Valencia vs Real Madrid Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 31 Mar 2011

Tip-off: 18:45

Final 81-72

17-14 23-24 19-17 22-17

Position#18

Record9-10

FormWLWWL

Points / game71.1

Allowed / game71.3

Valencia 🏆

Real Madrid

Position#9

Record13-6

FormLWLWW

Points / game74.5

Allowed / game68.3

EuroleagueEuroleague - Final

European cup2010

Meetings · Valencia v Real Madrid

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Valencia winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Real Madrid winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ValenciaLast 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Tecnyconta Zaragoza

#12

76-72

A27/02

ACB

Fenerbahce

82-68

+14

H03/03

Euroleague

Baloncesto Valladolid

68-64

H06/03

ACB

Baskonia

65-72

-7

A09/03

ACB

Joventut Badalona

#13

94-71

+23

H12/03

ACB

Fuenlabrada

78-74

A19/03

ACB

Real Madrid

65-71

-6

A22/03

Euroleague

Real Madrid

81-75

A24/03

Euroleague

Gipuzkoa

#14

84-75

H27/03

ACB

Real Madrid

66-75

-9

H29/03

Euroleague

19-22

24-18

16-11

17-21

15-15

24-17

20-20

23-16

20-17

23-16

18-16

7-15

12-16

18-18

21-18

14-20

22-19

29-14

14-16

29-22

25-21

15-23

16-14

22-16

18-20

14-13

21-19

12-19

17-19

18-19

24-16

22-21

19-17

22-19

25-14

18-25

19-17

15-14

17-17

15-27

147.6Avg total

75.9Scored

71.7Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (19)	71.1	71.3	142.3	-0.2	47%
Season at home (9)	71.9	69.9	141.8	+2.0	56%
Season away (10)	70.3	72.5	142.8	-2.2	40%
Last 10 (10)	75.9	71.7	147.6	+4.2	70%
Last 5 (5)	74.8	74.0	148.8	+0.8	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	72.6	78.0	150.6	-5.4	20%
vs Similar ◀ (14)	70.6	67.1	137.6	+3.5	71%
vs Weaker (10)	77.3	69.9	147.2	+7.4	90%

This opponent (Real Madrid) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Real MadridLast 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Baloncesto Valladolid

65-74

-9

A27/02

ACB

Siena

77-95

-18

H03/03

Euroleague

Joventut Badalona

#13

78-60

+18

H05/03

ACB

Gipuzkoa

#14

88-78 OT

+10

A10/03

ACB

Alicante

#16

80-62

+18

H13/03

ACB

Unicaja

68-69 OT

-1

A19/03

ACB

Valencia

#18

71-65

H22/03

Euroleague

Valencia

#18

75-81

-6

H24/03

Euroleague

Gran Canaria

74-73

H26/03

ACB

Valencia

#18

75-66

A29/03

Euroleague

9-21

18-13

21-19

17-21

19-26

13-29

19-23

26-17

13-16

20-15

24-16

21-13

25-21

14-14

18-17

19-24

21-17

21-11

18-9

20-25

18-13

14-19

14-8

11-17

20-18

13-14

19-21

19-12

19-17

19-18

16-24

21-22

14-20

21-24

17-13

22-16

17-19

14-15

17-17

27-15

147.4Avg total

75.1Scored

72.3Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (19)	74.5	68.3	142.7	+6.2	68%
Season at home (10)	78.9	68.5	147.4	+10.4	80%
Season away (9)	69.6	68.0	137.6	+1.6	56%
Last 10 (10)	75.1	72.3	147.4	+2.8	60%
Last 5 (5)	72.6	70.8	143.4	+1.8	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	67.5	81.5	149.0	-14.0	0%
vs Similar ◀ (11)	71.5	70.4	141.9	+1.2	64%
vs Weaker (16)	79.6	67.1	146.7	+12.4	88%

