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Duke vs NC State Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 01 Mar 2023
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 71-67
33-29 38-38
Position#39
Record21-8
FormLWWWW
Points / game72.2
Allowed / game63.9
Duke 🏆
USA
vs
NC State
USA
Position#66
Record22-8
FormWLWWL
Points / game78.7
Allowed / game70.3
USANCAA
Other2022-23
Meetings · Duke v NC State
27 Jan 2025
DUKE74
NC S64
31 Mar 2024
DUKE64
NC S76
14 Mar 2024
DUKE69
NC S74
28 Feb 2023
DUKE71
NC S67
15 Jan 2022
DUKE88
NC S73
12 Mar 2020
DUKE v NC S
upcoming
02 Mar 2020
DUKE88
NC S69
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Duke winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
NC State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

DukeUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Virginia Tech
#138
L
75-78
75
78
-3
A24/01
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#241
W
86-43
86
43
+43
A28/01
NCAA
Wake Forest
#142
W
75-73
75
73
+2
H01/02
NCAA
North Carolina
#117
W
63-57
63
57
+6
H04/02
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#122
L
59-81
59
81
-22
A07/02
NCAA
Virginia
#36
L
62-69 OT
62
69
-7
A11/02
NCAA
Notre Dame
#302
W
68-64
68
64
+4
H15/02
NCAA
Syracuse
#180
W
77-55
77
55
+22
A18/02
NCAA
Louisville
#367
W
79-62
79
62
+17
H21/02
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#138
W
81-65
81
65
+16
H26/02
NCAA
1H
2H
38-45
37-33
43-25
43-18
41-34
34-39
33-32
30-25
26-40
33-41
27-25
31-33
31-23
37-41
40-27
37-28
42-33
37-29
43-32
38-33
137.2Avg total
72.5Scored
64.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)72.263.9136.1+8.272%
Season at home (16)76.960.5137.4+16.4100%
Season away (13)66.468.2134.5-1.838%
Last 10 (10)72.564.7137.2+7.870%
Last 5 (5)73.463.0136.4+10.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (11)67.969.5137.4-1.545%
vs Weaker (19)74.961.6136.5+13.384%
This opponent (NC State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NC StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Notre Dame
#302
W
85-82
85
82
+3
H25/01
NCAA
Wake Forest
#142
W
79-77
79
77
+2
A28/01
NCAA
Florida State
#342
W
94-66
94
66
+28
H02/02
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#241
W
72-64
72
64
+8
H04/02
NCAA
Virginia
#36
L
50-63
50
63
-13
A08/02
NCAA
Boston College
#221
W
92-62
92
62
+30
A11/02
NCAA
Syracuse
#180
L
72-75
72
75
-3
A15/02
NCAA
North Carolina
#117
W
77-69
77
69
+8
H19/02
NCAA
Wake Forest
#142
W
90-74
90
74
+16
H23/02
NCAA
Clemson
#60
L
71-96
71
96
-25
H25/02
NCAA
1H
2H
39-42
46-40
31-37
48-40
49-27
45-39
41-35
31-29
20-34
30-29
44-32
48-30
31-35
41-40
32-31
45-38
52-46
38-28
29-54
42-42
151.0Avg total
78.2Scored
72.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (30)78.770.3149.0+8.573%
Season at home (20)81.968.9150.8+13.090%
Season away (10)72.473.0145.4-0.640%
Last 10 (10)78.272.8151.0+5.470%
Last 5 (5)80.475.2155.6+5.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (13)72.873.9146.7-1.246%
vs Weaker (17)83.367.5150.8+15.894%
This opponent (Duke) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-7-4+0+4+71st half1st half: +4.8+4.81st half: -0.5-0.52nd half2nd half: +3.7+3.72nd half: +5.9+5.9
-7-4+0+4+71st half1st half: +4.8+4.81st half: -0.5-0.52nd half2nd half: +3.7+3.72nd half: +5.9+5.9
DukeNC State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
DukeLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Virginia Tech
#138
L
38-45
38
45
-7
A24/01
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#241
W
43-25
43
25
+18
A28/01
NCAA
Wake Forest
#142
W
41-34
41
34
+7
H01/02
NCAA
North Carolina
#117
W
33-32
33
32
+1
H04/02
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#122
L
26-40
26
40
-14
A07/02
NCAA
Virginia
#36
W
27-25
27
25
+2
A11/02
NCAA
Notre Dame
#302
W
31-23
31
23
+8
H15/02
NCAA
Syracuse
#180
W
40-27
40
27
+13
A18/02
NCAA
Louisville
#367
W
42-33
42
33
+9
H21/02
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#138
W
43-32
43
32
+11
H26/02
NCAA
68.0Avg total
36.4Scored
