Real Madrid vs Estudiantes Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 30 Apr 2017

Tip-off: 16:30

Final 79-72

23-20 17-15 21-15 18-22

Position#1

Record20-7

FormWWLWW

Points / game87.1

Allowed / game78.3

Real Madrid 🏆

Estudiantes

Position#11

Record12-17

FormWLWWW

Points / game82.1

Allowed / game83.4

ACBRound 31

Domestic2016-17

Meetings · Real Madrid v Estudiantes

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Real Madrid winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Estudiantes winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Real Madrid Spain

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Bilbao

#10

104-76

104

+28

H26/03

ACB

Fenerbahce

61-56

H31/03

Euroleague

Fuenlabrada

#12

101-99

101

A02/04

ACB

Anadolu Efes

97-80

+17

H07/04

Euroleague

Baskonia

86-82

H09/04

ACB

Real Betis

#16

87-76

+11

H15/04

ACB

Darussafaka

83-75

H19/04

Euroleague

Darussafaka

80-84

-4

H21/04

Euroleague

Darussafaka

88-81

A26/04

Euroleague

Darussafaka

89-78

+11

A28/04

Euroleague

23-20

23-19

27-22

31-15

20-16

9-16

19-11

13-13

22-26

28-30

30-24

21-19

16-21

21-15

25-24

35-20

16-18

24-19

25-22

21-23

25-14

21-19

17-22

24-21

16-24

20-13

25-16

22-22

19-22

30-22

12-18

26-17

20-16

24-25

18-23

24-21

21-17

27-20

17-20

166.3Avg total

87.6Scored

78.7Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (27)	87.1	78.3	165.4	+8.8	74%
Season at home (14)	91.6	76.6	168.3	+15.0	93%
Season away (13)	82.2	80.1	162.3	+2.2	54%
Last 10 (10)	87.6	78.7	166.3	+8.9	90%
Last 5 (5)	85.4	78.8	164.2	+6.6	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (9)	81.3	79.9	161.2	+1.4	78%
vs Weaker ◀ (20)	88.7	80.2	168.9	+8.5	75%

This opponent (Estudiantes) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Estudiantes Spain

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Obras Sanitarias

#13

60-64

-4

H08/04

Liga A

Murcia

109-84

109

+25

H09/04

ACB

Hispano Americano

#17

75-67

A12/04

Liga A

Gimnasia

#11

92-84

A14/04

Liga A

Manresa

#17

95-90

H16/04

ACB

Weber Bahia

75-56

+19

H17/04

Liga A

Gran Canaria

86-104

104

-18

A23/04

ACB

Ferro

78-66

+12

H24/04

Liga A

Argentino

#10

72-58

+14

H26/04

Liga A

Hispano Americano

#17

84-79

H30/04

Liga A

16-14

8-14

17-16

19-20

28-30

22-19

27-17

32-18

18-20

19-12

25-16

13-19

24-18

18-29

26-18

24-19

28-24

17-20

23-21

27-25

13-13

25-16

16-13

21-14

17-29

16-21

27-26

26-28

16-14

18-21

21-20

23-11

15-10

24-15

19-10

14-23

24-23

14-17

25-16

21-23

157.8Avg total

82.6Scored

75.2Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (29)	82.1	83.4	165.5	-1.3	41%
Season at home (15)	84.1	82.7	166.9	+1.4	60%
Season away (14)	79.9	84.1	164.1	-4.2	21%
Last 10 (10)	82.6	75.2	157.8	+7.4	80%
Last 5 (5)	79.0	72.6	151.6	+6.4	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)	74.8	81.5	156.3	-6.7	33%
vs Similar (11)	77.6	73.8	151.5	+3.8	64%
vs Weaker (13)	83.8	75.8	159.5	+8.0	85%

