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Ovarense vs Esgueira Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 04 Jan 2025
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 81-89 (OT)
8-15 21-24 19-18 19-10 14-22
Position#5
Record6-3
FormWWLLW
Points / game78.7
Allowed / game76.6
vs
Position#8
Record4-5
FormWWLLL
Points / game82.2
Allowed / game86.4
PortugalLPBRound 11· Arena de Ovar
Other2024-25
Meetings · Ovarense v Esgueira
05 Dec 2026
OVAR v ESGU
upcoming
04 Oct 2025
OVAR81
ESGU75
01 Mar 2025
OVAR94
ESGU68
04 Jan 2025
OVAR81
ESGU89
25 Nov 2023
OVAR75
ESGU71
15 Oct 2022
OVAR94
ESGU84
25 Apr 2021
OVAR73
ESGU63
23 Apr 2021
OVAR75
ESGU82
13 Dec 2020
OVAR71
ESGU99
27 Mar 2020
OVAR v ESGU
upcoming
10 Nov 2018
OVAR77
ESGU85
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Ovarense winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Esgueira winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

OvarensePortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormOvarense
Date
Competition
FC Porto
#2
L
74-77
74
77
-3
72avg 77
H28/05
LPB
Galitos Barreiro
#6
W
72-59
72
59
+13
65avg 77
H19/10
LPB
CA Queluz
#11
W
87-86
87
86
+1
76avg 77
A26/10
LPB
CD Povoa
#10
W
75-69
75
69
+6
71avg 77
A02/11
LPB
Sporting CP
#3
L
77-86
77
86
-9
65avg 77
H10/11
LPB
Vitoria
#9
W
67-62
67
62
+5
55avg 77
A16/11
LPB
Galomar
#12
W
87-78
87
78
+9
77avg 77
H30/11
LPB
Benfica
#1
L
77-98
77
98
-21
68avg 77
H07/12
LPB
Oliveirense
#4
L
79-80
79
80
-1
73avg 77
A14/12
LPB
Imortal
#7
W
87-71
87
71
+16
84avg 77
H21/12
LPB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-14
24-21
11-17
22-25
12-12
17-9
20-22
23-16
24-19
17-21
26-20
20-26
24-23
18-16
23-22
10-8
22-19
26-22
7-26
22-19
11-25
20-14
23-12
13-11
21-9
18-20
25-20
23-29
17-23
21-29
20-22
19-24
22-29
20-11
17-17
20-23
16-12
22-15
24-18
25-26
154.8Avg total
78.2Scored
76.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)78.776.6155.2+2.167%
Season at home (5)80.078.4158.4+1.660%
Season away (4)77.074.2151.2+2.875%
Last 10 (10)78.276.6154.8+1.660%
Last 5 (5)79.477.8157.2+1.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)79.083.8162.8-4.844%
vs Similar ◀ (5)78.671.0149.6+7.6100%
vs Weaker (9)87.277.7164.9+9.678%
This opponent (Esgueira) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
EsgueiraPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormEsgueira
Date
Competition
Sporting CP
#3
W
82-81
82
81
+1
72avg 65
H20/10
LPB
Galitos Barreiro
#6
L
74-81
74
81
-7
53avg 65
H26/10
LPB
Vitoria
#9
W
82-79
82
79
+3
73avg 65
A02/11
LPB
Benfica
#1
L
85-93
85
93
-8
72avg 65
H09/11
LPB
Oliveirense
#4
L
77-93
77
93
-16
62avg 65
A16/11
LPB
CD Povoa
#10
W
84-82 OT
84
82
+2
63avg 65
A30/11
LPB
Imortal
#7
W
100-91
100
91
+9
102avg 65
H07/12
LPB
FC Porto
#2
L
83-94
83
94
-11
69avg 65
A14/12
LPB
Oliveirense
#2
L
88-96 OT
88
96
-8
78avg 65
H17/12
Taca da Liga
Galomar
#12
L
73-84
73
84
-11
57avg 65
A21/12
LPB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
12-19
21-20
17-20
32-22
18-15
19-16
15-22
22-28
18-12
20-23
24-21
20-23
19-19
23-27
17-25
26-22
18-18
23-27
21-21
15-27
25-22
8-23
28-16
12-12
18-21
30-20
27-27
25-23
19-29
21-16
25-25
18-24
19-18
28-20
17-23
16-19
22-25
23-19
15-22
13-18
170.2Avg total
82.8Scored
87.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)82.286.4168.7-4.244%
Season at home (4)85.286.5171.8-1.250%
Season away (5)79.886.4166.2-6.640%
Last 10 (10)82.887.4170.2-4.640%
