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FC Porto vs PAOK Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 06 Nov 2024
Tip-off: 20:00
Final 99-64
22-6 20-17 30-12 27-29
Position#7
Record3-1
FormWWWWL
Points / game78.8
Allowed / game72.2
vs
Position#9
Record4-0
FormLWWWW
Points / game84.8
Allowed / game70.5
EuropeFIBA Europe CupRound 5· Pavilhão Dragão Arena
European cup2024
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

FC Porto winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
PAOK winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

FC PortoLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPorto
Date
Competition
Benfica
#1
L
62-73
62
73
-11
60avg 74
H07/06
LPB
Benfica
#1
L
76-83
76
83
-7
66avg 74
A10/06
LPB
Benfica
#2
W
97-93 OT
97
93
+4
no box
A28/09
Super Cup
Szolnoki Olaj
#38
W
77-68
77
68
+9
69avg 74
H09/10
FIBA Europe Cup
PAOK
#9
L
70-89
70
89
-19
58avg 74
A16/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Vitoria
#9
W
88-80
88
80
+8
85avg 74
H19/10
LPB
Limburg
#26
W
80-61
80
61
+19
70avg 74
H23/10
FIBA Europe Cup
CD Povoa
#10
W
76-64
76
64
+12
65avg 74
H26/10
LPB
Szolnoki Olaj
#38
W
88-71
88
71
+17
78avg 74
A30/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Benfica
#1
L
77-82
77
82
-5
67avg 74
A02/11
LPB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-13
21-15
13-23
12-22
25-20
10-21
24-15
17-27
23-22
23-22
21-19
18-22
20-16
18-10
19-23
20-19
18-26
21-20
24-22
7-21
24-17
18-19
23-16
23-28
12-11
23-16
20-19
25-15
15-18
17-19
20-13
24-14
21-20
20-17
26-16
21-18
19-15
17-18
19-22
22-27
155.5Avg total
79.1Scored
76.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)78.872.2151.0+6.575%
Season at home (2)78.564.5143.0+14.0100%
Season away (2)79.080.0159.0-1.050%
Last 10 (10)79.176.4155.5+2.760%
Last 5 (5)81.871.6153.4+10.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)69.082.2151.2-13.217%
vs Similar ◀ (4)73.273.8147.0-0.550%
vs Weaker (19)85.273.4158.6+11.789%
This opponent (PAOK) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PAOKLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPAOK
Date
Competition
Petkim Spor
#11
L
69-79
69
79
-10
62avg 71
H21/09
Champions League
Peristeri
#9
W
80-72
80
72
+8
73avg 71
A05/10
Basket League
Limburg
#26
W
74-70
74
70
+4
63avg 71
A09/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Panathinaikos
#1
L
93-96
93
96
-3
83avg 71
H12/10
Basket League
FC Porto
#7
W
89-70
89
70
+19
90avg 71
H16/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Panionios
#8
L
62-73
62
73
-11
55avg 71
A19/10
Basket League
Szolnoki Olaj
#38
W
82-66
82
66
+16
84avg 71
H23/10
FIBA Europe Cup
AEK Athens
#3
W
87-82
87
82
+5
82avg 71
H26/10
Basket League
Limburg
#26
W
94-76
94
76
+18
95avg 71
H30/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Maroussi
#11
W
81-80
81
80
+1
73avg 71
A02/11
Basket League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-12
8-17
23-21
16-29
18-20
28-17
23-18
11-17
21-21
14-21
14-16
25-12
22-21
20-23
28-20
23-32
26-18
20-21
22-24
21-7
20-15
11-19
19-20
12-19
24-19
17-13
21-8
20-26
19-24
29-25
17-12
22-21
23-15
28-18
19-22
24-21
