EBAA Aarhus vs Horsens Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 11 Oct 2019

Tip-off: 16:30

Final 78-115

19-33 23-29 15-30 21-23

Position#8

Record0-2

FormLLLLL

Points / game66.0

Allowed / game88.5

EBAA Aarhus

Horsens 🏆

Position#3

Record2-0

FormLLLWW

Points / game101.0

Allowed / game60.5

BasketligaenRound 3

Other2019-20

Meetings · EBAA Aarhus v Horsens

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

EBAA Aarhus winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Horsens winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

EBAA Aarhus Denmark

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Stevnsgade

80-68

+12

H23/02

Basketligaen

Herlev Wolfpack

88-69

+19

H01/03

Basketligaen

Vaerlose

64-68

-4

A03/03

Basketligaen

Herlev Wolfpack

72-70

A08/03

Basketligaen

Vaerlose

73-99

-26

A16/03

Basketligaen

Team FOG Naestved

65-89

-24

A21/03

Basketligaen

Team FOG Naestved

64-93

-29

H25/03

Basketligaen

Team FOG Naestved

66-101

101

-35

A28/03

Basketligaen

Team FOG Naestved

68-82

-14

H27/09

Basketligaen

Randers

64-95

-31

A03/10

Basketligaen

26-17

23-17

15-17

16-17

20-12

33-19

14-14

21-24

16-12

23-17

11-27

14-12

18-19

16-22

11-18

27-11

18-20

18-33

11-22

26-24

20-25

17-26

19-23

9-15

13-25

12-27

21-26

18-15

21-29

5-27

18-28

22-17

20-25

14-25

23-14

11-18

11-31

20-25

18-20

15-19

153.8Avg total

70.4Scored

83.4Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (2)	66.0	88.5	154.5	-22.5	0%
Season at home (1)	68.0	82.0	150.0	-14.0	0%
Season away (1)	64.0	95.0	159.0	-31.0	0%
Last 10 (10)	70.4	83.4	153.8	-13.0	30%
Last 5 (5)	65.4	92.0	157.4	-26.6	0%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)	70.4	93.3	163.8	-22.9	0%
vs Similar (8)	74.6	76.2	150.9	-1.6	50%
vs Weaker (5)	84.2	70.2	154.4	+14.0	100%

This opponent (Horsens) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Horsens

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Herlev Wolfpack

91-64

+27

H28/03

Basketligaen

Team FOG Naestved

89-78

+11

H11/04

Basketligaen

Team FOG Naestved

93-81

+12

A15/04

Basketligaen

Team FOG Naestved

109-66

109

+43

H18/04

Basketligaen

Bakken Bears

86-91

-5

A02/05

Basketligaen

Bakken Bears

76-83

-7

H06/05

Basketligaen

Bakken Bears

62-91

-29

A09/05

Basketligaen

Bakken Bears

76-91

-15

H13/05

Basketligaen

Vaerlose

93-73

+20

A27/09

Basketligaen

Amager

#10

109-48

109

+61

H06/10

Basketligaen

35-8

16-19

22-19

18-18

21-21

24-21

23-17

21-19

31-11

27-30

16-28

19-12

22-12

25-20

33-15

29-19

22-18

16-17

21-29

27-27

12-16

22-20

14-30

28-17

17-23

11-22

19-28

15-18

13-26

13-20

26-24

24-21

23-13

21-17

28-27

21-16

28-2

31-15

23-11

27-20

165.0Avg total

88.4Scored

76.6Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (2)	101.0	60.5	161.5	+40.5	100%
Season at home (1)	109.0	48.0	157.0	+61.0	100%
Season away (1)	93.0	73.0	166.0	+20.0	100%
Last 10 (10)	88.4	76.6	165.0	+11.8	60%
Last 5 (5)	83.2	77.2	160.4	+6.0	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	80.0	88.7	168.7	-8.7	17%
vs Similar (5)	90.2	79.2	169.4	+11.0	80%
vs Weaker ◀ (18)	97.3	72.6	169.9	+24.7	94%