This opponent (Real Madrid) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

Real MadridEstudiantes

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.2	19.9	41.1	+1.3	50%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	20.8	19.4	40.1	+1.4	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	21.7	20.6	42.3	+1.1	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.7	19.9	40.6	+0.8	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.0	19.6	41.6	+2.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (9)	18.2	20.3	38.6	-2.1	22%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)	22.9	19.6	42.5	+3.2	65%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.3	18.8	39.0	+1.5	63%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	20.1	18.5	38.6	+1.6	59%	-
Last 30 away (13)	20.5	19.1	39.5	+1.4	69%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.9	19.5	39.4	+0.4	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.0	17.8	34.8	-0.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)	16.3	19.8	36.2	-3.5	33%	-
vs Similar (11)	20.5	18.9	39.4	+1.5	64%	-
vs Weaker (13)	21.9	18.2	40.1	+3.8	77%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.3	19.6	40.8	+1.7	57%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	21.3	19.9	41.2	+1.4	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	21.2	19.2	40.4	+2.0	57%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.6	18.6	39.2	+2.0	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.2	17.4	37.6	+2.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (9)	20.9	19.0	39.9	+1.9	56%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)	21.6	19.8	41.4	+1.8	60%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	16.7	17.5	34.2	-0.7	37%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	16.4	16.4	32.7	+0.0	41%	-
Last 30 away (13)	17.2	18.9	36.2	-1.7	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.1	18.4	36.5	-0.3	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.4	18.0	37.4	+1.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)	15.0	18.5	33.5	-3.5	17%	-
vs Similar (11)	15.8	16.6	32.5	-0.8	36%	-
vs Weaker (13)	18.3	17.7	36.0	+0.6	46%	-

Real MadridLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Bilbao

#10

46-39

H26/03

ACB

Fenerbahce

29-32

-3

H31/03

Euroleague

Fuenlabrada

#12

50-56

-6

A02/04

ACB

Anadolu Efes

37-36

H07/04

Euroleague

Baskonia

40-37

H09/04

ACB

Real Betis

#16

46-33

+13

H15/04

ACB

Darussafaka

36-37

-1

H19/04

Euroleague

Darussafaka

38-44

-6

H21/04

Euroleague

Darussafaka

46-33

+13

A26/04

Euroleague

Darussafaka

45-38

A28/04

Euroleague

79.8Avg total

41.3Scored

38.5Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	42.5	39.5	82.0	+3.0	57%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	42.1	39.2	81.3	+2.8	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	42.9	39.8	82.7	+3.1	57%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.3	38.5	79.8	+2.8	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	42.2	37.0	79.2	+5.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (9)	39.1	39.3	78.4	-0.2	44%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)	44.5	39.4	83.8	+5.1	65%	-

This opponent (Estudiantes) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

EstudiantesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Obras Sanitarias

#13

24-28

-4

H08/04

Liga A

Murcia

50-49

H09/04

ACB

Hispano Americano

#17

37-32

A12/04

Liga A

Gimnasia

#11

42-47

-5

A14/04

Liga A

Manresa

#17

45-44

H16/04

ACB

Weber Bahia

38-29

H17/04

Liga A

Gran Canaria

33-50

-17

A23/04

ACB

Ferro

34-35

-1

H24/04

Liga A

Argentino

#10

39-25

+14

H26/04

Liga A

Hispano Americano

#17

38-40

-2

H30/04

Liga A

75.9Avg total

38.0Scored

37.9Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	37.0	36.2	73.2	+0.8	50%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	36.5	34.9	71.4	+1.6	59%	-
Last 30 away (13)	37.7	38.0	75.7	-0.3	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.0	37.9	75.9	+0.1	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	36.4	35.8	72.2	+0.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)	31.3	38.3	69.7	-7.0	17%	-
vs Similar (11)	36.3	35.5	71.8	+0.7	45%	-
vs Weaker (13)	40.2	35.8	76.1	+4.4	69%	-

