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Bilbao vs Breogan Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 09 Dec 2023
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 68-76
22-13 12-18 19-18 15-27
Position#13
Record5-7
FormLWLWW
Points / game78.7
Allowed / game81.6
vs
Breogan 🏆
Spain
Position#16
Record3-9
FormLWWLL
Points / game72.8
Allowed / game80.1
SpainACBRound 13· Bilbao Arena
Domestic2023-24
Meetings · Bilbao v Breogan
21 Mar 2027
BIL v BRE
upcoming
14 Mar 2026
BIL100
BRE90
29 Sep 2024
BIL90
BRE72
09 Dec 2023
BIL68
BRE76
10 May 2023
BIL83
BRE66
16 Dec 2021
BIL83
BRE75
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Bilbao winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Breogan winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BilbaoSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBilbao
Date
Competition
Caledonia Gladiators
#26
W
106-58
106
58
+48
105avg 68
H01/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Basket Zaragoza
#12
L
63-77
63
77
-14
52avg 68
A04/11
ACB
Anwil Wloclawek
#15
W
76-71
76
71
+5
65avg 68
H08/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Real Madrid
#1
L
84-87
84
87
-3
78avg 68
H12/11
ACB
CSU Sibiu
#51
W
73-68
73
68
+5
67avg 68
A15/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Joventut Badalona
#10
L
78-81
78
81
-3
76avg 68
A19/11
ACB
Caledonia Gladiators
#26
W
78-59
78
59
+19
74avg 68
A22/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Unicaja
#2
L
43-67
43
67
-24
29avg 68
H25/11
ACB
Valencia
#4
W
85-79
85
79
+6
83avg 68
A03/12
ACB
Gottingen
#8
W
75-73
75
73
+2
68avg 68
H06/12
FIBA Europe Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-19
20-14
34-11
30-14
17-10
20-15
16-23
10-29
21-19
27-17
14-19
14-16
11-20
22-16
23-27
28-24
14-18
24-21
23-19
12-10
19-19
22-19
19-15
18-28
16-8
18-18
20-18
24-15
13-19
13-27
11-5
6-16
19-17
24-22
17-20
25-20
20-19
24-26
16-10
15-18
148.1Avg total
76.1Scored
72.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)78.781.6160.2-2.942%
Season at home (6)81.080.3161.3+0.750%
Season away (6)76.382.8159.2-6.533%
Last 10 (10)76.172.0148.1+4.160%
Last 5 (5)71.871.8143.6+0.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)75.585.2160.7-9.730%
vs Similar ◀ (14)78.978.6157.5+0.257%
vs Weaker (6)82.066.5148.5+15.583%
This opponent (Breogan) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BreoganSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBreogan
Date
Competition
Unicaja
#2
L
70-87
70
87
-17
64avg 62
A28/10
ACB
Barcelona
#3
L
63-79
63
79
-16
50avg 62
H05/11
ACB
Bonn
#9
L
71-86
71
86
-15
64avg 62
A08/11
Champions League
Joventut Badalona
#10
W
85-77
85
77
+8
76avg 62
H11/11
ACB
Hapoel Holon
#10
L
79-84
79
84
-5
65avg 62
A15/11
Champions League
Basquet Girona
#14
L
83-87
83
87
-4
80avg 62
A18/11
ACB
Hapoel Holon
#10
W
82-72
82
72
+10
71avg 62
H22/11
Champions League
Basket Zaragoza
#12
W
82-77
82
77
+5
77avg 62
H26/11
ACB
Real Madrid
#1
L
58-91
58
91
-33
38avg 62
A03/12
ACB
Bursaspor
#24
L
65-77
65
77
-12
56avg 62
A06/12
Champions League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-15
11-29
18-17
19-26
19-21
12-18
20-19
12-21
9-19
16-28
22-16
24-23
15-19
28-13
13-23
29-22
14-22
19-21
26-24
20-17
24-30
28-15
15-19
16-23
22-17
19-16
19-22
22-17
16-23
18-17
18-17
30-20
19-17
9-24
12-27
18-23
15-19
15-22
11-18
24-18
155.5Avg total
73.8Scored
81.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)72.880.1152.8-7.325%
Season at home (6)75.578.5154.0-3.033%
Season away (6)70.081.7151.7-11.717%
Last 10 (10)73.881.7155.5-7.930%
