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Estudiantes vs Boca Juniors Prediction & Stats

Date: Wed 22 May 2019
Tip-off: 21:00
Scheduled
Position#9
Record21-20
FormWLLWW
Points / game78.7
Allowed / game79.9
vs
Position#8
Record22-19
FormWWWWL
Points / game78.1
Allowed / game76.7
ArgentinaLiga A
Other2018-19
Meetings · Estudiantes v Boca Juniors
28 Feb 2020
EST68
BOCA82
22 May 2019
EST v BOCA
upcoming
20 May 2019
EST73
BOCA69
02 Feb 2019
EST67
BOCA60
06 Apr 2018
EST81
BOCA80
24 Jan 2017
EST84
BOCA76
06 Mar 2016
EST84
BOCA46
05 Apr 2015
EST69
BOCA89
09 Feb 2014
EST62
BOCA57
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Estudiantes win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Boca Juniors win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

EstudiantesArgentinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Argentino
#17
L
66-79
66
79
-13
A04/05
Liga A
Weber Bahia
#18
L
69-79
69
79
-10
A05/05
Liga A
Real Madrid
#1
L
92-109
92
109
-17
A09/05
ACB
Instituto de Cordoba
#2
W
97-89 OT
97
89
+8
H11/05
Liga A
Valencia
#4
L
82-90
82
90
-8
A12/05
ACB
Atenas
#19
W
77-74
77
74
+3
H13/05
Liga A
Boca Juniors
#8
L
82-84
82
84
-2
A16/05
Liga A
Boca Juniors
#8
L
50-83
50
83
-33
A18/05
Liga A
Obradoiro CAB
#15
W
83-80
83
80
+3
H19/05
ACB
Boca Juniors
#8
W
73-69
73
69
+4
H21/05
Liga A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-14
13-22
18-22
19-21
12-13
15-24
20-22
22-20
18-30
20-25
23-29
31-25
21-13
17-18
18-26
22-21
23-21
17-31
17-28
25-10
13-13
16-16
25-28
23-17
22-26
16-20
16-25
28-13
19-17
17-20
6-24
8-22
24-13
18-26
21-26
20-15
14-12
18-20
18-17
23-20
160.7Avg total
77.1Scored
83.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (41)78.779.9158.5-1.251%
Season at home (20)82.877.0159.8+5.775%
Season away (21)74.882.6157.3-7.829%
Last 10 (10)77.183.6160.7-6.540%
Last 5 (5)73.078.0151.0-5.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)80.190.9171.0-10.825%
vs Similar ◀ (20)82.083.8165.8-1.850%
vs Weaker (2)84.077.0161.0+7.050%
This opponent (Boca Juniors) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Boca JuniorsArgentinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Penarol
#16
L
63-82
63
82
-19
A21/04
Liga A
Gimnasia
#5
W
95-77
95
77
+18
H25/04
Liga A
Weber Bahia
#18
W
90-78
90
78
+12
A28/04
Liga A
Comunicaciones Mercedes
#4
L
80-82
80
82
-2
H02/05
Liga A
Olimpico
#12
W
82-79
82
79
+3
A07/05
Liga A
Quimsa
#13
W
82-76
82
76
+6
A09/05
Liga A
Hispano Americano
#15
W
86-65
86
65
+21
A13/05
Liga A
Estudiantes
#9
W
84-82
84
82
+2
H16/05
Liga A
Estudiantes
#9
W
83-50
83
50
+33
H18/05
Liga A
Estudiantes
#9
L
69-73
69
73
-4
A21/05
Liga A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
12-24
16-15
18-21
17-22
22-9
33-19
17-27
23-22
24-18
17-16
23-23
26-21
14-18
24-18
15-22
27-24
21-25
15-22
25-18
21-14
23-18
18-18
13-23
28-17
19-15
19-16
20-19
28-15
26-22
20-16
25-16
13-28
17-19
20-17
24-6
22-8
12-14
20-18
17-18
20-23
155.8Avg total
81.4Scored
74.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (41)78.176.7154.8+1.554%
Season at home (21)80.977.1158.0+3.857%
Season away (20)75.276.2151.4-1.050%
Last 10 (10)81.474.4155.8+7.070%
Last 5 (5)80.869.2150.0+11.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)80.081.2161.2-1.225%
vs Similar ◀ (18)79.777.3156.9+2.450%
vs Weaker (8)78.474.9153.2+3.575%
This opponent (Estudiantes) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +1.0+1.0Q1: +0.8+0.8Q2Q2: -5.5-5.5Q2: +2.7+2.7Q3Q3: -6.5-6.5Q3: +0.4+0.4Q4Q4: +3.7+3.7Q4: +3.1+3.1
EstudiantesBoca Juniors
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
EstudiantesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Argentino
#17
L
29-36
29
36
-7
A04/05
Liga A
Weber Bahia
#18
L
27-37
27
37
-10
A05/05
Liga A
Real Madrid
#1
L
38-55
38
55
-17
A09/05
ACB
Instituto de Cordoba
#2
W
38-31
38
31
+7
H11/05
Liga A
Valencia
#4
L
40-52
40
52
-12
A12/05
ACB
Atenas
#19
D
29-29
29
29
+0
H13/05
Liga A
Boca Juniors
#8
L
38-46
38
46
-8
A16/05
Liga A
Boca Juniors
#8
L
36-37
36
37
-1
A18/05
Liga A
Obradoiro CAB
#15
W
42-39
42
39
+3
H19/05
ACB
Boca Juniors
#8
D
32-32
32
32
+0
H21/05
Liga A
74.3Avg total
34.9Scored
39.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.340.579.8-1.237%-
Last 30 at home (14)41.736.978.6+4.957%-
Last 30 away (16)37.143.780.8-6.619%-
Last 10 (10)34.939.474.3-4.520%-
Last 5 (5)35.436.672.0-1.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)38.542.180.6-3.638%-
vs Similar ◀ (20)39.640.279.8-0.635%-
vs Weaker (2)39.037.076.0+2.050%-
This opponent (Boca Juniors) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Boca JuniorsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Penarol
#16
L
28-39
28
39
-11
A21/04
Liga A
Gimnasia
#5
W
55-28
55
28
+27
H25/04
Liga A
Weber Bahia
#18
W
41-34
41
34
+7
A28/04
Liga A
Comunicaciones Mercedes
#4
W
38-36
38
36
+2
H02/05
Liga A
Olimpico
#12
L
36-47
36
47
-11
A07/05
Liga A
Quimsa
#13
W
41-36
41
36
+5
A09/05
Liga A
Hispano Americano
#15
W
38-31
38
31
+7
A13/05
Liga A
Estudiantes
#9
W
46-38
46
38
+8
H16/05
Liga A
Estudiantes
#9
W
37-36
37
36
+1
H18/05
Liga A
Estudiantes
#9
D
32-32
32
32
+0
A21/05
Liga A
74.9Avg total
39.2Scored
35.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.337.373.6-1.050%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.138.078.1+2.160%-
Last 30 away (15)32.536.569.1-4.040%-
Last 10 (10)39.235.774.9+3.570%-
Last 5 (5)38.834.673.4+4.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)33.236.269.5-3.025%-
vs Similar ◀ (18)37.137.975.1-0.844%-
vs Weaker (8)36.036.272.2-0.275%-
This opponent (Estudiantes) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Estudiantestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Estudiantes: 82.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.8 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.5 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.4 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.5 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.317.9
50.7%
53.8%35.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.110.5
37.4%
32.9%31.5
🏀 Free throws20.615.4
74.8%
71.7%15.4
They take 63.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Boca Juniorstheir own shots, last 10 games
No box scores for this team yet.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Estudiantes wins
3
Boca Juniors wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/05/19HBoca Juniors73-69
19/05/19HObradoiro CAB83-80
18/05/19ABoca Juniors50-83
16/05/19ABoca Juniors82-84
13/05/19HAtenas77-74
12/05/19AValencia82-90
11/05/19HInstituto de Cordoba97-89 OT
09/05/19AReal Madrid92-109
05/05/19AWeber Bahia69-79
04/05/19AArgentino66-79
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/05/19AEstudiantes69-73
18/05/19HEstudiantes83-50
16/05/19HEstudiantes84-82
13/05/19AHispano Americano86-65
09/05/19AQuimsa82-76
07/05/19AOlimpico82-79
02/05/19HComunicaciones Mercedes80-82
28/04/19AWeber Bahia90-78
25/04/19HGimnasia95-77
21/04/19APenarol63-82

