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FC Porto vs Maroussi Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 05 Feb 2025
Tip-off: 19:30
Final 80-76
15-15 19-17 21-23 25-21
Position#7
Record7-4
FormWWWWL
Points / game82.8
Allowed / game77.2
vs
Position#12
Record8-5
FormLWLLL
Points / game85.0
Allowed / game79.2
EuropeFIBA Europe CupRound 6· Pavilhão Dragão Arena
European cup2024
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

FC Porto winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Maroussi winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

FC PortoLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPorto
Date
Competition
CA Queluz
#8
W
89-75
89
75
+14
86avg 76
H17/12
Taca da Liga
CA Queluz
#11
W
81-62
81
62
+19
78avg 76
A21/12
LPB
Galitos Barreiro
#6
W
93-80
93
80
+13
92avg 76
A04/01
LPB
Maroussi
#12
L
81-82
81
82
-1
75avg 76
A08/01
FIBA Europe Cup
CD Povoa
#10
W
93-53
93
53
+40
93avg 76
A11/01
LPB
Basket Zaragoza
#13
W
86-75
86
75
+11
84avg 76
H14/01
FIBA Europe Cup
CD Povoa
#13
W
82-60
82
60
+22
80avg 76
H19/01
Taca de Portugal
Sporting CP
#3
W
83-78
83
78
+5
74avg 76
H25/01
LPB
Tofas
#4
W
90-82
90
82
+8
77avg 76
A29/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Vitoria
#9
L
97-100 OT
97
100
-3
82avg 76
A02/02
LPB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-19
25-19
24-11
15-26
16-18
27-13
22-22
16-9
31-19
25-17
22-16
15-28
26-19
14-12
22-21
19-30
22-7
20-14
23-18
28-14
25-21
22-16
18-24
21-14
23-12
23-18
15-19
21-11
25-19
17-22
21-21
20-16
25-20
20-29
25-11
20-22
21-23
20-17
20-20
17-18
162.2Avg total
87.5Scored
74.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)82.877.2160.0+5.664%
Season at home (5)85.872.6158.4+13.280%
Season away (6)80.381.0161.3-0.750%
Last 10 (10)87.574.7162.2+12.880%
Last 5 (5)87.679.0166.6+8.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)70.281.8152.0-11.50%
vs Similar ◀ (10)85.182.9168.0+2.260%
vs Weaker (14)86.672.7159.3+13.993%
This opponent (Maroussi) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MaroussiLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMaroussi
Date
Competition
Olympiacos
#2
L
94-106
94
106
-12
88avg 74
A22/12
Basket League
Promitheas
#5
W
76-63
76
63
+13
71avg 74
A28/12
Basket League
Kolossos Rhodes
#10
L
57-96
57
96
-39
38avg 74
A04/01
Basket League
FC Porto
#7
W
82-81
82
81
+1
77avg 74
H08/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Peristeri
#9
W
86-81
86
81
+5
83avg 74
A11/01
Basket League
Tofas
#4
L
74-77
74
77
-3
66avg 74
H15/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Panionios
#8
W
65-64
65
64
+1
54avg 74
H18/01
Basket League
PAOK
#6
L
84-93
84
93
-9
81avg 74
A25/01
Basket League
Basket Zaragoza
#13
L
68-80
68
80
-12
51avg 74
A29/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Aris
#7
L
73-78
73
78
-5
66avg 74
H01/02
Basket League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-26
20-30
22-26
25-24
17-10
19-21
26-15
14-17
17-24
12-24
13-31
15-17
19-26
12-14
21-22
30-19
16-17
21-17
28-19
21-28
21-20
26-23
10-14
17-20
14-21
21-12
14-18
16-13
24-19
21-20
24-24
15-30
15-23
25-18
15-22
13-17
23-18
9-15
25-15
16-30
157.8Avg total
75.9Scored
81.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)85.079.2164.2+5.862%
Season at home (7)89.478.4167.9+11.086%
Season away (6)79.880.0159.8-0.233%
Last 10 (10)75.981.9157.8-6.040%
Last 5 (5)72.878.4151.2-5.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)75.290.4165.6-15.220%
vs Similar ◀ (17)77.481.1158.5-3.835%
vs Weaker (8)86.875.0161.8+11.875%
This opponent (FC Porto) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +6.2+6.2Q1: -1.1-1.1Q2Q2: +3.6+3.6Q2: -0.8-0.8Q3Q3: +2.9+2.9Q3: -0.8-0.8Q4Q4: +0.4+0.4Q4: -3.3-3.3
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +6.2+6.2Q1: -1.1-1.1Q2Q2: +3.6+3.6Q2: -0.8-0.8Q3Q3: +2.9+2.9Q3: -0.8-0.8Q4Q4: +0.4+0.4Q4: -3.3-3.3
FC PortoMaroussi
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
FC PortoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
CA Queluz
#8
W
50-38
50
38
+12
H17/12
Taca da Liga
CA Queluz
#11
W
43-31
43
31
+12
A21/12
LPB
Galitos Barreiro
#6
W
56-36
56
36
+20
A04/01
LPB
Maroussi
#12
W
40-31
40
31
+9
A08/01
FIBA Europe Cup
CD Povoa
#10
W
42-21
42
21
+21
A11/01
LPB
Basket Zaragoza
#13
W
47-37
47
37
+10
H14/01
FIBA Europe Cup
CD Povoa
#13
W
46-30
46
30
+16
H19/01
Taca de Portugal
Sporting CP
#3
W
42-41
42
41
+1
H25/01
LPB
Tofas
#4
L
45-49
45
49
-4
A29/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Vitoria
#9
W
41-40
41
40
+1
A02/02
LPB
80.6Avg total
45.2Scored
35.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.937.178.0+3.863%-
Last 30 at home (14)40.936.477.2+4.571%-
Last 30 away (16)40.937.878.8+3.156%-
Last 10 (10)45.235.480.6+9.890%-
Last 5 (5)44.239.483.6+4.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)35.835.871.5+0.050%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)41.241.582.7-0.340%-
vs Weaker (14)41.434.475.9+7.079%-
This opponent (Maroussi) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MaroussiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Olympiacos
#2
L
47-56
47
56
-9
A22/12
Basket League
Promitheas
#5
W
36-31
36
31
+5
A28/12
Basket League
Kolossos Rhodes
#10
L
29-48
29
48
-19
A04/01
Basket League
FC Porto
#7
L
31-40
31
40
-9
H08/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Peristeri
#9
W
37-34
37
34
+3
A11/01
Basket League
Tofas
#4
W
47-43
47
43
+4
H15/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Panionios
#8
W
35-33
35
33
+2
H18/01
Basket League
PAOK
#6
W
45-39
45
39
+6
A25/01
Basket League
Basket Zaragoza
#13
L
40-41
40
41
-1
A29/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Aris
#7
L
32-33
32
33
-1
H01/02
Basket League
77.7Avg total
37.9Scored
39.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.440.679.0-2.247%-
Last 30 at home (16)39.239.878.9-0.650%-
Last 30 away (14)37.641.679.1-4.043%-
Last 10 (10)37.939.877.7-1.950%-
Last 5 (5)39.837.877.6+2.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)35.845.481.2-9.620%-
vs Similar ◀ (17)37.739.777.4-2.047%-
vs Weaker (8)41.639.581.1+2.162%-
This opponent (FC Porto) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
FC Portotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

