Estudiantes vs Valencia Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 10 May 2017

Tip-off: 18:00

Final 68-87

17-22 18-20 22-21 11-24

Position#11

Record12-18

FormWWWLL

Points / game81.8

Allowed / game83.3

Estudiantes

Valencia 🏆

Position#2

Record22-8

FormLWWWL

Points / game82.8

Allowed / game75.3

ACBRound 33

Domestic2016-17

Meetings · Estudiantes v Valencia

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Estudiantes winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Valencia winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Estudiantes Spain

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Hispano Americano

#17

75-67

A12/04

Liga A

Gimnasia

#11

92-84

A14/04

Liga A

Manresa

#17

95-90

H16/04

ACB

Weber Bahia

75-56

+19

H17/04

Liga A

Gran Canaria

86-104

104

-18

A23/04

ACB

Ferro

78-66

+12

H24/04

Liga A

Argentino

#10

72-58

+14

H26/04

Liga A

Hispano Americano

#17

84-79

H30/04

Liga A

Real Madrid

72-79

-7

A30/04

ACB

San Martin

59-89

-30

A09/05

Liga A

18-20

19-12

25-16

13-19

24-18

18-29

26-18

24-19

28-24

17-20

23-21

27-25

13-13

25-16

16-13

21-14

17-29

16-21

27-26

26-28

16-14

18-21

21-20

23-11

15-10

24-15

19-10

14-23

24-23

14-17

25-16

21-23

20-23

15-17

15-21

22-18

12-21

17-18

13-24

17-26

156.0Avg total

78.8Scored

77.2Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (30)	81.8	83.3	165.0	-1.5	40%
Season at home (15)	84.1	82.7	166.9	+1.4	60%
Season away (15)	79.4	83.8	163.2	-4.4	20%
Last 10 (10)	78.8	77.2	156.0	+1.6	70%
Last 5 (5)	73.0	74.2	147.2	-1.2	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)	74.4	81.1	155.6	-6.7	29%
vs Similar (11)	75.3	75.3	150.5	+0.0	55%
vs Weaker (12)	84.3	76.0	160.3	+8.3	83%

This opponent (Valencia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Valencia

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Unicaja

81-77

H25/03

ACB

Unicaja

68-62

H28/03

Eurocup

Unicaja

71-79

-8

A31/03

Eurocup

Unicaja

58-63

-5

H05/04

Eurocup

Manresa

#17

94-73

+21

A09/04

ACB

Bilbao

#10

75-88

-13

A12/04

ACB

Barcelona

76-59

+17

H16/04

ACB

Real Betis

#16

90-85

A22/04

ACB

Obradoiro CAB

#14

85-74

+11

H29/04

ACB

MoraBanc Andorra

84-89

-5

A07/05

ACB

20-20

22-23

22-17

17-17

20-20

15-15

15-13

18-14

16-21

18-22

17-21

20-15

22-18

11-12

21-13

4-20

24-12

18-17

32-21

20-23

18-23

21-22

17-24

19-19

16-14

19-15

16-14

25-16

12-15

23-19

29-25

26-26

18-14

24-17

19-21

24-22

24-23

11-17

23-29

26-20

153.1Avg total

78.2Scored

74.9Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (30)	82.8	75.3	158.2	+7.5	73%
Season at home (15)	85.6	71.9	157.5	+13.7	93%
Season away (15)	80.1	78.8	158.9	+1.3	53%
Last 10 (10)	78.2	74.9	153.1	+3.3	60%
Last 5 (5)	82.0	79.0	161.0	+3.0	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (10)	79.1	78.8	157.9	+0.3	60%
vs Weaker ◀ (19)	81.7	73.2	154.8	+8.5	74%

This opponent (Estudiantes) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

EstudiantesValencia

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.4	18.9	38.3	+0.5	57%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	19.2	18.4	37.6	+0.8	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	19.6	19.4	39.0	+0.1	57%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.7	19.5	38.2	-0.8	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.4	18.2	35.6	-0.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)	16.9	20.3	37.1	-3.4	29%	-
vs Similar (11)	18.4	19.0	37.4	-0.6	55%	-
vs Weaker (12)	21.8	18.0	39.8	+3.8	75%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.0	18.3	37.2	+0.7	57%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	20.6	18.0	38.6	+2.6	69%	-
Last 30 away (14)	17.1	18.6	35.6	-1.5	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.0	18.0	37.0	+1.0	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.6	17.8	35.4	-0.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (10)	17.5	17.2	34.7	+0.3	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)	19.5	18.9	38.4	+0.6	58%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	16.8	17.4	34.2	-0.6	37%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	16.6	16.5	33.1	+0.1	44%	-
Last 30 away (14)	16.9	18.4	35.4	-1.5	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.3	18.6	36.9	-0.3	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.6	17.6	35.2	+0.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)	15.0	18.3	33.3	-3.3	14%	-
vs Similar (11)	16.3	17.0	33.3	-0.7	36%	-
vs Weaker (12)	18.2	17.2	35.5	+1.0	50%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.2	18.1	38.3	+2.1	57%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	20.4	16.8	37.2	+3.6	62%	-
Last 30 away (14)	20.0	19.6	39.6	+0.4	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.2	17.9	36.1	+0.3	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.6	18.0	37.6	+1.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (10)	22.2	19.2	41.4	+3.0	60%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)	18.8	17.6	36.4	+1.3	53%	-

EstudiantesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Hispano Americano

#17

37-32

A12/04

Liga A

Gimnasia

#11

42-47

-5

A14/04

Liga A

Manresa

#17

45-44

H16/04

ACB

Weber Bahia

38-29

H17/04

Liga A

Gran Canaria

33-50

-17

A23/04

ACB

Ferro

34-35

-1

H24/04

Liga A

Argentino

#10

39-25

+14

H26/04

Liga A

Hispano Americano

#17

38-40

-2

H30/04

Liga A

Real Madrid

35-40

-5

A30/04

ACB

San Martin

29-39

-10

A09/05

Liga A

75.1Avg total

37.0Scored

38.1Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	36.1	36.3	72.4	-0.2	47%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	35.8	34.9	70.8	+0.9	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	36.5	37.9	74.4	-1.4	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	37.0	38.1	75.1	-1.1	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	35.0	35.8	70.8	-0.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)	31.9	38.6	70.4	-6.7	14%	-
vs Similar (11)	34.6	36.0	70.6	-1.4	36%	-
vs Weaker (12)	40.0	35.2	75.2	+4.8	75%	-

This opponent (Valencia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

ValenciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Unicaja

42-43

-1

H25/03

ACB

Unicaja

35-35

H28/03

Eurocup

Unicaja

34-43

-9

A31/03

Eurocup

Unicaja

33-30

H05/04

Eurocup

Manresa

#17

42-29

+13

A09/04

ACB

Bilbao

#10

39-45

-6

A12/04

ACB

Barcelona

35-29

H16/04

ACB

Real Betis

#16

35-34

A22/04

ACB

Obradoiro CAB

#14

42-31

+11

H29/04

ACB

MoraBanc Andorra

35-40

-5

A07/05

ACB

73.1Avg total

37.2Scored

35.9Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.2	36.4	75.5	+2.8	60%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	41.0	34.8	75.8	+6.2	81%	-
Last 30 away (14)	37.1	38.1	75.2	-1.1	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	37.2	35.9	73.1	+1.3	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	37.2	35.8	73.0	+1.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (10)	39.7	36.4	76.1	+3.3	60%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)	38.4	36.5	74.8	+1.9	58%	-

This opponent (Estudiantes) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.7	19.8	40.5	+1.0	63%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	21.1	18.0	39.1	+3.1	75%	-
Last 30 away (14)	20.3	21.8	42.1	-1.5	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.0	18.5	39.5	+2.5	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.6	18.2	36.8	+0.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)	21.0	22.4	43.4	-1.4	43%	-
vs Similar (11)	19.2	19.7	38.9	-0.5	55%	-
vs Weaker (12)	22.0	18.2	40.2	+3.8	83%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.1	18.8	40.9	+3.2	63%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	21.9	17.6	39.5	+4.4	81%	-
Last 30 away (14)	22.2	20.3	42.5	+1.9	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.1	19.8	40.9	+1.3	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.8	22.6	43.4	-1.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (10)	19.3	21.1	40.4	-1.8	40%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)	24.0	17.8	41.8	+6.2	79%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.1	20.3	41.4	+0.7	47%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	20.8	19.6	40.3	+1.2	44%	-
Last 30 away (14)	21.4	21.2	42.6	+0.2	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.8	20.6	41.4	+0.2	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.4	20.2	39.6	-0.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)	20.3	19.1	39.4	+1.1	57%	-
vs Similar (11)	20.2	18.7	38.9	+1.5	45%	-
vs Weaker (12)	22.3	22.5	44.8	-0.2	42%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.8	19.8	39.6	+0.0	53%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	20.2	18.5	38.7	+1.7	62%	-
Last 30 away (14)	19.4	21.3	40.6	-1.9	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.9	19.2	39.1	+0.7	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.0	20.6	44.6	+3.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (10)	20.1	21.3	41.4	-1.2	40%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)	19.3	18.9	38.2	+0.4	58%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	41.8	40.1	81.9	+1.7	57%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	41.9	37.6	79.4	+4.3	62%	-
Last 30 away (14)	41.7	43.0	84.7	-1.3	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.8	39.1	80.9	+2.7	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	38.0	38.4	76.4	-0.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)	41.3	41.6	82.9	-0.3	43%	-
vs Similar (11)	39.4	38.5	77.8	+0.9	45%	-
vs Weaker (12)	44.3	40.8	85.1	+3.6	75%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	41.9	38.6	80.5	+3.2	60%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	42.1	36.1	78.2	+6.1	75%	-
Last 30 away (14)	41.6	41.6	83.1	+0.0	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.0	39.0	80.0	+2.0	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	44.8	43.2	88.0	+1.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (10)	39.4	42.4	81.8	-3.0	30%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)	43.3	36.7	80.0	+6.6	74%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:

Estudiantestheir own shots, last 10 games

No box scores for this team yet.

Valenciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Valencia: 70.0 points a game scored

🏀🏀54%

🏀🏀🏀39%

🏀

🏀🏀 2-pointers38.0 pts a game · 54% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 39% of the points

🏀 Free throws5.0 pts a game · 7% of the points

League average for comparison: 90.0 points a game

42%

38%

19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	38.0	19.0	50.0%	50.6%	38.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	24.0	9.0	37.5%	41.6%	27.0
🏀 Free throws	7.0	5.0	71.4%	74.8%	5.0

They take 62.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	36.0	16.0	44.4%	50.6%	32.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	27.0	9.0	33.3%	41.6%	27.0
🏀 Free throws	2.0	1.0	50.0%	74.8%	1.0

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	36.0	16.0	44.4%	50.6%	32.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	27.0	9.0	33.3%	41.6%	27.0
🏀 Free throws	2.0	1.0	50.0%	74.8%	1.0

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Estudiantes wins

Valencia wins

Date	Game	Score
15/01/17	Valencia v Estudiantes	93-85
20/03/16	Valencia v Estudiantes	62-68
25/10/15	Estudiantes v Valencia	73-81
01/03/15	Estudiantes v Valencia	76-81
26/10/14	Valencia v Estudiantes	84-67
20/04/14	Estudiantes v Valencia	80-88
27/12/13	Valencia v Estudiantes	96-84
09/03/13	Valencia v Estudiantes	81-71
08/02/13	Valencia v Estudiantes	77-59
27/10/12	Estudiantes v Valencia	85-82

Estudianteslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
09/05/17	A	San Martin	59-89
30/04/17	A	Real Madrid	72-79
30/04/17	H	Hispano Americano	84-79
26/04/17	H	Argentino	72-58
24/04/17	H	Ferro	78-66
23/04/17	A	Gran Canaria	86-104
17/04/17	H	Weber Bahia	75-56
16/04/17	H	Manresa	95-90
14/04/17	A	Gimnasia	92-84
12/04/17	A	Hispano Americano	75-67

Valencialast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
07/05/17	A	MoraBanc Andorra	84-89
29/04/17	H	Obradoiro CAB	85-74
22/04/17	A	Real Betis	90-85
16/04/17	H	Barcelona	76-59
12/04/17	A	Bilbao	75-88
09/04/17	A	Manresa	94-73
05/04/17	H	Unicaja	58-63
31/03/17	A	Unicaja	71-79
28/03/17	H	Unicaja	68-62
25/03/17	H	Unicaja	81-77

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Estudiantes

ACB 2016-17

Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWWLL	40%
Home	WLLWW	60%
Away	LWLLL	20%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	30	15	15
Win %	40%	60%	20%
Points / game	81.8	84.1	79.4
Allowed / game	83.3	82.7	83.8
Point differential	-1.5	+1.4	-4.4
Avg total	165.0	166.9	163.2
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	17%	27%	7%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	56% (9)	100% (4)	20% (5)
Overtime %	3%	7%	0%

Valencia

ACB 2016-17

Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWWWL	73%
Home	WWWWW	93%
Away	WWLWL	53%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	30	15	15
Win %	73%	93%	53%
Points / game	82.8	85.6	80.1
Allowed / game	75.3	71.9	78.8
Point differential	+7.5	+13.7	+1.3
Avg total	158.2	157.5	158.9
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	40%	60%	20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	67% (9)	100% (3)	50% (6)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Real Madrid	30	23	7	77%	87.3	78.1	+9.2
2	Valencia	30	22	8	73%	82.8	75.3	+7.5
3	Barcelona	30	21	9	70%	83.0	76.1	+6.9
4	Baskonia	30	21	9	70%	84.0	77.2	+6.8
5	Unicaja	30	20	10	67%	82.3	77.3	+5.0
6	Tenerife	30	20	10	67%	77.0	72.0	+4.9
7	Gran Canaria	31	20	11	65%	84.6	76.1	+8.6
8	MoraBanc Andorra	30	16	14	53%	82.2	84.1	-1.9
9	Bilbao	30	14	16	47%	77.6	80.5	-2.9
10	Murcia	30	13	17	43%	80.0	80.1	-0.1
11	Estudiantes	30	12	18	40%	81.8	83.3	-1.5
12	Fuenlabrada	31	12	19	39%	77.3	84.2	-6.9
13	Joventut Badalona	31	11	20	35%	76.3	78.8	-2.5
14	Obradoiro CAB	31	11	20	35%	76.4	82.3	-5.9
15	Tecnyconta Zaragoza	30	9	21	30%	78.6	84.2	-5.6
16	Real Betis	30	8	22	27%	75.6	84.2	-8.6
17	Manresa	30	4	26	13%	74.3	87.0	-12.7

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Estudiantes	17	18	22	11	68
Valencia	22	20	21	24	87

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Estudiantes vs Valencia Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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