This opponent (Real Madrid) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.9	20.3	42.3	+1.6	60%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	23.1	19.6	42.7	+3.4	69%	-
Last 30 away (14)	20.6	21.1	41.8	-0.5	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	24.9	20.8	45.7	+4.1	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.6	21.0	45.6	+3.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (9)	21.9	18.7	40.6	+3.2	78%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)	21.9	21.3	43.2	+0.6	50%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.8	19.4	40.1	+1.4	67%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	20.7	18.2	38.9	+2.5	71%	-
Last 30 away (13)	20.8	20.8	41.7	+0.0	62%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.6	17.3	39.9	+5.3	100%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.6	17.0	38.6	+4.6	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)	22.0	22.7	44.7	-0.7	50%	-
vs Similar (11)	19.3	19.5	38.8	-0.3	55%	-
vs Weaker (13)	21.5	17.7	39.2	+3.8	85%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.5	20.1	41.6	+1.4	57%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	22.4	19.8	42.2	+2.7	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	20.5	20.5	41.0	+0.0	57%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.4	19.4	40.8	+2.0	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.6	20.8	39.4	-2.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (9)	18.8	20.8	39.6	-2.0	22%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)	22.4	19.4	41.8	+2.9	70%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.2	20.1	41.3	+1.1	47%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	20.9	19.4	40.4	+1.5	47%	-
Last 30 away (13)	21.5	20.9	42.5	+0.6	46%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.0	20.0	42.0	+2.0	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.0	19.8	40.8	+1.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)	20.0	19.3	39.3	+0.7	50%	-
vs Similar (11)	20.8	17.9	38.7	+2.9	55%	-
vs Weaker (13)	22.1	22.2	44.3	-0.2	38%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	43.5	40.4	83.9	+3.0	57%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	45.5	39.4	84.9	+6.1	75%	-
Last 30 away (14)	41.1	41.6	82.8	-0.5	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	46.3	40.2	86.5	+6.1	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	43.2	41.8	85.0	+1.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (9)	40.7	39.4	80.1	+1.2	44%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)	44.2	40.8	85.0	+3.5	60%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	42.0	39.4	81.4	+2.5	60%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	41.6	37.6	79.3	+4.0	59%	-
Last 30 away (13)	42.4	41.8	84.2	+0.6	62%	-
Last 10 (10)	44.6	37.3	81.9	+7.3	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	42.6	36.8	79.4	+5.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)	42.0	42.0	84.0	+0.0	50%	-
vs Similar (11)	40.1	37.5	77.5	+2.6	45%	-
vs Weaker (13)	43.5	39.9	83.5	+3.6	77%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:

Real Madridtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Real Madrid: 83.6 points a game scored

🏀🏀50%

🏀🏀🏀34%

🏀15%

🏀🏀 2-pointers42.2 pts a game · 50% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.5 pts a game · 34% of the points

🏀 Free throws12.9 pts a game · 15% of the points

League average for comparison: 89.8 points a game

42%

38%

19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	36.1	21.1	58.4%	50.7%	42.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	24.9	9.5	38.2%	41.4%	28.5
🏀 Free throws	17.0	12.9	75.9%	74.8%	12.9

They take 61.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Estudiantestheir own shots, last 10 games

No box scores for this team yet.

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	37.6	18.5	49.2%	50.7%	37.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	23.7	7.8	32.9%	41.4%	23.4
🏀 Free throws	18.7	14.0	74.9%	74.8%	14.0

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	37.2	20.7	55.6%	50.7%	41.3
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	26.1	10.0	38.2%	41.4%	29.9
🏀 Free throws	17.5	13.3	76.3%	74.8%	13.3

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	39.5	19.4	49.2%	50.7%	38.9
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	22.7	8.1	35.8%	41.4%	24.4
🏀 Free throws	18.4	14.0	76.0%	74.8%	14.0