This opponent (Valencia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

ValenciaReal Madrid

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.3	17.7	36.0	+0.6	57%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	19.7	18.4	38.1	+1.3	64%	-
Last 30 away (16)	17.1	17.1	34.2	-0.1	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.6	18.3	36.9	+0.3	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.6	18.8	38.4	+0.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	16.4	18.2	34.6	-1.8	20%	-
vs Similar ◀ (14)	18.1	17.1	35.2	+0.9	64%	-
vs Weaker (10)	19.5	18.5	38.0	+1.0	60%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.9	17.9	35.8	-0.0	47%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	18.4	17.8	36.2	+0.6	41%	-
Last 30 away (13)	17.2	18.1	35.3	-0.8	54%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.5	18.8	36.3	-1.3	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.6	17.4	35.0	+0.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	16.0	23.5	39.5	-7.5	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (11)	17.6	18.1	35.7	-0.5	45%	-
vs Weaker (16)	18.6	16.9	35.5	+1.6	56%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.8	16.6	35.3	+2.2	67%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	18.8	14.7	33.5	+4.1	86%	-
Last 30 away (16)	18.8	18.2	36.9	+0.6	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.2	17.1	37.3	+3.1	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.8	17.6	34.4	-0.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	17.8	19.4	37.2	-1.6	40%	-
vs Similar ◀ (14)	17.9	15.3	33.2	+2.6	71%	-
vs Weaker (10)	19.8	17.2	37.0	+2.6	70%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.9	16.7	34.6	+1.2	50%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	19.9	16.8	36.6	+3.1	65%	-
Last 30 away (13)	15.4	16.6	32.0	-1.2	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	16.7	17.2	33.9	-0.5	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.2	18.0	34.2	-1.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	16.0	16.0	32.0	+0.0	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (11)	14.4	19.3	33.6	-4.9	9%	-
vs Weaker (16)	20.2	15.2	35.4	+4.9	75%	-

ValenciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Tecnyconta Zaragoza

#12

43-40

A27/02

ACB

Fenerbahce

39-32

H03/03

Euroleague

Baloncesto Valladolid

43-33

+10

H06/03

ACB

Baskonia

30-34

-4

A09/03

ACB

Joventut Badalona

#13

51-33

+18

H12/03

ACB

Fuenlabrada

40-44

-4

A19/03

ACB

Real Madrid

32-33

-1

A22/03

Euroleague

Real Madrid

35-38

-3

A24/03

Euroleague

Gipuzkoa

#14

41-36

H27/03

ACB

Real Madrid

34-31

H29/03

Euroleague

74.2Avg total

38.8Scored

35.4Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	37.1	34.3	71.4	+2.8	57%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	38.5	33.1	71.6	+5.4	71%	-
Last 30 away (16)	35.8	35.3	71.1	+0.5	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.8	35.4	74.2	+3.4	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	36.4	36.4	72.8	+0.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	34.2	37.6	71.8	-3.4	20%	-
vs Similar ◀ (14)	36.0	32.4	68.4	+3.6	64%	-
vs Weaker (10)	39.3	35.7	75.0	+3.6	60%	-

This opponent (Real Madrid) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Real MadridLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Baloncesto Valladolid

27-34

-7

A27/02

ACB

Siena

32-55

-23

H03/03

Euroleague

Joventut Badalona

#13

33-31

H05/03

ACB

Gipuzkoa

#14

39-35

A10/03

ACB

Alicante

#16

42-28

+14

H13/03

ACB

Unicaja

32-32

A19/03

ACB

Valencia

#18

33-32

H22/03

Euroleague

Valencia

#18

38-35

H24/03

Euroleague

Gran Canaria

35-44

-9

H26/03

ACB

Valencia

#18

31-34

-3

A29/03

Euroleague

70.2Avg total

34.2Scored

36.0Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	35.8	34.6	70.5	+1.2	53%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	38.3	34.6	72.9	+3.7	71%	-
Last 30 away (13)	32.6	34.7	67.3	-2.1	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	34.2	36.0	70.2	-1.8	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	33.8	35.4	69.2	-1.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	32.0	39.5	71.5	-7.5	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (11)	32.0	37.4	69.4	-5.4	27%	-
vs Weaker (16)	38.8	32.2	70.9	+6.6	75%	-

