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Waverley vs Ballarat Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 16 Jun 2024
Tip-off: 04:30
Final 91-98
25-25 29-28 15-28 22-17
Position#12
Record10-5
FormWWWLW
Points / game93.8
Allowed / game87.2
vs
Position#5
Record10-4
FormLWWWL
Points / game92.1
Allowed / game83.9
AustraliaNBL1 South
Other2024
Meetings · Waverley v Ballarat
16 Jun 2024
WAVE91
BALL98
22 May 2022
WAVE74
BALL67
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Waverley winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Ballarat winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

WaverleyAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ringwood
#17
W
95-83
95
83
+12
H27/04
NBL1 South
Keilor Thunder
#10
L
101-107
101
107
-6
A28/04
NBL1 South
Dandenong
#6
W
90-82
90
82
+8
H30/04
NBL1 South
Bendigo Braves
#15
W
110-75
110
75
+35
H04/05
NBL1 South
Knox
#7
W
98-91 OT
98
91
+7
A11/05
NBL1 South
Kilsyth
#16
W
87-82
87
82
+5
H18/05
NBL1 South
NW Tasmania
#14
W
117-77
117
77
+40
H26/05
NBL1 South
Nunawading
#8
W
104-91
104
91
+13
A01/06
NBL1 South
Sandringham Sabres
#3
L
84-110
84
110
-26
H07/06
NBL1 South
Diamond Valley
#18
W
102-97
102
97
+5
A15/06
NBL1 South
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-19
23-15
18-24
25-25
23-35
25-19
32-32
21-21
30-14
15-29
21-22
24-17
22-25
27-25
25-15
36-10
30-19
12-25
21-19
20-20
17-23
24-22
25-23
21-14
34-15
17-23
27-16
39-23
29-27
26-27
27-15
22-22
24-32
21-25
18-28
21-25
30-22
21-26
24-25
27-24
188.3Avg total
98.8Scored
89.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)93.887.2181.0+6.667%
Season at home (8)92.483.8176.1+8.662%
Season away (7)95.491.1186.6+4.371%
Last 10 (10)98.889.5188.3+9.380%
Last 5 (5)98.891.4190.2+7.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)82.190.3172.4-8.129%
vs Similar ◀ (9)91.287.8179.0+3.478%
vs Weaker (14)95.084.0179.0+11.071%
This opponent (Ballarat) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BallaratAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
NW Tasmania
#14
L
95-98
95
98
-3
A26/04
NBL1 South
Hobart Chargers
#9
W
88-79
88
79
+9
A27/04
NBL1 South
Keilor Thunder
#10
W
113-83
113
83
+30
A04/05
NBL1 South
Eltham
#2
W
95-82
95
82
+13
H11/05
NBL1 South
Kilsyth
#16
W
80-68
80
68
+12
A12/05
NBL1 South
Melbourne Tigers
#13
L
78-80
78
80
-2
A18/05
NBL1 South
Knox
#7
W
89-86 OT
89
86
+3
H25/05
NBL1 South
Diamond Valley
#18
W
99-96
99
96
+3
H26/05
NBL1 South
Bendigo Braves
#15
W
76-75
76
75
+1
A01/06
NBL1 South
Dandenong
#6
L
84-86
84
86
-2
H15/06
NBL1 South
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-29
27-31
23-17
19-21
19-14
21-23
23-25
25-17
33-21
22-15
28-20
30-27
20-24
32-19
17-23
26-16
22-16
20-19
17-19
21-14
24-14
20-22
23-20
11-24
13-20
16-17
27-21
20-18
24-24
19-25
21-25
35-22
20-16
22-23
15-22
19-14
21-22
26-21
21-21
16-22
173.0Avg total
89.7Scored
83.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)92.183.9176.1+8.271%
Season at home (7)93.685.4179.0+8.171%
Season away (7)90.782.4173.1+8.371%
Last 10 (10)89.783.3173.0+6.470%
Last 5 (5)85.284.6169.8+0.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)90.292.4182.6-2.150%
vs Similar ◀ (9)94.396.2190.6-1.944%
vs Weaker (13)93.585.2178.6+8.369%
This opponent (Waverley) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +3.7+3.7Q1: +2.2+2.2Q2Q2: -2.5-2.5Q2: +1.0+1.0Q3Q3: +1.9+1.9Q3: +0.2+0.2Q4Q4: +5.5+5.5Q4: +2.7+2.7
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +3.7+3.7Q1: +2.2+2.2Q2Q2: -2.5-2.5Q2: +1.0+1.0Q3Q3: +1.9+1.9Q3: +0.2+0.2Q4Q4: +5.5+5.5Q4: +2.7+2.7
WaverleyBallarat
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
WaverleyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ringwood
#17
W
52-34
52
34
+18
H27/04
NBL1 South
Keilor Thunder
#10
L
48-54
48
54
-6
A28/04
NBL1 South
Dandenong
#6
W
45-43
45
43
+2
H30/04
NBL1 South
Bendigo Braves
#15
L
49-50
49
50
-1
H04/05
NBL1 South
Knox
#7
L
42-44
42
44
-2
A11/05
NBL1 South
Kilsyth
#16
L
41-45
41
45
-4
H18/05
NBL1 South
NW Tasmania
#14
W
51-38
51
38
+13
H26/05
NBL1 South
Nunawading
#8
W
55-54
55
54
+1
A01/06
NBL1 South
Sandringham Sabres
#3
L
45-57
45
57
-12
H07/06
NBL1 South
Diamond Valley
#18
W
