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Tofas vs Bursaspor Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 03 Nov 2024
Tip-off: 12:30
Final 94-71
18-22 26-17 23-13 27-19
Position#4
Record4-0
FormWWWWW
Points / game87.2
Allowed / game80.5
Tofas 🏆
Turkey
vs
Position#9
Record2-2
FormWLWWL
Points / game82.8
Allowed / game89.2
TurkeyBasketbol Süper LigiRound 5· Tofas Spor Salonu
Domestic2024-25
Meetings · Tofas v Bursaspor
01 Jan 2027
TOF v BUR
upcoming
08 Nov 2025
TOF84
BUR70
03 Nov 2024
TOF94
BUR71
03 Dec 2023
TOF91
BUR85
07 Jan 2023
TOF82
BUR83
06 Mar 2022
TOF83
BUR90
07 Feb 2021
TOF84
BUR77
12 Jan 2020
TOF109
BUR59
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Tofas winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Bursaspor winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

TofasTurkeyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTofas
Date
Competition
Çağdaş Bodrum Spor
#15
W
80-78
80
78
+2
71avg 83
A01/05
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Galatasaray
#5
L
102-107 OT
102
107
-5
92avg 83
H04/05
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Besiktas
#3
W
99-95
99
95
+4
96avg 83
H05/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Keravnos
#34
W
99-81
99
81
+18
104avg 83
H09/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Galatasaray
#8
W
80-76
80
76
+4
72avg 83
A13/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
AEK Larnaca
#29
W
96-69
96
69
+27
105avg 83
A16/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Buyukcekmece
#10
W
93-86
93
86
+7
89avg 83
H20/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Basketball Braunschweig
#15
W
102-90
102
90
+12
108avg 83
H23/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Yalovaspor
#16
W
77-65
77
65
+12
77avg 83
A26/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Keravnos
#34
W
99-96
99
96
+3
100avg 83
A30/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-29
20-22
21-15
16-12
21-29
26-24
21-22
29-22
30-30
24-20
19-23
26-22
30-15
19-14
16-33
34-19
24-22
19-23
20-14
17-17
27-20
25-16
23-20
21-13
24-21
19-27
18-21
32-17
29-20
29-26
23-19
21-25
22-18
18-17
14-17
23-13
24-26
20-25
29-24
26-21
177.0Avg total
92.7Scored
84.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)87.280.5167.8+6.8100%
Season at home (2)96.090.5186.5+5.5100%
Season away (2)78.570.5149.0+8.0100%
Last 10 (10)92.784.3177.0+8.490%
Last 5 (5)93.481.2174.6+12.2100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)83.189.0172.1-5.933%
vs Similar (16)86.883.8170.5+3.056%
vs Weaker ◀ (5)90.277.8168.0+12.4100%
This opponent (Bursaspor) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BursasporTurkeyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBursaspor
Date
Competition
Anadolu Efes
#2
W
98-90
98
90
+8
84avg 77
A06/05
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Fenerbahce
#1
L
112-116 OT
112
116
-4
104avg 77
H11/05
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Manisa
#12
W
81-73
81
73
+8
73avg 77
A05/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Basket Zaragoza
#13
L
84-106
84
106
-22
74avg 77
A09/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Anadolu Efes
#2
L
78-99
78
99
-21
59avg 77
H12/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Anorthosis
#31
W
86-79
86
79
+7
88avg 77
H16/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Fenerbahce
#1
L
78-95
78
95
-17
74avg 77
A20/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Levice
#8
W
78-63
78
63
+15
75avg 77
A23/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Turk Telekom
#7
W
94-90
94
90
+4
89avg 77
H27/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Basket Zaragoza
#13
L
87-89 OT
87
89
-2
74avg 77
H30/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
32-26
16-18
27-19
23-27
25-25
15-26
28-17
28-28
22-19
19-12
15-22
25-20
25-26
13-26
19-28
27-26
8-29
27-29
23-21
20-20
20-19
21-19
22-17
23-24
19-25
15-18
16-27
28-25
17-18
20-13
21-18
20-14