This opponent (Valencia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.4	17.0	34.4	+0.4	50%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	16.6	17.6	34.2	-1.1	29%	-
Last 30 away (16)	18.1	16.4	34.5	+1.6	69%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.2	16.1	35.3	+3.1	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.6	16.0	36.6	+4.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	17.6	17.6	35.2	+0.0	40%	-
vs Similar ◀ (14)	17.4	17.4	34.7	+0.0	43%	-
vs Weaker (10)	17.2	16.5	33.7	+0.7	60%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.5	16.9	35.4	+1.7	63%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	18.5	16.6	35.1	+1.8	65%	-
Last 30 away (13)	18.6	17.2	35.8	+1.5	62%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.3	16.7	35.0	+1.6	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.6	16.6	33.2	+0.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	17.0	21.5	38.5	-4.5	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (11)	18.5	16.7	35.2	+1.7	64%	-
vs Weaker (16)	18.9	16.4	35.2	+2.5	75%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.1	18.3	37.4	+0.8	60%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	19.6	18.3	37.9	+1.4	64%	-
Last 30 away (16)	18.7	18.3	37.0	+0.4	56%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.9	20.2	38.1	-2.3	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.8	21.6	39.4	-3.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	20.8	22.8	43.6	-2.0	20%	-
vs Similar ◀ (14)	17.2	17.3	34.5	-0.1	64%	-
vs Weaker (10)	20.8	17.7	38.5	+3.1	70%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.3	17.2	37.5	+3.1	53%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	21.2	17.4	38.6	+3.9	59%	-
Last 30 away (13)	19.1	17.1	36.2	+2.0	46%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.3	18.2	38.5	+2.1	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.0	16.4	36.4	+3.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	18.5	20.5	39.0	-2.0	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (11)	20.1	15.2	35.3	+4.9	64%	-
vs Weaker (16)	20.6	18.0	38.6	+2.6	50%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	36.5	35.3	71.8	+1.2	67%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	36.2	35.9	72.1	+0.3	64%	-
Last 30 away (16)	36.8	34.8	71.5	+2.0	69%	-
Last 10 (10)	37.1	36.3	73.4	+0.8	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	38.4	37.6	76.0	+0.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	38.4	40.4	78.8	-2.0	40%	-
vs Similar ◀ (14)	34.6	34.6	69.2	-0.1	57%	-
vs Weaker (10)	38.0	34.2	72.2	+3.8	90%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.8	34.1	72.9	+4.7	63%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	39.7	34.0	73.7	+5.7	76%	-
Last 30 away (13)	37.7	34.2	71.9	+3.5	46%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.6	34.9	73.5	+3.7	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	36.6	33.0	69.6	+3.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	35.5	42.0	77.5	-6.5	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (11)	38.5	31.9	70.5	+6.6	64%	-
vs Weaker (16)	39.4	34.4	73.8	+5.1	69%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Valencia wins

Real Madrid wins

Date	Game	Score
29/03/11	Valencia v Real Madrid	66-75
24/03/11	Real Madrid v Valencia	75-81
22/03/11	Real Madrid v Valencia	71-65
19/02/11	Valencia v Real Madrid	59-52
12/02/11	Real Madrid v Valencia	69-59
23/10/10	Real Madrid v Valencia	75-63
13/03/10	Valencia v Real Madrid	67-78
05/12/09	Real Madrid v Valencia	77-66
22/03/09	Real Madrid v Valencia	80-76
19/11/08	Valencia v Real Madrid	82-66

Valencialast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
29/03/11	H	Real Madrid	66-75
27/03/11	H	Gipuzkoa	84-75
24/03/11	A	Real Madrid	81-75
22/03/11	A	Real Madrid	65-71
19/03/11	A	Fuenlabrada	78-74
12/03/11	H	Joventut Badalona	94-71
09/03/11	A	Baskonia	65-72
06/03/11	H	Baloncesto Valladolid	68-64
03/03/11	H	Fenerbahce	82-68
27/02/11	A	Tecnyconta Zaragoza	76-72

Real Madridlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
29/03/11	A	Valencia	75-66
26/03/11	H	Gran Canaria	74-73
24/03/11	H	Valencia	75-81
22/03/11	H	Valencia	71-65
19/03/11	A	Unicaja	68-69 OT
13/03/11	H	Alicante	80-62
10/03/11	A	Gipuzkoa	88-78 OT
05/03/11	H	Joventut Badalona	78-60
03/03/11	H	Siena	77-95
27/02/11	A	Baloncesto Valladolid	65-74

