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Eskilstuna vs Hogsbo Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 09 Mar 2024
Tip-off: 14:00
Final 91-99
22-25 23-25 21-25 25-24
Position#13
Record7-16
FormLWLWW
Points / game75.2
Allowed / game85.4
Eskilstuna
Sweden
vs
Hogsbo 🏆
Sweden
Position#1
Record19-5
FormWWWWW
Points / game92.8
Allowed / game78.6
SwedenSuperettan· STIGA Sports Arena B
Other2023-24
Meetings · Eskilstuna v Hogsbo
09 Mar 2024
ESKI91
HOGS99
28 Jan 2023
ESKI66
HOGS81
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Eskilstuna winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Hogsbo winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

EskilstunaSwedenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormEskilstuna
Date
Competition
KFUM Fryshuset
#3
L
83-105
83
105
-22
74avg 63
H10/01
Superettan
KFUM Kalmar
#14
W
83-79
83
79
+4
74avg 63
A13/01
Superettan
Wetterbygden Stars
#7
W
83-78
83
78
+5
78avg 63
A14/01
Superettan
Malbas
#12
L
79-83
79
83
-4
62avg 63
H20/01
Superettan
Tureberg
#8
L
79-86
79
86
-7
77avg 63
H21/01
Superettan
AIK Basket
#2
L
80-88
80
88
-8
75avg 63
H27/01
Superettan
Ockelbo
#10
W
81-79
81
79
+2
73avg 63
A04/02
Superettan
Sloga Uppsala
#4
L
79-80
79
80
-1
65avg 63
H14/02
Superettan
Huddinge
#5
W
79-78
79
78
+1
73avg 63
H27/02
Superettan
Norrort
#15
W
72-64
72
64
+8
58avg 63
A03/03
Superettan
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-30
25-26
12-25
24-24
19-19
18-18
19-19
27-23
23-16
11-20
23-16
26-26
17-17
21-35
22-16
19-15
21-19
19-23
21-20
18-24
29-17
17-26
12-19
22-26
25-15
21-24
19-23
16-17
19-19
21-14
12-25
27-22
19-19
20-16
19-24
21-19
21-14
8-15
16-10
27-25
161.8Avg total
79.8Scored
82.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)75.285.4160.7-10.230%
Season at home (12)75.283.6158.8-8.325%
Season away (11)75.287.5162.6-12.336%
Last 10 (10)79.882.0161.8-2.250%
Last 5 (5)78.277.8156.0+0.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)75.987.9163.7-12.019%
vs Similar (7)81.973.7155.6+8.186%
vs Weaker (2)100.092.0192.0+8.050%
This opponent (Hogsbo) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
HogsboSwedenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHogsbo
Date
Competition
Malbas
#12
L
87-91
87
91
-4
83avg 89
A30/12
Superettan
Eskilstuna
#13
W
102-76
102
76
+26
105avg 89
H06/01
Superettan
AIK Basket
#2
W
82-73
82
73
+9
71avg 89
A13/01
Superettan
Tureberg
#8
W
86-70
86
70
+16
89avg 89
A14/01
Superettan
Ockelbo
#10
W
109-61
109
61
+48
109avg 89
H20/01
Superettan
Sloga Uppsala
#4
W
93-78
93
78
+15
90avg 89
H27/01
Superettan
Tureberg
#8
W
91-71
91
71
+20
85avg 89
H03/02
Superettan
IK Eos
#11
W
99-88
99
88
+11
89avg 89
A11/02
Superettan
IK Eos
#11
W
106-83
106
83
+23
113avg 89
H17/02
Superettan
KFUM Fryshuset
#3
W
104-82
104
82
+22
106avg 89
H03/03
Superettan
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-25
19-24
28-25
26-17
23-22
31-17
28-14
20-23
15-15
18-23
25-15
24-20
25-16
24-22
25-22
12-10
22-12
30-16
25-13
32-20
27-15
22-17
23-17
21-29
29-13
17-19
22-14
23-25
14-29
34-24
30-17
21-18
26-27
25-20
21-6
34-30
17-17
24-19
24-19
39-27
173.2Avg total
95.9Scored
77.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)92.878.6171.3+14.279%
Season at home (14)97.978.1176.0+19.793%
Season away (10)85.679.2164.8+6.460%
Last 10 (10)95.977.3173.2+18.690%
Last 5 (5)98.680.4179.0+18.2100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀ (30)95.380.6175.9+14.777%