Last 5 (5)85.689.4175.0-3.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)73.487.4160.9-14.022%
vs Similar ◀ (8)81.880.6162.4+1.162%
vs Weaker (3)84.377.3161.7+7.033%
This opponent (Ovarense) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +0.1+0.1Q1: -1.0-1.0Q2Q2: +2.5+2.5Q2: +0.5+0.5Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: -1.6-1.6Q4Q4: -1.0-1.0Q4: -1.9-1.9
-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +0.1+0.1Q1: -1.0-1.0Q2Q2: +2.5+2.5Q2: +0.5+0.5Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: -1.6-1.6Q4Q4: -1.0-1.0Q4: -1.9-1.9
OvarenseEsgueira
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
OvarenseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
FC Porto
#2
W
41-35
41
35
+6
H28/05
LPB
Galitos Barreiro
#6
W
29-21
29
21
+8
H19/10
LPB
CA Queluz
#11
W
41-40
41
40
+1
A26/10
LPB
CD Povoa
#10
W
42-39
42
39
+3
A02/11
LPB
Sporting CP
#3
W
48-41
48
41
+7
H10/11
LPB
Vitoria
#9
L
31-39
31
39
-8
A16/11
LPB
Galomar
#12
W
39-29
39
29
+10
H30/11
LPB
Benfica
#1
L
38-52
38
52
-14
H07/12
LPB
Oliveirense
#4
W
42-40
42
40
+2
A14/12
LPB
Imortal
#7
W
38-27
38
27
+11
H21/12
LPB
75.2Avg total
38.9Scored
36.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.538.779.2+1.957%-
Last 30 at home (16)40.138.878.9+1.250%-
Last 30 away (14)41.138.579.6+2.664%-
Last 10 (10)38.936.375.2+2.680%-
Last 5 (5)37.637.475.0+0.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)39.640.980.6-1.338%-
vs Similar ◀ (5)37.033.670.6+3.460%-
vs Weaker (9)44.137.481.6+6.789%-
This opponent (Esgueira) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
EsgueiraLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sporting CP
#3
L
33-39
33
39
-6
H20/10
LPB
Galitos Barreiro
#6
W
37-31
37
31
+6
H26/10
LPB
Vitoria
#9
W
38-35
38
35
+3
A02/11
LPB
Benfica
#1
L
42-46
42
46
-4
H09/11
LPB
Oliveirense
#4
L
41-45
41
45
-4
A16/11
LPB
CD Povoa
#10
L
33-45
33
45
-12
A30/11
LPB
Imortal
#7
W
48-41
48
41
+7
H07/12
LPB
FC Porto
#2
L
40-45
40
45
-5
A14/12
LPB
Oliveirense
#2
W
47-38
47
38
+9
H17/12
Taca da Liga
Galomar
#12
W
45-44
45
44
+1
A21/12
LPB
81.3Avg total
40.4Scored
40.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.641.278.7-3.643%-
Last 30 at home (16)38.441.079.4-2.650%-
Last 30 away (14)36.641.477.9-4.836%-
Last 10 (10)40.440.981.3-0.550%-
Last 5 (5)42.642.685.2+0.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)35.143.378.4-8.222%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)41.438.680.0+2.875%-
vs Weaker (3)39.736.776.3+3.067%-
This opponent (Ovarense) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Ovarensetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Ovarense: 77.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.0 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.4 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.4 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.1 points a game
48%
32%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.019.0
51.4%
51.2%38.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.88.8
32.8%
32.7%26.4
🏀 Free throws17.513.4
76.6%
69.2%13.4
They take 63.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Esgueiratheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Esgueira: 82.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.8 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.6 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.6 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.1 points a game