Last 5 (5)74.080.8154.8-6.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)71.283.3154.5-12.28%
vs Similar ◀ (14)76.378.3154.6-2.043%
vs Weaker (4)71.068.0139.0+3.050%
This opponent (Bilbao) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.4+0.4Q1: -2.7-2.7Q2Q2: +1.9+1.9Q2: -2.8-2.8Q3Q3: +2.6+2.6Q3: -2.8-2.8Q4Q4: -0.8-0.8Q4: +0.4+0.4
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.4+0.4Q1: -2.7-2.7Q2Q2: +1.9+1.9Q2: -2.8-2.8Q3Q3: +2.6+2.6Q3: -2.8-2.8Q4Q4: -0.8-0.8Q4: +0.4+0.4
BilbaoBreogan
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BilbaoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Caledonia Gladiators
#26
W
42-33
42
33
+9
H01/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Basket Zaragoza
#12
W
37-25
37
25
+12
A04/11
ACB
Anwil Wloclawek
#15
W
48-36
48
36
+12
H08/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Real Madrid
#1
L
33-36
33
36
-3
H12/11
ACB
CSU Sibiu
#51
L
38-39
38
39
-1
A15/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Joventut Badalona
#10
W
41-38
41
38
+3
A19/11
ACB
Caledonia Gladiators
#26
W
34-26
34
26
+8
A22/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Unicaja
#2
L
26-46
26
46
-20
H25/11
ACB
Valencia
#4
W
43-39
43
39
+4
A03/12
ACB
Gottingen
#8
L
44-45
44
45
-1
H06/12
FIBA Europe Cup
74.9Avg total
38.6Scored
36.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.638.476.1-0.847%-
Last 30 at home (16)38.437.275.6+1.256%-
Last 30 away (14)36.739.976.6-3.136%-
Last 10 (10)38.636.374.9+2.360%-
Last 5 (5)37.638.876.4-1.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)34.441.075.4-6.620%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)38.737.876.5+0.964%-
vs Weaker (6)40.535.776.2+4.850%-
This opponent (Breogan) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BreoganLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Unicaja
#2
L
33-44
33
44
-11
A28/10
ACB
Barcelona
#3
L
31-39
31
39
-8
H05/11
ACB
Bonn
#9
L
25-47
25
47
-22
A08/11
Champions League
Joventut Badalona
#10
W
43-32
43
32
+11
H11/11
ACB
Hapoel Holon
#10
L
33-43
33
43
-10
A15/11
Champions League
Basquet Girona
#14
W
52-45
52
45
+7
A18/11
ACB
Hapoel Holon
#10
W
41-33
41
33
+8
H22/11
Champions League
Basket Zaragoza
#12
L
34-40
34
40
-6
H26/11
ACB
Real Madrid
#1
L
28-41
28
41
-13
A03/12
ACB
Bursaspor
#24
L
30-41
30
41
-11
A06/12
Champions League
75.5Avg total
35.0Scored
40.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.539.173.6-4.723%-
Last 30 at home (14)35.637.973.5-2.436%-
Last 30 away (16)33.540.273.7-6.712%-
Last 10 (10)35.040.575.5-5.530%-
Last 5 (5)37.040.077.0-3.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)32.239.571.7-7.38%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)37.140.177.3-3.036%-
vs Weaker (4)32.034.566.5-2.525%-
This opponent (Bilbao) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Bilbaotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bilbao: 75.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.4 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.9 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.0 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.0 points a game
48%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.220.2
51.5%
53.0%40.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.57.3
31.1%
34.9%21.9
🏀 Free throws18.713.0
69.5%
75.6%13.0
They take 62.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Breogantheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Breogan: 73.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀23%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.0 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.4 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.6 pts a game · 23% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.0 points a game