23-17
12-14
24-17
22-32
157.5Avg total
81.1Scored
76.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)84.870.5155.2+14.2100%
Season at home (3)88.370.7159.0+17.7100%
Season away (1)74.070.0144.0+4.0100%
Last 10 (10)81.176.4157.5+4.770%
Last 5 (5)81.275.4156.6+5.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)77.386.8164.2-9.525%
vs Similar ◀ (12)76.277.4153.6-1.250%
vs Weaker (5)84.869.0153.8+15.8100%
This opponent (FC Porto) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +1.5+1.5Q1: +3.6+3.6Q2Q2: +1.1+1.1Q2: -0.1-0.1Q3Q3: +2.1+2.1Q3: +3.2+3.2Q4Q4: -2.4-2.4Q4: -2.0-2.0
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +1.5+1.5Q1: +3.6+3.6Q2Q2: +1.1+1.1Q2: -0.1-0.1Q3Q3: +2.1+2.1Q3: +3.2+3.2Q4Q4: -2.4-2.4Q4: -2.0-2.0
FC PortoPAOK
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
FC PortoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Benfica
#1
W
37-28
37
28
+9
H07/06
LPB
Benfica
#1
L
35-41
35
41
-6
A10/06
LPB
Benfica
#2
W
46-44
46
44
+2
A28/09
Super Cup
Szolnoki Olaj
#38
W
38-26
38
26
+12
H09/10
FIBA Europe Cup
PAOK
#9
L
39-46
39
46
-7
A16/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Vitoria
#9
W
42-36
42
36
+6
H19/10
LPB
Limburg
#26
W
35-27
35
27
+8
H23/10
FIBA Europe Cup
CD Povoa
#10
L
32-37
32
37
-5
H26/10
LPB
Szolnoki Olaj
#38
W
41-37
41
37
+4
A30/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Benfica
#1
W
36-33
36
33
+3
A02/11
LPB
73.6Avg total
38.1Scored
35.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.037.977.9+2.163%-
Last 30 at home (14)38.936.475.4+2.557%-
Last 30 away (16)40.939.280.1+1.769%-
Last 10 (10)38.135.573.6+2.670%-
Last 5 (5)37.234.071.2+3.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)36.738.775.3-2.050%-
vs Similar ◀ (4)36.836.273.0+0.550%-
vs Weaker (19)41.437.779.1+3.768%-
This opponent (PAOK) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PAOKLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Petkim Spor
#11
W
30-29
30
29
+1
H21/09
Champions League
Peristeri
#9
W
46-37
46
37
+9
A05/10
Basket League
Limburg
#26
L
35-42
35
42
-7
A09/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Panathinaikos
#1
L
42-44
42
44
-2
H12/10
Basket League
FC Porto
#7
W
46-39
46
39
+7
H16/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Panionios
#8
L
31-34
31
34
-3
A19/10
Basket League
Szolnoki Olaj
#38
W
41-32
41
32
+9
H23/10
FIBA Europe Cup
AEK Athens
#3
L
48-49
48
49
-1
H26/10
Basket League
Limburg
#26
W
51-33
51
33
+18
H30/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Maroussi
#11
W
35-31
35
31
+4
A02/11
Basket League
77.5Avg total
40.5Scored
37.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.738.978.6+0.850%-
Last 30 at home (17)41.837.279.0+4.571%-
Last 30 away (13)37.041.078.0-4.023%-
Last 10 (10)40.537.077.5+3.560%-
Last 5 (5)41.235.877.0+5.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)39.343.983.2-4.617%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)38.535.874.3+2.767%-
vs Weaker (5)42.836.078.8+6.880%-
This opponent (FC Porto) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
FC Portotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