48%
32%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.320.4
50.6%
51.2%40.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.48.2
31.1%
32.7%24.6
🏀 Free throws23.716.6
70.0%
69.2%16.6
They take 66.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 04 Jan 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Ovarense
WLLWWLWWWL
Esgueira
LLLWWLLWLW
#5
League position
#8
+2.9
Net rating
-6.2
102.9
Offensive rating
106.1
100.0
Defensive rating
112.3
50.5%
Effective FG%
49.0%
46.8%
Opp. effective FG%
52.2%
18.2%
Turnover %
14.3%
25.7%
Off. rebound %
26.2%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.36
32.8%
3-point %
31.1%
62.2%
Assist %
52.1%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence102.9 · 106.1Defence100.0 · 112.3Shooting50.5% · 49.0%3-point %32.8% · 31.1%Ball care18.2% · 14.3%Off. rebounds25.7% · 26.2%Free throws0.27 · 0.36Form (last 10/10)60% · 40%
■ Ovarense   ■ Esgueira
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
8
Ovarense wins
2
Esgueira wins
DateGameScore
06/04/24Esgueira v Ovarense85-82
30/03/24Esgueira v Ovarense81-82
25/11/23Ovarense v Esgueira75-71
04/01/23Esgueira v Ovarense70-87
15/10/22Ovarense v Esgueira94-84
02/05/21Esgueira v Ovarense85-92 OT
30/04/21Esgueira v Ovarense92-103
25/04/21Ovarense v Esgueira73-63
23/04/21Ovarense v Esgueira75-82
18/03/21Esgueira v Ovarense73-85
Ovarenselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/12/24HImortal87-71
14/12/24AOliveirense79-80
07/12/24HBenfica77-98
30/11/24HGalomar87-78
16/11/24AVitoria67-62
10/11/24HSporting CP77-86
02/11/24ACD Povoa75-69
26/10/24ACA Queluz87-86
19/10/24HGalitos Barreiro72-59
28/05/24HFC Porto74-77
Esgueiralast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/12/24AGalomar73-84
17/12/24HOliveirense88-96 OT
14/12/24AFC Porto83-94
07/12/24HImortal100-91
30/11/24ACD Povoa84-82 OT
16/11/24AOliveirense77-93
09/11/24HBenfica85-93
02/11/24AVitoria82-79
26/10/24HGalitos Barreiro74-81
20/10/24HSporting CP82-81

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Ovarense
LPB 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW67%
HomeWLWLW60%
AwayWWWL75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games954
Win %67%60%75%
Points / game78.780.077.0
Allowed / game76.678.474.2
Point differential+2.1+1.6+2.8
Avg total155.2158.4151.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+22%40%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)-67% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Esgueira
LPB 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL44%
HomeWLLW50%
AwayWLWLL40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games945
Win %44%50%40%
Points / game82.285.279.8
Allowed / game86.486.586.4
Point differential-4.2-1.2-6.6
Avg total168.7171.8166.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (3)100% (1)100% (2)
Overtime %11%0%20%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Benfica10100100%90.874.7+16.1
2 FC Porto109190%86.777.4+9.3
3 Oliveirense107370%89.278.0+11.2
4 Sporting CP107370%83.476.7+6.7
5 Ovarense96367%78.776.6+2.1
6 Esgueira94544%82.286.4-4.2
7 Vitoria93633%78.380.2-1.9
8 CD Povoa103730%71.677.2-5.6
9 CA Queluz103730%82.089.3-7.3
10 Galitos Barreiro113827%75.779.2-3.5
11 Galomar102820%74.082.0-8.0
12 Imortal102820%72.787.7-15.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
Ovarense82119191481
Esgueira152418102289
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