This opponent (EBAA Aarhus) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

EBAA AarhusHorsens

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.3	21.6	39.9	-3.3	40%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	16.2	19.4	35.6	-3.1	43%	-
Last 30 away (16)	20.1	23.5	43.6	-3.4	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.3	21.5	39.8	-3.2	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.0	27.0	44.0	-10.0	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)	17.3	24.9	42.2	-7.6	19%	-
vs Similar (8)	16.5	16.0	32.5	+0.5	50%	-
vs Weaker (5)	22.8	18.0	40.8	+4.8	100%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	23.6	17.2	40.8	+6.4	63%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	23.8	16.1	39.9	+7.6	62%	-
Last 30 away (14)	23.5	18.4	41.9	+5.1	64%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.4	15.0	37.4	+7.4	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.6	16.0	34.6	+2.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	19.2	21.3	40.5	-2.2	33%	-
vs Similar (5)	21.6	18.4	40.0	+3.2	40%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)	25.5	15.2	40.7	+10.3	78%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.0	23.4	42.4	-4.3	33%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	18.9	22.4	41.2	-3.5	36%	-
Last 30 away (16)	19.2	24.2	43.4	-5.1	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.1	23.8	41.9	-5.7	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	13.6	26.0	39.6	-12.4	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)	17.5	25.4	42.9	-7.9	19%	-
vs Similar (8)	21.9	22.8	44.6	-0.9	50%	-
vs Weaker (5)	19.8	17.4	37.2	+2.4	60%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	23.9	20.9	44.8	+3.0	60%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	24.6	19.7	44.2	+4.9	69%	-
Last 30 away (14)	23.1	22.3	45.4	+0.9	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.6	20.1	40.7	+0.5	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.6	18.8	38.4	+0.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	19.8	20.5	40.3	-0.7	50%	-
vs Similar (5)	23.8	22.4	46.2	+1.4	60%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)	25.2	20.5	45.7	+4.7	61%	-

EBAA AarhusLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Stevnsgade

49-34

+15

H23/02

Basketligaen

Herlev Wolfpack

53-31

+22

H01/03

Basketligaen

Vaerlose

39-29

+10

A03/03

Basketligaen

Herlev Wolfpack

34-41

-7

A08/03

Basketligaen

Vaerlose

36-53

-17

A16/03

Basketligaen

Team FOG Naestved

37-51

-14

A21/03

Basketligaen

Team FOG Naestved

25-52

-27

H25/03

Basketligaen

Team FOG Naestved

26-56

-30

A28/03

Basketligaen

Team FOG Naestved

34-50

-16

H27/09

Basketligaen

Randers

31-56

-25

A03/10

Basketligaen

81.7Avg total

36.4Scored

45.3Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	37.3	44.9	82.3	-7.6	27%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	35.1	41.7	76.8	-6.6	29%	-
Last 30 away (16)	39.3	47.8	87.1	-8.4	25%	-
Last 10 (10)	36.4	45.3	81.7	-8.9	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	30.6	53.0	83.6	-22.4	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)	34.8	50.4	85.2	-15.6	6%	-
vs Similar (8)	38.4	38.8	77.1	-0.4	50%	-
vs Weaker (5)	42.6	35.4	78.0	+7.2	60%	-

This opponent (Horsens) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

HorsensLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Herlev Wolfpack

51-27

+24

H28/03

Basketligaen

Team FOG Naestved

45-42

H11/04

Basketligaen

Team FOG Naestved

58-41

+17

A15/04

Basketligaen

Team FOG Naestved

47-32

+15

H18/04

Basketligaen

Bakken Bears

38-35

A02/05

Basketligaen

Bakken Bears

34-36

-2

H06/05

Basketligaen

Bakken Bears

28-45

-17

A09/05

Basketligaen

Bakken Bears

26-46

-20

H13/05

Basketligaen

Vaerlose

44-30

+14

A27/09

Basketligaen

Amager

#10

59-17

+42

H06/10

Basketligaen

78.1Avg total

43.0Scored

35.1Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	47.5	38.1	85.6	+9.4	83%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	48.3	35.8	84.1	+12.5	88%	-
Last 30 away (14)	46.6	40.7	87.4	+5.9	79%	-
Last 10 (10)	43.0	35.1	78.1	+7.9	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	38.2	34.8	73.0	+3.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	39.0	41.8	80.8	-2.8	50%	-
vs Similar (5)	45.4	40.8	86.2	+4.6	60%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)	50.7	35.7	86.3	+15.0	100%	-

