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Estonia vs Israel Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 05 Aug 2025
Tip-off: 15:30
Final 93-81
Position-
Record-
FormWWLWL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
Estonia 🏆
vs
Israel
Position-
Record-
FormLWWWW
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
EuropeFriendly International· Xiaomi Arena
Other2025
Meetings · Estonia v Israel
05 Aug 2025
ESTO93
ISRA81
28 Nov 2021
ESTO69
ISRA79
25 Feb 2018
ESTO78
ISRA62
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Estonia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Israel winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

EstoniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormEstonia
Date
Competition
Sweden
#33
L
82-87
82
87
-5
no box
H11/11
World Cup
Finland
#22
L
71-91
71
91
-20
no box
A14/11
World Cup
Slovenia
#24
W
79-78
79
78
+1
no box
H24/02
World Cup
Sweden
#33
W
72-71
72
71
+1
no box
A27/02
World Cup
North Macedonia
#15
W
74-69
74
69
+5
no box
A23/02
EuroBasket
Lithuania
#4
W
65-59
65
59
+6
no box
H26/02
EuroBasket
Poland
#24
W
82-78
82
78
+4
79avg 79
A21/11
EuroBasket
Poland
#24
L
86-88
86
88
-2
81avg 79
H24/11
EuroBasket
North Macedonia
#15
W
84-65
84
65
+19
90avg 79
H21/02
EuroBasket
Lithuania
#4
L
75-82
75
82
-7
67avg 79
A24/02
EuroBasket
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-27
24-12
24-20
21-28
16-21
25-18
15-27
15-25
24-16
13-24
18-19
24-19
17-16
11-14
15-14
29-27
19-20
17-23
21-10
17-16
17-18
24-19
9-13
15-9
19-18
19-22
19-13
25-25
25-22
17-18
21-22
23-26
22-17
16-22
20-11
26-15
19-28
24-32
21-7
11-15
153.8Avg total
77.0Scored
76.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)77.076.8153.8+0.260%
Last 5 (5)78.474.4152.8+4.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (25)73.580.2153.7-6.732%
vs Similar (3)80.770.3151.0+10.3100%
vs Weaker (2)84.083.0167.0+1.050%
IsraelLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormIsrael
Date
Competition
Slovenia
#24
L
62-75
62
75
-13
no box
H11/11
World Cup
Sweden
#33
L
68-71
68
71
-3
no box
A14/11
World Cup
Finland
#22
L
95-97 OT
95
97
-2
no box
H24/02
World Cup
Slovenia
#24
W
87-79
87
79
+8
no box
A27/02
World Cup
Portugal
#14
W
72-70
72
70
+2
no box
A22/02
EuroBasket
Slovenia
#11
L
79-88
79
88
-9
no box
A25/02
EuroBasket
Ukraine
#36
W
86-73
86
73
+13
86avg 83
A23/11
EuroBasket
Ukraine
#36
W
88-75
88
75
+13
82avg 83
H25/11
EuroBasket
Portugal
#14
W
84-78
84
78
+6
90avg 83
H21/02
EuroBasket
Slovenia
#11
W
84-74
84
74
+10
74avg 83
H24/02
EuroBasket
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-15
16-23
17-18
11-19
16-17
24-20
8-16
20-18
28-13
18-22
24-25
13-23
22-16
20-22
13-25
32-16
19-19
19-17
18-17
16-17
20-8
17-32
16-25
26-23
16-19
20-18
29-18
21-18
11-16
18-24
27-17
32-18
18-18
29-14
18-21
19-25
11-15
25-16
25-28
23-15
158.5Avg total
80.5Scored
78.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)80.578.0158.5+2.560%
Last 5 (5)84.277.6161.8+6.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)77.584.0161.5-6.512%
vs Similar (11)79.979.8159.7+0.155%
vs Weaker (11)81.473.7155.1+7.682%

