FC Porto vs Vitoria Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 15 Dec 2018

Tip-off: 16:00

Final 94-86

25-21 27-22 23-23 19-20

Position#3

Record4-4

FormLLLWW

Points / game85.8

Allowed / game81.4

FC Porto 🏆

Vitoria

Position#10

Record4-5

FormWLLWL

Points / game81.2

Allowed / game81.1

LPBRound 10

Other2018-19

Meetings · FC Porto v Vitoria

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

FC Porto winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Vitoria winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

FC Porto

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Varese

75-84

-9

A24/10

FIBA Europe Cup

Lusitania

78-85

-7

A27/10

LPB

Rilski Sportist

#34

88-81

A31/10

FIBA Europe Cup

Benfica

88-93

-5

A03/11

LPB

Alba Fehervar

70-72

-2

A06/11

FIBA Europe Cup

Oliveirense

82-96

-14

H11/11

LPB

Varese

71-89

-18

H14/11

FIBA Europe Cup

Rilski Sportist

#34

79-91

-12

H21/11

FIBA Europe Cup

Illiabum

97-68

+29

H24/11

LPB

Esgueira

93-82

+11

A08/12

LPB

19-27

25-22

16-17

15-18

24-21

14-19

16-20

24-25

20-18

22-17

18-22

28-24

25-20

22-25

17-19

24-29

21-18

27-18

10-17

12-19

24-18

14-29

26-21

18-28

14-21

22-16

22-30

13-22

19-11

22-29

19-28

19-23

19-18

28-16

24-17

26-17

33-14

15-25

23-24

22-19

166.2Avg total

82.1Scored

84.1Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (8)	85.8	81.4	167.1	+4.4	50%
Season at home (4)	87.0	78.8	165.8	+8.2	50%
Season away (4)	84.5	84.0	168.5	+0.5	50%
Last 10 (10)	82.1	84.1	166.2	-2.0	30%
Last 5 (5)	84.4	85.2	169.6	-0.8	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)	75.8	88.9	164.7	-13.1	0%
vs Similar (7)	87.0	84.0	171.0	+3.0	57%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)	92.5	78.9	171.4	+13.6	83%

This opponent (Vitoria) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Vitoria

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Oliveirense

63-83

-20

H01/06

LPB

Galitos

88-83

A06/10

LPB

Illiabum

97-90

H14/10

LPB

Esgueira

77-85

-8

A20/10

LPB

Benfica

71-74

-3

H27/10

LPB

CAB Madeira

88-72

+16

H03/11

LPB

Imortal

#12

71-78

-7

A10/11

LPB

Ovarense

67-77

-10

H17/11

LPB

Terceira

#11

76-71

A24/11

LPB

Lusitania

96-100

100

-4

H08/12

LPB

17-22

23-23

8-24

15-14

20-18

22-21

18-24

28-20

23-22

28-21

23-20

23-27

18-19

21-20

10-19

28-27

16-14

23-20

15-18

17-22

26-22

25-15

21-15

16-20

11-22

15-24

23-15

22-17

17-15

24-27

9-20

17-15

19-19

16-16

19-15

22-21

24-15

23-28

22-20

27-37

160.7Avg total

79.4Scored

81.3Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (9)	81.2	81.1	162.3	+0.1	44%
Season at home (5)	83.8	82.6	166.4	+1.2	40%
Season away (4)	78.0	79.2	157.2	-1.2	50%
Last 10 (10)	79.4	81.3	160.7	-1.9	40%
Last 5 (5)	79.6	79.6	159.2	+0.0	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)	78.5	88.8	167.3	-10.4	9%
vs Similar (14)	88.9	86.9	175.8	+1.9	50%
vs Weaker (5)	83.0	82.4	165.4	+0.6	40%

