWake Forest73-69
18/12/21AWestern Kentucky72-82
Dukelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/01/22HClemson71-69
22/01/22HSyracuse79-59
19/01/22AFlorida State78-79 OT
15/01/22HNC State88-73
13/01/22AWake Forest76-64
09/01/22HMiami (FL)74-76
05/01/22HGeorgia Tech69-57
23/12/21HVirginia Tech76-65
18/12/21HElon87-56
17/12/21HAppalachian State92-67

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Louisville
NCAA 2021-22
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL55%
HomeWWLWL64%
AwayLWLLL44%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games20119
Win %55%64%44%
Points / game68.571.265.1
Allowed / game67.767.767.6
Point differential+0.8+3.5-2.4
Avg total136.1138.9132.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%36%11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (4)100% (2)100% (2)
Overtime %5%9%0%
Duke
NCAA 2021-22
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW84%
HomeWLWWW93%
AwayWLWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19154
Win %84%93%50%
Points / game82.083.676.0
Allowed / game65.863.773.8
Point differential+16.2+19.9+2.2
Avg total147.8147.3149.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+68%80%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)50% (2)33% (3)
Overtime %5%0%25%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Atlantic Coast conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Duke1916384%82.065.8+16.2
2 Wake Forest2117481%79.667.9+11.7
3 SMU Mustangs1915479%76.467.2+9.3
4 Miami (FL)2015575%76.071.9+4.1
5 North Carolina2014670%76.971.0+5.8
6 Notre Dame1913668%71.766.5+5.2
7 Florida State1913668%72.968.8+4.1
8 Stanford1812667%69.369.6-0.3
9 Virginia2012860%62.559.4+3.2
10 Clemson2011955%73.067.0+6.0
11 Louisville2011955%68.567.7+0.8
12 Virginia Tech20101050%69.361.6+7.7
13 NC State21101148%74.873.7+1.1
14 Syracuse2091145%76.575.3+1.1
15 California2091145%64.565.3-0.8
16 Georgia Tech1981142%69.969.5+0.4
17 Boston College1981142%65.566.4-0.9
18 Pittsburgh2081240%61.864.9-3.1
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Louisville353065
Duke403474
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.