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North Carolina vs NC State Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 26 Feb 2020
Tip-off: 02:00
Final 85-79
40-37 45-42
Position#288
Record6-17
FormLLLLL
Points / game69.6
Allowed / game73.3
vs
Position#119
Record13-9
FormWWLWL
Points / game71.5
Allowed / game68.7
USANCAA
Other2019-20
Meetings · North Carolina v NC State
09 Jan 2027
NORT v NC S
upcoming
19 Feb 2025
NORT97
NC S73
16 Mar 2024
NORT76
NC S84
02 Mar 2024
NORT79
NC S70
21 Jan 2023
NORT80
NC S69
29 Jan 2022
NORT100
NC S80
23 Jan 2021
NORT86
NC S76
25 Feb 2020
NORT85
NC S79
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

North Carolina winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
NC State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

North CarolinaUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Virginia Tech
#258
L
77-79 OT
77
79
-2
A23/01
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#254
W
94-71
94
71
+23
H25/01
NCAA
NC State
#119
W
75-65
75
65
+10
A28/01
NCAA
Boston College
#295
L
70-71
70
71
-1
H01/02
NCAA
Florida State
#12
L
59-65
59
65
-6
A04/02
NCAA
Duke
#19
L
96-98 OT
96
98
-2
H08/02
NCAA
Wake Forest
#257
L
57-74
57
74
-17
A12/02
NCAA
Virginia
#43
L
62-64
62
64
-2
H16/02
NCAA
Notre Dame
#117
L
76-77
76
77
-1
A18/02
NCAA
Louisville
#41
L
55-72
55
72
-17
A22/02
NCAA
1H
2H
36-30
24-30
51-27
43-44
39-35
36-30
30-32
40-39
28-29
31-36
44-35
40-49
26-44
31-30
28-28
34-36
33-36
43-41
23-36
32-36
145.7Avg total
72.1Scored
73.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)69.673.3142.9-3.826%
Season at home (12)73.474.9148.3-1.533%
Season away (11)65.471.6137.0-6.318%
Last 10 (10)72.173.6145.7-1.520%
Last 5 (5)69.277.0146.2-7.80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)69.074.0143.0-5.027%
vs Similar (7)70.772.3143.0-1.629%
vs Weaker (1)70.071.0141.0-1.00%
This opponent (NC State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NC StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Clemson
#211
W
60-54
60
54
+6
H18/01
NCAA
Virginia
#43
W
53-51
53
51
+2
A21/01
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#168
L
58-64
58
64
-6
A25/01
NCAA
North Carolina
#288
L
65-75
65
75
-10
H28/01
NCAA
Louisville
#41
L
57-77
57
77
-20
H01/02
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#254
W
83-72
83
72
+11
A06/02
NCAA
Syracuse
#165
W
79-74
79
74
+5
A12/02
NCAA
Boston College
#295
L
68-71
68
71
-3
A16/02
NCAA
Duke
#19
W
88-66
88
66
+22
H20/02
NCAA
Florida State
#12
L
61-67
61
67
-6
H22/02
NCAA
1H
2H
36-24
24-30
28-26
25-25
32-31
26-33
35-39
30-36
26-41
31-36
44-32
39-40
39-35
40-39
33-40
35-31
44-29
44-37
32-27
29-40
134.3Avg total
67.2Scored
67.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)71.568.7140.2+2.859%
Season at home (11)71.164.1135.2+7.073%
Season away (11)71.973.3145.2-1.445%
Last 10 (10)67.267.1134.3+0.150%
Last 5 (5)75.870.0145.8+5.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)71.571.8143.2-0.250%
vs Similar (13)71.569.0140.5+2.562%
vs Weaker ◀ (7)75.471.1146.6+4.357%
This opponent (North Carolina) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-3-2+0+2+31st half1st half: +0.6+0.61st half: +2.5+2.52nd half2nd half: -1.7-1.72nd half: -2.4-2.4
-3-2+0+2+31st half1st half: +0.6+0.61st half: +2.5+2.52nd half2nd half: -1.7-1.72nd half: -2.4-2.4
North CarolinaNC State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
North CarolinaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Virginia Tech
#258
W
36-30
36
30
+6
A23/01
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#254
W
51-27
51
27
+24
H25/01
NCAA
NC State
#119
W
39-35
39
35
+4
A28/01
NCAA
Boston College
#295
L
30-32
30
32
-2
H01/02
NCAA
Florida State
#12
L
28-29
28
29
-1
A04/02
NCAA
Duke
#19
W
44-35
44
35
+9
H08/02
NCAA
Wake Forest
#257
L
26-44
26
44
-18
A12/02
NCAA
Virginia
#43
D
28-28
28
28
+0
H16/02
NCAA
Notre Dame
#117
L
33-36
33
36
-3
A18/02
NCAA
Louisville
#41
L
23-36
23
36
-13
A22/02
NCAA
67.0Avg total
33.8Scored
33.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (23)33.333.566.8-0.148%-
Last 30 at home (12)36.131.667.7+4.567%-
Last 30 away (11)30.435.565.9-5.227%-
Last 10 (10)33.833.267.0+0.640%-
Last 5 (5)30.835.866.6-5.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)32.634.366.9-1.740%-
vs Similar (7)35.432.067.4+3.471%-
vs Weaker (1)30.032.062.0-2.00%-
This opponent (NC State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NC StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Clemson
#211
W
36-24
36
24
+12
H18/01
NCAA
Virginia
#43
W
28-26
28
26
+2
A21/01
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#168
W
32-31
32
31
+1
A25/01
NCAA
North Carolina
#288
L
35-39
35
39
-4
H28/01
NCAA
Louisville
#41
L
26-41
26
41
-15
H01/02
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#254
W
44-32
44
32
+12
A06/02
NCAA
Syracuse
#165
W
39-35
39
35
+4
A12/02
NCAA
Boston College
#295
L
33-40
33
40
-7
A16/02
NCAA
Duke
#19
W
44-29
44
29
+15
H20/02
NCAA
Florida State
#12
W
32-27
32
27
+5
H22/02
NCAA
67.3Avg total
34.9Scored
32.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (25)36.534.170.6+2.460%-
Last 30 at home (14)36.431.668.0+4.964%-
Last 30 away (11)36.637.474.0-0.755%-
Last 10 (10)34.932.467.3+2.570%-
Last 5 (5)38.432.671.0+5.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)35.033.568.5+1.575%-
vs Similar (13)36.234.170.3+2.262%-
vs Weaker ◀ (7)37.633.471.0+4.157%-
This opponent (North Carolina) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
North Carolina wins
0
NC State wins
DateGameScore
28/01/20NC State v North Carolina65-75
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/02/20ALouisville55-72
18/02/20ANotre Dame76-77
16/02/20HVirginia62-64
12/02/20AWake Forest57-74
08/02/20HDuke96-98 OT
04/02/20AFlorida State59-65
01/02/20HBoston College70-71
28/01/20ANC State75-65
25/01/20HMiami (FL)94-71
23/01/20AVirginia Tech77-79 OT
NC Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/02/20HFlorida State61-67
20/02/20HDuke88-66
16/02/20ABoston College68-71
12/02/20ASyracuse79-74
06/02/20AMiami (FL)83-72
01/02/20HLouisville57-77
28/01/20HNorth Carolina65-75
25/01/20AGeorgia Tech58-64
21/01/20AVirginia53-51
18/01/20HClemson60-54

