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EBAA Aarhus vs Herlev Wolfpack Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 27 Jan 2019
Tip-off: 13:00
Final 56-88
12-24 15-29 15-19 14-16
Position#6
Record5-10
FormLWWLL
Points / game76.4
Allowed / game85.7
vs
Position#8
Record4-9
FormLLLLW
Points / game85.1
Allowed / game95.3
DenmarkBasketligaen
Other2018-19
Meetings · EBAA Aarhus v Herlev Wolfpack
27 Oct 2019
EBAA63
HERL78
01 Mar 2019
EBAA88
HERL69
27 Jan 2019
EBAA56
HERL88
16 Dec 2017
EBAA69
HERL75
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

EBAA Aarhus winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Herlev Wolfpack winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

EBAA AarhusDenmarkLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Vaerlose
#7
W
81-63
81
63
+18
H18/11
Basketligaen
Herlev Wolfpack
#8
W
99-86
99
86
+13
A08/12
Basketligaen
Horsens
#2
L
64-95
64
95
-31
A16/12
Basketligaen
Stevnsgade
#9
W
83-78
83
78
+5
A22/12
Basketligaen
Randers
#5
L
56-82
56
82
-26
H30/12
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
L
75-89
75
89
-14
H04/01
Basketligaen
Herlev
#9
W
87-74
87
74
+13
A06/01
Denmark Cup
Stevnsgade
#5
W
88-62
88
62
+26
A13/01
Denmark Cup
Team FOG Naestved
#3
L
75-87
75
87
-12
H16/01
Basketligaen
Horsens
#1
L
62-85
62
85
-23
H20/01
Denmark Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-7
22-17
22-17
21-22
24-19
33-22
14-20
28-25
6-27
25-22
13-24
20-22
22-17
22-27
19-15
20-19
15-23
19-17
9-23
13-19
20-19
17-31
16-17
22-22
26-30
17-25
26-7
18-12
21-15
19-12
17-29
31-6
20-19
27-21
15-25
13-22
8-19
21-25
15-17
18-24
157.1Avg total
77.0Scored
80.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)76.485.7162.1-9.333%
Season at home (8)70.578.4148.9-7.925%
Season away (7)83.194.1177.3-11.043%
Last 10 (10)77.080.1157.1-3.150%
Last 5 (5)77.479.4156.8-2.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)70.991.7162.6-20.80%
vs Similar ◀ (4)77.569.5147.0+8.075%
vs Weaker (4)85.270.8156.0+14.5100%
This opponent (Herlev Wolfpack) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Herlev WolfpackDenmarkLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Randers
#5
L
91-98
91
98
-7
A27/10
Basketligaen
Vaerlose
#7
W
109-84
109
84
+25
A02/11
Basketligaen
Horsens
#2
L
76-124
76
124
-48
H10/11
Basketligaen
Stevnsgade
#9
W
95-83
95
83
+12
H20/11
Basketligaen
EBAA Aarhus
#6
L
86-99
86
99
-13
H08/12
Basketligaen
Randers
#5
L
78-107
78
107
-29
H12/12
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#4
L
76-90
76
90
-14
A15/12
Basketligaen
Vaerlose
#7
L
84-93
84
93
-9
A02/01
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#3
L
70-108
70
108
-38
A08/01
Basketligaen
Stevnsgade
#9
W
97-79
97
79
+18
H19/01
Basketligaen
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-27
24-21
24-24
19-26
28-19
26-24
27-20
28-21
13-32
23-28
13-34
27-30
29-23
21-22
17-22
28-16
19-24
22-33
20-14
25-28
17-18
22-24
18-31
21-34
23-29
19-17
16-14
18-30
20-21
21-33
22-23
21-16
21-18
14-39
19-30
16-21
23-11
25-30
21-14
28-24
182.7Avg total
86.2Scored
96.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)85.195.3180.4-10.231%
Season at home (8)84.595.8180.2-11.238%
Season away (5)86.094.6180.6-8.620%
Last 10 (10)86.296.5182.7-10.330%
Last 5 (5)81.095.4176.4-14.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (20)76.8102.7179.6-25.95%
vs Similar ◀ (7)89.387.4176.7+1.957%
vs Weaker (3)89.077.0166.0+12.0100%
This opponent (EBAA Aarhus) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -1.7-1.7Q1: -0.5-0.5Q2Q2: +0.3+0.3Q2: -5.4-5.4Q3Q3: -2.8-2.8Q3: -2.9-2.9Q4Q4: +1.1+1.1Q4: -1.5-1.5
EBAA AarhusHerlev Wolfpack
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
EBAA AarhusLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Vaerlose
#7
W
38-24
38
24
+14
H18/11
Basketligaen
Herlev Wolfpack
#8
W
57-41
57
41
+16
A08/12
Basketligaen
Horsens
#2
L
31-49
31
49
-18
A16/12
Basketligaen
Stevnsgade
#9
D
44-44
44
44
+0
A22/12
Basketligaen
Randers
#5
L
34-40
34
40
-6