This opponent (EBAA Aarhus) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.3	20.8	38.0	-3.5	27%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	17.6	18.9	36.4	-1.3	36%	-
Last 30 away (16)	17.0	22.4	39.4	-5.4	19%	-
Last 10 (10)	16.1	20.9	37.0	-4.8	10%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.8	22.2	42.0	-2.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)	17.9	23.1	41.0	-5.2	19%	-
vs Similar (8)	14.9	18.2	33.1	-3.4	25%	-
vs Weaker (5)	17.4	20.0	37.4	-2.6	40%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.6	20.7	42.3	+0.9	57%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	22.5	19.2	41.8	+3.2	75%	-
Last 30 away (14)	20.6	22.4	42.9	-1.8	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.5	22.8	45.3	-0.3	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.0	24.0	46.0	-2.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	19.3	25.0	44.3	-5.7	33%	-
vs Similar (5)	22.8	19.6	42.4	+3.2	60%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)	22.1	19.4	41.5	+2.7	67%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.8	18.6	38.4	+1.2	47%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	17.5	18.9	36.4	-1.4	21%	-
Last 30 away (16)	21.8	18.3	40.1	+3.5	69%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.9	17.2	35.1	+0.7	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	15.0	16.8	31.8	-1.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)	17.8	19.8	37.6	-2.1	31%	-
vs Similar (8)	21.4	19.2	40.6	+2.1	50%	-
vs Weaker (5)	24.2	14.8	39.0	+9.4	80%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	23.5	19.0	42.5	+4.6	73%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	23.6	19.3	42.9	+4.2	75%	-
Last 30 away (14)	23.5	18.6	42.1	+4.9	71%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.9	18.7	41.6	+4.2	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.0	18.4	41.4	+4.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	21.7	21.8	43.5	-0.2	33%	-
vs Similar (5)	22.0	18.8	40.8	+3.2	80%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)	24.5	17.6	42.1	+6.9	89%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	37.1	39.3	76.4	-2.3	37%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	35.1	37.7	72.8	-2.6	36%	-
Last 30 away (16)	38.8	40.8	79.6	-1.9	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	34.0	38.1	72.1	-4.1	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	34.8	39.0	73.8	-4.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)	35.6	42.9	78.6	-7.3	19%	-
vs Similar (8)	36.2	37.5	73.8	-1.2	38%	-
vs Weaker (5)	41.6	34.8	76.4	+6.8	80%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	45.1	39.7	84.8	+5.5	70%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	46.1	38.6	84.6	+7.5	81%	-
Last 30 away (14)	44.1	40.9	85.0	+3.1	57%	-
Last 10 (10)	45.4	41.5	86.9	+3.9	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	45.0	42.4	87.4	+2.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	41.0	46.8	87.8	-5.8	33%	-
vs Similar (5)	44.8	38.4	83.2	+6.4	60%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)	46.6	36.9	83.6	+9.7	89%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

EBAA Aarhus wins

Horsens wins

Date	Game	Score
20/01/19	EBAA Aarhus v Horsens	62-85
16/12/18	Horsens v EBAA Aarhus	95-64
30/09/18	EBAA Aarhus v Horsens	64-82

EBAA Aarhuslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
03/10/19	A	Randers	64-95
27/09/19	H	Team FOG Naestved	68-82
28/03/19	A	Team FOG Naestved	66-101
25/03/19	H	Team FOG Naestved	64-93
21/03/19	A	Team FOG Naestved	65-89
16/03/19	A	Vaerlose	73-99
08/03/19	A	Herlev Wolfpack	72-70
03/03/19	A	Vaerlose	64-68
01/03/19	H	Herlev Wolfpack	88-69
23/02/19	H	Stevnsgade	80-68

Horsenslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
06/10/19	H	Amager	109-48
27/09/19	A	Vaerlose	93-73
13/05/19	H	Bakken Bears	76-91
09/05/19	A	Bakken Bears	62-91
06/05/19	H	Bakken Bears	76-83
02/05/19	A	Bakken Bears	86-91
18/04/19	H	Team FOG Naestved	109-66
15/04/19	A	Team FOG Naestved	93-81
11/04/19	H	Team FOG Naestved	89-78
28/03/19	H	Herlev Wolfpack	91-64

📊 11. Overall Statistics

EBAA Aarhus

Basketligaen 2019-20

Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LL	0%
Home	L	0%
Away	L	0%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	2	1	1
Win %	0%	0%	0%
Points / game	66.0	68.0	64.0
Allowed / game	88.5	82.0	95.0
Point differential	-22.5	-14.0	-31.0
Avg total	154.5	150.0	159.0
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	0%	0%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	-	-	-
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Horsens

Basketligaen 2019-20

Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WW	100%
Home	W	100%
Away	W	100%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	2	1	1
Win %	100%	100%	100%
Points / game	101.0	109.0	93.0
Allowed / game	60.5	48.0	73.0
Point differential	+40.5	+61.0	+20.0
Avg total	161.5	157.0	166.0
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	100%	100%	100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	-	-	-
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Horsens	2	2	0	100%	101.0	60.5	+40.5
2	Bakken Bears	3	3	0	100%	95.3	78.0	+17.3
3	Herlev Wolfpack	2	2	0	100%	84.0	68.5	+15.5
4	Randers	3	2	1	67%	89.0	75.7	+13.3
5	Copenhagen	2	1	1	50%	86.0	100.0	-14.0
6	Team FOG Naestved	3	1	2	33%	76.7	79.3	-2.7
7	Svendborg	3	1	2	33%	74.0	80.0	-6.0
8	Vaerlose	2	0	2	0%	84.5	95.0	-10.5
9	EBAA Aarhus	2	0	2	0%	66.0	88.5	-22.5
10	Amager	2	0	2	0%	57.0	99.0	-42.0

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
EBAA Aarhus	19	23	15	21	78
Horsens	33	29	30	23	115

← all games of the day

EBAA Aarhus vs Horsens Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

Manage Cookies

Strictly Necessary

Functionality Cookies

Performance Cookies

Third Party Marketing/Targeting

A Pro feature