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Fairfield vs Central Connecticut State Prediction & Stats

Date: Sun 29 Nov 2026
Tip-off: 19:00
Scheduled
Position#245
Record2-2
FormLLWLW
Points / game60.0
Allowed / game71.8
vs
Position#247
Record2-2
FormLLLWW
Points / game65.5
Allowed / game79.0
USANCAA
Other2026-27
Meetings · Fairfield v Central Connecticut State
29 Nov 2026
FAIR v CENT
upcoming
18 Dec 2024
FAIR63
CENT64
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Fairfield win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Central Connecticut State win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

FairfieldUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Quinnipiac
#123
W
85-79
85
79
+6
A22/02
NCAA
Siena
#78
W
72-58
72
58
+14
H28/02
NCAA
Mount St. Mary's
#242
L
47-69
47
69
-22
H01/03
NCAA
Manhattan
#296
W
71-60
71
60
+11
H06/03
NCAA
St. Peters
#134
W
74-55
74
55
+19
A07/03
NCAA
Siena
#78
L
61-76
61
76
-15
A09/03
NCAA
Vermont
#193
L
67-79
67
79
-12
H06/11
NCAA
Bryant University
#340
W
68-59
68
59
+9
A08/11
NCAA
Wisconsin
#50
L
42-89
42
89
-47
A11/11
NCAA
NJIT
#345
W
63-60
63
60
+3
H15/11
NCAA
1H
2H
39-36
46-43
37-23
35-35
25-39
22-30
31-27
40-33
30-30
44-25
30-40
31-36
25-38
42-41
26-30
42-29
20-52
22-37
30-32
33-28
133.4Avg total
65.0Scored
68.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)60.071.8131.8-11.850%
Season at home (2)65.069.5134.5-4.550%
Season away (2)55.074.0129.0-19.050%
Last 10 (10)65.068.4133.4-3.460%
Last 5 (5)60.272.6132.8-12.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)54.584.0138.5-29.50%
vs Similar ◀ (15)70.970.5141.4+0.353%
vs Weaker (13)76.267.1143.3+9.277%
This opponent (Central Connecticut State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Central Connecticut StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Fairleigh Dickinson
#315
W
63-57
63
57
+6
A14/02
NCAA
Le Moyne
#240
W
78-77
78
77
+1
H20/02
NCAA
Chicago State
#363
L
51-70
51
70
-19
A21/02
NCAA
Mercyhurst Lakers
#206
W
80-78
80
78
+2
H27/02
NCAA
St. Francis (PA)
#359
W
69-64
69
64
+5
H28/02
NCAA
Wagner
#249
L
60-70
60
70
-10
H05/03
NCAA
Temple
#288
L
56-68
56
68
-12
A02/11
NCAA
Syracuse
#148
L
49-102
49
102
-53
A06/11
NCAA
Dartmouth
#106
W
78-71 OT
78
71
+7
A08/11
NCAA
Sacred Heart
#187
W
79-75
79
75
+4
A13/11
NCAA
1H
2H
30-25
33-32
39-34
39-43
25-28
26-42
34-30
46-48
32-29
37-35
35-31
25-39
16-36
40-32
23-47
26-55
33-30
33-36
31-43
48-32
139.5Avg total
66.3Scored
73.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)65.579.0144.5-13.550%
Season at homeno games
Season away (4)65.579.0144.5-13.550%
Last 10 (10)66.373.2139.5-6.960%
Last 5 (5)64.477.2141.6-12.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)65.579.0144.5-13.550%
vs Similar ◀ (11)69.373.6142.9-4.445%
vs Weaker (15)76.769.9146.5+6.873%
This opponent (Fairfield) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-7-3+0+3+71st half1st half: -5.4-5.41st half: -3.5-3.52nd half2nd half: +2.0+2.02nd half: -4.1-4.1
-7-3+0+3+71st half1st half: -5.4-5.41st half: -3.5-3.52nd half2nd half: +2.0+2.02nd half: -4.1-4.1
FairfieldCentral Connecticut State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
FairfieldLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Quinnipiac
#123
W
39-36
39
36
+3
A22/02
NCAA
Siena
#78
W
37-23
37
23
+14
H28/02
NCAA
Mount St. Mary's
#242
L
25-39
25
39
-14
H01/03
NCAA
Manhattan
#296
W
31-27
31
27
+4
H06/03
NCAA
St. Peters
#134
D
30-30
30
30
+0
A07/03
NCAA
Siena
#78
L
30-40
30
40
-10
A09/03
NCAA
Vermont
#193
L
25-38
25
38
-13
H06/11
NCAA
Bryant University
#340
L
26-30
26
30
-4
A08/11
NCAA
Wisconsin
#50
L
20-52
20
52
-32
A11/11
NCAA
NJIT
#345
L
30-32
30
32
-2
H15/11
NCAA
64.0Avg total
29.3Scored
34.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.733.567.2+0.247%-
Last 30 at home (15)34.730.164.7+4.667%-
Last 30 away (15)32.736.969.7-4.227%-
Last 10 (10)29.334.764.0-5.430%-
Last 5 (5)26.238.464.6-12.20%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)22.545.067.5-22.50%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)32.934.066.9-1.140%-
vs Weaker (13)36.431.267.5+5.262%-
This opponent (Central Connecticut State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Central Connecticut StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Fairleigh Dickinson
#315
W
30-25
30
25
+5
A14/02
NCAA
Le Moyne
#240
W
39-34
39
34
+5
H20/02
NCAA
Chicago State
#363
L
25-28
25
28
-3
A21/02
NCAA
Mercyhurst Lakers
#206
W
34-30
34
30
+4
H27/02
NCAA
St. Francis (PA)
#359
W
32-29
32
29
+3
H28/02
NCAA
Wagner
#249
W
35-31
35
31
+4
H05/03
NCAA
Temple
#288
L
16-36
16
36
-20
A02/11
NCAA
Syracuse
#148
L
23-47
23
47
-24
A06/11
NCAA
Dartmouth
#106
W
33-30
33
30
+3
A08/11
NCAA
Sacred Heart
#187
L
31-43
31
43
-12
A13/11
NCAA
63.1Avg total
29.8Scored
33.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.233.266.4-0.163%-
Last 30 at home (13)36.832.969.8+3.977%-
Last 30 away (17)30.433.563.8-3.153%-
Last 10 (10)29.833.363.1-3.560%-
Last 5 (5)27.637.465.0-9.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)25.839.064.8-13.225%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)32.333.365.5-1.055%-
vs Weaker (15)35.831.767.5+4.180%-
This opponent (Fairfield) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Fairfield wins
1
Central Connecticut State wins
Fairfieldlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/11/26HNJIT63-60
11/11/26AWisconsin42-89
08/11/26ABryant University68-59
06/11/26HVermont67-79
09/03/26ASiena61-76
07/03/26ASt. Peters74-55
06/03/26HManhattan71-60
01/03/26HMount St. Mary's47-69
28/02/26HSiena72-58
22/02/26AQuinnipiac85-79
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/11/26ASacred Heart79-75
08/11/26ADartmouth78-71 OT
06/11/26ASyracuse49-102
02/11/26ATemple56-68
05/03/26HWagner60-70
28/02/26HSt. Francis (PA)69-64
27/02/26HMercyhurst Lakers80-78
21/02/26AChicago State51-70
20/02/26HLe Moyne78-77
14/02/26AFairleigh Dickinson63-57

