PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

FC Porto vs CD Povoa Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 19 Jan 2025
Tip-off: 14:00
Final 82-60
23-12 23-18 15-19 21-11
Position#1
Record-
FormWWLWW
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
vs
Position#13
Record-
FormLLLLL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
PortugalTaca de Portugal· Pavilhão Dragão Arena
Other2025
Meetings · FC Porto v CD Povoa
22 Nov 2026
POR v CD P
upcoming
19 Jan 2025
POR82
CD P60
26 Oct 2024
POR76
CD P64
05 Jan 2024
POR97
CD P81
07 Jan 2023
POR99
CD P69
14 Jan 2022
POR82
CD P55
12 Jan 2021
POR86
CD P61
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

FC Porto winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
CD Povoa winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

FC PortoPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPorto
Date
Competition
Basket Zaragoza
#13
L
70-86
70
86
-16
56avg 76
A03/12
FIBA Europe Cup
Galomar
#12
W
80-66
80
66
+14
76avg 76
A07/12
LPB
Tofas
#4
L
87-95
87
95
-8
72avg 76
H11/12
FIBA Europe Cup
Esgueira
#8
W
94-83
94
83
+11
89avg 76
H14/12
LPB
CA Queluz
#8
W
89-75
89
75
+14
86avg 76
H17/12
Taca da Liga
CA Queluz
#11
W
81-62
81
62
+19
78avg 76
A21/12
LPB
Galitos Barreiro
#6
W
93-80
93
80
+13
92avg 76
A04/01
LPB
Maroussi
#12
L
81-82
81
82
-1
75avg 76
A08/01
FIBA Europe Cup
CD Povoa
#10
W
93-53
93
53
+40
93avg 76
A11/01
LPB
Basket Zaragoza
#13
W
86-75
86
75
+11
84avg 76
H14/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
11-15
27-25
13-21
19-25
24-17
23-15
13-20
20-14
20-29
19-29
23-20
25-17
29-19
16-21
25-25
24-18
25-19
25-19
24-11
15-26
16-18
27-13
22-22
16-9
31-19
25-17
22-16
15-28
26-19
14-12
22-21
19-30
22-7
20-14
23-18
28-14
25-21
22-16
18-24
21-14
161.1Avg total
85.4Scored
75.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)85.475.7161.1+9.770%
Last 5 (5)86.870.4157.2+16.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)70.281.8152.0-11.50%
vs Similar (8)84.883.6168.4+1.150%
vs Weaker (17)83.871.1154.9+12.894%
CD PovoaPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPovoa
Date
Competition
Galitos Barreiro
#6
W
77-75
77
75
+2
65avg 66
A09/11
LPB
Galomar
#12
W
81-72
81
72
+9
82avg 66
H16/11
LPB
Esgueira
#8
L
82-84 OT
82
84
-2
80avg 66
H30/11
LPB
Sporting CP
#3
L
66-68
66
68
-2
52avg 66
H07/12
LPB
Vitoria
#9
W
78-75
78
75
+3
72avg 66
A15/12
LPB
Vitoria
#9
L
72-94
72
94
-22
63avg 66
A18/12
Taca da Liga
Benfica
#1
L
75-79
75
79
-4
65avg 66
H22/12
LPB
Oliveirense
#4
L
53-92
53
92
-39
35avg 66
A29/12
LPB
Imortal
#7
L
80-84 OT
80
84
-4
66avg 66
H04/01
LPB
FC Porto
#2
L
53-93
53
93
-40
44avg 66
H11/01
LPB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-24
23-13
12-18
21-20
26-16
15-23
19-16
21-17
22-25
23-8
16-28
12-12
20-24
19-11
14-11
13-22
19-21
21-11
21-29
17-14
22-15
16-25
12-28
22-26
22-21
15-13
11-23
27-22
18-19
15-22
14-21
6-30
17-24
13-17
21-17
21-14
7-22
14-20
18-23
14-28
153.3Avg total
71.7Scored
81.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)71.781.6153.3-9.930%
Last 5 (5)66.688.4155.0-21.80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)73.783.1156.8-9.432%
vs Similar (6)78.382.7161.0-4.333%
vs Weaker (5)85.883.2169.0+2.660%

