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EBAA Aarhus vs Herlev Wolfpack Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 01 Mar 2019
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 88-69
20-12 33-19 14-14 21-24
Position#6
Record6-12
FormLLLLW
Points / game76.2
Allowed / game85.6
vs
Position#8
Record7-12
FormLWWLL
Points / game83.2
Allowed / game93.8
DenmarkBasketligaen
Other2018-19
Meetings · EBAA Aarhus v Herlev Wolfpack
27 Oct 2019
EBAA63
HERL78
01 Mar 2019
EBAA88
HERL69
27 Jan 2019
EBAA56
HERL88
16 Dec 2017
EBAA69
HERL75
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

EBAA Aarhus winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Herlev Wolfpack winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

EBAA AarhusDenmarkLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Stevnsgade
#9
W
83-78
83
78
+5
A22/12
Basketligaen
Randers
#5
L
56-82
56
82
-26
H30/12
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
L
75-89
75
89
-14
H04/01
Basketligaen
Herlev
#9
W
87-74
87
74
+13
A06/01
Denmark Cup
Stevnsgade
#5
W
88-62
88
62
+26
A13/01
Denmark Cup
Team FOG Naestved
#3
L
75-87
75
87
-12
H16/01
Basketligaen
Horsens
#1
L
62-85
62
85
-23
H20/01
Denmark Cup
Herlev Wolfpack
#8
L
56-88
56
88
-32
H27/01
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#4
L
89-99
89
99
-10
A13/02
Basketligaen
Stevnsgade
#9
W
80-68
80
68
+12
H23/02
Basketligaen
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-17
22-27
19-15
20-19
15-23
19-17
9-23
13-19
20-19
17-31
16-17
22-22
26-30
17-25
26-7
18-12
21-15
19-12
17-29
31-6
20-19
27-21
15-25
13-22
8-19
21-25
15-17
18-24
12-24
15-29
15-19
14-16
26-34
19-22
25-28
19-15
26-17
23-17
15-17
16-17
156.3Avg total
75.1Scored
81.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)76.285.6161.8-9.433%
Season at home (10)70.078.3148.3-8.330%
Season away (8)83.994.8178.6-10.938%
Last 10 (10)75.181.2156.3-6.140%
Last 5 (5)72.485.4157.8-13.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)72.492.3164.8-19.90%
vs Similar ◀ (5)73.273.2146.4+0.060%
vs Weaker (5)84.270.2154.4+14.0100%
This opponent (Herlev Wolfpack) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Herlev WolfpackDenmarkLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Svendborg
#4
L
76-90
76
90
-14
A15/12
Basketligaen
Vaerlose
#7
L
84-93
84
93
-9
A02/01
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#3
L
70-108
70
108
-38
A08/01
Basketligaen
Stevnsgade
#9
W
97-79
97
79
+18
H19/01
Basketligaen
EBAA Aarhus
#6
W
88-56
88
56
+32
A27/01
Basketligaen
Horsens
#2
L
54-83
54
83
-29
A10/02
Basketligaen
Vaerlose
#7
W
84-74
84
74
+10
H13/02
Basketligaen
Stevnsgade
#9
W
97-95
97
95
+2
A16/02
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
L
80-124
80
124
-44
H22/02
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
L
72-111
72
111
-39
A25/02
Basketligaen
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-29
19-17
16-14
18-30
20-21
21-33
22-23
21-16
21-18
14-39
19-30
16-21
23-11
25-30
21-14
28-24
24-12
29-15
19-15
16-14
12-12
15-28
19-22
8-21
16-18
26-21
20-13
22-22
28-22
19-30
25-21
25-22
18-25
24-41
26-32
12-26
18-25
10-29
19-32
25-25
171.5Avg total
80.2Scored
91.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)83.293.8177.0-10.637%
Season at home (10)84.096.4180.4-12.440%
Season away (9)82.390.9173.2-8.633%
Last 10 (10)80.291.3171.5-11.140%
Last 5 (5)77.497.4174.8-20.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (20)75.3102.5177.9-27.25%
vs Similar ◀ (7)88.081.1169.1+6.957%
vs Weaker (3)96.385.7182.0+10.7100%
This opponent (EBAA Aarhus) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: -2.1-2.1Q1: +1.0+1.0Q2Q2: -2.7-2.7Q2: -8.1-8.1Q3Q3: -2.5-2.5Q3: -1.0-1.0Q4Q4: +1.2+1.2Q4: -3.0-3.0
EBAA AarhusHerlev Wolfpack
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
EBAA AarhusLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Stevnsgade
#9
D
44-44
44
44
+0
A22/12
Basketligaen
Randers
#5
L
34-40
34
40
-6
H30/12
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
L
37-50
37
50
-13
H04/01
Basketligaen