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Fairfield
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLW50%
HomeLW50%
AwayWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %50%50%50%
Points / game60.065.055.0
Allowed / game71.869.574.0
Point differential-11.8-4.5-19.0
Avg total131.8134.5129.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Central Connecticut State
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWW50%
Home--
AwayLLWW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games4-4
Win %50%-50%
Points / game65.5-65.5
Allowed / game79.0-79.0
Point differential-13.5--13.5
Avg total144.5-144.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%-0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %25%-25%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Metro Atlantic Athletic conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Siena43175%83.877.8+6.0
2 Sacred Heart42250%84.868.2+16.5
3 Merrimack Warriors42250%62.865.8-3.0
4 Canisius42250%77.281.5-4.2
5 Quinnipiac42250%68.575.5-7.0
6 Fairfield42250%60.071.8-11.8
7 Iona52340%64.869.6-4.8
8 Mount St. Mary's31233%60.778.7-18.0
9 Marist41325%67.869.2-1.5
10 Manhattan41325%63.873.8-10.0
11 Rider51420%64.077.6-13.6
12 St. Peters4040%47.563.8-16.2
13 Niagara3030%63.084.0-21.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Northeast conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Le Moyne42250%76.072.5+3.5
2 Central Connecticut State42250%65.579.0-13.5
3 Chicago State52340%68.078.8-10.8
4 Fairleigh Dickinson52340%68.285.0-16.8
5 New Haven Chargers31233%58.370.0-11.7
6 Wagner41325%66.273.2-7.0
7 Mercyhurst Lakers41325%61.270.8-9.5
8 Stonehill41325%59.875.5-15.8
9 LIU Sharks5050%60.875.0-14.2
10 St. Francis (ILL)1010%47.096.0-49.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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