📊 11. Overall Statistics

North Carolina
NCAA 2019-20
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL26%
HomeLWLLL33%
AwayWLLLL18%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231211
Win %26%33%18%
Points / game69.673.465.4
Allowed / game73.374.971.6
Point differential-3.8-1.5-6.3
Avg total142.9148.3137.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+13%17%9%
Close games (≤5 pts) won22% (9)29% (7)0% (2)
Overtime %13%17%9%
NC State
NCAA 2019-20
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL59%
HomeWLLWL73%
AwayWLWWL45%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games221111
Win %59%73%45%
Points / game71.571.171.9
Allowed / game68.764.173.3
Point differential+2.8+7.0-1.4
Avg total140.2135.2145.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+32%55%9%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (6)100% (1)60% (5)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Atlantic Coast conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Florida State2421388%75.966.4+9.5
2 Duke2419579%83.169.7+13.5
3 Louisville2418675%73.165.2+7.9
4 Virginia2215768%57.554.8+2.8
5 SMU Mustangs2214864%75.571.1+4.4
6 Stanford2213959%68.762.3+6.4
7 Notre Dame2213959%75.171.1+4.0
8 NC State2213959%71.568.7+2.8
9 Syracuse23121152%75.372.2+3.1
10 Pittsburgh23121152%65.864.8+1.0
11 Clemson22111150%65.364.0+1.4
12 Georgia Tech24111346%68.067.5+0.5
13 Virginia Tech22101245%68.569.5-1.0
14 Miami (FL)22101245%72.476.7-4.4
15 Wake Forest23101343%72.874.1-1.3
16 Boston College2391439%63.070.6-7.6
17 California2371630%60.269.4-9.2
18 North Carolina2361726%69.673.3-3.8
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
North Carolina404585
NC State374279
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