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Palencia vs Fuenlabrada Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 15 May 2026
Tip-off: 19:30
Final 90-52
17-16 22-12 25-7 26-17
Position#3
Record25-7
FormWWWWW
Points / game83.6
Allowed / game72.6
vs
Position#6
Record19-13
FormWWWWW
Points / game79.8
Allowed / game80.7
SpainPrimera FEBPrimera FEB - Quarter-finals
Other2025-26
Meetings · Palencia v Fuenlabrada
17 Jan 2027
PAL v FUE
upcoming
29 May 2026
PAL76
FUE51
17 May 2026
PAL83
FUE79
15 May 2026
PAL90
FUE52
20 Feb 2026
PAL97
FUE74
01 Feb 2025
PAL89
FUE88
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Palencia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Fuenlabrada winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PalenciaSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPalencia
Date
Competition
Tizona Burgos
#13
W
91-74
91
74
+17
82avg 75
A11/03
Primera FEB
Leyma Coruna
#2
W
99-87
99
87
+12
91avg 75
H14/03
Primera FEB
Gipuzkoa
#7
W
71-57
71
57
+14
59avg 75
A21/03
Primera FEB
Melilla
#17
W
82-62
82
62
+20
79avg 75
H27/03
Primera FEB
Obradoiro CAB
#1
L
53-81
53
81
-28
34avg 75
A05/04
Primera FEB
Hestia Menorca
#8
W
72-67
72
67
+5
62avg 75
A18/04
Primera FEB
Ourense
#11
W
93-90
93
90
+3
87avg 75
A21/04
Primera FEB
Fibwi Palma
#14
W
92-70
92
70
+22
92avg 75
H25/04
Primera FEB
Cartagena
#16
W
82-72
82
72
+10
79avg 75
A02/05
Primera FEB
Estela
#12
W
100-70
100
70
+30
100avg 75
H08/05
Primera FEB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-21
24-14
24-25
22-14
19-23
28-13
33-22
19-29
21-21
18-17
9-6
23-13
20-19
28-12
16-11
18-20
10-13
13-24
9-22
21-22
16-17
18-13
21-25
17-12
23-16
22-26
34-21
14-27
24-15
19-17
27-21
22-17
22-10
21-17
18-18
21-27
26-14
28-16
25-23
21-17
156.5Avg total
83.5Scored
73.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (32)83.672.6156.2+11.078%
Season at home (16)85.272.6157.9+12.681%
Season away (16)81.972.6154.6+9.375%
Last 10 (10)83.573.0156.5+10.590%
Last 5 (5)87.873.8161.6+14.0100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)69.084.0153.0-15.00%
vs Similar (2)87.084.5171.5+2.550%
vs Weaker ◀ (26)84.471.0155.4+13.585%
This opponent (Fuenlabrada) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
FuenlabradaSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormFuenlabrada
Date
Competition
Gipuzkoa
#7
L
74-90
74
90
-16
59avg 74
A11/03
Primera FEB
Hestia Menorca
#8
W
78-71
78
71
+7
72avg 74
H15/03
Primera FEB
Melilla
#17
L
77-84
77
84
-7
74avg 74
A22/03
Primera FEB
Palmer Basket
#15
W
87-67
87
67
+20
85avg 74
H28/03
Primera FEB
Zamora
#9
L
79-80
79
80
-1
73avg 74
A04/04
Primera FEB
Oviedo
#5
W
73-65
73
65
+8
67avg 74
A11/04
Primera FEB
Leyma Coruna
#2
W
75-74
75
74
+1
64avg 74
H18/04
Primera FEB
Estela
#12
W
89-80
89
80
+9
85avg 74
A22/04
Primera FEB
Cartagena
#16
W
91-82
91
82
+9
92avg 74
H26/04
Primera FEB
Estudiantes
#4
W
77-70
77
70
+7
67avg 74
H08/05
Primera FEB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-30
18-15
19-16
21-29
25-19
21-25
16-13
16-14
17-24
26-16
16-26
18-18
16-16
22-23
28-12
21-16
23-16
13-23
24-17
19-24
18-13
21-15
20-19
14-18
12-23
18-17
32-18
13-16
16-23
28-23
21-16
24-18
26-18
14-19
30-19
21-26
19-14
15-25
21-16
22-15
156.3Avg total
80.0Scored
76.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (32)79.880.7160.5-0.959%
Season at home (16)80.676.7157.3+3.975%
Season away (16)78.984.7163.6-5.844%
Last 10 (10)80.076.3156.3+3.770%
Last 5 (5)81.074.2155.2+6.8100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)73.784.8158.5-11.136%
vs Similar (9)81.876.8158.6+5.067%
