Estudiantes vs Almansa Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 12 Mar 2023

Tip-off: 16:00

Final 75-78

17-25 17-13 17-21 24-19

Position#7

Record16-6

FormWWLWL

Points / game79.4

Allowed / game73.0

Estudiantes

Almansa 🏆

Position#12

Record6-16

FormLLLLL

Points / game71.4

Allowed / game79.7

Primera FEBRound 23

Other2022-23

Meetings · Estudiantes v Almansa

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Estudiantes winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Almansa winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Estudiantes Spain

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Albacete

#18

68-63

H20/12

Primera FEB

Caceres

#15

70-62

A27/12

Primera FEB

Palencia

73-83

-10

H08/01

Primera FEB

San Pablo Burgos

86-78

A14/01

Primera FEB

Iraurgi SB

#17

75-55

+20

H20/01

Primera FEB

Forca Lleida

94-75

+19

H29/01

Primera FEB

Ourense

#13

86-76

+10

A01/02

Primera FEB

Leyma Coruna

66-74

-8

A05/02

Primera FEB

Melilla

#16

75-64

+11

H17/02

Primera FEB

Real Valladolid

75-81

-6

A05/03

Primera FEB

13-19

18-17

16-12

21-15

17-17

20-8

9-17

24-20

24-18

13-16

13-28

23-21

26-20

21-18

17-25

22-15

15-5

14-16

25-20

21-14

22-18

20-15

28-25

24-17

18-12

23-20

23-25

22-19

14-20

17-20

15-21

20-13

18-8

22-20

14-13

21-23

20-21

17-19

18-17

20-24

147.9Avg total

76.8Scored

71.1Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (22)	79.4	73.0	152.3	+6.4	73%
Season at home (11)	80.9	69.1	150.0	+11.8	82%
Season away (11)	77.8	76.8	154.6	+1.0	64%
Last 10 (10)	76.8	71.1	147.9	+5.7	70%
Last 5 (5)	79.2	74.0	153.2	+5.2	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	72.5	81.0	153.5	-8.5	0%
vs Similar (10)	74.5	74.7	149.2	-0.2	50%
vs Weaker ◀ (18)	78.7	66.7	145.4	+12.0	89%

This opponent (Almansa) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Almansa

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

MoraBanc Andorra

75-82

-7

H20/12

Primera FEB

Gipuzkoa

53-79

-26

A27/12

Primera FEB

Castello

82-77

H07/01

Primera FEB

Estela

#11

68-71

-3

A14/01

Primera FEB

Albacete

#18

88-85 OT

H20/01

Primera FEB

Caceres

#15

65-76

-11

H28/01

Primera FEB

Palencia

60-84

-24

A01/02

Primera FEB

San Pablo Burgos

66-75

-9

H04/02

Primera FEB

Iraurgi SB

#17

54-72

-18

A17/02

Primera FEB

Forca Lleida

67-70

-3

H05/03

Primera FEB

17-25

28-18

8-20

22-19

12-23

10-15

13-21

18-20

22-16

19-18

21-20

20-23

17-17

11-18

24-19

16-17

18-15

15-18

16-18

25-23

13-17

15-27

18-12

19-20

17-23

16-20

13-21

14-20

18-21

20-24

16-10

12-20

20-26

11-15

13-11

10-20

22-9

21-11

15-21

9-29

144.9Avg total

67.8Scored

77.1Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (22)	71.4	79.7	151.0	-8.3	27%
Season at home (12)	75.3	76.8	152.1	-1.4	42%
Season away (10)	66.6	83.2	149.8	-16.6	10%
Last 10 (10)	67.8	77.1	144.9	-9.3	20%
Last 5 (5)	62.4	75.4	137.8	-13.0	0%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)	69.1	83.8	152.8	-14.7	8%
vs Similar (15)	77.9	80.9	158.8	-2.9	47%
vs Weaker (2)	67.0	66.5	133.5	+0.5	50%

