Estudiantes vs Valencia Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 30 Apr 2011

Tip-off: 16:00

Final 74-87

22-27 20-21 16-18 16-21

Position#11

Record16-15

FormLLWLW

Points / game73.3

Allowed / game74.4

Estudiantes

Valencia 🏆

Position#3

Record22-9

FormWLWWW

Points / game75.4

Allowed / game71.1

ACBRound 32

Domestic2010-11

Meetings · Estudiantes v Valencia

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Estudiantes winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Valencia winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Estudiantes Spain

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Gran Canaria

67-78

-11

A09/03

ACB

CB Granada

#18

83-73

+10

H13/03

ACB

Barcelona

53-73

-20

A18/03

ACB

Cedevita

81-90

-9

A23/03

Eurocup

Tecnyconta Zaragoza

#12

106-89

106

+17

H27/03

ACB

Cedevita

72-81

-9

H30/03

Eurocup

Baskonia

66-89

-23

A03/04

ACB

Fuenlabrada

87-73

+14

H10/04

ACB

Real Betis

#10

74-88

-14

A21/04

ACB

Vive Menorca

#17

77-69

H24/04

ACB

17-13

20-18

19-26

11-21

26-17

15-23

19-19

23-14

12-26

25-19

8-16

8-12

33-21

16-26

12-29

20-14

31-22

24-18

19-25

32-24

25-26

17-15

15-19

15-21

16-25

8-15

17-25

25-24

26-9

18-25

21-18

22-21

19-25

14-25

17-23

24-15

17-17

19-16

19-20

22-16

156.9Avg total

76.6Scored

80.3Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (31)	73.3	74.4	147.6	-1.1	52%
Season at home (15)	78.7	73.6	152.3	+5.1	73%
Season away (16)	68.1	75.1	143.2	-7.0	31%
Last 10 (10)	76.6	80.3	156.9	-3.7	40%
Last 5 (5)	75.2	80.0	155.2	-4.8	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)	66.0	74.1	140.1	-8.1	38%
vs Similar (16)	80.1	77.4	157.6	+2.7	62%
vs Weaker (6)	80.5	71.7	152.2	+8.8	83%

This opponent (Valencia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Valencia

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Real Madrid

65-71

-6

A22/03

Euroleague

Real Madrid

81-75

A24/03

Euroleague

Gipuzkoa

#14

84-75

H27/03

ACB

Real Madrid

66-75

-9

H29/03

Euroleague

Real Madrid

81-72

H31/03

Euroleague

Real Betis

#10

74-63

+11

A03/04

ACB

Real Madrid

58-66

-8

A07/04

Euroleague

Alicante

#16

86-79

H10/04

ACB

Vive Menorca

#17

74-65

A17/04

ACB

Unicaja

73-71

H24/04

ACB

18-20

14-13

21-19

12-19

17-19

18-19

24-16

22-21

19-17

22-19

25-14

18-25

19-17

15-14

17-17

15-27

17-14

23-24

19-17

22-17

12-14

21-20

16-11

25-18

17-11

25-29

9-18

7-8

22-17

24-29

24-15

16-18

9-21

18-13

24-15

23-16

21-15

14-12

19-22

145.4Avg total

74.2Scored

71.2Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (31)	75.4	71.1	146.5	+4.3	71%
Season at home (16)	77.2	70.3	147.6	+6.9	81%
Season away (15)	73.3	71.9	145.3	+1.4	60%
Last 10 (10)	74.2	71.2	145.4	+3.0	70%
Last 5 (5)	73.0	68.8	141.8	+4.2	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	72.6	78.0	150.6	-5.4	20%
vs Similar (15)	70.1	67.6	137.7	+2.5	67%
vs Weaker ◀ (9)	79.1	70.9	150.0	+8.2	89%

This opponent (Estudiantes) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

EstudiantesValencia

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.4	19.6	40.1	+0.8	47%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	22.4	18.6	41.0	+3.9	64%	-
Last 30 away (16)	18.7	20.6	39.2	-1.9	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.2	20.1	42.3	+2.1	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.6	20.4	41.0	+0.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)	14.4	18.5	32.9	-4.1	25%	-
vs Similar (16)	22.7	21.4	44.1	+1.2	44%	-
vs Weaker (6)	22.5	16.3	38.8	+6.2	83%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.6	17.2	34.8	+0.4	57%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	19.1	17.3	36.4	+1.8	71%	-
Last 30 away (16)	16.3	17.1	33.4	-0.8	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.1	16.5	33.6	+0.6	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.2	15.6	31.8	+0.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	16.4	18.2	34.6	-1.8	20%	-
vs Similar (15)	17.6	16.5	34.1	+1.1	60%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)	18.1	18.0	36.1	+0.1	67%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.0	18.7	37.7	+0.2	53%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	20.0	18.3	38.3	+1.7	64%	-
Last 30 away (16)	18.1	19.1	37.2	-1.1	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.6	20.0	37.6	-2.4	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	15.2	19.2	34.4	-4.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)	18.2	18.1	36.4	+0.1	50%	-
vs Similar (16)	18.4	19.3	37.8	-0.9	50%	-
vs Weaker (6)	21.3	18.0	39.3	+3.3	67%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.4	17.2	36.6	+2.2	63%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	19.8	15.8	35.6	+4.0	79%	-
Last 30 away (16)	19.0	18.4	37.4	+0.6	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.4	19.2	38.6	+0.2	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.4	20.6	41.0	-0.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	17.8	19.4	37.2	-1.6	40%	-
vs Similar (15)	18.5	16.3	34.7	+2.2	67%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)	21.1	17.9	39.0	+3.2	67%	-

EstudiantesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Gran Canaria

37-31

A09/03

ACB

CB Granada

#18

41-40

H13/03

ACB

Barcelona

37-45

-8

A18/03

ACB

Cedevita

49-47

A23/03

Eurocup

Tecnyconta Zaragoza

#12

55-40

+15

H27/03

ACB

Cedevita

42-41

H30/03

Eurocup

Baskonia

24-40

-16

A03/04

ACB

Fuenlabrada

44-34

+10

H10/04

ACB

Real Betis

#10

33-50

-17

A21/04

ACB

Vive Menorca

#17

36-33

H24/04

ACB

79.9Avg total

39.8Scored

40.1Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.4	38.4	77.8	+1.0	57%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	42.4	36.9	79.3	+5.6	79%	-
Last 30 away (16)	36.8	39.7	76.4	-2.9	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.8	40.1	79.9	-0.3	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	35.8	39.6	75.4	-3.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)	32.6	36.6	69.2	-4.0	38%	-
vs Similar (16)	41.1	40.8	81.9	+0.4	50%	-
vs Weaker (6)	43.8	34.3	78.2	+9.5	100%	-

This opponent (Valencia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

ValenciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Real Madrid

32-33

-1

A22/03

Euroleague

Real Madrid

35-38

-3

A24/03

Euroleague

Gipuzkoa

#14

41-36

H27/03

ACB

Real Madrid

34-31

H29/03

Euroleague

Real Madrid

40-38

H31/03

Euroleague

Real Betis

#10

33-34

-1

A03/04

ACB

Real Madrid

42-40

A07/04

Euroleague

Alicante

#16

46-46

H10/04

ACB

Vive Menorca

#17

27-34

-7

A17/04

ACB

Unicaja

35-27

H24/04

ACB

72.2Avg total

36.5Scored

35.7Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	37.0	34.4	71.4	+2.6	57%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	38.9	33.1	71.9	+5.8	79%	-
Last 30 away (16)	35.3	35.6	70.9	-0.2	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	36.5	35.7	72.2	+0.8	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	36.6	36.2	72.8	+0.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	34.2	37.6	71.8	-3.4	20%	-
vs Similar (15)	36.1	32.7	68.8	+3.3	67%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)	39.2	35.9	75.1	+3.3	56%	-

This opponent (Estudiantes) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.1	18.4	36.4	-0.3	53%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	18.8	18.7	37.5	+0.1	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	17.4	18.1	35.5	-0.6	56%	-
Last 10 (10)	16.6	22.0	38.6	-5.4	10%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.8	21.0	38.8	-3.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)	17.0	18.2	35.2	-1.2	50%	-
vs Similar (16)	18.8	18.0	36.8	+0.8	62%	-
vs Weaker (6)	17.7	19.5	37.2	-1.8	33%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.8	17.0	34.8	+0.7	53%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	17.6	17.7	35.4	-0.1	36%	-
Last 30 away (16)	17.9	16.4	34.3	+1.4	69%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.8	16.4	36.2	+3.4	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.4	16.2	34.6	+2.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	17.6	17.6	35.2	+0.0	40%	-
vs Similar (15)	17.2	17.5	34.7	-0.3	47%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)	18.8	16.3	35.1	+2.4	67%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.0	18.7	37.6	+0.3	53%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	20.4	18.1	38.4	+2.3	71%	-
Last 30 away (16)	17.8	19.2	36.9	-1.4	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.2	18.2	38.4	+2.0	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.6	19.4	41.0	+2.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)	16.4	19.2	35.6	-2.9	38%	-
vs Similar (16)	20.2	18.7	38.9	+1.6	56%	-
vs Weaker (6)	19.0	17.8	36.8	+1.2	67%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.9	18.6	37.5	+0.3	50%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	19.2	18.9	38.1	+0.3	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	18.6	18.4	37.0	+0.2	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.9	19.1	37.0	-1.2	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.0	16.4	34.4	+1.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	20.8	22.8	43.6	-2.0	20%	-
vs Similar (15)	16.8	17.4	34.2	-0.6	53%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)	21.1	18.7	39.8	+2.4	56%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	37.0	37.0	74.1	+0.0	57%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	39.1	36.8	75.9	+2.4	71%	-
Last 30 away (16)	35.2	37.2	72.4	-2.1	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	36.8	40.2	77.0	-3.4	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	39.4	40.4	79.8	-1.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)	33.4	37.5	70.9	-4.1	25%	-
vs Similar (16)	39.0	36.7	75.7	+2.3	75%	-
vs Weaker (6)	36.7	37.3	74.0	-0.7	50%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	36.7	35.7	72.3	+1.0	63%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	36.9	36.6	73.5	+0.2	64%	-
Last 30 away (16)	36.5	34.8	71.3	+1.7	62%	-
Last 10 (10)	37.7	35.5	73.2	+2.2	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	36.4	32.6	69.0	+3.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	38.4	40.4	78.8	-2.0	40%	-
vs Similar (15)	34.0	34.9	68.9	-0.9	53%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)	39.9	35.0	74.9	+4.9	89%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Estudiantes wins