Herlev
#9
L
43-55
43
55
-12
A06/01
Denmark Cup
Stevnsgade
#5
W
40-27
40
27
+13
A13/01
Denmark Cup
Team FOG Naestved
#3
W
47-40
47
40
+7
H16/01
Basketligaen
Horsens
#1
L
29-44
29
44
-15
H20/01
Denmark Cup
Herlev Wolfpack
#8
L
27-53
27
53
-26
H27/01
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#4
L
45-56
45
56
-11
A13/02
Basketligaen
Stevnsgade
#9
W
49-34
49
34
+15
H23/02
Basketligaen
83.8Avg total
39.5Scored
44.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (22)38.344.082.3-5.727%-
Last 30 at home (12)34.740.875.5-6.225%-
Last 30 away (10)42.647.890.4-5.230%-
Last 10 (10)39.544.383.8-4.830%-
Last 5 (5)39.445.484.8-6.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)36.848.385.1-11.68%-
vs Similar ◀ (4)36.239.075.2-2.850%-
vs Weaker (5)42.635.478.0+7.260%-
This opponent (Herlev Wolfpack) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Herlev WolfpackLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Svendborg
#4
L
42-46
42
46
-4
A15/12
Basketligaen
Vaerlose
#7
L
41-54
41
54
-13
A02/01
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#3
L
35-57
35
57
-22
A08/01
Basketligaen
Stevnsgade
#9
W
48-41
48
41
+7
H19/01
Basketligaen
EBAA Aarhus
#6
W
53-27
53
27
+26
A27/01
Basketligaen
Horsens
#2
L
27-40
27
40
-13
A10/02
Basketligaen
Vaerlose
#7
W
42-39
42
39
+3
H13/02
Basketligaen
Stevnsgade
#9
L
47-52
47
52
-5
A16/02
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
L
42-66
42
66
-24
H22/02
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
L
28-54
28
54
-26
A25/02
Basketligaen
88.1Avg total
40.5Scored
47.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.949.590.4-8.723%-
Last 30 at home (16)40.148.688.8-8.531%-
Last 30 away (14)41.750.692.3-8.914%-
Last 10 (10)40.547.688.1-7.130%-
Last 5 (5)37.250.287.4-13.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (20)38.152.790.8-14.65%-
vs Similar ◀ (7)45.442.087.4+3.457%-
vs Weaker (3)48.346.094.3+2.367%-
This opponent (EBAA Aarhus) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
EBAA Aarhus wins
2
Herlev Wolfpack wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/02/19HStevnsgade80-68
13/02/19ASvendborg89-99
27/01/19HHerlev Wolfpack56-88
20/01/19HHorsens62-85
16/01/19HTeam FOG Naestved75-87
13/01/19AStevnsgade88-62
06/01/19AHerlev87-74
04/01/19HBakken Bears75-89
30/12/18HRanders56-82
22/12/18AStevnsgade83-78
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/02/19ABakken Bears72-111
22/02/19HBakken Bears80-124
16/02/19AStevnsgade97-95
13/02/19HVaerlose84-74
10/02/19AHorsens54-83
27/01/19AEBAA Aarhus88-56
19/01/19HStevnsgade97-79
08/01/19ATeam FOG Naestved70-108
02/01/19AVaerlose84-93
15/12/18ASvendborg76-90

📊 11. Overall Statistics

EBAA Aarhus
Basketligaen 2018-19
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW33%
HomeLLLLW30%
AwayWWLWL38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games18108
Win %33%30%38%
Points / game76.270.083.9
Allowed / game85.678.394.8
Point differential-9.4-8.3-10.9
Avg total161.8148.3178.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+28%30%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)0% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Herlev Wolfpack
Basketligaen 2018-19
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL37%
HomeLLWWL40%
AwayLWLWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19109
Win %37%40%33%
Points / game83.284.082.3
Allowed / game93.896.490.9
Point differential-10.6-12.4-8.6
Avg total177.0180.4173.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+26%30%22%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bakken Bears2221195%103.580.6+22.8
2 Horsens2115671%94.381.4+12.9
3 Svendborg2113862%83.782.0+1.7
4 Team FOG Naestved2213959%91.381.9+9.4
5 Randers22121055%90.491.3-0.9
6 Herlev Wolfpack1971237%83.293.8-10.6
7 EBAA Aarhus1861233%76.285.6-9.4
8 Vaerlose1951426%77.188.0-10.9
9 Stevnsgade200200%69.890.7-20.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
EBAA Aarhus2033142188
Herlev Wolfpack1219142469
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