vs Weaker (7)87.177.4164.6+9.786%
This opponent (Palencia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +3.3+3.3Q1: -0.8-0.8Q2Q2: +5.0+5.0Q2: -0.5-0.5Q3Q3: +2.2+2.2Q3: +5.5+5.5Q4Q4: +0.0+0.0Q4: -0.5-0.5
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +3.3+3.3Q1: -0.8-0.8Q2Q2: +5.0+5.0Q2: -0.5-0.5Q3Q3: +2.2+2.2Q3: +5.5+5.5Q4Q4: +0.0+0.0Q4: -0.5-0.5
PalenciaFuenlabrada
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PalenciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tizona Burgos
#13
W
45-35
45
35
+10
A11/03
Primera FEB
Leyma Coruna
#2
W
47-36
47
36
+11
H14/03
Primera FEB
Gipuzkoa
#7
W
39-38
39
38
+1
A21/03
Primera FEB
Melilla
#17
W
48-31
48
31
+17
H27/03
Primera FEB
Obradoiro CAB
#1
L
23-37
23
37
-14
A05/04
Primera FEB
Hestia Menorca
#8
W
34-30
34
30
+4
A18/04
Primera FEB
Ourense
#11
W
45-42
45
42
+3
A21/04
Primera FEB
Fibwi Palma
#14
W
43-32
43
32
+11
H25/04
Primera FEB
Cartagena
#16
W
43-27
43
27
+16
A02/05
Primera FEB
Estela
#12
W
54-30
54
30
+24
H08/05
Primera FEB
75.9Avg total
42.1Scored
33.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.235.979.1+7.380%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.335.980.2+8.587%-
Last 30 away (15)42.035.977.9+6.173%-
Last 10 (10)42.133.875.9+8.390%-
Last 5 (5)43.832.276.0+11.6100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)36.041.577.5-5.550%-
vs Similar (2)47.041.088.0+6.0100%-
vs Weaker ◀ (26)43.435.178.5+8.381%-
This opponent (Fuenlabrada) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
FuenlabradaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Gipuzkoa
#7
L
34-45
34
45
-11
A11/03
Primera FEB
Hestia Menorca
#8
W
46-44
46
44
+2
H15/03
Primera FEB
Melilla
#17
W
43-40
43
40
+3
A22/03
Primera FEB
Palmer Basket
#15
L
38-39
38
39
-1
H28/03
Primera FEB
Zamora
#9
L
36-39
36
39
-3
A04/04
Primera FEB
Oviedo
#5
W
39-28
39
28
+11
A11/04
Primera FEB
Leyma Coruna
#2
L
30-40
30
40
-10
H18/04
Primera FEB
Estela
#12
L
44-46
44
46
-2
A22/04
Primera FEB
Cartagena
#16
W
40-37
40
37
+3
H26/04
Primera FEB
Estudiantes
#4
L
34-39
34
39
-5
H08/05
Primera FEB
78.1Avg total
38.4Scored
39.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.941.381.2-1.440%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.739.578.2-0.747%-
Last 30 away (15)41.143.184.1-2.033%-
Last 10 (10)38.439.778.1-1.340%-
Last 5 (5)37.438.075.4-0.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)37.944.282.1-6.321%-
vs Similar (9)40.238.778.9+1.644%-
vs Weaker (7)43.438.782.1+4.771%-
This opponent (Palencia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Palenciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Palencia: 83.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀42%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.2 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.3 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.9 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.7 points a game
45%
36%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.917.6
50.4%
51.5%35.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.011.1
38.3%
33.9%33.3
🏀 Free throws20.314.9
73.4%
73.4%14.9
They take 63.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 45%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Fuenlabradatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Fuenlabrada: 80.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.6 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.4 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.0 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.7 points a game