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Estudiantes
Liga A 2018-19
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW51%
HomeWLWWW75%
AwayLLLLL29%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games412021
Win %51%75%29%
Points / game78.782.874.8
Allowed / game79.977.082.6
Point differential-1.2+5.7-7.8
Avg total158.5159.8157.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%30%5%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (14)50% (6)50% (8)
Overtime %7%15%0%
Boca Juniors
Liga A 2018-19
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL54%
HomeLWLWW57%
AwayWWWWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games412120
Win %54%57%50%
Points / game78.180.975.2
Allowed / game76.777.176.2
Point differential+1.5+3.8-0.9
Avg total154.8158.0151.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+22%24%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won57% (14)56% (9)60% (5)
Overtime %7%10%5%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 San Lorenzo4034685%89.078.0+11.1
2 Instituto de Cordoba41281368%84.077.4+6.6
3 Ferro40251562%83.577.4+6.0
4 Comunicaciones Mercedes40241660%82.578.3+4.2
5 Gimnasia41241759%82.379.6+2.7
6 Obras Sanitarias41241759%80.079.2+0.8
7 Regatas41231856%83.981.9+2.0
8 Boca Juniors41221954%78.176.7+1.5
9 Estudiantes41212051%78.779.9-1.2
10 San Martin41202149%79.982.0-2.1
11 La Union41192246%82.282.0+0.2
12 Olimpico41192246%78.378.2+0.1
13 Quimsa40182245%82.082.1-0.0
14 Libertad40182245%80.383.2-2.9
15 Hispano Americano40152538%80.284.6-4.4
16 Penarol38142437%78.782.6-3.9
17 Argentino38142437%79.184.1-4.9
18 Weber Bahia41152637%71.878.7-6.9
19 Atenas40142635%81.884.1-2.2
20 Quilmes40122830%78.185.4-7.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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