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Real Madrid wins

Estudiantes wins

Date	Game	Score
23/10/16	Estudiantes v Real Madrid	88-96
07/02/16	Real Madrid v Estudiantes	97-79
08/11/15	Estudiantes v Real Madrid	75-80
29/03/15	Real Madrid v Estudiantes	92-66
07/12/14	Estudiantes v Real Madrid	89-84
13/04/14	Estudiantes v Real Madrid	64-71
24/11/13	Real Madrid v Estudiantes	72-57
05/05/13	Real Madrid v Estudiantes	93-82
09/12/12	Estudiantes v Real Madrid	74-87
22/04/12	Real Madrid v Estudiantes	85-80

Real Madridlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
28/04/17	A	Darussafaka	89-78
26/04/17	A	Darussafaka	88-81
21/04/17	H	Darussafaka	80-84
19/04/17	H	Darussafaka	83-75
15/04/17	H	Real Betis	87-76
09/04/17	H	Baskonia	86-82
07/04/17	H	Anadolu Efes	97-80
02/04/17	A	Fuenlabrada	101-99
31/03/17	H	Fenerbahce	61-56
26/03/17	H	Bilbao	104-76

Estudianteslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
30/04/17	H	Hispano Americano	84-79
26/04/17	H	Argentino	72-58
24/04/17	H	Ferro	78-66
23/04/17	A	Gran Canaria	86-104
17/04/17	H	Weber Bahia	75-56
16/04/17	H	Manresa	95-90
14/04/17	A	Gimnasia	92-84
12/04/17	A	Hispano Americano	75-67
09/04/17	H	Murcia	109-84
08/04/17	H	Obras Sanitarias	60-64

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Real Madrid

ACB 2016-17

Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWWWW	74%
Home	LWWWW	93%
Away	WLLLW	54%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	27	14	13
Win %	74%	93%	54%
Points / game	87.1	91.6	82.2
Allowed / game	78.3	76.6	80.1
Point differential	+8.8	+15.0	+2.2
Avg total	165.4	168.3	162.3
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	41%	64%	15%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	71% (7)	100% (3)	50% (4)
Overtime %	4%	7%	0%

Estudiantes

ACB 2016-17

Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLWWL	41%
Home	WLLWW	60%
Away	WLWLL	21%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	29	15	14
Win %	41%	60%	21%
Points / game	82.1	84.1	79.9
Allowed / game	83.4	82.7	84.1
Point differential	-1.3	+1.4	-4.2
Avg total	165.5	166.9	164.1
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	17%	27%	7%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	56% (9)	100% (4)	20% (5)
Overtime %	3%	7%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Valencia	29	22	7	76%	82.8	74.9	+7.9
2	Real Madrid	27	20	7	74%	87.1	78.3	+8.8
3	Baskonia	28	20	8	71%	84.6	77.3	+7.3
4	Barcelona	29	20	9	69%	82.9	76.9	+6.0
5	Tenerife	28	19	9	68%	77.0	71.8	+5.3
6	Unicaja	29	19	10	66%	82.4	77.3	+5.0
7	Gran Canaria	30	19	11	63%	85.0	76.5	+8.5
8	MoraBanc Andorra	29	15	14	52%	82.0	84.1	-2.1
9	Bilbao	29	14	15	48%	77.7	80.6	-2.9
10	Murcia	29	13	16	45%	80.6	80.3	+0.2
11	Estudiantes	29	12	17	41%	82.1	83.4	-1.3
12	Fuenlabrada	29	12	17	41%	78.6	84.4	-5.8
13	Joventut Badalona	30	10	20	33%	75.5	79.2	-3.8
14	Tecnyconta Zaragoza	29	9	20	31%	78.6	83.7	-5.1
15	Obradoiro CAB	29	9	20	31%	76.0	83.4	-7.4
16	Real Betis	29	8	21	28%	75.9	84.1	-8.2
17	Manresa	28	4	24	14%	74.4	86.4	-12.0

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Real Madrid	23	17	21	18	79
Estudiantes	20	15	15	22	72

← all games of the day

Real Madrid vs Estudiantes Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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