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FC Porto vs Bilbao Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 12 Dec 2023
Tip-off: 20:00
Final 72-75
23-17 20-16 12-27 17-15
Position#12
Record6-3
FormWWWWW
Points / game84.3
Allowed / game77.2
vs
Bilbao 🏆
Position#3
Record7-0
FormWLWWL
Points / game82.9
Allowed / game67.4
EuropeFIBA Europe CupRound 2· Pavilhão Dragão Arena
European cup2023
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

FC Porto winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Bilbao winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

FC PortoLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPorto
Date
Competition
Norrkoping
#43
W
84-64
84
64
+20
79avg 80
H08/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Lusitania
#12
W
101-70
101
70
+31
101avg 80
A11/11
Taca da Liga
Bakken Bears
#30
L
99-113 OT
99
113
-14
88avg 80
A15/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Imortal
#8
W
93-67
93
67
+26
88avg 80
H17/11
LPB
Manisa
#13
L
66-75
66
75
-9
54avg 80
A22/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Galomar
#10
W
81-68
81
68
+13
72avg 80
A25/11
LPB
Ovarense
#5
W
79-72
79
72
+7
69avg 80
H01/12
LPB
Portimonense
#11
W
88-75
88
75
+13
83avg 80
H03/12
LPB
Balkan
#35
W
88-63
88
63
+25
83avg 80
A06/12
FIBA Europe Cup
Braga
#14
W
86-72
86
72
+14
82avg 80
H10/12
Taca de Portugal
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-19
21-8
22-25
20-12
29-21
30-17
28-15
14-17
27-16
23-26
13-17
21-25
25-17
21-16
23-12
24-22
12-26
13-22
19-11
22-16
24-18
23-12
18-21
16-17
23-22
19-20
20-14
17-16
21-19
18-15
34-15
15-26
34-12
18-22
13-11
23-18
32-15
16-15
16-16
22-26
160.4Avg total
86.5Scored
73.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)84.377.2161.6+7.167%
Season at home (4)89.273.2162.5+16.0100%
Season away (5)80.480.4160.8+0.040%
Last 10 (10)86.573.9160.4+12.680%
Last 5 (5)84.470.0154.4+14.4100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)85.575.5161.0+10.0100%
vs Similar (7)81.086.1167.1-5.129%
vs Weaker (20)93.378.3171.6+15.085%
This opponent (Bilbao) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BilbaoLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBilbao
Date
Competition
Basket Zaragoza
#12
L
63-77
63
77
-14
52avg 68
A04/11
ACB
Anwil Wloclawek
#15
W
76-71
76
71
+5
65avg 68
H08/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Real Madrid
#1
L
84-87
84
87
-3
78avg 68
H12/11
ACB
CSU Sibiu
#51
W
73-68
73
68
+5
67avg 68
A15/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Joventut Badalona
#10
L
78-81
78
81
-3
76avg 68
A19/11
ACB
Caledonia Gladiators
#26
W
78-59
78
59
+19
74avg 68
A22/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Unicaja
#2
L
43-67
43
67
-24
29avg 68
H25/11
ACB
Valencia
#4
W
85-79
85
79
+6
83avg 68
A03/12
ACB
Gottingen
#8
W
75-73
75
73
+2
68avg 68
H06/12
FIBA Europe Cup
Breogan
#16
L
68-76
68
76
-8
60avg 68
H09/12
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-10
20-15
16-23
10-29
21-19
27-17
14-19
14-16
11-20
22-16
23-27
28-24
14-18
24-21
23-19
12-10
19-19
22-19
19-15
18-28
16-8
18-18
20-18
24-15
13-19
13-27
11-5
6-16
19-17
24-22
17-20
25-20
20-19
24-26
16-10
15-18
22-13
12-18
19-18
15-27
146.1Avg total
72.3Scored
73.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)82.967.4150.3+15.4100%
Season at home (4)86.566.5153.0+20.0100%
Season away (3)78.068.7146.7+9.3100%
Last 10 (10)72.373.8146.1-1.550%
Last 5 (5)69.870.8140.6-1.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)75.283.6158.8-8.333%
vs Similar (15)78.178.5156.6-0.353%
vs Weaker ◀ (6)82.066.5148.5+15.583%
This opponent (FC Porto) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +6.3+6.3Q1: +1.0+1.0Q2Q2: +2.9+2.9Q2: +0.7+0.7Q3Q3: +4.9+4.9Q3: +0.4+0.4Q4Q4: -0.1-0.1Q4: -3.6-3.6
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +6.3+6.3Q1: +1.0+1.0Q2Q2: +2.9+2.9Q2: +0.7+0.7Q3Q3: +4.9+4.9Q3: +0.4+0.4Q4Q4: -0.1-0.1Q4: -3.6-3.6
FC PortoBilbao
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
FC PortoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Norrkoping
#43
W
42-27
42
27
+15
H08/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Lusitania
#12
W
59-38
59
38
+21
A11/11
Taca da Liga
Bakken Bears
#30
W
50-42
50
42
+8
A15/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Imortal
#8
W
46-33
46
33
+13
H17/11
LPB
Manisa
#13
L
25-48
25
48
-23
A22/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Galomar
#10
W
47-30
47
30
+17
A25/11
LPB
Ovarense
#5
D
42-42
42
42
+0
H01/12
LPB
Portimonense
#11
W
39-34
39
34
+5
H03/12
LPB
Balkan
#35
W
52-34
52
34
+18
A06/12
FIBA Europe Cup
Braga
#14
W
48-30
48
30
+18
H10/12
Taca de Portugal
80.8Avg total
45.0Scored
35.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.638.583.1+6.173%-
Last 30 at home (17)43.836.480.1+7.476%-
Last 30 away (13)45.841.387.1+4.569%-
Last 10 (10)45.035.880.8+9.280%-
Last 5 (5)45.634.079.6+11.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)40.041.081.0-1.050%-
vs Similar (7)35.444.079.4-8.629%-
vs Weaker (20)48.136.884.9+11.490%-
This opponent (Bilbao) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BilbaoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Basket Zaragoza
#12
W
37-25
37
25
+12
A04/11
ACB
Anwil Wloclawek
#15
W
48-36
48
36
+12
H08/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Real Madrid
#1
L
33-36
33
36
-3
H12/11
ACB
CSU Sibiu
#51
L
38-39
38
39
-1
A15/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Joventut Badalona
#10
W
41-38
41
38
+3
A19/11
ACB
Caledonia Gladiators
#26
W
34-26
34
26
+8
A22/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Unicaja
#2
L
26-46
26
46
-20
H25/11
ACB
Valencia
#4
W
43-39
43
39
+4
A03/12
ACB
Gottingen
#8
L
44-45
44
45
-1
H06/12
FIBA Europe Cup
Breogan
#16
W
34-31
34
31
+3
H09/12
ACB
73.9Avg total
37.8Scored
36.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.937.875.6+0.150%-
Last 30 at home (17)38.236.875.0+1.459%-
Last 30 away (13)37.539.076.5-1.538%-
Last 10 (10)37.836.173.9+1.760%-
Last 5 (5)36.237.473.6-1.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)35.239.975.1-4.722%-
vs Similar (15)38.437.375.7+1.167%-
vs Weaker ◀ (6)40.535.776.2+4.850%-
This opponent (FC Porto) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
FC Portotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