This opponent (Eskilstuna) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-11-6+0+6+11Q1Q1: +3.0+3.0Q1: +2.1+2.1Q2Q2: -3.6-3.6Q2: +4.3+4.3Q3Q3: -2.2-2.2Q3: +8.9+8.9Q4Q4: +0.6+0.6Q4: +3.3+3.3
-11-6+0+6+11Q1Q1: +3.0+3.0Q1: +2.1+2.1Q2Q2: -3.6-3.6Q2: +4.3+4.3Q3Q3: -2.2-2.2Q3: +8.9+8.9Q4Q4: +0.6+0.6Q4: +3.3+3.3
EskilstunaHogsbo
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
EskilstunaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
KFUM Fryshuset
#3
L
47-56
47
56
-9
H10/01
Superettan
KFUM Kalmar
#14
D
37-37
37
37
+0
A13/01
Superettan
Wetterbygden Stars
#7
L
34-36
34
36
-2
A14/01
Superettan
Malbas
#12
L
38-52
38
52
-14
H20/01
Superettan
Tureberg
#8
L
40-42
40
42
-2
H21/01
Superettan
AIK Basket
#2
W
46-43
46
43
+3
H27/01
Superettan
Ockelbo
#10
W
46-39
46
39
+7
A04/02
Superettan
Sloga Uppsala
#4
W
40-33
40
33
+7
H14/02
Superettan
Huddinge
#5
W
39-35
39
35
+4
H27/02
Superettan
Norrort
#15
D
29-29
29
29
+0
A03/03
Superettan
79.8Avg total
39.6Scored
40.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.641.881.4-2.237%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.640.781.3-0.147%-
Last 30 away (15)38.642.981.5-4.327%-
Last 10 (10)39.640.279.8-0.640%-
Last 5 (5)40.035.875.8+4.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)38.043.781.7-5.729%-
vs Similar (7)39.333.773.0+5.643%-
vs Weaker (2)57.550.5108.0+7.0100%-
This opponent (Hogsbo) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
HogsboLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Malbas
#12
L
33-49
33
49
-16
A30/12
Superettan
Eskilstuna
#13
W
54-39
54
39
+15
H06/01
Superettan
AIK Basket
#2
L
33-38
33
38
-5
A13/01
Superettan
Tureberg
#8
W
49-38
49
38
+11
A14/01
Superettan
Ockelbo
#10
W
52-28
52
28
+24
H20/01
Superettan
Sloga Uppsala
#4
W
49-32
49
32
+17
H27/01
Superettan
Tureberg
#8
W
46-32
46
32
+14
H03/02
Superettan
IK Eos
#11
L
48-53
48
53
-5
A11/02
Superettan
IK Eos
#11
W
51-47
51
47
+4
H17/02
Superettan
KFUM Fryshuset
#3
W
41-36
41
36
+5
H03/03
Superettan
84.8Avg total
45.6Scored
39.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)47.140.587.6+6.677%-
Last 30 at home (16)50.939.490.4+11.594%-
Last 30 away (14)42.741.684.4+1.157%-
Last 10 (10)45.639.284.8+6.470%-
Last 5 (5)47.040.087.0+7.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀ (30)47.140.587.6+6.677%-
This opponent (Eskilstuna) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Eskilstunatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Eskilstuna: 79.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.4 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.8 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.0 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.3 points a game
52%
32%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.720.2
49.6%
50.1%40.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.78.6
29.0%
31.3%25.8
🏀 Free throws20.013.0
65.0%
66.9%13.0
They take 70.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Hogsbotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Hogsbo: 95.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers51.6 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.8 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.9 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.3 points a game
52%
32%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.325.8
59.6%