23-18
16-17
27-23
28-32
16-18
15-19
19-22
28-19
177.6Avg total
87.6Scored
90.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)82.889.2172.0-6.550%
Season at home (2)86.094.5180.5-8.550%
Season away (2)79.584.0163.5-4.550%
Last 10 (10)87.690.0177.6-2.450%
Last 5 (5)84.683.2167.8+1.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)80.890.9171.7-10.130%
vs Similar (17)86.186.2172.2-0.153%
vs Weaker (3)90.082.0172.0+8.067%
This opponent (Tofas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +2.4+2.4Q1: -1.6-1.6Q2Q2: +0.5+0.5Q2: -2.0-2.0Q3Q3: -0.4-0.4Q3: +0.3+0.3Q4Q4: +6.4+6.4Q4: +1.5+1.5
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +2.4+2.4Q1: -1.6-1.6Q2Q2: +0.5+0.5Q2: -2.0-2.0Q3Q3: -0.4-0.4Q3: +0.3+0.3Q4Q4: +6.4+6.4Q4: +1.5+1.5
TofasBursaspor
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
TofasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Çağdaş Bodrum Spor
#15
L
43-51
43
51
-8
A01/05
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Galatasaray
#5
L
47-53
47
53
-6
H04/05
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Besiktas
#3
W
54-50
54
50
+4
H05/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Keravnos
#34
W
49-29
49
29
+20
H09/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Galatasaray
#8
L
43-45
43
45
-2
A13/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
AEK Larnaca
#29
W
52-36
52
36
+16
A16/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Buyukcekmece
#10
L
43-48
43
48
-5
H20/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Basketball Braunschweig
#15
W
58-46
58
46
+12
H23/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Yalovaspor
#16
W
40-35
40
35
+5
A26/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Keravnos
#34
L
44-51
44
51
-7
A30/10
FIBA Europe Cup
91.7Avg total
47.3Scored
44.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.243.185.3-0.950%-
Last 30 at home (15)46.543.389.7+3.267%-
Last 30 away (15)37.942.980.9-5.033%-
Last 10 (10)47.344.491.7+2.950%-
Last 5 (5)47.443.290.6+4.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)39.745.485.1-5.856%-
vs Similar (16)42.642.685.2-0.144%-
vs Weaker ◀ (5)45.640.486.0+5.260%-
This opponent (Bursaspor) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BursasporLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Anadolu Efes
#2
W
48-44
48
44
+4
A06/05
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Fenerbahce
#1
L
40-51
40
51
-11
H11/05
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Manisa
#12
W
41-31
41
31
+10
A05/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Basket Zaragoza
#13
L
38-52
38
52
-14
A09/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Anadolu Efes
#2
L
35-58
35
58
-23
H12/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Anorthosis
#31
W
41-38
41
38
+3
H16/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Fenerbahce
#1
L
34-43
34
43
-9
A20/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Levice
#8
W
37-31
37
31
+6
A23/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Turk Telekom
#7
W
39-35
39
35
+4
H27/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Basket Zaragoza
#13
L
31-37
31
37
-6
H30/10
FIBA Europe Cup
80.4Avg total
38.4Scored
42.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.242.081.1-2.843%-
Last 30 at home (15)37.143.480.5-6.333%-
Last 30 away (15)41.240.581.7+0.753%-
Last 10 (10)38.442.080.4-3.650%-
Last 5 (5)36.436.873.2-0.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)37.443.881.2-6.430%-
vs Similar (17)39.640.880.4-1.147%-
vs Weaker (3)42.342.785.0-0.367%-
This opponent (Tofas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Tofastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Tofas: 91.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.0 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.7 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.7 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.7 points a game
47%