FC Porto: 85.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀41%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.0 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.1 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.8 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.0 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.319.0
52.3%
52.2%38.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.611.7
37.0%
33.8%35.1
🏀 Free throws19.312.8
66.3%
73.0%12.8
They take 67.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Bilbaotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bilbao: 71.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.8 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.6 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.1 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.0 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.218.9
49.5%
52.2%37.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.07.2
30.0%
33.8%21.6
🏀 Free throws17.512.1
69.1%
73.0%12.1
They take 62.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 12 Dec 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
FC Porto
WWWWWLWLWW
Bilbao
LWWLWLWLWL
#12
League position
#3
+17.0
Net rating
-2.0
112.4
Offensive rating
96.7
95.4
Defensive rating
98.7
53.8%
Effective FG%
47.7%
47.2%
Opp. effective FG%
48.8%
17.7%
Turnover %
19.4%
34.7%
Off. rebound %
27.9%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.28
37.0%
3-point %
30.0%
55.7%
Assist %
61.3%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence112.4 · 96.7Defence95.4 · 98.7Shooting53.8% · 47.7%3-point %37.0% · 30.0%Ball care17.7% · 19.4%Off. rebounds34.7% · 27.9%Free throws0.28 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)80% · 50%
■ FC Porto   ■ Bilbao
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
FC Porto wins
0
Bilbao wins
No previous meetings.
FC Portolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/12/23HBraga86-72
06/12/23ABalkan88-63
03/12/23HPortimonense88-75
01/12/23HOvarense79-72
25/11/23AGalomar81-68
22/11/23AManisa66-75
17/11/23HImortal93-67
15/11/23ABakken Bears99-113 OT
11/11/23ALusitania101-70
08/11/23HNorrkoping84-64
Bilbaolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/12/23HBreogan68-76
06/12/23HGottingen75-73
03/12/23AValencia85-79
25/11/23HUnicaja43-67
22/11/23ACaledonia Gladiators78-59
19/11/23AJoventut Badalona78-81
15/11/23ACSU Sibiu73-68
12/11/23HReal Madrid84-87
08/11/23HAnwil Wloclawek76-71
04/11/23ABasket Zaragoza63-77