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Valencia

Euroleague 2010

Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWLWL	47%
Home	WWLWL	56%
Away	LLWLW	40%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	19	9	10
Win %	47%	56%	40%
Points / game	71.1	71.9	70.3
Allowed / game	71.3	69.9	72.5
Point differential	-0.2	+2.0	-2.2
Avg total	142.3	141.8	142.8
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	21%	33%	10%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	50% (4)	100% (1)	33% (3)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Real Madrid

Euroleague 2010

Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLWLW	68%
Home	WWLWL	80%
Away	LWWWW	56%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	19	10	9
Win %	68%	80%	56%
Points / game	74.5	78.9	69.6
Allowed / game	68.3	68.5	68.0
Point differential	+6.2	+10.4	+1.6
Avg total	142.7	147.4	137.6
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	42%	50%	33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	75% (4)	100% (2)	50% (2)
Overtime %	11%	20%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Unics Kazan	4	3	1	75%	76.5	70.2	+6.2
2	Maccabi Tel Aviv	19	14	5	74%	81.3	71.5	+9.7
3	Siena	19	14	5	74%	75.9	68.9	+7.0
4	Barcelona	19	14	5	74%	77.1	70.7	+6.4
5	Panathinaikos	19	13	6	68%	78.3	69.8	+8.5
6	Olympiacos	19	13	6	68%	78.5	71.2	+7.4
7	Real Madrid	19	13	6	68%	74.5	68.3	+6.2
8	Khimki M.	16	10	6	62%	77.8	71.2	+6.5
9	Fenerbahce	16	10	6	62%	78.2	74.1	+4.1
10	Baskonia	19	10	9	53%	78.6	76.6	+2.1
11	Vrsac	4	2	2	50%	79.8	79.0	+0.8
12	Buducnost	2	1	1	50%	67.0	67.0	+0.0
13	Lyon-Villeurbanne	4	2	2	50%	70.0	70.5	-0.5
14	Gilboa Galil	2	1	1	50%	85.0	87.0	-2.0
15	Le Mans	6	3	3	50%	71.0	73.5	-2.5
16	Roanne	2	1	1	50%	84.0	87.0	-3.0
17	Nymburk	2	1	1	50%	70.5	75.0	-4.5
18	Valencia	19	9	10	47%	71.1	71.3	-0.2
19	Rytas	16	7	9	44%	76.5	78.6	-2.1
20	Anadolu Efes	16	7	9	44%	73.9	76.4	-2.6
21	Petrol Olimpija	16	7	9	44%	73.9	79.0	-5.1
22	Virtus Roma	16	7	9	44%	71.5	77.0	-5.5
23	Bamberg	10	4	6	40%	71.4	73.9	-2.5
24	Olimpia Milano	10	4	6	40%	73.7	76.6	-2.9
25	Cholet	10	4	6	40%	70.5	77.4	-6.9
26	Zalgiris Kaunas	16	6	10	38%	73.8	76.9	-3.2
27	Spirou Charleroi	16	6	10	38%	71.1	74.9	-3.8
28	Unicaja	16	6	10	38%	72.7	77.1	-4.4
29	Partizan	16	6	10	38%	65.4	71.4	-6.0
30	Alba Berlin	6	2	4	33%	77.8	77.3	+0.5
31	CSKA Moscow	10	3	7	30%	68.3	74.1	-5.8
32	Gdynia	10	2	8	20%	68.9	76.2	-7.3
33	Banvit	2	0	2	0%	69.0	78.0	-9.0
34	Caserta	2	0	2	0%	70.0	81.0	-11.0
35	Donar Groningen	2	0	2	0%	67.5	81.0	-13.5
36	Budivelnyk	2	0	2	0%	62.5	80.5	-18.0
37	Cibona	10	0	10	0%	67.7	85.8	-18.1

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 37 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Valencia	17	23	19	22	81
Real Madrid	14	24	17	17	72

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Valencia vs Real Madrid Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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