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -1.2-1.2Q1: +2.3+2.3Q2Q2: -1.4-1.4Q2: -0.2-0.2Q3Q3: +2.7+2.7Q3: -1.5-1.5Q4Q4: +0.1+0.1Q4: +2.1+2.1
-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -1.2-1.2Q1: +2.3+2.3Q2Q2: -1.4-1.4Q2: -0.2-0.2Q3Q3: +2.7+2.7Q3: -1.5-1.5Q4Q4: +0.1+0.1Q4: +2.1+2.1
EstoniaIsrael
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
EstoniaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sweden
#33
L
37-39
37
39
-2
H11/11
World Cup
Finland
#22
W
41-39
41
39
+2
A14/11
World Cup
Slovenia
#24
L
37-40
37
40
-3
H24/02
World Cup
Sweden
#33
L
28-30
28
30
-2
A27/02
World Cup
North Macedonia
#15
L
36-43
36
43
-7
A23/02
EuroBasket
Lithuania
#4
W
41-37
41
37
+4
H26/02
EuroBasket
Poland
#24
L
38-40
38
40
-2
A21/11
EuroBasket
Poland
#24
W
42-40
42
40
+2
H24/11
EuroBasket
North Macedonia
#15
L
38-39
38
39
-1
H21/02
EuroBasket
Lithuania
#4
L
43-60
43
60
-17
A24/02
EuroBasket
78.8Avg total
38.1Scored
40.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.540.178.6-1.640%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.639.277.8-0.647%-
Last 30 away (15)38.441.079.4-2.633%-
Last 10 (10)38.140.778.8-2.630%-
Last 5 (5)40.443.283.6-2.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (25)38.140.078.1-1.840%-
vs Similar (3)40.741.382.0-0.733%-
vs Weaker (2)40.040.080.0+0.050%-
IsraelLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Slovenia
#24
L
34-38
34
38
-4
H11/11
World Cup
Sweden
#33
W
40-37
40
37
+3
A14/11
World Cup
Finland
#22
W
46-35
46
35
+11
H24/02
World Cup
Slovenia
#24
W
42-38
42
38
+4
A27/02
World Cup
Portugal
#14
W
38-36
38
36
+2
A22/02
EuroBasket
Slovenia
#11
L
37-40
37
40
-3
A25/02
EuroBasket
Ukraine
#36
L
36-37
36
37
-1
A23/11
EuroBasket
Ukraine
#36
L
29-40
29
40
-11
H25/11
EuroBasket
Portugal
#14
W
47-32
47
32
+15
H21/02
EuroBasket
Slovenia
#11
W
36-31
36
31
+5
H24/02
EuroBasket
74.9Avg total
38.5Scored
36.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.639.777.3-2.140%-
Last 30 at home (14)38.639.077.6-0.450%-
Last 30 away (16)36.740.377.0-3.631%-
Last 10 (10)38.536.474.9+2.160%-
Last 5 (5)37.036.073.0+1.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)35.444.579.9-9.112%-
vs Similar (11)38.536.975.5+1.655%-
vs Weaker (11)38.239.077.2-0.845%-
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Estoniatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Estonia: 77.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.7 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.5 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.8 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 56.0 points a game
48%
33%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.219.8
54.8%
55.4%39.7
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.78.2
31.8%
34.4%24.5
🏀 Free throws19.512.8
65.8%
74.1%12.8
They take 61.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Israeltheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Israel: 81.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.0 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.5 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.7 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 56.0 points a game
48%
33%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.020.5
55.4%
55.4%41.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.78.2
37.7%
34.4%24.5
🏀 Free throws21.815.7
71.8%
74.1%15.7
They take 58.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 6/6 games with a box score before 05 Aug 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Estonia
LWLWWWWWLL
Israel
WWWWLWWLLL
+6.2
Net rating
+7.9
106.2
Offensive rating
110.4
99.9
Defensive rating
102.4
51.9%
Effective FG%
55.8%
46.3%
Opp. effective FG%
48.1%
19.7%
Turnover %
18.8%
33.8%
Off. rebound %
28.9%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.37
31.8%
3-point %
37.7%
71.4%
Assist %
63.4%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence106.2 · 110.4Defence99.9 · 102.4Shooting51.9% · 55.8%3-point %31.8% · 37.7%Ball care19.7% · 18.8%Off. rebounds33.8% · 28.9%Free throws0.32 · 0.37Form (last 10/10)60% · 60%
■ Estonia   ■ Israel
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Estonia wins
3
Israel wins
DateGameScore
03/07/22Israel v Estonia96-77
28/11/21Estonia v Israel69-79
25/02/18Estonia v Israel78-62
24/11/17Israel v Estonia88-68
Estonialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/02/25ALithuania75-82
21/02/25HNorth Macedonia84-65
24/11/24HPoland86-88
21/11/24APoland82-78
26/02/24HLithuania65-59
23/02/24ANorth Macedonia74-69
27/02/23ASweden72-71
24/02/23HSlovenia79-78
14/11/22AFinland71-91
11/11/22HSweden82-87
Israellast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/02/25HSlovenia84-74
21/02/25HPortugal84-78
25/11/24HUkraine88-75
23/11/24AUkraine86-73
25/02/24ASlovenia79-88
22/02/24APortugal72-70
27/02/23ASlovenia87-79
24/02/23HFinland95-97 OT
14/11/22ASweden68-71
11/11/22HSlovenia62-75

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Estonia
Friendly International 2025
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
Israel
Friendly International 2025
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

No league table for this competition yet.

📋 13. Box Score

No period scores for this game.
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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