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FC Porto vs Sporting CP Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 25 Jan 2025
Tip-off: 15:00
Final 83-78
25-19 17-22 21-21 20-16
Position#2
Record10-1
FormWLWWW
Points / game87.3
Allowed / game75.2
vs
Position#3
Record8-4
FormWLWLW
Points / game83.0
Allowed / game76.8
PortugalLPBRound 13· Pavilhão Dragão Arena
Other2024-25
Meetings · FC Porto v Sporting CP
03 Apr 2027
POR v SCP
upcoming
31 May 2026
POR94
SCP86
29 May 2026
POR86
SCP76
18 Oct 2025
POR76
SCP82
25 May 2025
POR83
SCP64
23 May 2025
POR91
SCP81
09 Apr 2025
POR82
SCP72
23 Mar 2025
POR94
SCP73
25 Jan 2025
POR83
SCP78
20 Apr 2024
POR86
SCP72
14 Jan 2024
POR81
SCP79
23 May 2023
POR91
SCP93
21 May 2023
POR80
SCP88
19 Mar 2023
POR72
SCP71
14 Jan 2023
POR84
SCP97
19 Nov 2022
POR91
SCP89
24 May 2022
POR74
SCP71
22 May 2022
POR87
SCP68
30 Apr 2022
POR70
SCP71
28 Dec 2021
POR66
SCP59
30 May 2021
POR76
SCP80
28 May 2021
POR87
SCP73
07 Mar 2021
POR81
SCP78
08 Oct 2020
POR78
SCP87
08 Dec 2019
POR78
SCP89
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

FC Porto winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Sporting CP winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

