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FC Porto vs Tofas Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 11 Dec 2024
Tip-off: 20:00
Final 87-95
20-29 19-29 23-20 25-17
Position#7
Record5-2
FormWWWLW
Points / game81.0
Allowed / game73.6
vs
Tofas 🏆
Position#4
Record7-0
FormWWWWW
Points / game97.4
Allowed / game81.7
EuropeFIBA Europe CupRound 2· Pavilhão Dragão Arena
European cup2024
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

FC Porto winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Tofas winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

FC PortoLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPorto
Date
Competition
CD Povoa
#10
W
76-64
76
64
+12
65avg 74
H26/10
LPB
Szolnoki Olaj
#38
W
88-71
88
71
+17
78avg 74
A30/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Benfica
#1
L
77-82
77
82
-5
67avg 74
A02/11
LPB
PAOK
#9
W
99-64
99
64
+35
100avg 74
H06/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Oliveirense
#4
W
98-95
98
95
+3
96avg 74
H09/11
LPB
Limburg
#26
W
83-76
83
76
+7
78avg 74
A12/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Imortal
#7
W
93-79
93
79
+14
87avg 74
A16/11
LPB
Sporting CP
#3
W
87-83
87
83
+4
85avg 74
A30/11
LPB
Basket Zaragoza
#13
L
70-86
70
86
-16
56avg 74
A03/12
FIBA Europe Cup
Galomar
#12
W
80-66
80
66
+14
76avg 74
A07/12
LPB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-18
17-19
20-13
24-14
21-20
20-17
26-16
21-18
19-15
17-18
19-22
22-27
22-6
20-17
30-12
27-29
21-20
21-27
23-23
33-25
15-16
16-25
24-20
28-15
23-14
14-26
32-20
24-19
26-22
12-21
26-22
23-18
11-15
27-25
13-21
19-25
24-17
23-15
13-20
20-14
161.7Avg total
85.1Scored
76.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)81.073.6154.6+7.471%
Season at home (3)85.364.3149.7+21.0100%
Season away (4)77.880.5158.2-2.850%
Last 10 (10)85.176.6161.7+8.580%
Last 5 (5)82.678.0160.6+4.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)70.281.8152.0-11.50%
vs Similar ◀ (8)80.977.9158.8+3.062%
vs Weaker (17)83.071.4154.4+11.688%
This opponent (Tofas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TofasLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTofas
Date
Competition
Yalovaspor
#16
W
77-65
77
65
+12
77avg 85
A26/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Keravnos
#34
W
99-96
99
96
+3
100avg 85
A30/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Bursaspor
#9
W
94-71
94
71
+23
93avg 85
H03/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
AEK Larnaca
#29
W
93-61
93
61
+32
97avg 85
H06/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Darussafaka
#15
W
87-78
87
78
+9
83avg 85
A09/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Basketball Braunschweig
#15
W
97-92
97
92
+5
96avg 85
A13/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Petkim Spor
#11
W
107-99
107
99
+8
102avg 85
H17/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Manisa
#12
W
109-106 OT
109
106
+3
100avg 85
A29/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Maroussi
#12
W
96-83
96
83
+13
97avg 85
H04/12
FIBA Europe Cup
Anadolu Efes
#2
W
77-70
77
70
+7
77avg 85
H08/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-18
18-17
14-17
23-13
24-26
20-25
29-24
26-21
18-22
26-17
23-13
27-19
28-13
18-26
23-12
24-10
21-15
25-21
20-22
21-20
24-21
29-22
24-23
20-26
28-22
21-22
26-24
32-31
25-23
17-21
17-24
30-21
21-20
27-18
24-21
24-24
18-17
21-23
20-14
18-16
175.7Avg total