FC Porto: 86.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.2 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.3 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.3 points a game
49%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.421.6
52.2%
52.6%43.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.49.0
32.8%
34.0%27.0
🏀 Free throws21.616.3
75.5%
72.6%16.3
They take 68.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Maroussitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Maroussi: 74.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.6 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.7 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.6 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.3 points a game
49%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.916.8
51.1%
52.6%33.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.18.9
30.6%
34.0%26.7
🏀 Free throws19.514.6
74.9%
72.6%14.6
They take 62.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 05 Feb 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
FC Porto
LWWWWWLWWW
Maroussi
LLLWLWWLWL
#7
League position
#12
+16.2
Net rating
-8.7
110.9
Offensive rating
101.6
94.8
Defensive rating
110.3
51.0%
Effective FG%
48.6%
46.4%
Opp. effective FG%
52.9%
15.4%
Turnover %
16.7%
32.1%
Off. rebound %
23.5%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.31
32.8%
3-point %
30.6%
63.1%
Assist %
62.3%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence110.9 · 101.6Defence94.8 · 110.3Shooting51.0% · 48.6%3-point %32.8% · 30.6%Ball care15.4% · 16.7%Off. rebounds32.1% · 23.5%Free throws0.31 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)80% · 40%
■ FC Porto   ■ Maroussi
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
FC Porto wins
1
Maroussi wins
DateGameScore
08/01/25Maroussi v FC Porto82-81
FC Portolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/02/25AVitoria97-100 OT
29/01/25ATofas90-82
25/01/25HSporting CP83-78
19/01/25HCD Povoa82-60
14/01/25HBasket Zaragoza86-75
11/01/25ACD Povoa93-53
08/01/25AMaroussi81-82
04/01/25AGalitos Barreiro93-80
21/12/24ACA Queluz81-62
17/12/24HCA Queluz89-75
Maroussilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/02/25HAris73-78
29/01/25ABasket Zaragoza68-80
25/01/25APAOK84-93
18/01/25HPanionios65-64
15/01/25HTofas74-77
11/01/25APeristeri86-81
08/01/25HFC Porto82-81
04/01/25AKolossos Rhodes57-96
28/12/24APromitheas76-63
22/12/24AOlympiacos94-106

