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Team FOG Naestved vs EBAA Aarhus Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 28 Mar 2019
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 101-66
29-21 27-5 28-18 17-22
Position#3
Record16-10
FormLWLWW
Points / game91.3
Allowed / game80.7
vs
Position#6
Record8-16
FormLWLLL
Points / game74.9
Allowed / game84.5
DenmarkBasketligaenBasketligaen - Quarter-finals
Other2018-19
Meetings · Team FOG Naestved v EBAA Aarhus
24 Nov 2019
TEAM86
EBAA50
28 Mar 2019
TEAM101
EBAA66
21 Mar 2019
TEAM89
EBAA65
28 Oct 2018
TEAM101
EBAA71
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Team FOG Naestved winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
EBAA Aarhus winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Team FOG NaestvedDenmarkLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
EBAA Aarhus
#6
W
87-75
87
75
+12
A16/01
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#3
L
78-85
78
85
-7
H20/01
Denmark Cup
Svendborg
#4
L
80-88
80
88
-8
A26/01
Basketligaen
Horsens
#2
W
101-84
101
84
+17
H31/01
Basketligaen
Randers
#5
W
113-91
113
91
+22
H16/02
Basketligaen
Horsens
#2
L
70-76
70
76
-6
H28/02
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#4
W
95-74
95
74
+21
H07/03
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
L
88-93
88
93
-5
H15/03
Basketligaen
EBAA Aarhus
#6
W
89-65
89
65
+24
H21/03
Basketligaen
EBAA Aarhus
#6
W
93-64
93
64
+29
A25/03
Basketligaen
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-20
21-27
25-15
22-13
14-22
15-30
18-21
31-12
16-12
18-23
19-18
27-35
31-17
19-26
25-21
26-20
34-17
21-25
29-23
29-26
17-17
22-17
13-21
18-21
24-10
15-20
28-18
28-26
19-19
22-26
30-16
17-32
25-20
26-17
23-19
15-9
25-13
27-12
26-21
15-18
168.9Avg total
89.4Scored
79.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)91.380.7172.0+10.662%
Season at home (13)92.777.9170.6+14.869%
Season away (13)89.883.5173.3+6.454%
Last 10 (10)89.479.5168.9+9.960%
Last 5 (5)87.074.4161.4+12.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)78.293.0171.2-14.80%
vs Similar (5)87.486.0173.4+1.440%
vs Weaker ◀ (20)94.876.6171.3+18.275%
This opponent (EBAA Aarhus) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
EBAA AarhusDenmarkLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Horsens
#1
L
62-85
62
85
-23
H20/01
Denmark Cup
Herlev Wolfpack
#8
L
56-88
56
88
-32
H27/01
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#4
L
89-99
89
99
-10
A13/02
Basketligaen
Stevnsgade
#9
W
80-68
80
68
+12
H23/02
Basketligaen
Herlev Wolfpack
#8
W
88-69
88
69
+19
H01/03
Basketligaen
Vaerlose
#7
L
64-68
64
68
-4
A03/03
Basketligaen
Herlev Wolfpack
#8
W
72-70
72
70
+2
A08/03
Basketligaen
Vaerlose
#7
L
73-99
73
99
-26
A16/03
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#3
L
65-89
65
89
-24
A21/03
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#3
L
64-93
64
93
-29
H25/03
Basketligaen
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
8-19
21-25
15-17
18-24
12-24
15-29
15-19
14-16
26-34
19-22
25-28
19-15
26-17
23-17
15-17
16-17
20-12
33-19
14-14
21-24
16-12
23-17
11-27
14-12
18-19
16-22
11-18
27-11
18-20
18-33
11-22
26-24
20-25
17-26
19-23
9-15
13-25
12-27
21-26
18-15
154.1Avg total
71.3Scored
82.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)74.984.5159.4-9.733%
Season at home (12)71.078.8149.8-7.833%
Season away (12)78.890.3169.1-11.633%
Last 10 (10)71.382.8154.1-11.530%
Last 5 (5)67.683.8151.4-16.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)71.392.1163.4-20.90%
vs Similar (9)73.774.7148.3-1.056%
vs Weaker (5)84.270.2154.4+14.0100%
This opponent (Team FOG Naestved) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +5.7+5.7Q1: -3.0-3.0Q2Q2: -1.7-1.7Q2: -4.0-4.0Q3Q3: +4.3+4.3Q3: -5.4-5.4Q4Q4: +1.6+1.6Q4: +0.9+0.9
Team FOG NaestvedEBAA Aarhus
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Team FOG NaestvedLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
EBAA Aarhus
#6
L
40-47
40
47
-7
A16/01
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#3
L
29-52
29
52
-23
H20/01
Denmark Cup
Svendborg
#4
L
34-35
34
35
-1
A26/01
Basketligaen
Horsens
#2
W
50-43
50
43
+7
H31/01