93.6Scored
82.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)97.481.7179.1+15.7100%
Season at home (4)97.578.8176.2+18.8100%
Season away (3)97.385.7183.0+11.7100%
Last 10 (10)93.682.1175.7+11.5100%
Last 5 (5)97.290.0187.2+7.2100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)84.884.1168.9+0.650%
vs Similar ◀ (14)91.190.1181.2+0.964%
vs Weaker (8)90.674.9165.5+15.8100%
This opponent (FC Porto) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +3.4+3.4Q1: +3.2+3.2Q2Q2: -2.3-2.3Q2: +1.0+1.0Q3Q3: +3.7+3.7Q3: +2.6+2.6Q4Q4: +3.7+3.7Q4: +4.4+4.4
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +3.4+3.4Q1: +3.2+3.2Q2Q2: -2.3-2.3Q2: +1.0+1.0Q3Q3: +3.7+3.7Q3: +2.6+2.6Q4Q4: +3.7+3.7Q4: +4.4+4.4
FC PortoTofas
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
FC PortoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
CD Povoa
#10
L
32-37
32
37
-5
H26/10
LPB
Szolnoki Olaj
#38
W
41-37
41
37
+4
A30/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Benfica
#1
W
36-33
36
33
+3
A02/11
LPB
PAOK
#9
W
42-23
42
23
+19
H06/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Oliveirense
#4
L
42-47
42
47
-5
H09/11
LPB
Limburg
#26
L
31-41
31
41
-10
A12/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Imortal
#7
L
37-40
37
40
-3
A16/11
LPB
Sporting CP
#3
L
38-43
38
43
-5
A30/11
LPB
Basket Zaragoza
#13
L
38-40
38
40
-2
A03/12
FIBA Europe Cup
Galomar
#12
W
47-32
47
32
+15
A07/12
LPB
75.7Avg total
38.4Scored
37.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.536.575.9+3.060%-
Last 30 at home (14)39.034.473.4+4.664%-
Last 30 away (16)39.938.378.2+1.656%-
Last 10 (10)38.437.375.7+1.140%-
Last 5 (5)38.239.277.4-1.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)35.835.871.5+0.050%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)38.437.275.6+1.138%-
vs Weaker (17)40.535.876.3+4.671%-
This opponent (Tofas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TofasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Yalovaspor
#16
W
40-35
40
35
+5
A26/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Keravnos
#34
L
44-51
44
51
-7
A30/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Bursaspor
#9
W
44-39
44
39
+5
H03/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
AEK Larnaca
#29
W
46-39
46
39
+7
H06/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Darussafaka
#15
W
46-36
46
36
+10
A09/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Basketball Braunschweig
#15
W
53-43
53
43
+10
A13/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Petkim Spor
#11
W
49-44
49
44
+5
H17/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Manisa
#12
L
42-44
42
44
-2
A29/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Maroussi
#12
W
48-38
48
38
+10
H04/12
FIBA Europe Cup
Anadolu Efes
#2
L
39-40
39
40
-1
H08/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
86.0Avg total
45.1Scored
40.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.343.187.4+1.257%-
Last 30 at home (16)46.044.190.1+1.962%-
Last 30 away (14)42.342.084.3+0.350%-
Last 10 (10)45.140.986.0+4.270%-
Last 5 (5)46.241.888.0+4.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)42.643.285.9-0.662%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)44.545.189.6-0.643%-
vs Weaker (8)45.539.585.0+6.075%-
This opponent (FC Porto) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
FC Portotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

