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Bilbao vs Real Madrid Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 12 Nov 2023
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 84-87
11-20 22-16 23-27 28-24
Position#13
Record4-4
FormWLWLW
Points / game81.8
Allowed / game83.1
vs
Position#1
Record8-0
FormWWWWW
Points / game92.0
Allowed / game77.9
SpainACBRound 9· Bilbao Arena
Domestic2023-24
Meetings · Bilbao v Real Madrid
02 May 2027
BIL v MAD
upcoming
14 May 2026
BIL88
MAD82
13 Oct 2024
BIL83
MAD79
12 Nov 2023
BIL84
MAD87
27 Dec 2022
BIL80
MAD85
13 Apr 2022
BIL79
MAD67
04 Nov 2020
BIL83
MAD85
05 Oct 2017
BIL80
MAD87
11 Dec 2016
BIL77
MAD85
29 Nov 2015
BIL92
MAD99
14 Dec 2014
BIL89
MAD79
23 Mar 2014
BIL73
MAD87
03 Feb 2013
BIL74
MAD94
08 Feb 2012
BIL93
MAD69
13 Oct 2011
BIL86
MAD82
02 Jun 2011
BIL80
MAD72
31 May 2011
BIL68
MAD51
16 Oct 2010
BIL73
MAD75
31 Oct 2009
BIL70
MAD96
28 Feb 2009
BIL88
MAD81
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Bilbao winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Real Madrid winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BilbaoSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBilbao
Date
Competition
Obradoiro CAB
#15
W
78-77
78
77
+1
73avg 69
A04/10
ACB
Murcia
#6
W
77-68
77
68
+9
69avg 69
H08/10
ACB
Granada
#17
W
94-93
94
93
+1
87avg 69
H14/10
ACB
Anwil Wloclawek
#15
W
83-79
83
79
+4
72avg 69
A18/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Barcelona
#3
L
82-91
82
91
-9
54avg 69
A22/10
ACB
CSU Sibiu
#51
W
89-64
89
64
+25
92avg 69
H25/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Tenerife
#5
L
93-94 OT
93
94
-1
no box
H29/10
ACB
Caledonia Gladiators
#26
W
106-58
106
58
+48
105avg 69
H01/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Basket Zaragoza
#12
L
63-77
63
77
-14
52avg 69
A04/11
ACB
Anwil Wloclawek
#15
W
76-71
76
71
+5
65avg 69
H08/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-16
23-24
15-21
22-16
12-10
28-14
13-22
24-22
21-23
25-20
23-25
25-25
23-24
15-25
22-12
23-18
19-21
20-26
18-22
25-22
29-17
17-15
21-9
22-23
20-27
16-17
20-14
24-22
22-19
20-14
34-11
30-14
17-10
20-15
16-23
10-29
21-19
27-17
14-19
14-16
161.3Avg total
84.1Scored
77.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)81.883.1164.9-1.450%
Season at home (4)89.882.0171.8+7.875%
Season away (4)73.884.2158.0-10.525%
Last 10 (10)84.177.2161.3+6.970%
Last 5 (5)85.472.8158.2+12.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)75.187.3162.4-12.220%
vs Similar (16)78.978.9157.8-0.156%
vs Weaker (4)89.068.0157.0+21.075%
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Real MadridSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMadrid
Date
Competition
Basquet Girona
#14
W
93-74
93
74
+19
91avg 74
A08/10
ACB
Anadolu Efes
#10
W
103-80
103
80
+23
105avg 74
A12/10
Euroleague
Murcia
#6
W
106-92
106
92
+14
104avg 74
H15/10
ACB
Zalgiris Kaunas
#13
W
93-79
93
79
+14
97avg 74
H17/10
Euroleague
Olimpia Milano
#12
W
88-71
88
71
+17
86avg 74
H19/10
Euroleague
Tenerife
#5
W
82-76
82
76
+6
83avg 74
A22/10
ACB
Barcelona
#5
W
65-64
65
64
+1
58avg 74
H26/10
Euroleague
Palencia
#18
W
91-68
91
68
+23
82avg 74
H29/10
ACB
Granada
#17
W
83-76
83
76
+7
80avg 74
A05/11
ACB
Virtus Bologna
#8
W
100-74
100
74
+26
104avg 74
H09/11
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-17
22-11
33-24
15-22
26-24
29-17
25-19
23-20
15-22
27-15
39-25
25-30
25-19
28-24
19-19
21-17
19-25
23-17
25-19
21-10
27-14
20-20
18-27
17-15
12-19
16-11
23-11
14-23
30-11
22-14
15-18
24-25
25-13
15-21
22-31
21-11
26-27
27-10
15-14
32-23
165.8Avg total
90.4Scored
75.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)92.077.9169.9+14.1100%