FC PortoPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPorto
Date
Competition
Galomar
#12
W
80-66
80
66
+14
76avg 76
A07/12
LPB
Tofas
#4
L
87-95
87
95
-8
72avg 76
H11/12
FIBA Europe Cup
Esgueira
#8
W
94-83
94
83
+11
89avg 76
H14/12
LPB
CA Queluz
#8
W
89-75
89
75
+14
86avg 76
H17/12
Taca da Liga
CA Queluz
#11
W
81-62
81
62
+19
78avg 76
A21/12
LPB
Galitos Barreiro
#6
W
93-80
93
80
+13
92avg 76
A04/01
LPB
Maroussi
#12
L
81-82
81
82
-1
75avg 76
A08/01
FIBA Europe Cup
CD Povoa
#10
W
93-53
93
53
+40
93avg 76
A11/01
LPB
Basket Zaragoza
#13
W
86-75
86
75
+11
84avg 76
H14/01
FIBA Europe Cup
CD Povoa
#13
W
82-60
82
60
+22
80avg 76
H19/01
Taca de Portugal
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-17
23-15
13-20
20-14
20-29
19-29
23-20
25-17
29-19
16-21
25-25
24-18
25-19
25-19
24-11
15-26
16-18
27-13
22-22
16-9
31-19
25-17
22-16
15-28
26-19
14-12
22-21
19-30
22-7
20-14
23-18
28-14
25-21
22-16
18-24
21-14
23-12
23-18
15-19
21-11
159.7Avg total
86.6Scored
73.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)87.375.2162.5+12.191%
Season at home (4)89.080.5169.5+8.5100%
Season away (7)86.372.1158.4+14.186%
Last 10 (10)86.673.1159.7+13.580%
Last 5 (5)87.070.0157.0+17.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)70.281.8152.0-11.50%
vs Similar ◀ (8)84.883.6168.4+1.150%
vs Weaker (16)84.770.9155.6+13.8100%
This opponent (Sporting CP) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Sporting CPPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCP
Date
Competition
Galitos Barreiro
#6
W
76-72
76
72
+4
73avg 73
H16/11
LPB
FC Porto
#2
L
83-87
83
87
-4
70avg 73
H30/11
LPB
CD Povoa
#10
W
68-66
68
66
+2
64avg 73
A07/12
LPB
Galomar
#12
W
84-72
84
72
+12
74avg 73
H14/12
LPB
Imortal
#10
W
86-68
86
68
+18
78avg 73
H17/12
Taca da Liga
Vitoria
#9
W
92-90
92
90
+2
86avg 73
H21/12
LPB
Benfica
#1
L
64-81
64
81
-17
55avg 73
A29/12
LPB
Oliveirense
#4
W
82-69
82
69
+13
78avg 73
H04/01
LPB
Imortal
#7
L
80-86
80
86
-6
72avg 73
A14/01
LPB
Imortal
#9
W
79-75
79
75
+4
76avg 73
A16/01
Taca de Portugal
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-13
16-23
25-22
17-14
22-26
21-12
22-26
18-23
24-20
11-19
11-14
22-13
22-19
18-13
20-14
24-26
17-17
31-14
22-21
16-16
23-17
20-30
16-31
33-12
22-22
13-19
12-24
17-16
17-20
21-21
24-11
20-17
18-14
23-15
23-23
16-34
28-15
21-14
13-24
17-22
156.0Avg total
79.4Scored
76.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)83.076.8159.8+6.267%
Season at home (7)88.175.7163.9+12.486%
Season away (5)75.878.4154.2-2.640%
Last 10 (10)79.476.6156.0+2.870%
Last 5 (5)79.480.2159.6-0.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)70.089.2159.2-19.20%
vs Similar ◀ (6)75.276.0151.2-0.833%
vs Weaker (17)85.876.0161.8+9.871%
This opponent (FC Porto) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +6.1+6.1Q1: +2.8+2.8Q2Q2: +4.0+4.0Q2: +1.5+1.5Q3Q3: +1.1+1.1Q3: -2.2-2.2Q4Q4: +2.3+2.3Q4: +0.7+0.7
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +6.1+6.1Q1: +2.8+2.8Q2Q2: +4.0+4.0Q2: +1.5+1.5Q3Q3: +1.1+1.1Q3: -2.2-2.2Q4Q4: +2.3+2.3Q4: +0.7+0.7
FC PortoSporting CP
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
FC PortoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Galomar
#12
W
47-32
47
32
+15
A07/12
LPB
Tofas
#4
L
39-58
39
58
-19
H11/12
FIBA Europe Cup
Esgueira
#8
W
45-40
45
40
+5
H14/12
LPB
CA Queluz
#8
W
50-38
50
38
+12
H17/12
Taca da Liga
CA Queluz
#11
W
43-31
43
31
+12
A21/12
LPB
Galitos Barreiro
#6
W
56-36
56
36
+20
A04/01
LPB
Maroussi
#12
W
40-31
40
31
+9
A08/01
FIBA Europe Cup
CD Povoa
#10
W
42-21
42
21
+21
A11/01
LPB
Basket Zaragoza
#13
W
47-37
47
37
+10
H14/01
FIBA Europe Cup
CD Povoa
#13
W
46-30
46
30
+16
H19/01
Taca de Portugal
80.9Avg total
45.5Scored
35.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.236.276.5+4.063%-
Last 30 at home (14)40.335.475.7+4.971%-
Last 30 away (16)40.236.977.1+3.256%-
Last 10 (10)45.535.480.9+10.190%-
Last 5 (5)46.231.077.2+15.2100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)35.835.871.5+0.050%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)40.640.681.2+0.038%-
vs Weaker (16)40.434.174.5+6.475%-
This opponent (Sporting CP) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Sporting CPLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Galitos Barreiro
#6
L
34-36
34
36
-2
H16/11
LPB
FC Porto
#2
W
43-38
43
38
+5
H30/11
LPB
CD Povoa
#10
L
35-39
35
39
-4
A07/12
LPB
Galomar
#12
W
40-32
40
32
+8
H14/12
LPB
Imortal
#10
W
48-31
48
31
+17
H17/12
Taca da Liga
Vitoria
#9
L
43-47
43
47
-4
H21/12
LPB
Benfica
#1
L
35-41
35
41
-6
A29/12
LPB
Oliveirense
#4
L
38-41
38
41
-3
H04/01
LPB
Imortal
#7
W
41-29
41
29
+12
A14/01
LPB
Imortal
#9
W
49-29
49
29
+20
A16/01
Taca de Portugal
76.9Avg total
40.6Scored
36.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.740.581.2+0.247%-
Last 30 at home (16)40.940.281.1+0.750%-
Last 30 away (14)40.640.981.4-0.343%-
Last 10 (10)40.636.376.9+4.350%-
Last 5 (5)41.237.478.6+3.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)36.347.884.2-11.50%-
vs Similar ◀ (6)38.238.776.8-0.550%-
vs Weaker (17)42.739.281.9+3.559%-
This opponent (FC Porto) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
FC Portotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

