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Fairfield vs Merrimack Warriors Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 26 Jan 2025
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 54-75
23-47 31-28
Position#307
Record8-11
FormWLWLW
Points / game69.5
Allowed / game73.5
vs
Position#164
Record10-9
FormWWLWW
Points / game64.0
Allowed / game65.2
USANCAA
Other2024-25
Meetings · Fairfield v Merrimack Warriors
10 Jan 2027
FAIR v MERR
upcoming
25 Jan 2025
FAIR54
MERR75
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Fairfield winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Merrimack Warriors winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

FairfieldUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Mount St. Mary's
#112
L
94-101
94
101
-7
A08/12
NCAA
Central Connecticut State
#24
L
63-64
63
64
-1
H19/12
NCAA
Monmouth
#299
L
74-88
74
88
-14
A21/12
NCAA
Columbia
#260
L
72-85
72
85
-13
A28/12
NCAA
Merrimack Warriors
#164
L
54-67
54
67
-13
A03/01
NCAA
Iona
#209
W
68-64
68
64
+4
H11/01
NCAA
Marist
#80
L
51-61
51
61
-10
A12/01
NCAA
Niagara
#315
W
70-66
70
66
+4
H17/01
NCAA
Canisius
#369
L
67-78
67
78
-11
H18/01
NCAA
Manhattan
#150
W
87-84 OT
87
84
+3
A24/01
NCAA
1H
2H
39-49
55-52
30-30
33-34
33-43
41-45
41-32
31-53
24-38
30-29
34-30
34-34
25-25
26-36
35-22
35-44
32-36
35-42
37-36
35-36
145.8Avg total
70.0Scored
75.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)69.573.5142.9-4.042%
Season at home (9)71.669.2140.8+2.356%
Season away (10)67.677.3144.9-9.730%
Last 10 (10)70.075.8145.8-5.830%
Last 5 (5)68.670.6139.2-2.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)64.073.2137.2-9.233%
vs Similar (9)74.476.6151.0-2.156%
vs Weaker (7)74.069.0143.0+5.071%
This opponent (Merrimack Warriors) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Merrimack WarriorsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Niagara
#315
W
80-62
80
62
+18
A08/12
NCAA
Boston University
#211
W
64-61
64
61
+3
H14/12
NCAA
Stanford
#127
L
68-74
68
74
-6
A18/12
NCAA
St. Marys (CA)
#14
L
68-73
68
73
-5
A20/12
NCAA
Fairfield
#307
W
67-54
67
54
+13
H03/01
NCAA
Sacred Heart
#240
W
66-65
66
65
+1
A10/01
NCAA
Manhattan
#150
W
69-62
69
62
+7
H12/01
NCAA
Quinnipiac
#126
L
76-81
76
81
-5
A17/01
NCAA
Siena
#256
W
64-58
64
58
+6
H18/01
NCAA
St. Peters
#259
W
48-37
48
37
+11
A24/01
NCAA
1H
2H
40-21
40-41
29-21
35-40
30-39
38-35
26-32
42-41
38-24
29-30
39-28
27-37
32-28
37-34
34-41
42-40
37-32
27-26
24-27
24-10
129.7Avg total
67.0Scored
62.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)64.065.2129.2-1.253%
Season at home (7)65.761.4127.1+4.371%
Season away (12)63.067.3130.3-4.342%
Last 10 (10)67.062.7129.7+4.370%
Last 5 (5)64.660.6125.2+4.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)60.768.0128.7-7.333%
vs Similar (18)64.365.4129.7-1.250%
vs Weaker ◀ (9)72.862.1134.9+10.7100%
This opponent (Fairfield) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: -1.1-1.11st half: +3.6+3.62nd half2nd half: -5.0-5.02nd half: +0.7+0.7
-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: -1.1-1.11st half: +3.6+3.62nd half2nd half: -5.0-5.02nd half: +0.7+0.7
FairfieldMerrimack Warriors
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
FairfieldLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Mount St. Mary's
#112
L
39-49
39
49
-10
A08/12
NCAA
Central Connecticut State
#24
D
30-30
30
30
+0
H19/12
NCAA
Monmouth
#299
L
33-43
33
43
-10
A21/12
NCAA
Columbia
#260
W
41-32
41
32
+9
A28/12
NCAA
Merrimack Warriors
#164
L
24-38
24
38
-14
A03/01
NCAA
Iona
#209
W
34-30
34
30
+4
H11/01
NCAA
Marist
#80
D
25-25
25
25
+0
A12/01
NCAA
Niagara
#315
W
35-22
35
22
+13
H17/01
NCAA
Canisius
#369
L
32-36
32
36
-4
H18/01
NCAA
Manhattan
#150
W
37-36
37
36
+1
A24/01
NCAA
67.1Avg total
33.0Scored