34%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.021.5
59.7%
54.1%43.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.69.9
38.7%
35.8%29.7
🏀 Free throws24.018.7
77.9%
76.0%18.7
They take 61.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Bursasportheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bursaspor: 90.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.2 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.1 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.4 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.7 points a game
47%
34%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.824.1
53.8%
54.1%48.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.09.7
35.9%
35.8%29.1
🏀 Free throws18.013.4
74.4%
76.0%13.4
They take 71.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 03 Nov 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Tofas
WWWWWWWWLW
Bursaspor
LWWLWLLWLW
#4
League position
#9
+8.5
Net rating
+2.9
121.2
Offensive rating
116.3
112.7
Defensive rating
113.4
59.0%
Effective FG%
53.8%
53.4%
Opp. effective FG%
51.4%
15.3%
Turnover %
14.9%
29.3%
Off. rebound %
34.9%
0.39
Free-throw rate
0.25
38.7%
3-point %
35.9%
78.3%
Assist %
56.2%
90%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence121.2 · 116.3Defence112.7 · 113.4Shooting59.0% · 53.8%3-point %38.7% · 35.9%Ball care15.3% · 14.9%Off. rebounds29.3% · 34.9%Free throws0.39 · 0.25Form (last 10/10)90% · 50%
■ Tofas   ■ Bursaspor
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Tofas wins
5
Bursaspor wins
DateGameScore
29/03/24Bursaspor v Tofas89-95
03/12/23Tofas v Bursaspor91-85
12/05/23Bursaspor v Tofas77-92
07/01/23Tofas v Bursaspor82-83
06/03/22Tofas v Bursaspor83-90
06/11/21Bursaspor v Tofas87-75
07/02/21Tofas v Bursaspor84-77
24/10/20Bursaspor v Tofas83-70
12/01/20Tofas v Bursaspor109-59
29/09/19Bursaspor v Tofas80-76
Tofaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/10/24AKeravnos99-96
26/10/24AYalovaspor77-65
23/10/24HBasketball Braunschweig102-90
20/10/24HBuyukcekmece93-86
16/10/24AAEK Larnaca96-69
13/10/24AGalatasaray80-76
09/10/24HKeravnos99-81
05/10/24HBesiktas99-95
04/05/24HGalatasaray102-107 OT
01/05/24AÇağdaş Bodrum Spor80-78
Bursasporlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/10/24HBasket Zaragoza87-89 OT
27/10/24HTurk Telekom94-90
23/10/24ALevice78-63
20/10/24AFenerbahce78-95
16/10/24HAnorthosis86-79
12/10/24HAnadolu Efes78-99
09/10/24ABasket Zaragoza84-106
05/10/24AManisa81-73
11/05/24HFenerbahce112-116 OT
06/05/24AAnadolu Efes98-90

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Tofas
Basketbol Süper Ligi 2024-25
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWW100%
HomeWW100%
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game87.296.078.5
Allowed / game80.590.570.5
Point differential+6.8+5.5+8.0
Avg total167.8186.5149.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%0%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Bursaspor
Basketbol Süper Ligi 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLW50%
HomeLW50%
AwayWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %50%50%50%
Points / game82.886.079.5
Allowed / game89.294.584.0
Point differential-6.5-8.5-4.5
Avg total172.0180.5163.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Anadolu Efes550100%92.872.2+20.6
2 Fenerbahce440100%96.585.0+11.5
3 Tofas440100%87.280.5+6.8
4 Besiktas54180%84.879.4+5.4
5 Turk Telekom53260%87.479.0+8.4
6 Karsiyaka53260%91.284.2+7.0
7 Bahcesehir Kol.53260%79.877.6+2.2
8 Mersin SK53260%77.277.8-0.6
9 Petkim Spor42250%79.576.0+3.5
10 Bursaspor42250%82.889.2-6.5
11 Galatasaray52340%79.480.8-1.4
12 Buyukcekmece41325%85.088.5-3.5
13 Darussafaka51420%81.298.2-17.0
14 Manisa5050%77.486.2-8.8
15 Merkezefendi4040%75.887.5-11.8
16 Yalovaspor5050%72.087.8-15.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Tofas1826232794
Bursaspor2217131971
← all games of the day
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