31.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.232.068.2+4.373%-
Last 30 at home (17)38.630.168.7+8.688%-
Last 30 away (13)33.134.567.5-1.454%-
Last 10 (10)36.431.668.0+4.880%-
Last 5 (5)36.628.064.6+8.6100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (11)33.635.969.5-2.355%-
vs Weaker (19)37.729.767.4+8.184%-
This opponent (NC State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NC StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Notre Dame
#302
L
39-42
39
42
-3
H25/01
NCAA
Wake Forest
#142
L
31-37
31
37
-6
A28/01
NCAA
Florida State
#342
W
49-27
49
27
+22
H02/02
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#241
W
41-35
41
35
+6
H04/02
NCAA
Virginia
#36
L
20-34
20
34
-14
A08/02
NCAA
Boston College
#221
W
44-32
44
32
+12
A11/02
NCAA
Syracuse
#180
L
31-35
31
35
-4
A15/02
NCAA
North Carolina
#117
W
32-31
32
31
+1
H19/02
NCAA
Wake Forest
#142
W
52-46
52
46
+6
H23/02
NCAA
Clemson
#60
L
29-54
29
54
-25
H25/02
NCAA
74.1Avg total
36.8Scored
37.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.232.670.8+5.667%-
Last 30 at home (20)40.732.273.0+8.580%-
Last 30 away (10)33.233.266.4+0.040%-
Last 10 (10)36.837.374.1-0.550%-
Last 5 (5)37.639.677.2-2.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (13)34.132.666.7+1.554%-
vs Weaker (17)41.432.573.9+8.876%-
This opponent (Duke) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Duke wins
2
NC State wins
DateGameScore
05/01/23NC State v Duke84-60
15/01/22Duke v NC State88-73
13/02/21NC State v Duke53-69
03/03/20Duke v NC State88-69
20/02/20NC State v Duke88-66
Dukelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/02/23HVirginia Tech81-65
21/02/23HLouisville79-62
18/02/23ASyracuse77-55
15/02/23HNotre Dame68-64
11/02/23AVirginia62-69 OT
07/02/23AMiami (FL)59-81
04/02/23HNorth Carolina63-57
01/02/23HWake Forest75-73
28/01/23AGeorgia Tech86-43
24/01/23AVirginia Tech75-78
NC Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/02/23HClemson71-96
23/02/23HWake Forest90-74
19/02/23HNorth Carolina77-69
15/02/23ASyracuse72-75
11/02/23ABoston College92-62
08/02/23AVirginia50-63
04/02/23HGeorgia Tech72-64
02/02/23HFlorida State94-66
28/01/23AWake Forest79-77
25/01/23HNotre Dame85-82

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Duke
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW72%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayLWLLW38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291613
Win %72%100%38%
Points / game72.276.966.4
Allowed / game63.960.568.2
Point differential+8.2+16.4-1.8
Avg total136.1137.4134.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+41%62%15%
Close games (≤5 pts) won71% (7)100% (3)50% (4)
Overtime %3%0%8%
NC State
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL73%
HomeWWWWL90%
AwayLWLWL40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games302010
Win %73%90%40%
Points / game78.781.972.4
Allowed / game70.368.973.0
Point differential+8.5+13.0-0.6
Avg total149.0150.8145.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+47%60%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won83% (6)100% (3)67% (3)
Overtime %3%5%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Atlantic Coast conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Virginia2721678%68.160.6+7.4
2 NC State3022873%78.770.3+8.5
3 Duke2921872%72.263.9+8.2
4 Clemson2921872%75.768.3+7.4
5 Pittsburgh2921872%75.868.4+7.4
6 North Carolina30191163%77.171.6+5.5
7 Wake Forest29181162%77.573.9+3.6
8 Miami (FL)58342459%76.873.1+3.7
9 Virginia Tech29161355%74.269.9+4.3
10 Syracuse29161355%74.172.3+1.8
11 Boston College29141548%66.269.9-3.7
12 Stanford29121741%69.467.8+1.6
13 Georgia Tech29121741%68.670.5-1.9
14 Notre Dame29101934%69.371.4-2.1
15 SMU Mustangs29101934%70.474.6-4.2
16 Florida State3092130%70.076.5-6.6
17 Louisville2942514%64.575.8-11.3
18 California2932610%58.569.7-11.2
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Duke333871
NC State293867
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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