Valencia wins

Date	Game	Score
16/01/11	Valencia v Estudiantes	66-74
18/02/10	Valencia v Estudiantes	75-73
16/01/10	Estudiantes v Valencia	88-76
11/10/09	Valencia v Estudiantes	80-68
01/02/09	Estudiantes v Valencia	77-81
19/10/08	Valencia v Estudiantes	96-73

Estudianteslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
24/04/11	H	Vive Menorca	77-69
21/04/11	A	Real Betis	74-88
10/04/11	H	Fuenlabrada	87-73
03/04/11	A	Baskonia	66-89
30/03/11	H	Cedevita	72-81
27/03/11	H	Tecnyconta Zaragoza	106-89
23/03/11	A	Cedevita	81-90
18/03/11	A	Barcelona	53-73
13/03/11	H	CB Granada	83-73
09/03/11	A	Gran Canaria	67-78

Valencialast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
24/04/11	H	Unicaja	73-71
17/04/11	A	Vive Menorca	74-65
10/04/11	H	Alicante	86-79
07/04/11	A	Real Madrid	58-66
03/04/11	A	Real Betis	74-63
31/03/11	H	Real Madrid	81-72
29/03/11	H	Real Madrid	66-75
27/03/11	H	Gipuzkoa	84-75
24/03/11	A	Real Madrid	81-75
22/03/11	A	Real Madrid	65-71

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Estudiantes

ACB 2010-11

Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLWLW	52%
Home	WWWWW	73%
Away	WLLLL	31%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	31	15	16
Win %	52%	73%	31%
Points / game	73.3	78.7	68.1
Allowed / game	74.4	73.6	75.1
Point differential	-1.1	+5.1	-7.0
Avg total	147.6	152.3	143.2
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	19%	33%	6%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	57% (7)	60% (5)	50% (2)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Valencia

ACB 2010-11

Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWWW	71%
Home	WWWWW	81%
Away	WLWWW	60%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	31	16	15
Win %	71%	81%	60%
Points / game	75.4	77.2	73.3
Allowed / game	71.1	70.3	71.9
Point differential	+4.3	+6.9	+1.4
Avg total	146.5	147.6	145.3
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	26%	31%	20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	86% (7)	100% (4)	67% (3)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Barcelona	31	25	6	81%	76.5	65.5	+11.0
2	Real Madrid	31	24	7	77%	76.8	70.3	+6.5
3	Valencia	31	22	9	71%	75.4	71.1	+4.3
4	Baskonia	31	20	11	65%	79.2	73.7	+5.4
5	Bilbao	31	18	13	58%	77.2	74.0	+3.2
6	Gran Canaria	31	18	13	58%	74.5	72.0	+2.5
7	Fuenlabrada	31	18	13	58%	75.7	75.7	-0.0
8	Unicaja	31	17	14	55%	75.4	72.3	+3.1
9	Baloncesto Valladolid	31	17	14	55%	72.4	71.6	+0.8
10	Estudiantes	31	16	15	52%	73.3	74.4	-1.1
11	Real Betis	31	15	16	48%	73.5	73.0	+0.5
12	Tecnyconta Zaragoza	31	14	17	45%	74.2	77.3	-3.2
13	Joventut Badalona	31	14	17	45%	75.8	82.1	-6.3
14	Gipuzkoa	31	11	20	35%	74.2	76.2	-2.0
15	Manresa	31	9	22	29%	65.2	71.4	-6.2
16	Alicante	31	8	23	26%	68.2	71.9	-3.7
17	CB Granada	31	7	24	23%	70.1	76.9	-6.9
18	Vive Menorca	31	6	25	19%	67.9	75.8	-7.9

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Estudiantes	22	20	16	16	74
Valencia	27	21	18	21	87

← all games of the day

Estudiantes vs Valencia Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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