45%
36%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.219.8
53.2%
51.5%39.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.18.8
36.5%
33.9%26.4
🏀 Free throws20.214.0
69.3%
73.4%14.0
They take 61.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 45%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 15 May 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Palencia
WWWWWLWWWW
Fuenlabrada
WWWWWLWLWL
#3
League position
#6
+14.4
Net rating
+5.3
115.2
Offensive rating
113.8
100.8
Defensive rating
108.6
53.6%
Effective FG%
53.8%
47.8%
Opp. effective FG%
50.8%
0.0%
Turnover %
0.0%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.33
38.3%
3-point %
36.5%
55.1%
Assist %
58.4%
90%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence115.2 · 113.8Defence100.8 · 108.6Shooting53.6% · 53.8%3-point %38.3% · 36.5%Ball care0.0% · 0.0%Free throws0.32 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)90% · 70%
■ Palencia   ■ Fuenlabrada
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Palencia wins
2
Fuenlabrada wins
DateGameScore
20/02/26Palencia v Fuenlabrada97-74
20/12/25Fuenlabrada v Palencia73-67
01/02/25Palencia v Fuenlabrada89-88
11/12/24Fuenlabrada v Palencia82-73
Palencialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/05/26HEstela100-70
02/05/26ACartagena82-72
25/04/26HFibwi Palma92-70
21/04/26AOurense93-90
18/04/26AHestia Menorca72-67
05/04/26AObradoiro CAB53-81
27/03/26HMelilla82-62
21/03/26AGipuzkoa71-57
14/03/26HLeyma Coruna99-87
11/03/26ATizona Burgos91-74
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/05/26HEstudiantes77-70
26/04/26HCartagena91-82
22/04/26AEstela89-80
18/04/26HLeyma Coruna75-74
11/04/26AOviedo73-65
04/04/26AZamora79-80
28/03/26HPalmer Basket87-67
22/03/26AMelilla77-84
15/03/26HHestia Menorca78-71
11/03/26AGipuzkoa74-90

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Palencia
Primera FEB 2025-26
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW78%
HomeWWWWW81%
AwayWLWWW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321616
Win %78%81%75%
Points / game83.685.281.9
Allowed / game72.672.672.6
Point differential+11.0+12.6+9.3
Avg total156.2157.9154.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+59%69%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)0% (1)67% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Fuenlabrada
Primera FEB 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW59%
HomeWWWWW75%
AwayLLLWW44%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321616
Win %59%75%44%
Points / game79.880.678.9
Allowed / game80.776.784.7
Point differential-0.9+3.9-5.8
Avg total160.5157.3163.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+16%25%6%
Close games (≤5 pts) won57% (7)50% (2)60% (5)
Overtime %3%0%6%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Leyma Coruna3329488%90.678.0+12.6
2 Obradoiro CAB3228488%92.075.6+16.4
3 Palencia3225778%83.672.6+11.0
4 Estudiantes33211264%84.179.9+4.2
5 Oviedo33201361%82.478.0+4.4
6 Fuenlabrada32191359%79.880.7-0.9
7 Gipuzkoa33191458%78.875.1+3.6
8 Hestia Menorca33171652%80.177.2+2.8
9 Zamora32151747%83.685.8-2.2
10 Alicante33151845%82.182.5-0.4
11 Ourense32122038%79.181.4-2.3
12 Estela32122038%77.584.6-7.1
13 Tizona Burgos32102231%83.489.0-5.6
14 Fibwi Palma32102231%76.282.2-6.0
15 Palmer Basket3282425%72.482.9-10.5
16 Cartagena3282425%74.084.8-10.8
17 Melilla3272522%76.486.5-10.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Palencia1722252690
Fuenlabrada161271752
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