48%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.516.5
47.8%
53.0%33.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.87.8
30.2%
34.9%23.4
🏀 Free throws21.916.6
75.8%
75.6%16.6
They take 60.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 09 Dec 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Bilbao
WWLWLWLWLW
Breogan
LLWWLLWLLL
#13
League position
#16
+5.5
Net rating
-10.6
100.8
Offensive rating
97.9
95.3
Defensive rating
108.5
49.7%
Effective FG%
46.8%
47.6%
Opp. effective FG%
54.2%
18.6%
Turnover %
19.9%
28.0%
Off. rebound %
27.2%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.36
31.1%
3-point %
30.2%
60.7%
Assist %
62.1%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence100.8 · 97.9Defence95.3 · 108.5Shooting49.7% · 46.8%3-point %31.1% · 30.2%Ball care18.6% · 19.9%Off. rebounds28.0% · 27.2%Free throws0.30 · 0.36Form (last 10/10)60% · 30%
■ Bilbao   ■ Breogan
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Bilbao wins
1
Breogan wins
DateGameScore
10/05/23Bilbao v Breogan83-66
22/10/22Breogan v Bilbao86-70
12/03/22Breogan v Bilbao86-94
16/12/21Bilbao v Breogan83-75
Bilbaolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/12/23HGottingen75-73
03/12/23AValencia85-79
25/11/23HUnicaja43-67
22/11/23ACaledonia Gladiators78-59
19/11/23AJoventut Badalona78-81
15/11/23ACSU Sibiu73-68
12/11/23HReal Madrid84-87
08/11/23HAnwil Wloclawek76-71
04/11/23ABasket Zaragoza63-77
01/11/23HCaledonia Gladiators106-58
Breoganlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/12/23ABursaspor65-77
03/12/23AReal Madrid58-91
26/11/23HBasket Zaragoza82-77
22/11/23HHapoel Holon82-72
18/11/23ABasquet Girona83-87
15/11/23AHapoel Holon79-84
11/11/23HJoventut Badalona85-77
08/11/23ABonn71-86
05/11/23HBarcelona63-79
28/10/23AUnicaja70-87

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Bilbao
ACB 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW42%
HomeWWLLL50%
AwayWLLLW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1266
Win %42%50%33%
Points / game78.781.076.3
Allowed / game81.680.382.8
Point differential-2.9+0.7-6.5
Avg total160.2161.3159.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+8%17%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)33% (3)50% (2)
Overtime %8%17%0%
Breogan
ACB 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL25%
HomeLLLWW33%
AwayLLLLL17%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1266
Win %25%33%17%
Points / game72.875.570.0
Allowed / game80.178.581.7
Point differential-7.3-3.0-11.7
Avg total152.8154.0151.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)33% (3)0% (1)
Overtime %17%17%17%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Real Madrid1211192%91.078.3+12.7
2 Unicaja129375%87.878.6+9.2
3 Barcelona129375%86.078.0+8.0
4 Murcia128467%85.878.9+6.8
5 Valencia128467%80.777.5+3.2
6 Gran Canaria127558%83.484.0-0.6
7 Basquet Girona127558%84.286.1-1.9
8 Tenerife126650%82.882.2+0.6
9 Baskonia126650%83.684.2-0.7
10 Manresa126650%84.585.3-0.8
11 Joventut Badalona126650%81.287.9-6.7
12 Obradoiro CAB125742%81.883.0-1.2
13 Bilbao125742%78.781.6-2.9
14 Basket Zaragoza124833%81.683.2-1.6
15 MoraBanc Andorra124833%82.384.5-2.2
16 Granada123925%84.487.8-3.3
17 Breogan123925%72.880.1-7.3
18 Palencia121118%73.885.1-11.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Bilbao2212191568
Breogan1318182776
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