This opponent (FC Porto) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

FC PortoVitoria

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.5	20.4	41.9	+1.1	63%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.1	20.4	41.5	+0.7	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	21.9	20.3	42.2	+1.5	67%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.8	18.6	40.4	+3.2	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.8	16.4	38.2	+5.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)	18.8	21.2	40.0	-2.4	45%	-
vs Similar (7)	21.3	14.9	36.1	+6.4	100%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)	24.1	22.8	46.9	+1.2	58%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.5	21.9	44.4	+0.7	53%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	22.9	19.5	42.4	+3.3	80%	-
Last 30 away (15)	22.2	24.2	46.4	-2.0	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.1	18.8	37.9	+0.3	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.4	18.6	38.0	+0.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)	21.8	23.6	45.5	-1.8	36%	-
vs Similar (14)	22.8	20.9	43.7	+1.9	71%	-
vs Weaker (5)	23.4	20.6	44.0	+2.8	40%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.2	20.1	42.3	+2.1	57%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	22.3	21.7	44.1	+0.6	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	22.0	18.5	40.5	+3.5	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.1	21.6	42.7	-0.5	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.2	23.0	43.2	-2.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)	20.7	22.5	43.2	-1.7	45%	-
vs Similar (7)	21.6	21.6	43.1	+0.0	43%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)	23.8	17.1	40.9	+6.8	75%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.2	20.2	40.4	-0.0	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	22.2	19.9	42.1	+2.3	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.2	20.6	38.8	-2.4	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.0	21.5	43.5	+0.5	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.6	22.0	42.6	-1.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)	19.1	20.2	39.3	-1.1	45%	-
vs Similar (14)	22.0	20.6	42.6	+1.4	57%	-
vs Weaker (5)	17.6	19.4	37.0	-1.8	40%	-

FC PortoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Varese

44-49

-5

A24/10

FIBA Europe Cup

Lusitania

38-40

-2

A27/10

LPB

Rilski Sportist

#34

42-35

A31/10

FIBA Europe Cup

Benfica

47-45

A03/11

LPB

Alba Fehervar

48-36

+12

A06/11

FIBA Europe Cup

Oliveirense

38-47

-9

H11/11

LPB

Varese

36-37

-1

H14/11

FIBA Europe Cup

Rilski Sportist

#34

41-40

H21/11

FIBA Europe Cup

Illiabum

47-34

+13

H24/11

LPB

Esgueira

48-39

A08/12

LPB

83.1Avg total

42.9Scored

40.2Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	43.7	40.5	84.1	+3.2	63%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	43.5	42.1	85.6	+1.3	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	43.9	38.8	82.7	+5.1	67%	-
Last 10 (10)	42.9	40.2	83.1	+2.7	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	42.0	39.4	81.4	+2.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)	39.5	43.6	83.2	-4.1	27%	-
vs Similar (7)	42.9	36.4	79.3	+6.4	86%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)	47.9	39.9	87.8	+8.0	83%	-

This opponent (Vitoria) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

VitoriaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Oliveirense

40-45

-5

H01/06

LPB

Galitos

42-39

A06/10

LPB

Illiabum

51-43

H14/10

LPB

Esgueira

39-39

A20/10

LPB

Benfica

39-34

H27/10

LPB

CAB Madeira

51-37

+14

H03/11

LPB

Imortal

#12

26-46

-20

A10/11

LPB

Ovarense

41-42

-1

H17/11

LPB

Terceira

#11

35-35

A24/11

LPB

Lusitania

47-43

H08/12

LPB

81.4Avg total

41.1Scored

40.3Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	42.7	42.1	84.8	+0.6	43%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	45.1	39.4	84.5	+5.7	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	40.4	44.8	85.2	-4.4	20%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.1	40.3	81.4	+0.8	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.0	40.6	80.6	-0.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)	40.9	43.8	84.7	-2.9	27%	-
vs Similar (14)	44.8	41.5	86.3	+3.3	57%	-
vs Weaker (5)	41.0	40.0	81.0	+1.0	40%	-