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +4.6+4.6Q1: -1.7-1.7Q2Q2: +3.7+3.7Q2: +1.1+1.1Q3Q3: +0.7+0.7Q3: -5.6-5.6Q4Q4: +0.7+0.7Q4: -3.1-3.1
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +4.6+4.6Q1: -1.7-1.7Q2Q2: +3.7+3.7Q2: +1.1+1.1Q3Q3: +0.7+0.7Q3: -5.6-5.6Q4Q4: +0.7+0.7Q4: -3.1-3.1
FC PortoCD Povoa
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
FC PortoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Basket Zaragoza
#13
L
38-40
38
40
-2
A03/12
FIBA Europe Cup
Galomar
#12
W
47-32
47
32
+15
A07/12
LPB
Tofas
#4
L
39-58
39
58
-19
H11/12
FIBA Europe Cup
Esgueira
#8
W
45-40
45
40
+5
H14/12
LPB
CA Queluz
#8
W
50-38
50
38
+12
H17/12
Taca da Liga
CA Queluz
#11
W
43-31
43
31
+12
A21/12
LPB
Galitos Barreiro
#6
W
56-36
56
36
+20
A04/01
LPB
Maroussi
#12
W
40-31
40
31
+9
A08/01
FIBA Europe Cup
CD Povoa
#10
W
42-21
42
21
+21
A11/01
LPB
Basket Zaragoza
#13
W
47-37
47
37
+10
H14/01
FIBA Europe Cup
81.1Avg total
44.7Scored
36.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.236.576.7+3.663%-
Last 30 at home (14)40.136.176.2+4.171%-
Last 30 away (16)40.236.977.1+3.256%-
Last 10 (10)44.736.481.1+8.380%-
Last 5 (5)45.631.276.8+14.4100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)35.835.871.5+0.050%-
vs Similar (8)40.640.681.2+0.038%-
vs Weaker (17)40.634.475.0+6.376%-
CD PovoaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Galitos Barreiro
#6
W
44-37
44
37
+7
A09/11
LPB
Galomar
#12
W
41-39
41
39
+2
H16/11
LPB
Esgueira
#8
W
45-33
45
33
+12
H30/11
LPB
Sporting CP
#3
W
39-35
39
35
+4
H07/12
LPB
Vitoria
#9
W
40-32
40
32
+8
A15/12
LPB
Vitoria
#9
L
38-40
38
40
-2
A18/12
Taca da Liga
Benfica
#1
W
37-34
37
34
+3
H22/12
LPB
Oliveirense
#4
L
33-41
33
41
-8
A29/12
LPB
Imortal
#7
L
30-41
30
41
-11
H04/01
LPB
FC Porto
#2
L
21-42
21
42
-21
H11/01
LPB
74.2Avg total
36.8Scored
37.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.740.779.4-2.047%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.938.977.8+0.160%-
Last 30 away (15)38.542.580.9-4.033%-
Last 10 (10)36.837.474.2-0.660%-
Last 5 (5)31.839.671.4-7.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)37.639.677.2-2.147%-
vs Similar (6)39.740.279.8-0.567%-
vs Weaker (5)41.845.287.0-3.420%-
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
FC Portotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

FC Porto: 84.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.6 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.6 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.2 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.0 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.222.8
55.3%
54.9%45.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.88.2
30.6%
34.2%24.6
🏀 Free throws19.514.2
72.8%
70.6%14.2
They take 68.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
CD Povoatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

CD Povoa: 70.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.6 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.5 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.8 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.0 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.817.3
49.7%
54.9%34.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.37.5
27.5%
34.2%22.5
🏀 Free throws21.713.8
63.6%
70.6%13.8
They take 62.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 19 Jan 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
FC Porto
WWLWWWWLWL
CD Povoa
LLLLLWLLWW
#1
League position
#13
+12.7
Net rating
-13.0
112.5
Offensive rating
92.8
99.8
Defensive rating
105.8
51.6%
Effective FG%
46.0%
49.0%
Opp. effective FG%
49.7%
15.1%
Turnover %
20.9%
35.0%
Off. rebound %
27.3%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.35
30.6%
3-point %
27.5%
64.2%
Assist %
56.5%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence112.5 · 92.8Defence99.8 · 105.8Shooting51.6% · 46.0%3-point %30.6% · 27.5%Ball care15.1% · 20.9%Off. rebounds35.0% · 27.3%Free throws0.29 · 0.35Form (last 10/10)70% · 30%
■ FC Porto   ■ CD Povoa
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
9
FC Porto wins
0
CD Povoa wins
DateGameScore
11/01/25CD Povoa v FC Porto53-93
26/10/24FC Porto v CD Povoa76-64
05/01/24FC Porto v CD Povoa97-81
23/09/23CD Povoa v FC Porto76-91
07/01/23FC Porto v CD Povoa99-69
22/10/22CD Povoa v FC Porto66-75
14/01/22FC Porto v CD Povoa82-55
29/10/21CD Povoa v FC Porto60-67
12/01/21FC Porto v CD Povoa86-61
FC Portolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/01/25HBasket Zaragoza86-75
11/01/25ACD Povoa93-53
08/01/25AMaroussi81-82
04/01/25AGalitos Barreiro93-80
21/12/24ACA Queluz81-62
17/12/24HCA Queluz89-75
14/12/24HEsgueira94-83
11/12/24HTofas87-95
07/12/24AGalomar80-66
03/12/24ABasket Zaragoza70-86
CD Povoalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/01/25HFC Porto53-93
04/01/25HImortal80-84 OT
29/12/24AOliveirense53-92
22/12/24HBenfica75-79
18/12/24AVitoria72-94
15/12/24AVitoria78-75
07/12/24HSporting CP66-68
30/11/24HEsgueira82-84 OT
16/11/24HGalomar81-72
09/11/24AGalitos Barreiro77-75

📊 11. Overall Statistics

FC Porto
Taca de Portugal 2025
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
CD Povoa
Taca de Portugal 2025
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Benfica110100%104.055.0+49.0
2 Vitoria110100%122.088.0+34.0
3 Oliveirense110100%95.071.0+24.0
4 Galitos Barreiro110100%76.060.0+16.0
5 Galomar110100%84.069.0+15.0
6 Sporting CP110100%79.075.0+4.0
7 Imortal1010%75.079.0-4.0
8 Ginasio1010%69.084.0-15.0
9 CA Queluz1010%60.076.0-16.0
10 Sangalhos1010%71.095.0-24.0
11 Vasco Da Gama1010%88.0122.0-34.0
12 Portimonense1010%55.0104.0-49.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
FC Porto2323152182
CD Povoa1218191160
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.