This opponent (Estudiantes) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

EstudiantesAlmansa

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.5	16.3	35.7	+3.2	67%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	19.0	15.7	34.7	+3.3	69%	-
Last 30 away (14)	20.0	16.9	36.9	+3.1	64%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.7	15.8	34.5	+2.9	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.4	15.8	34.2	+2.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	22.5	17.0	39.5	+5.5	100%	-
vs Similar (10)	18.4	18.4	36.8	+0.0	40%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)	19.7	15.0	34.7	+4.7	78%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.6	20.5	39.1	-1.9	33%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	20.3	19.1	39.4	+1.2	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	16.6	22.0	38.6	-5.4	14%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.6	19.2	36.8	-1.6	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.0	19.2	37.2	-1.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)	18.0	21.2	39.2	-3.2	23%	-
vs Similar (15)	18.7	20.0	38.7	-1.3	40%	-
vs Weaker (2)	21.5	19.5	41.0	+2.0	50%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.4	18.0	36.3	+0.4	53%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	18.4	16.7	35.1	+1.8	69%	-
Last 30 away (14)	18.3	19.4	37.7	-1.1	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.5	16.9	35.4	+1.6	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.8	18.8	38.6	+1.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	11.5	20.5	32.0	-9.0	0%	-
vs Similar (10)	19.0	19.2	38.2	-0.2	40%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)	18.8	17.0	35.8	+1.8	67%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.0	19.3	37.3	-1.4	43%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	18.8	18.3	37.1	+0.5	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	17.0	20.5	37.5	-3.5	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	16.6	18.4	35.0	-1.8	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.6	19.4	36.0	-2.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)	17.9	20.4	38.3	-2.5	23%	-
vs Similar (15)	19.0	19.2	38.2	-0.2	67%	-
vs Weaker (2)	10.5	13.5	24.0	-3.0	0%	-

EstudiantesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Albacete

#18

31-36

-5

H20/12

Primera FEB

Caceres

#15

37-25

+12

A27/12

Primera FEB

Palencia

37-34

H08/01

Primera FEB

San Pablo Burgos

47-38

A14/01

Primera FEB

Iraurgi SB

#17

29-21

H20/01

Primera FEB

Forca Lleida

42-33

H29/01

Primera FEB

Ourense

#13

41-32

A01/02

Primera FEB

Leyma Coruna

31-40

-9

A05/02

Primera FEB

Melilla

#16

40-28

+12

H17/02

Primera FEB

Real Valladolid

37-40

-3

A05/03

Primera FEB

69.9Avg total

37.2Scored

32.7Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	37.8	34.2	72.1	+3.6	63%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	37.4	32.4	69.8	+5.1	69%	-
Last 30 away (14)	38.3	36.4	74.6	+1.9	57%	-
Last 10 (10)	37.2	32.7	69.9	+4.5	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	38.2	34.6	72.8	+3.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	34.0	37.5	71.5	-3.5	50%	-
vs Similar (10)	37.4	37.6	75.0	-0.2	40%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)	38.5	32.0	70.5	+6.5	78%	-

This opponent (Almansa) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

AlmansaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

MoraBanc Andorra

45-43

H20/12

Primera FEB

Gipuzkoa

22-38

-16

A27/12

Primera FEB

Castello

41-34

H07/01

Primera FEB

Estela

#11

28-35

-7

A14/01

Primera FEB

Albacete

#18

33-33

H20/01

Primera FEB

Caceres

#15

28-44

-16

H28/01

Primera FEB

Palencia

33-43

-10

A01/02

Primera FEB

San Pablo Burgos

38-45

-7

H04/02

Primera FEB

Iraurgi SB

#17

31-41

-10

A17/02

Primera FEB

Forca Lleida

43-20

+23

H05/03

Primera FEB

71.8Avg total

34.2Scored

37.6Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	36.6	39.8	76.4	-3.2	30%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	39.1	37.4	76.6	+1.7	44%	-
Last 30 away (14)	33.6	42.5	76.1	-8.9	14%	-
Last 10 (10)	34.2	37.6	71.8	-3.4	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	34.6	38.6	73.2	-4.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)	35.9	41.5	77.5	-5.6	23%	-
vs Similar (15)	37.7	39.2	76.9	-1.5	33%	-
vs Weaker (2)	32.0	33.0	65.0	-1.0	50%	-