Season at home (4)96.077.2173.2+18.8100%
Season away (4)88.078.5166.5+9.5100%
Last 10 (10)90.475.4165.8+15.0100%
Last 5 (5)84.271.6155.8+12.6100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (5)82.484.0166.4-1.640%
vs Weaker ◀ (24)89.175.9165.0+13.296%
This opponent (Bilbao) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: +1.6+1.6Q1: +3.7+3.7Q2Q2: +2.4+2.4Q2: +6.9+6.9Q3Q3: +1.8+1.8Q3: +2.7+2.7Q4Q4: +1.2+1.2Q4: +1.7+1.7
-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: +1.6+1.6Q1: +3.7+3.7Q2Q2: +2.4+2.4Q2: +6.9+6.9Q3Q3: +1.8+1.8Q3: +2.7+2.7Q4Q4: +1.2+1.2Q4: +1.7+1.7
BilbaoReal Madrid
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BilbaoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Obradoiro CAB
#15
W
41-40
41
40
+1
A04/10
ACB
Murcia
#6
W
40-24
40
24
+16
H08/10
ACB
Granada
#17
W
46-43
46
43
+3
H14/10
ACB
Anwil Wloclawek
#15
L
38-49
38
49
-11
A18/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Barcelona
#3
L
39-47
39
47
-8
A22/10
ACB
CSU Sibiu
#51
W
46-32
46
32
+14
H25/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Tenerife
#5
L
36-44
36
44
-8
H29/10
ACB
Caledonia Gladiators
#26
W
42-33
42
33
+9
H01/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Basket Zaragoza
#12
W
37-25
37
25
+12
A04/11
ACB
Anwil Wloclawek
#15
W
48-36
48
36
+12
H08/11
FIBA Europe Cup
78.6Avg total
41.3Scored
37.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.138.476.5-0.350%-
Last 30 at home (17)39.235.875.1+3.471%-
Last 30 away (13)36.541.878.3-5.223%-
Last 10 (10)41.337.378.6+4.070%-
Last 5 (5)41.834.075.8+7.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)35.040.775.7-5.720%-
vs Similar (16)38.937.976.9+1.062%-
vs Weaker (4)42.234.576.8+7.875%-
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Real MadridLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Basquet Girona
#14
W
45-28
45
28
+17
A08/10
ACB
Anadolu Efes
#10
W
55-41
55
41
+14
A12/10
Euroleague
Murcia
#6
W
42-37
42
37
+5
H15/10
ACB
Zalgiris Kaunas
#13
W
53-43
53
43
+10
H17/10
Euroleague
Olimpia Milano
#12
D
42-42
42
42
+0
H19/10
Euroleague
Tenerife
#5
W
47-34
47
34
+13
A22/10
ACB
Barcelona
#5
L
28-30
28
30
-2
H26/10
Euroleague
Palencia
#18
W
52-25
52
25
+27
H29/10
ACB
Granada
#17
W
40-34
40
34
+6
A05/11
ACB
Virtus Bologna
#8
W
53-37
53
37
+16
H09/11
Euroleague
80.8Avg total
45.7Scored
35.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.937.381.2+6.670%-
Last 30 at home (13)43.835.579.2+8.362%-
Last 30 away (17)44.138.782.8+5.476%-
Last 10 (10)45.735.180.8+10.680%-
Last 5 (5)44.032.076.0+12.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (5)42.643.486.0-0.840%-
vs Weaker ◀ (24)44.335.980.2+8.475%-
This opponent (Bilbao) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Bilbaotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bilbao: 81.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.6 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.0 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.6 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.0 points a game
48%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.923.3
54.3%
53.0%46.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.77.0
32.3%
34.9%21.0
🏀 Free throws19.113.6
71.2%
75.6%13.6
They take 64.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Real Madridtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Real Madrid: 89.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.2 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.3 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.3 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.0 points a game
