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Esgueira vs CA Queluz Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 22 Feb 2025
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 82-81
26-24 19-14 22-22 15-21
Position#8
Record6-8
FormLLWLL
Points / game83.4
Allowed / game87.1
vs
Position#11
Record4-10
FormLLLWL
Points / game82.5
Allowed / game89.6
PortugalLPBRound 10· Pavilhão Clube do Povo de Esgueira
Other2024-25
Meetings · Esgueira v CA Queluz
31 Oct 2026
ESGU93
CA Q104
01 Nov 2025
ESGU81
CA Q101
22 Feb 2025
ESGU82
CA Q81
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Esgueira winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
CA Queluz winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

EsgueiraPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormEsgueira
Date
Competition
Imortal
#7
W
100-91
100
91
+9
102avg 69
H07/12
LPB
FC Porto
#2
L
83-94
83
94
-11
69avg 69
A14/12
LPB
Oliveirense
#2
L
88-96 OT
88
96
-8
78avg 69
H17/12
Taca da Liga
Galomar
#12
L
73-84
73
84
-11
57avg 69
A21/12
LPB
Ovarense
#5
W
89-81 OT
89
81
+8
76avg 69
A04/01
LPB
Galitos Barreiro
#6
L
86-101
86
101
-15
75avg 69
A11/01
LPB
Ovarense
#7
L
81-92
81
92
-11
81avg 69
H19/01
Taca de Portugal
CD Povoa
#10
W
93-80
93
80
+13
83avg 69
H25/01
LPB
Sporting CP
#3
L
87-93 OT
87
93
-6
76avg 69
A02/02
LPB
Vitoria
#9
L
73-86
73
86
-13
45avg 69
H15/02
LPB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-21
30-20
27-27
25-23
19-29
21-16
25-25
18-24
19-18
28-20
17-23
16-19
22-25
23-19
15-22
13-18
15-8
24-21
18-19
10-19
18-20
24-35
18-20
26-26
23-27
13-27
26-16
19-22
19-12
28-12
23-34
23-22
18-15
21-14
25-27
15-23
17-22
25-23
19-19
12-22
175.1Avg total
85.3Scored
89.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)83.487.1170.5-3.643%
Season at home (6)84.585.3169.8-0.850%
Season away (8)82.688.4171.0-5.838%
Last 10 (10)85.389.8175.1-4.530%
Last 5 (5)84.090.4174.4-6.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)74.987.9162.8-13.125%
vs Similar ◀ (11)82.784.1166.8-1.455%
vs Weaker (2)85.071.5156.5+13.550%
This opponent (CA Queluz) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CA QueluzPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormQueluz
Date
Competition
Oliveirense
#4
W
109-99 OT
109
99
+10
108avg 75
H07/12
LPB
Imortal
#7
L
85-90
85
90
-5
76avg 75
A14/12
LPB
FC Porto
#1
L
75-89
75
89
-14
68avg 75
A17/12
Taca da Liga
FC Porto
#2
L
62-81
62
81
-19
51avg 75
H21/12
LPB
Galomar
#12
W
76-67
76
67
+9
72avg 75
H04/01
LPB
Ovarense
#5
L
84-86
84
86
-2
76avg 75
A11/01
LPB
Galitos Barreiro
#6
L
60-76
60
76
-16
50avg 75
H18/01
Taca de Portugal
Galitos Barreiro
#6
L
71-74
71
74
-3
66avg 75
H25/01
LPB
CD Povoa
#10
W
102-98
102
98
+4
97avg 75
A02/02
LPB
Sporting CP
#3
L
78-103
78
103
-25
62avg 75
H15/02
LPB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
35-25
18-22
18-24
18-18
16-28
21-18
21-18
27-26
19-25
19-25
11-24
26-15
18-16
13-27
22-22
9-16
28-20
14-19
21-10
13-18
22-23
18-27
19-12
25-24
14-26
18-17
13-18
15-15
17-21
21-13
14-18
19-22
29-26
26-17
27-24
20-31
18-29
21-21
26-24
13-29
166.5Avg total
80.2Scored
86.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)82.589.6172.1-7.129%
Season at home (8)79.683.5163.1-3.938%
Season away (6)86.397.7184.0-11.317%
Last 10 (10)80.286.3166.5-6.130%
Last 5 (5)79.087.4166.4-8.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)81.092.5173.5-11.59%
vs Similar ◀ (8)85.083.6168.6+1.475%
vs Weaker (10)81.174.9156.0+6.270%
This opponent (Esgueira) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -0.9-0.9Q1: -2.3-2.3Q2Q2: +3.0+3.0Q2: -1.7-1.7Q3Q3: -1.9-1.9Q3: -0.2-0.2Q4Q4: -4.1-4.1Q4: -2.9-2.9
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -0.9-0.9Q1: -2.3-2.3Q2Q2: +3.0+3.0Q2: -1.7-1.7Q3Q3: -1.9-1.9Q3: -0.2-0.2Q4Q4: -4.1-4.1Q4: -2.9-2.9
EsgueiraCA Queluz
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
EsgueiraLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Imortal
#7
W
48-41
48
41
+7
H07/12
LPB
FC Porto
#2
L
40-45
40
45
-5
A14/12
LPB
Oliveirense
#2
W
47-38
47
38
+9
H17/12
Taca da Liga
Galomar
#12
W
45-44
45
44
+1
A21/12
LPB
Ovarense
#5
W
39-29
39
29
+10
A04/01
LPB
Galitos Barreiro
#6
L
42-55
42
55
-13
A11/01
LPB
Ovarense
#7
L
36-54
36
54
-18
H19/01
Taca de Portugal
CD Povoa
#10
W
47-24
47
24
+23
H25/01
LPB
Sporting CP
#3
W
39-29
39
29
+10
A02/02
LPB
Vitoria
#9
L
42-45
42
45
-3
H15/02
LPB
82.9Avg total
42.5Scored
40.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.240.578.7-2.347%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.941.079.9-2.147%-
Last 30 away (15)37.540.177.5-2.647%-
Last 10 (10)42.540.482.9+2.160%-
Last 5 (5)41.241.482.6-0.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)36.241.878.0-5.631%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)40.639.279.8+1.564%-
vs Weaker (2)42.031.073.0+11.0100%-
This opponent (CA Queluz) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CA QueluzLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Oliveirense
#4
W
53-47
53
47
+6