FC Porto: 84.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.4 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.0 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.7 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.3 points a game
49%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.422.7
57.6%
52.6%45.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.38.0
29.3%
34.0%24.0
🏀 Free throws21.514.7
68.4%
72.6%14.7
They take 66.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Tofastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Tofas: 94.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.6 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.3 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.5 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.3 points a game
49%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.924.3
62.5%
52.6%48.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.69.1
37.0%
34.0%27.3
🏀 Free throws24.218.5
76.4%
72.6%18.5
They take 63.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 11 Dec 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
FC Porto
WLWWWWWLWW
Tofas
WWWWWWWWWW
#7
League position
#4
+10.7
Net rating
+14.0
113.4
Offensive rating
122.5
102.7
Defensive rating
108.5
52.0%
Effective FG%
59.8%
47.4%
Opp. effective FG%
51.8%
15.6%
Turnover %
15.3%
38.3%
Off. rebound %
30.2%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.38
29.3%
3-point %
37.0%
60.6%
Assist %
76.3%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
100%

Profile

Offence113.4 · 122.5Defence102.7 · 108.5Shooting52.0% · 59.8%3-point %29.3% · 37.0%Ball care15.6% · 15.3%Off. rebounds38.3% · 30.2%Free throws0.32 · 0.38Form (last 10/10)80% · 100%
■ FC Porto   ■ Tofas
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
FC Porto wins
0
Tofas wins
No previous meetings.
FC Portolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/12/24AGalomar80-66
03/12/24ABasket Zaragoza70-86
30/11/24ASporting CP87-83
16/11/24AImortal93-79
12/11/24ALimburg83-76
09/11/24HOliveirense98-95
06/11/24HPAOK99-64
02/11/24ABenfica77-82
30/10/24ASzolnoki Olaj88-71
26/10/24HCD Povoa76-64
Tofaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/12/24HAnadolu Efes77-70
04/12/24HMaroussi96-83
29/11/24AManisa109-106 OT
17/11/24HPetkim Spor107-99
13/11/24ABasketball Braunschweig97-92
09/11/24ADarussafaka87-78
06/11/24HAEK Larnaca93-61
03/11/24HBursaspor94-71
30/10/24AKeravnos99-96
26/10/24AYalovaspor77-65

📊 11. Overall Statistics

FC Porto
FIBA Europe Cup 2024
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL71%
HomeWWW100%
AwayLWWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games734
Win %71%100%50%
Points / game81.085.377.8
Allowed / game73.664.380.5
Point differential+7.4+21.0-2.8
Avg total154.6149.7158.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+43%67%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Tofas
FIBA Europe Cup 2024
Recent: 10 Wins / 0 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW100%
HomeWWWW100%
AwayWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game97.497.597.3
Allowed / game81.778.885.7
Point differential+15.7+18.8+11.7
Avg total179.1176.2183.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+71%100%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)-100% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bilbao10100100%89.366.6+22.7
2 Tofas770100%97.481.7+15.7
3 Cholet87188%92.877.8+15.0
4 Ludwigsburg87188%81.967.9+14.0
5 CSM Oradea76186%82.472.9+9.6
6 PAOK76186%82.074.4+7.6
7 Sassari86275%85.272.5+12.8
8 Basket Zaragoza86275%90.483.1+7.2
9 FC Porto75271%81.073.6+7.4
10 Dijon107370%93.077.8+15.2
11 Maroussi107370%88.179.1+9.0
12 Levice64267%85.781.2+4.5
13 Fribourg Olympic85362%88.077.9+10.1
14 Le Portel85362%80.572.1+8.4
15 BC Kalev/Cramo85362%83.476.4+7.0
16 BC Prievidza85362%83.882.8+1.0
17 Spirou Charleroi106460%79.379.8-0.5
18 Anwil Wloclawek84450%89.576.5+13.0
19 Basketball Braunschweig63350%85.881.2+4.7
20 Spojnia Stargard63350%73.370.7+2.7
21 Bursaspor63350%85.584.0+1.5
22 Arges Pitesti63350%71.770.3+1.3
23 Alba Fehervar84450%89.693.8-4.1
24 Caledonia Gladiators63350%58.570.8-12.3
25 Norrkoping62433%79.085.5-6.5
26 Limburg62433%76.783.3-6.7
27 Antwerp Giants62433%80.287.7-7.5
28 Kutaisi62433%78.789.0-10.3
29 AEK Larnaca62433%71.085.7-14.7
30 Sporting CP82625%71.579.5-8.0
31 Anorthosis82625%75.884.2-8.5
32 BC Dnipro82625%66.087.1-21.1
33 Sabah Baku61517%73.878.8-5.0
34 Keravnos61517%84.590.7-6.2
35 Parnu61517%68.079.7-11.7
36 CSM Constanta81712%73.591.4-17.9
37 Starlites2020%74.584.0-9.5
38 Szolnoki Olaj6060%73.886.0-12.2
39 Rilski Sportist6060%71.387.0-15.7
40 Trepca6060%57.377.3-20.0
41 Balkan6060%69.389.8-20.5
42 Neptunas2020%62.584.5-22.0
43 Peja2020%78.0102.0-24.0
44 Dinamo Zagreb2020%70.5100.0-29.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 44 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
FC Porto2019232587
Tofas2929201795
← all games of the day
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