FC Porto: 73.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.6 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.2 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.9 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.3 points a game
49%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.819.8
52.4%
52.6%39.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.27.4
29.4%
34.0%22.2
🏀 Free throws17.711.9
67.2%
72.6%11.9
They take 63.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
PAOKtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

PAOK: 80.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.2 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.6 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.5 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.3 points a game
49%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.920.1
53.0%
52.6%40.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.28.2
35.3%
34.0%24.6
🏀 Free throws21.015.5
73.8%
72.6%15.5
They take 61.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 06 Nov 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
FC Porto
LWWWWLWWLL
PAOK
WWWWLWLWWL
#7
League position
#9
+5.4
Net rating
+7.0
108.4
Offensive rating
110.0
103.0
Defensive rating
103.0
49.0%
Effective FG%
53.0%
49.6%
Opp. effective FG%
48.5%
17.2%
Turnover %
17.3%
37.8%
Off. rebound %
30.8%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.34
29.4%
3-point %
35.3%
54.8%
Assist %
63.6%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence108.4 · 110.0Defence103.0 · 103.0Shooting49.0% · 53.0%3-point %29.4% · 35.3%Ball care17.2% · 17.3%Off. rebounds37.8% · 30.8%Free throws0.28 · 0.34Form (last 10/10)60% · 70%
■ FC Porto   ■ PAOK
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
FC Porto wins
1
PAOK wins
DateGameScore
16/10/24PAOK v FC Porto89-70
FC Portolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/11/24ABenfica77-82
30/10/24ASzolnoki Olaj88-71
26/10/24HCD Povoa76-64
23/10/24HLimburg80-61
19/10/24HVitoria88-80
16/10/24APAOK70-89
09/10/24HSzolnoki Olaj77-68
28/09/24ABenfica97-93 OT
10/06/24ABenfica76-83
07/06/24HBenfica62-73
PAOKlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/11/24AMaroussi81-80
30/10/24HLimburg94-76
26/10/24HAEK Athens87-82
23/10/24HSzolnoki Olaj82-66
19/10/24APanionios62-73
16/10/24HFC Porto89-70
12/10/24HPanathinaikos93-96
09/10/24ALimburg74-70
05/10/24APeristeri80-72
21/09/24HPetkim Spor69-79

📊 11. Overall Statistics

FC Porto
FIBA Europe Cup 2024
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWW75%
HomeWW100%
AwayLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %75%100%50%
Points / game78.878.579.0
Allowed / game72.264.580.0
Point differential+6.5+14.0-1.0
Avg total151.0143.0159.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%50%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
PAOK
FIBA Europe Cup 2024
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWW100%
HomeWWW100%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games431
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game84.888.374.0
Allowed / game70.570.770.0
Point differential+14.2+17.7+4.0
Avg total155.2159.0144.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+75%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bilbao770100%88.660.4+28.1
2 Sassari660100%86.267.7+18.5
3 Tofas550100%97.879.4+18.4
4 Cholet550100%93.075.4+17.6
5 PAOK440100%84.870.5+14.2
6 BC Kalev/Cramo550100%82.668.6+14.0
7 CSM Oradea550100%80.270.6+9.6
8 Dijon76186%96.670.6+26.0
9 Ludwigsburg54180%78.864.6+14.2
10 Basket Zaragoza54180%91.883.0+8.8
11 FC Porto43175%78.872.2+6.5
12 Maroussi75271%86.775.7+11.0
13 Spirou Charleroi75271%81.476.7+4.7
14 BC Prievidza75271%86.382.1+4.1
15 Anwil Wloclawek53260%91.270.4+20.8
16 Fribourg Olympic53260%90.479.0+11.4
17 Le Portel53260%81.071.2+9.8
18 Basketball Braunschweig53260%84.678.0+6.6
19 Levice53260%82.678.0+4.6
20 Bursaspor53260%83.280.6+2.6
21 Alba Fehervar73443%89.194.3-5.1
22 Arges Pitesti52340%70.068.8+1.2
23 Spojnia Stargard52340%71.473.0-1.6
24 Antwerp Giants52340%79.484.8-5.4
25 Norrkoping52340%79.886.0-6.2
26 Limburg52340%76.883.4-6.6
27 Caledonia Gladiators52340%66.285.0-18.8
28 Sporting CP72529%69.977.0-7.1
29 Anorthosis72529%75.784.4-8.7
30 BC Dnipro82625%66.087.1-21.1
31 Keravnos51420%83.290.4-7.2
32 Parnu51420%69.879.0-9.2
33 Kutaisi51420%75.888.4-12.6
34 AEK Larnaca51420%66.884.6-17.8
35 CSM Constanta71614%74.389.6-15.3
36 Sabah Baku5050%72.079.6-7.6
37 Starlites2020%74.584.0-9.5
38 Szolnoki Olaj5050%74.884.8-10.0
39 Rilski Sportist5050%73.689.6-16.0
40 Trepca5050%68.888.8-20.0
41 Neptunas2020%62.584.5-22.0
42 Peja2020%78.0102.0-24.0
43 Balkan5050%64.889.2-24.4
44 Dinamo Zagreb2020%70.5100.0-29.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 44 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
FC Porto2220302799
PAOK617122964
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