Basketligaen
Randers
#5
W
55-42
55
42
+13
H16/02
Basketligaen
Horsens
#2
W
39-34
39
34
+5
H28/02
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#4
W
39-30
39
30
+9
H07/03
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
L
41-45
41
45
-4
H15/03
Basketligaen
EBAA Aarhus
#6
W
51-37
51
37
+14
H21/03
Basketligaen
EBAA Aarhus
#6
W
52-25
52
25
+27
A25/03
Basketligaen
82.0Avg total
43.0Scored
39.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)47.040.587.5+6.563%-
Last 30 at home (16)47.240.187.3+7.275%-
Last 30 away (14)46.841.087.8+5.850%-
Last 10 (10)43.039.082.0+4.060%-
Last 5 (5)44.434.278.6+10.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)40.845.886.6-5.00%-
vs Similar (5)46.641.888.4+4.880%-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)48.738.987.6+9.975%-
This opponent (EBAA Aarhus) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
EBAA AarhusLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Horsens
#1
L
29-44
29
44
-15
H20/01
Denmark Cup
Herlev Wolfpack
#8
L
27-53
27
53
-26
H27/01
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#4
L
45-56
45
56
-11
A13/02
Basketligaen
Stevnsgade
#9
W
49-34
49
34
+15
H23/02
Basketligaen
Herlev Wolfpack
#8
W
53-31
53
31
+22
H01/03
Basketligaen
Vaerlose
#7
W
39-29
39
29
+10
A03/03
Basketligaen
Herlev Wolfpack
#8
L
34-41
34
41
-7
A08/03
Basketligaen
Vaerlose
#7
L
36-53
36
53
-17
A16/03
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#3
L
37-51
37
51
-14
A21/03
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#3
L
25-52
25
52
-27
H25/03
Basketligaen
81.8Avg total
37.4Scored
44.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (28)38.143.881.8-5.729%-
Last 30 at home (14)35.340.976.2-5.629%-
Last 30 away (14)40.946.687.4-5.729%-
Last 10 (10)37.444.481.8-7.030%-
Last 5 (5)34.245.279.4-11.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)35.948.884.7-12.97%-
vs Similar (8)38.438.877.1-0.450%-
vs Weaker (5)42.635.478.0+7.260%-
This opponent (Team FOG Naestved) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Team FOG Naestved wins
0
EBAA Aarhus wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/03/19AEBAA Aarhus93-64
21/03/19HEBAA Aarhus89-65
15/03/19HBakken Bears88-93
07/03/19HSvendborg95-74
28/02/19HHorsens70-76
16/02/19HRanders113-91
31/01/19HHorsens101-84
26/01/19ASvendborg80-88
20/01/19HSvendborg78-85
16/01/19AEBAA Aarhus87-75
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/03/19HTeam FOG Naestved64-93
21/03/19ATeam FOG Naestved65-89
16/03/19AVaerlose73-99
08/03/19AHerlev Wolfpack72-70
03/03/19AVaerlose64-68
01/03/19HHerlev Wolfpack88-69
23/02/19HStevnsgade80-68
13/02/19ASvendborg89-99
27/01/19HHerlev Wolfpack56-88
20/01/19HHorsens62-85

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Team FOG Naestved
Basketligaen 2018-19
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW62%
HomeWLWLW69%
AwayWWWLW54%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games261313
Win %62%69%54%
Points / game91.392.789.8
Allowed / game80.777.983.5
Point differential+10.6+14.8+6.4
Avg total172.0170.6173.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+58%69%46%
Close games (≤5 pts) won20% (5)0% (2)33% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
EBAA Aarhus
Basketligaen 2018-19
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL33%
HomeLLWWL33%
AwayLLWLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games241212
Win %33%33%33%
Points / game74.971.078.8
Allowed / game84.578.890.3
Point differential-9.7-7.8-11.6
Avg total159.4149.8169.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%33%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)0% (1)67% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bakken Bears2523292%102.081.2+20.9
2 Horsens2721678%94.780.0+14.7
3 Team FOG Naestved26161062%91.380.7+10.6
4 Svendborg26141254%82.682.3+0.3
5 Randers26141254%89.290.5-1.3
6 EBAA Aarhus2481633%74.984.5-9.7
7 Vaerlose2371630%78.387.5-9.2
8 Herlev Wolfpack2571828%79.792.7-13.0
9 Stevnsgade222209%71.289.5-18.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Team FOG Naestved29272817101
EBAA Aarhus215182266
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