FC Porto: 85.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.2 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.4 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.2 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.1 points a game
48%
32%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.122.6
55.0%
51.2%45.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.68.8
33.1%
32.7%26.4
🏀 Free throws19.514.2
72.8%
69.2%14.2
They take 67.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Sporting CPtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Sporting CP: 78.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.4 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.1 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.3 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.1 points a game
48%
32%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.920.7
50.6%
51.2%41.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.06.7
30.5%
32.7%20.1
🏀 Free throws26.917.3
64.3%
69.2%17.3
They take 62.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 25 Jan 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
FC Porto
WWWLWWWWLW
Sporting CP
WLWLWWWWLW
#2
League position
#3
+18.3
Net rating
+3.5
114.5
Offensive rating
101.0
96.2
Defensive rating
97.5
52.9%
Effective FG%
48.9%
47.8%
Opp. effective FG%
47.5%
15.8%
Turnover %
19.0%
35.3%
Off. rebound %
29.4%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.43
33.1%
3-point %
30.5%
64.6%
Assist %
63.9%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence114.5 · 101.0Defence96.2 · 97.5Shooting52.9% · 48.9%3-point %33.1% · 30.5%Ball care15.8% · 19.0%Off. rebounds35.3% · 29.4%Free throws0.29 · 0.43Form (last 10/10)80% · 70%
■ FC Porto   ■ Sporting CP
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
FC Porto wins
5
Sporting CP wins
DateGameScore
30/11/24Sporting CP v FC Porto83-87
20/04/24FC Porto v Sporting CP86-72
14/02/24Sporting CP v FC Porto81-71
14/01/24FC Porto v Sporting CP81-79
17/12/23Sporting CP v FC Porto83-79
26/05/23Sporting CP v FC Porto94-66
23/05/23FC Porto v Sporting CP91-93
21/05/23FC Porto v Sporting CP80-88
15/04/23Sporting CP v FC Porto106-110 OT
19/03/23FC Porto v Sporting CP72-71
FC Portolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/01/25HCD Povoa82-60
14/01/25HBasket Zaragoza86-75
11/01/25ACD Povoa93-53
08/01/25AMaroussi81-82
04/01/25AGalitos Barreiro93-80
21/12/24ACA Queluz81-62
17/12/24HCA Queluz89-75
14/12/24HEsgueira94-83
11/12/24HTofas87-95
07/12/24AGalomar80-66
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/01/25AImortal79-75
14/01/25AImortal80-86
04/01/25HOliveirense82-69
29/12/24ABenfica64-81
21/12/24HVitoria92-90
17/12/24HImortal86-68
14/12/24HGalomar84-72
07/12/24ACD Povoa68-66
30/11/24HFC Porto83-87
16/11/24HGalitos Barreiro76-72

📊 11. Overall Statistics

FC Porto
LPB 2024-25
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW91%
HomeWWWW100%
AwayWWWWW86%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1147
Win %91%100%86%
Points / game87.389.086.3
Allowed / game75.280.572.1
Point differential+12.1+8.5+14.1
Avg total162.5169.5158.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+64%50%71%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Sporting CP
LPB 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL67%
HomeWLWWW86%
AwayLWWLL40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1275
Win %67%86%40%
Points / game83.088.175.8
Allowed / game76.875.778.4
Point differential+6.2+12.4-2.6
Avg total159.8163.9154.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%57%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)67% (3)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Benfica12120100%89.873.5+16.2
2 FC Porto1110191%87.375.2+12.1
3 Oliveirense128467%87.878.0+9.8
4 Sporting CP128467%83.076.8+6.2
5 Ovarense117464%79.578.4+1.2
6 Esgueira115645%83.287.3-4.1
7 Imortal135838%77.186.1-9.0
8 Galitos Barreiro124833%77.879.8-1.9
9 CA Queluz113827%82.289.0-6.8
10 Vitoria123925%77.584.0-6.5
11 CD Povoa123925%70.879.1-8.3
12 Galomar112918%73.381.8-8.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
FC Porto2517212083
Sporting CP1922211678
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