51-48
51
48
+3
A15/06
NBL1 South
94.6Avg total
47.9Scored
46.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.945.089.9-0.150%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.343.387.5+1.047%-
Last 30 away (15)45.546.792.3-1.253%-
Last 10 (10)47.946.794.6+1.250%-
Last 5 (5)48.648.497.0+0.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)40.347.487.7-7.114%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)46.745.091.7+1.767%-
vs Weaker (14)46.143.889.9+2.357%-
This opponent (Ballarat) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BallaratLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
NW Tasmania
#14
L
53-60
53
60
-7
A26/04
NBL1 South
Hobart Chargers
#9
W
40-37
40
37
+3
A27/04
NBL1 South
Keilor Thunder
#10
W
55-36
55
36
+19
A04/05
NBL1 South
Eltham
#2
W
52-43
52
43
+9
H11/05
NBL1 South
Kilsyth
#16
W
42-35
42
35
+7
A12/05
NBL1 South
Melbourne Tigers
#13
W
44-36
44
36
+8
A18/05
NBL1 South
Knox
#7
L
29-37
29
37
-8
H25/05
NBL1 South
Diamond Valley
#18
L
43-49
43
49
-6
H26/05
NBL1 South
Bendigo Braves
#15
W
42-39
42
39
+3
A01/06
NBL1 South
Dandenong
#6
W
47-43
47
43
+4
H15/06
NBL1 South
86.2Avg total
44.7Scored
41.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)47.144.891.9+2.257%-
Last 30 at home (16)47.944.992.8+3.062%-
Last 30 away (14)46.144.890.9+1.450%-
Last 10 (10)44.741.586.2+3.270%-
Last 5 (5)41.040.881.8+0.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)47.546.193.6+1.438%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)47.445.993.3+1.667%-
vs Weaker (13)46.543.389.8+3.262%-
This opponent (Waverley) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Waverley wins
0
Ballarat wins
DateGameScore
20/05/23Ballarat v Waverley95-108
22/05/22Waverley v Ballarat74-67
13/07/19Ballarat v Waverley77-90
Waverleylast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/06/24ADiamond Valley102-97
07/06/24HSandringham Sabres84-110
01/06/24ANunawading104-91
26/05/24HNW Tasmania117-77
18/05/24HKilsyth87-82
11/05/24AKnox98-91 OT
04/05/24HBendigo Braves110-75
30/04/24HDandenong90-82
28/04/24AKeilor Thunder101-107
27/04/24HRingwood95-83
Ballaratlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/06/24HDandenong84-86
01/06/24ABendigo Braves76-75
26/05/24HDiamond Valley99-96
25/05/24HKnox89-86 OT
18/05/24AMelbourne Tigers78-80
12/05/24AKilsyth80-68
11/05/24HEltham95-82
04/05/24AKeilor Thunder113-83
27/04/24AHobart Chargers88-79
26/04/24ANW Tasmania95-98

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Waverley
NBL1 South 2024
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW67%
HomeWWWWL62%
AwayWLWWW71%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1587
Win %67%62%71%
Points / game93.892.495.4
Allowed / game87.283.891.1
Point differential+6.6+8.6+4.3
Avg total181.0176.1186.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%38%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)33% (3)100% (1)
Overtime %7%0%14%
Ballarat
NBL1 South 2024
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL71%
HomeWWWWL71%
AwayWWWLW71%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1477
Win %71%71%71%
Points / game92.193.690.7
Allowed / game83.985.482.4
Point differential+8.2+8.1+8.3
Avg total176.1179.0173.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+43%43%43%
Close games (≤5 pts) won43% (7)50% (4)33% (3)
Overtime %7%14%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Sandringham Sabres1612475%93.779.9+13.8
2 Mt Gambier1612475%88.581.0+7.5
3 Ballarat1410471%92.183.9+8.2
4 Dandenong1611569%86.982.6+4.3
5 Waverley1510567%93.887.2+6.6
6 Keilor Thunder1610662%87.990.9-3.0
7 Hobart Chargers159660%81.180.4+0.7
8 Knox158753%93.585.1+8.3
9 Eltham158753%89.182.3+6.9
10 Nunawading158753%87.385.1+2.1
11 Frankston147750%91.686.2+5.4
12 Melbourne Tigers157847%77.281.7-4.5
13 Geelong156940%79.085.3-6.3
14 NW Tasmania156940%82.190.7-8.5
15 Bendigo Braves1661038%79.086.2-7.2
16 Ringwood1761135%84.788.8-4.1
17 Diamond Valley1541127%86.095.7-9.7
18 Kilsyth1531220%78.889.3-10.5
19 Casey Cavaliers1521313%78.888.2-9.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Waverley2529152291
Ballarat2528281798
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