34.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.233.867.1-0.647%-
Last 30 at home (16)32.431.063.4+1.450%-
Last 30 away (14)34.237.171.3-2.943%-
Last 10 (10)33.034.167.1-1.140%-
Last 5 (5)32.629.862.4+2.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)29.034.563.5-5.525%-
vs Similar (9)36.034.270.2+1.856%-
vs Weaker (7)34.031.965.9+2.171%-
This opponent (Merrimack Warriors) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Merrimack WarriorsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Niagara
#315
W
40-21
40
21
+19
A08/12
NCAA
Boston University
#211
W
29-21
29
21
+8
H14/12
NCAA
Stanford
#127
L
30-39
30
39
-9
A18/12
NCAA
St. Marys (CA)
#14
L
26-32
26
32
-6
A20/12
NCAA
Fairfield
#307
W
38-24
38
24
+14
H03/01
NCAA
Sacred Heart
#240
W
39-28
39
28
+11
A10/01
NCAA
Manhattan
#150
W
32-28
32
28
+4
H12/01
NCAA
Quinnipiac
#126
L
34-41
34
41
-7
A17/01
NCAA
Siena
#256
W
37-32
37
32
+5
H18/01
NCAA
St. Peters
#259
L
24-27
24
27
-3
A24/01
NCAA
62.2Avg total
32.9Scored
29.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.830.963.7+1.960%-
Last 30 at home (14)33.828.962.7+4.979%-
Last 30 away (16)31.932.664.5-0.844%-
Last 10 (10)32.929.362.2+3.660%-
Last 5 (5)33.231.264.4+2.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)28.734.062.7-5.333%-
vs Similar (18)32.831.464.2+1.461%-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)34.028.962.9+5.167%-
This opponent (Fairfield) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Fairfield wins
1
Merrimack Warriors wins
DateGameScore
03/01/25Merrimack Warriors v Fairfield67-54
Fairfieldlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/01/25AManhattan87-84 OT
18/01/25HCanisius67-78
17/01/25HNiagara70-66
12/01/25AMarist51-61
11/01/25HIona68-64
03/01/25AMerrimack Warriors54-67
28/12/24AColumbia72-85
21/12/24AMonmouth74-88
19/12/24HCentral Connecticut State63-64
08/12/24AMount St. Mary's94-101
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/01/25ASt. Peters48-37
18/01/25HSiena64-58
17/01/25AQuinnipiac76-81
12/01/25HManhattan69-62
10/01/25ASacred Heart66-65
03/01/25HFairfield67-54
20/12/24ASt. Marys (CA)68-73
18/12/24AStanford68-74
14/12/24HBoston University64-61
08/12/24ANiagara80-62

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Fairfield
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW42%
HomeWLWWL56%
AwayLLLLW30%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19910
Win %42%56%30%
Points / game69.571.667.6
Allowed / game73.569.277.3
Point differential-4.0+2.3-9.7
Avg total142.9140.8144.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+5%11%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won86% (7)80% (5)100% (2)
Overtime %5%0%10%
Merrimack Warriors
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW53%
HomeLWWWW71%
AwayLLWLW42%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19712
Win %53%71%42%
Points / game64.065.763.0
Allowed / game65.261.467.3
Point differential-1.2+4.3-4.3
Avg total129.2127.1130.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+21%29%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)50% (2)50% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Metro Atlantic Athletic conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Marist1815383%68.463.6+4.9
2 Quinnipiac2012860%71.569.4+2.1
3 Merrimack Warriors1910953%64.065.2-1.2
4 Mount St. Mary's21111052%69.674.4-4.8
5 Manhattan189950%75.776.8-1.1
6 Siena2091145%70.572.0-1.6
7 St. Peters167944%65.163.1+2.0
8 Fairfield1981142%69.573.5-4.0
9 Sacred Heart2081240%75.875.9-0.1
10 Iona2081240%67.971.2-3.3
11 Niagara2071335%68.070.8-2.7
12 Rider2071335%65.172.5-7.3
13 Canisius2021810%64.379.3-15.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Fairfield233154
Merrimack Warriors472875
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