This opponent (Estudiantes) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.9	18.8	38.7	+1.1	73%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	21.7	18.6	40.2	+3.1	88%	-
Last 30 away (14)	17.9	19.1	36.9	-1.2	57%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.8	20.3	38.1	-2.5	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.6	20.2	39.8	-0.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	17.0	22.5	39.5	-5.5	50%	-
vs Similar (10)	18.6	20.4	39.0	-1.8	60%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)	20.9	17.5	38.4	+3.4	83%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.5	18.5	37.0	+0.0	50%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	19.1	17.8	36.9	+1.2	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	17.9	19.2	37.1	-1.4	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	15.7	17.3	33.0	-1.6	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	15.0	15.0	30.0	+0.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)	17.0	19.3	36.3	-2.3	38%	-
vs Similar (15)	19.4	18.4	37.8	+1.0	53%	-
vs Weaker (2)	21.5	13.5	35.0	+8.0	100%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.2	17.3	36.5	+1.9	63%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	18.6	15.9	34.5	+2.8	75%	-
Last 30 away (14)	19.8	18.9	38.7	+0.9	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.8	18.1	39.9	+3.7	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.4	19.2	40.6	+2.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	21.5	21.0	42.5	+0.5	50%	-
vs Similar (10)	18.5	16.7	35.2	+1.8	70%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)	19.3	17.2	36.5	+2.1	61%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.2	21.6	38.8	-4.4	27%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	17.4	20.6	38.1	-3.2	44%	-
Last 30 away (14)	16.9	22.7	39.6	-5.8	7%	-
Last 10 (10)	16.5	21.1	37.6	-4.6	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	12.8	21.8	34.6	-9.0	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)	15.3	21.9	37.2	-6.6	15%	-
vs Similar (15)	19.3	21.5	40.9	-2.2	40%	-
vs Weaker (2)	13.5	20.0	33.5	-6.5	0%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.1	36.1	75.2	+3.0	63%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	40.3	34.4	74.8	+5.9	75%	-
Last 30 away (14)	37.6	38.0	75.6	-0.4	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.6	38.4	78.0	+1.2	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	41.0	39.4	80.4	+1.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	38.5	43.5	82.0	-5.0	50%	-
vs Similar (10)	37.1	37.1	74.2	+0.0	60%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)	40.2	34.7	74.9	+5.5	67%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	35.7	40.1	75.8	-4.4	37%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	36.5	38.4	74.9	-1.9	44%	-
Last 30 away (14)	34.8	41.9	76.7	-7.1	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	32.2	38.4	70.6	-6.2	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	27.8	36.8	64.6	-9.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)	32.3	41.2	73.5	-8.9	23%	-
vs Similar (15)	38.7	39.9	78.7	-1.2	47%	-
vs Weaker (2)	35.0	33.5	68.5	+1.5	50%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:

Estudiantestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Estudiantes: 83.2 points a game scored

🏀🏀51%

🏀🏀🏀33%

🏀16%

🏀🏀 2-pointers42.4 pts a game · 51% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.3 pts a game · 33% of the points

🏀 Free throws13.5 pts a game · 16% of the points

League average for comparison: 80.3 points a game

46%

35%

19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	42.3	21.2	50.1%	51.8%	42.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	26.5	9.1	34.3%	33.7%	27.3
🏀 Free throws	19.5	13.5	69.2%	73.6%	13.5

They take 68.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Almansatheir own shots, last 10 games

No box scores for this team yet.