H07/12
LPB
Imortal
#7
L
37-46
37
46
-9
A14/12
LPB
FC Porto
#1
L
38-50
38
50
-12
A17/12
Taca da Liga
FC Porto
#2
L
31-43
31
43
-12
H21/12
LPB
Galomar
#12
W
42-39
42
39
+3
H04/01
LPB
Ovarense
#5
L
40-50
40
50
-10
A11/01
LPB
Galitos Barreiro
#6
L
32-43
32
43
-11
H18/01
Taca de Portugal
Galitos Barreiro
#6
W
38-34
38
34
+4
H25/01
LPB
CD Povoa
#10
W
55-43
55
43
+12
A02/02
LPB
Sporting CP
#3
L
39-50
39
50
-11
H15/02
LPB
85.0Avg total
40.5Scored
44.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.543.884.3-3.230%-
Last 30 at home (16)40.440.480.8-0.144%-
Last 30 away (14)40.747.688.3-6.914%-
Last 10 (10)40.544.585.0-4.040%-
Last 5 (5)40.844.084.8-3.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)39.947.587.5-7.618%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)43.545.989.4-2.425%-
vs Weaker (10)39.738.077.7+1.750%-
This opponent (Esgueira) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Esgueiratheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Esgueira: 84.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.2 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.8 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.5 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.1 points a game
48%
32%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.019.6
50.3%
51.2%39.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.69.6
33.6%
32.7%28.8
🏀 Free throws22.416.5
73.7%
69.2%16.5
They take 67.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
CA Queluztheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

CA Queluz: 79.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.6 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.5 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.5 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.1 points a game
48%
32%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.818.8
51.1%
51.2%37.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.28.5
32.4%
32.7%25.5
🏀 Free throws21.616.5
76.4%
69.2%16.5
They take 63.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 22 Feb 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Esgueira
LLWLLWLLLW
CA Queluz
LWLLLWLLLW
#8
League position
#11
-6.0
Net rating
-7.0
107.6
Offensive rating
101.0
113.6
Defensive rating
108.0
50.3%
Effective FG%
50.1%
54.4%
Opp. effective FG%
51.7%
14.9%
Turnover %
20.9%
24.5%
Off. rebound %
28.4%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.34
33.6%
3-point %
32.4%
60.6%
Assist %
65.9%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence107.6 · 101.0Defence113.6 · 108.0Shooting50.3% · 50.1%3-point %33.6% · 32.4%Ball care14.9% · 20.9%Off. rebounds24.5% · 28.4%Free throws0.33 · 0.34Form (last 10/10)30% · 30%
■ Esgueira   ■ CA Queluz
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Esgueira wins
0
CA Queluz wins
No previous meetings.
Esgueiralast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/02/25HVitoria73-86
02/02/25ASporting CP87-93 OT
25/01/25HCD Povoa93-80
19/01/25HOvarense81-92
11/01/25AGalitos Barreiro86-101
04/01/25AOvarense89-81 OT
21/12/24AGalomar73-84
17/12/24HOliveirense88-96 OT
14/12/24AFC Porto83-94
07/12/24HImortal100-91
CA Queluzlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/02/25HSporting CP78-103
02/02/25ACD Povoa102-98
25/01/25HGalitos Barreiro71-74
18/01/25HGalitos Barreiro60-76
11/01/25AOvarense84-86
04/01/25HGalomar76-67
21/12/24HFC Porto62-81
17/12/24AFC Porto75-89
14/12/24AImortal85-90
07/12/24HOliveirense109-99 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Esgueira
LPB 2024-25
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL43%
HomeLLWWL50%
AwayLLWLL38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1468
Win %43%50%38%
Points / game83.484.582.6
Allowed / game87.185.388.4
Point differential-3.6-0.8-5.8
Avg total170.5169.8171.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+7%17%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (3)100% (1)100% (2)
Overtime %21%0%38%
CA Queluz
LPB 2024-25
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL29%
HomeWLWLL38%
AwayLLLLW17%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1486
Win %29%38%17%
Points / game82.579.686.3
Allowed / game89.683.597.7
Point differential-7.1-3.9-11.3
Avg total172.1163.1184.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+7%12%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (6)33% (3)33% (3)
Overtime %7%12%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Benfica1514193%89.876.3+13.5
2 FC Porto1412286%88.878.1+10.6
3 Sporting CP1510567%84.778.0+6.7
4 Ovarense149564%79.477.3+2.1
5 Oliveirense159660%86.479.6+6.8
6 Galitos Barreiro157847%77.977.9-0.1
7 Esgueira146843%83.487.1-3.6
8 Imortal156940%77.485.5-8.1
9 Vitoria145936%79.784.1-4.4
10 CA Queluz1441029%82.589.6-7.1
11 CD Povoa1531220%73.281.8-8.6
12 Galomar1421214%72.881.3-8.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Esgueira2619221582
CA Queluz2414222181
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