📊 11. Overall Statistics

FC Porto
FIBA Europe Cup 2024
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWW64%
HomeWWWLW80%
AwayWWLLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1156
Win %64%80%50%
Points / game82.885.880.3
Allowed / game77.272.681.0
Point differential+5.6+13.2-0.7
Avg total160.0158.4161.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+36%60%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Maroussi
FIBA Europe Cup 2024
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL62%
HomeWWWWL86%
AwayWLLLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1376
Win %62%86%33%
Points / game85.089.479.8
Allowed / game79.278.480.0
Point differential+5.8+11.0-0.2
Avg total164.2167.9159.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+46%57%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)50% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bilbao1413193%85.567.6+17.9
2 Ludwigsburg1211192%83.268.7+14.5
3 Cholet1110191%90.775.2+15.5
4 Tofas119282%92.683.6+9.0
5 PAOK129375%83.077.9+5.1
6 Basket Zaragoza118373%88.682.0+6.6
7 Dijon1410471%90.880.1+10.6
8 CSM Oradea128467%82.074.4+7.6
9 Levice64267%85.781.2+4.5
10 Sassari117464%81.873.5+8.3
11 FC Porto117464%82.877.2+5.6
12 BC Prievidza85362%83.882.8+1.0
13 Maroussi138562%85.079.2+5.8
14 Fribourg Olympic127558%87.680.6+7.0
15 Basketball Braunschweig63350%85.881.2+4.7
16 Spojnia Stargard63350%73.370.7+2.7
17 BC Kalev/Cramo126650%80.978.7+2.2
18 Bursaspor63350%85.584.0+1.5
19 Arges Pitesti63350%71.770.3+1.3
20 Alba Fehervar84450%89.693.8-4.1
21 Spirou Charleroi147750%77.982.1-4.1
22 Caledonia Gladiators63350%58.570.8-12.3
23 Anwil Wloclawek125742%88.580.8+7.7
24 Le Portel125742%76.175.8+0.3
25 Norrkoping62433%79.085.5-6.5
26 Limburg62433%76.783.3-6.7
27 Antwerp Giants62433%80.287.7-7.5
28 Kutaisi62433%78.789.0-10.3
29 AEK Larnaca62433%71.085.7-14.7
30 Sporting CP82625%71.579.5-8.0
31 Anorthosis82625%75.884.2-8.5
32 BC Dnipro82625%66.087.1-21.1
33 Sabah Baku61517%73.878.8-5.0
34 Keravnos61517%84.590.7-6.2
35 Parnu61517%68.079.7-11.7
36 CSM Constanta81712%73.591.4-17.9
37 Starlites2020%74.584.0-9.5
38 Szolnoki Olaj6060%73.886.0-12.2
39 Rilski Sportist6060%71.387.0-15.7
40 Trepca6060%57.377.3-20.0
41 Balkan6060%69.389.8-20.5
42 Neptunas2020%62.584.5-22.0
43 Peja2020%78.0102.0-24.0
44 Dinamo Zagreb2020%70.5100.0-29.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 44 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
FC Porto1519212580
Maroussi1517232176
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