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	40.5	23.5	58.0%	51.8%	47.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	25.0	10.8	43.2%	33.7%	32.4
🏀 Free throws	18.6	14.5	78.0%	73.6%	14.5

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	41.2	21.0	51.0%	51.8%	42.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	25.8	8.8	34.1%	33.7%	26.4
🏀 Free throws	15.8	11.5	72.8%	73.6%	11.5

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	39.1	21.1	53.9%	51.8%	42.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	24.4	9.9	40.4%	33.7%	29.6
🏀 Free throws	21.4	15.7	73.5%	73.6%	15.7

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Estudiantes wins

Almansa wins

Date	Game	Score
05/11/22	Almansa v Estudiantes	70-75
20/03/22	Almansa v Estudiantes	68-84
14/11/21	Estudiantes v Almansa	94-67

Estudianteslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
05/03/23	A	Real Valladolid	75-81
17/02/23	H	Melilla	75-64
05/02/23	A	Leyma Coruna	66-74
01/02/23	A	Ourense	86-76
29/01/23	H	Forca Lleida	94-75
20/01/23	H	Iraurgi SB	75-55
14/01/23	A	San Pablo Burgos	86-78
08/01/23	H	Palencia	73-83
27/12/22	A	Caceres	70-62
20/12/22	H	Albacete	68-63

Almansalast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
05/03/23	H	Forca Lleida	67-70
17/02/23	A	Iraurgi SB	54-72
04/02/23	H	San Pablo Burgos	66-75
01/02/23	A	Palencia	60-84
28/01/23	H	Caceres	65-76
20/01/23	H	Albacete	88-85 OT
14/01/23	A	Estela	68-71
07/01/23	H	Castello	82-77
27/12/22	A	Gipuzkoa	53-79
20/12/22	H	MoraBanc Andorra	75-82

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Estudiantes

Primera FEB 2022-23

Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWLWL	73%
Home	WLWWW	82%
Away	WWWLL	64%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	22	11	11
Win %	73%	82%	64%
Points / game	79.4	80.9	77.8
Allowed / game	73.0	69.1	76.8
Point differential	+6.4	+11.8	+1.0
Avg total	152.3	150.0	154.6
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	41%	64%	18%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	75% (4)	100% (1)	67% (3)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Almansa

Primera FEB 2022-23

Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLLLL	27%
Home	WWLLL	42%
Away	LLLLL	10%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	22	12	10
Win %	27%	42%	10%
Points / game	71.4	75.3	66.6
Allowed / game	79.7	76.8	83.2
Point differential	-8.3	-1.4	-16.6
Avg total	151.0	152.1	149.8
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	9%	8%	10%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	33% (6)	50% (4)	0% (2)
Overtime %	14%	17%	10%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	MoraBanc Andorra	23	21	2	91%	83.2	69.7	+13.4
2	Palencia	23	20	3	87%	82.0	71.2	+10.8
3	Estudiantes	22	16	6	73%	79.4	73.0	+6.4
4	Leyma Coruna	23	16	7	70%	84.0	76.0	+7.9
5	Forca Lleida	23	16	7	70%	80.3	77.2	+3.0
6	Real Valladolid	23	15	8	65%	75.6	72.5	+3.1
7	San Pablo Burgos	23	14	9	61%	80.4	75.4	+5.0
8	Alicante	22	13	9	59%	75.8	75.5	+0.3
9	Gipuzkoa	23	13	10	57%	77.6	72.7	+4.8
10	Estela	23	12	11	52%	73.3	75.6	-2.3
11	Castello	23	10	13	43%	74.6	76.1	-1.5
12	Ourense	23	7	16	30%	73.0	79.3	-6.2
13	Almansa	22	6	16	27%	71.4	79.7	-8.3
14	Caceres	23	6	17	26%	71.9	78.3	-6.4
15	Oviedo	23	6	17	26%	68.7	77.5	-8.8
16	Iraurgi SB	22	5	17	23%	72.3	81.2	-8.9
17	Albacete	23	5	18	22%	70.4	76.8	-6.4
18	Melilla	23	4	19	17%	74.6	81.0	-6.4

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Estudiantes	17	17	17	24	75
Almansa	25	13	21	19	78

← all games of the day

Estudiantes vs Almansa Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Get it on Telegram

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

Manage Cookies

Strictly Necessary

Functionality Cookies

Performance Cookies

Third Party Marketing/Targeting

A Pro feature