50.1%51.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.79.6
32.3%
31.3%28.8
🏀 Free throws20.614.9
72.3%
66.9%14.9
They take 73.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 09 Mar 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Eskilstuna
WWLWLLLWWL
Hogsbo
WWWWWWWWWL
#13
League position
#1
-1.9
Net rating
+22.6
95.1
Offensive rating
115.4
97.0
Defensive rating
92.7
47.0%
Effective FG%
55.1%
44.8%
Opp. effective FG%
44.9%
21.4%
Turnover %
16.8%
31.4%
Off. rebound %
32.7%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.28
29.0%
3-point %
32.3%
52.8%
Assist %
62.1%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
90%

Profile

Offence95.1 · 115.4Defence97.0 · 92.7Shooting47.0% · 55.1%3-point %29.0% · 32.3%Ball care21.4% · 16.8%Off. rebounds31.4% · 32.7%Free throws0.28 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)50% · 90%
■ Eskilstuna   ■ Hogsbo
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Eskilstuna wins
2
Hogsbo wins
DateGameScore
06/01/24Hogsbo v Eskilstuna102-76
12/03/23Hogsbo v Eskilstuna77-92
28/01/23Eskilstuna v Hogsbo66-81
Eskilstunalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/03/24ANorrort72-64
27/02/24HHuddinge79-78
14/02/24HSloga Uppsala79-80
04/02/24AOckelbo81-79
27/01/24HAIK Basket80-88
21/01/24HTureberg79-86
20/01/24HMalbas79-83
14/01/24AWetterbygden Stars83-78
13/01/24AKFUM Kalmar83-79
10/01/24HKFUM Fryshuset83-105
Hogsbolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/03/24HKFUM Fryshuset104-82
17/02/24HIK Eos106-83
11/02/24AIK Eos99-88
03/02/24HTureberg91-71
27/01/24HSloga Uppsala93-78
20/01/24HOckelbo109-61
14/01/24ATureberg86-70
13/01/24AAIK Basket82-73
06/01/24HEskilstuna102-76
30/12/23AMalbas87-91

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Eskilstuna
Superettan 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW30%
HomeLLLLW25%
AwayLWWWW36%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231211
Win %30%25%36%
Points / game75.275.275.2
Allowed / game85.483.687.5
Point differential-10.2-8.3-12.3
Avg total160.7158.8162.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+4%8%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (6)33% (3)100% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Hogsbo
Superettan 2023-24
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW79%
HomeWWWWW93%
AwayWLWWW60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games241410
Win %79%93%60%
Points / game92.897.985.6
Allowed / game78.678.179.2
Point differential+14.2+19.7+6.4
Avg total171.3176.0164.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+71%86%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (3)0% (1)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Hogsbo2419579%92.878.6+14.2
2 AIK Basket2419579%84.077.4+6.6
3 Tureberg2516964%77.574.0+3.6
4 Wetterbygden Stars26161062%80.975.9+5.0
5 Helsingborg26151158%86.981.3+5.6
6 Huddinge25141156%81.679.2+2.4
7 Sloga Uppsala25141156%77.479.2-1.7
8 KFUM Fryshuset25131252%86.887.0-0.2
9 Ockelbo26131350%73.276.2-3.0
10 Djurgarden25121348%85.285.0+0.2
11 Malbas25111444%72.275.2-3.0
12 IK Eos2391439%79.281.3-2.1
13 Norrort2481633%73.277.7-4.5
14 Eskilstuna2371630%75.285.4-10.2
15 KFUM Kalmar2361726%77.482.2-4.7
16 RIG Mark2762122%67.275.6-8.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Eskilstuna2223212591
Hogsbo2525252499
← all games of the day
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