📊 11. Overall Statistics

FC Porto
FIBA Europe Cup 2023
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW67%
HomeWWWW100%
AwayLWLLW40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games945
Win %67%100%40%
Points / game84.389.280.4
Allowed / game77.273.280.4
Point differential+7.1+16.0+0.0
Avg total161.6162.5160.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+56%100%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %11%0%20%
Bilbao
FIBA Europe Cup 2023
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW100%
HomeWWWW100%
AwayWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game82.986.578.0
Allowed / game67.466.568.7
Point differential+15.4+20.0+9.3
Avg total150.3153.0146.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+43%50%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (4)100% (2)100% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Chemnitz770100%93.169.7+23.4
2 Bnei Herzliya220100%92.075.5+16.5
3 Bilbao770100%82.967.4+15.4
4 Bahcesehir Kol.76186%92.479.1+13.3
5 Basket Zaragoza76186%84.077.3+6.7
6 Manisa97278%80.374.6+5.8
7 Rostock86275%87.277.4+9.9
8 Nymburk75271%89.479.1+10.3
9 Gottingen75271%90.381.3+9.0
10 CSM Oradea75271%88.480.6+7.9
11 Varese75271%95.491.1+4.3
12 Legia75271%84.079.9+4.1
13 FC Porto96367%84.377.2+7.1
14 Rapid Bucuresti32167%75.770.7+5.0
15 Leiden64267%64.059.2+4.8
16 Gravelines-Dunkerque53260%74.463.0+11.4
17 Sporting CP53260%87.283.8+3.4
18 Balkan53260%77.881.0-3.2
19 Jonava74357%89.085.0+4.0
20 Anwil Wloclawek63350%78.268.2+10.0
21 Boras21150%91.590.0+1.5
22 Tindastoll21150%69.069.5-0.5
23 BC Kalev/Cramo42250%73.875.2-1.5
24 Kormend21150%89.592.0-2.5
25 AEK Larnaca63350%78.882.0-3.2
26 Chernomorets21150%97.0100.5-3.5
27 Spojnia Stargard63350%79.384.2-4.8
28 Trepca63350%68.275.2-7.0
29 Caledonia Gladiators63350%71.879.2-7.3
30 Jamtland21150%71.078.5-7.5
31 Sabah Baku94544%77.783.6-5.9
32 Bakken Bears62433%84.285.3-1.2
33 Donar Groningen31233%67.368.7-1.3
34 Levice62433%74.880.0-5.2
35 Peja62433%82.593.3-10.8
36 Alba Fehervar41325%85.589.5-4.0
37 Brindisi41325%77.881.8-4.0
38 Keravnos82625%79.484.9-5.5
39 Kataja82625%78.285.0-6.8
40 Den Bosch61517%79.086.7-7.7
41 TSU61517%78.786.5-7.8
42 Karhu Basket61517%82.390.7-8.3
43 Norrkoping61517%70.281.7-11.5
44 Mornar Bar61517%71.885.3-13.5
45 Pardubice2020%82.085.5-3.5
46 Parnu2020%64.573.0-8.5
47 Rabotnicki3030%66.778.3-11.7
48 Nevezis2020%86.099.0-13.0
49 Anorthosis2020%75.089.0-14.0
50 Galil Elyon1010%0.020.0-20.0
51 CSU Sibiu6060%63.283.5-20.3
52 Feniks 20102020%66.0104.0-38.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 52 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
FC Porto2320121772
Bilbao1716271575
← all games of the day
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