H30/12
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
L
37-50
37
50
-13
H04/01
Basketligaen
Herlev
#9
L
43-55
43
55
-12
A06/01
Denmark Cup
Stevnsgade
#5
W
40-27
40
27
+13
A13/01
Denmark Cup
Team FOG Naestved
#3
W
47-40
47
40
+7
H16/01
Basketligaen
Horsens
#1
L
29-44
29
44
-15
H20/01
Denmark Cup
81.4Avg total
40.0Scored
41.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (19)37.943.481.4-5.526%-
Last 30 at home (10)34.040.374.3-6.320%-
Last 30 away (9)42.346.989.2-4.633%-
Last 10 (10)40.041.481.4-1.440%-
Last 5 (5)39.243.282.4-4.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)36.047.683.6-11.69%-
vs Similar ◀ (3)39.334.373.7+5.067%-
vs Weaker (4)41.035.876.8+5.250%-
This opponent (Herlev Wolfpack) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Herlev WolfpackLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Randers
#5
D
48-48
48
48
+0
A27/10
Basketligaen
Vaerlose
#7
W
54-43
54
43
+11
A02/11
Basketligaen
Horsens
#2
L
36-60
36
60
-24
H10/11
Basketligaen
Stevnsgade
#9
W
50-45
50
45
+5
H20/11
Basketligaen
EBAA Aarhus
#6
L
41-57
41
57
-16
H08/12
Basketligaen
Randers
#5
L
39-42
39
42
-3
H12/12
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#4
L
42-46
42
46
-4
A15/12
Basketligaen
Vaerlose
#7
L
41-54
41
54
-13
A02/01
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#3
L
35-57
35
57
-22
A08/01
Basketligaen
Stevnsgade
#9
W
48-41
48
41
+7
H19/01
Basketligaen
92.7Avg total
43.4Scored
49.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.949.990.8-9.023%-
Last 30 at home (16)40.148.388.4-8.231%-
Last 30 away (14)41.951.793.6-9.914%-
Last 10 (10)43.449.392.7-5.930%-
Last 5 (5)41.048.089.0-7.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (20)39.153.492.5-14.25%-
vs Similar ◀ (7)43.943.987.7+0.043%-
vs Weaker (3)45.741.086.7+4.7100%-
This opponent (EBAA Aarhus) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
EBAA Aarhus wins
1
Herlev Wolfpack wins
DateGameScore
08/12/18Herlev Wolfpack v EBAA Aarhus86-99
16/12/17EBAA Aarhus v Herlev Wolfpack69-75
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/01/19HHorsens62-85
16/01/19HTeam FOG Naestved75-87
13/01/19AStevnsgade88-62
06/01/19AHerlev87-74
04/01/19HBakken Bears75-89
30/12/18HRanders56-82
22/12/18AStevnsgade83-78
16/12/18AHorsens64-95
08/12/18AHerlev Wolfpack99-86
18/11/18HVaerlose81-63
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/01/19HStevnsgade97-79
08/01/19ATeam FOG Naestved70-108
02/01/19AVaerlose84-93
15/12/18ASvendborg76-90
12/12/18HRanders78-107
08/12/18HEBAA Aarhus86-99
20/11/18HStevnsgade95-83
10/11/18HHorsens76-124
02/11/18AVaerlose109-84
27/10/18ARanders91-98

📊 11. Overall Statistics

EBAA Aarhus
Basketligaen 2018-19
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL33%
HomeLWLLL25%
AwayLWWLW43%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1587
Win %33%25%43%
Points / game76.470.583.1
Allowed / game85.778.494.1
Point differential-9.3-7.9-11.0
Avg total162.1148.9177.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+27%25%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)0% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Herlev Wolfpack
Basketligaen 2018-19
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW31%
HomeLWLLW38%
AwayLWLLL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1385
Win %31%38%20%
Points / game85.184.586.0
Allowed / game95.395.894.6
Point differential-10.2-11.2-8.6
Avg total180.4180.2180.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+23%25%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bakken Bears1615194%103.079.8+23.2
2 Horsens1613381%96.979.9+17.1
3 Svendborg1712571%84.380.9+3.4
4 Team FOG Naestved1911858%90.781.6+9.1
5 Randers179853%88.990.6-1.8
6 EBAA Aarhus1551033%76.485.7-9.3
7 Herlev Wolfpack134931%85.195.3-10.2
8 Vaerlose1641225%76.188.4-12.3
9 Stevnsgade170170%69.191.1-22.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
EBAA Aarhus1215151456
Herlev Wolfpack2429191688
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