48%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.321.1
61.5%
53.0%42.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.310.1
37.0%
34.9%30.3
🏀 Free throws21.617.3
80.1%
75.6%17.3
They take 61.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 12 Nov 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Bilbao
WLWLWLWWWW
Real Madrid
WWWWWWWWWW
#13
League position
#1
+6.9
Net rating
+20.5
107.4
Offensive rating
119.5
100.5
Defensive rating
99.0
52.3%
Effective FG%
58.8%
47.7%
Opp. effective FG%
48.1%
17.4%
Turnover %
17.4%
30.8%
Off. rebound %
29.4%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.35
32.3%
3-point %
37.0%
53.8%
Assist %
68.9%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
100%

Profile

Offence107.4 · 119.5Defence100.5 · 99.0Shooting52.3% · 58.8%3-point %32.3% · 37.0%Ball care17.4% · 17.4%Off. rebounds30.8% · 29.4%Free throws0.30 · 0.35Form (last 10/10)70% · 100%
■ Bilbao   ■ Real Madrid
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Bilbao wins
9
Real Madrid wins
DateGameScore
12/03/23Real Madrid v Bilbao86-65
27/12/22Bilbao v Real Madrid80-85
13/04/22Bilbao v Real Madrid79-67
07/11/21Real Madrid v Bilbao95-61
20/05/21Real Madrid v Bilbao70-59
04/11/20Bilbao v Real Madrid83-85
13/02/20Real Madrid v Bilbao93-83
28/01/18Real Madrid v Bilbao95-65
05/10/17Bilbao v Real Madrid80-87
26/03/17Real Madrid v Bilbao104-76
Bilbaolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/11/23HAnwil Wloclawek76-71
04/11/23ABasket Zaragoza63-77
01/11/23HCaledonia Gladiators106-58
29/10/23HTenerife93-94 OT
25/10/23HCSU Sibiu89-64
22/10/23ABarcelona82-91
18/10/23AAnwil Wloclawek83-79
14/10/23HGranada94-93
08/10/23HMurcia77-68
04/10/23AObradoiro CAB78-77
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/11/23HVirtus Bologna100-74
05/11/23AGranada83-76
29/10/23HPalencia91-68
26/10/23HBarcelona65-64
22/10/23ATenerife82-76
19/10/23HOlimpia Milano88-71
17/10/23HZalgiris Kaunas93-79
15/10/23HMurcia106-92
12/10/23AAnadolu Efes103-80
08/10/23ABasquet Girona93-74

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Bilbao
ACB 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL50%
HomeWWWL75%
AwayLWLL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %50%75%25%
Points / game81.889.873.8
Allowed / game83.182.084.2
Point differential-1.4+7.8-10.5
Avg total164.9171.8158.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%25%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)50% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %12%25%0%
Real Madrid
ACB 2023-24
Recent: 10 Wins / 0 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW100%
HomeWWWW100%
AwayWWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game92.096.088.0
Allowed / game77.977.278.5
Point differential+14.1+18.8+9.5
Avg total169.9173.2166.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%75%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Real Madrid880100%92.077.9+14.1
2 Barcelona86275%83.878.0+5.8
3 Valencia86275%79.877.0+2.8
4 Unicaja96367%88.681.1+7.4
5 Murcia96367%85.179.9+5.2
6 Basquet Girona95456%82.081.2+0.8
7 Manresa95456%86.187.0-0.9
8 Gran Canaria95456%79.883.0-3.2
9 Tenerife84450%79.680.9-1.2
10 Bilbao84450%81.883.1-1.4
11 Obradoiro CAB94544%84.082.1+1.9
12 MoraBanc Andorra94544%80.081.2-1.2
13 Baskonia94544%83.886.0-2.2
14 Joventut Badalona94544%82.788.9-6.2
15 Basket Zaragoza83538%82.182.9-0.8
16 Breogan92722%72.278.4-6.2
17 Granada91811%84.389.8-5.4
18 Palencia91811%73.980.9-7.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Bilbao1122232884
Real Madrid2016272487
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