This opponent (FC Porto) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.6	20.5	40.1	-0.8	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.9	20.1	41.0	+0.9	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.3	20.9	39.2	-2.5	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.1	21.5	40.6	-2.4	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.8	24.0	46.8	-1.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)	18.2	21.3	39.5	-3.1	36%	-
vs Similar (7)	18.7	23.1	41.9	-4.4	14%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)	21.5	18.2	39.7	+3.3	75%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.1	22.4	41.5	-3.2	27%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.0	22.0	41.0	-3.0	27%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.3	22.7	42.0	-3.5	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	16.8	19.0	35.8	-2.2	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.8	17.0	35.8	+1.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)	18.3	26.3	44.5	-8.0	0%	-
vs Similar (14)	19.9	20.3	40.1	-0.4	43%	-
vs Weaker (5)	19.0	19.6	38.6	-0.6	40%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.9	22.0	43.0	-1.1	40%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	22.9	22.5	45.4	+0.3	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.0	21.5	40.5	-2.5	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.1	22.4	42.5	-2.3	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.6	21.8	41.4	-2.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)	17.2	22.7	39.9	-5.5	9%	-
vs Similar (7)	23.1	23.0	46.1	+0.1	57%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)	23.1	20.8	43.9	+2.2	58%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.6	21.5	43.0	+0.1	57%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.9	22.0	41.9	-2.1	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	23.2	20.9	44.1	+2.3	73%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.5	22.0	43.5	-0.5	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.8	22.0	42.8	-1.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)	19.3	18.7	38.0	+0.5	45%	-
vs Similar (14)	23.3	23.9	47.2	-0.6	64%	-
vs Weaker (5)	21.8	20.6	42.4	+1.2	60%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.6	42.5	83.1	-1.9	37%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	43.8	42.6	86.4	+1.2	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	37.3	42.4	79.7	-5.1	20%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.2	43.9	83.1	-4.7	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	42.4	45.8	88.2	-3.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)	35.4	44.0	79.4	-8.6	18%	-
vs Similar (7)	41.9	46.1	88.0	-4.3	14%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)	44.6	39.0	83.6	+5.6	67%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.7	43.8	84.5	-3.1	37%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	38.9	44.0	82.9	-5.1	27%	-
Last 30 away (15)	42.5	43.7	86.1	-1.2	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.3	41.0	79.3	-2.7	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	39.6	39.0	78.6	+0.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)	37.5	45.0	82.5	-7.5	9%	-
vs Similar (14)	43.1	44.2	87.4	-1.1	50%	-
vs Weaker (5)	40.8	40.2	81.0	+0.6	60%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

FC Porto wins

Vitoria wins

Date	Game	Score
05/05/18	FC Porto v Vitoria	102-100
12/04/18	Vitoria v FC Porto	88-103
29/12/17	FC Porto v Vitoria	100-64
02/12/17	Vitoria v FC Porto	97-102
26/05/17	Vitoria v FC Porto	70-95
21/05/17	FC Porto v Vitoria	83-78
20/05/17	FC Porto v Vitoria	80-69
23/04/17	FC Porto v Vitoria	101-96 OT
18/03/17	Vitoria v FC Porto	78-76
10/02/17	FC Porto v Vitoria	92-71

FC Portolast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
08/12/18	A	Esgueira	93-82
24/11/18	H	Illiabum	97-68
21/11/18	H	Rilski Sportist	79-91
14/11/18	H	Varese	71-89
11/11/18	H	Oliveirense	82-96
06/11/18	A	Alba Fehervar	70-72
03/11/18	A	Benfica	88-93
31/10/18	A	Rilski Sportist	88-81
27/10/18	A	Lusitania	78-85
24/10/18	A	Varese	75-84

Vitorialast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
08/12/18	H	Lusitania	96-100
24/11/18	A	Terceira	76-71
17/11/18	H	Ovarense	67-77
10/11/18	A	Imortal	71-78
03/11/18	H	CAB Madeira	88-72
27/10/18	H	Benfica	71-74
20/10/18	A	Esgueira	77-85
14/10/18	H	Illiabum	97-90
06/10/18	A	Galitos	88-83
01/06/18	H	Oliveirense	63-83

📊 11. Overall Statistics

FC Porto

LPB 2018-19

Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLLWW	50%
Home	WLLW	50%
Away	WLLW	50%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	8	4	4
Win %	50%	50%	50%
Points / game	85.8	87.0	84.5
Allowed / game	81.4	78.8	84.0
Point differential	+4.4	+8.2	+0.5
Avg total	167.1	165.8	168.5
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	38%	50%	25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	50% (2)	-	50% (2)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Vitoria

LPB 2018-19

Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLLWL	44%
Home	WLWLL	40%
Away	WLLW	50%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	9	5	4
Win %	44%	40%	50%
Points / game	81.2	83.8	78.0
Allowed / game	81.1	82.6	79.2
Point differential	+0.1	+1.2	-1.2
Avg total	162.3	166.4	157.2
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	11%	20%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	50% (4)	0% (2)	100% (2)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Benfica	10	10	0	100%	90.4	74.1	+16.3
2	Oliveirense	9	8	1	89%	85.8	72.6	+13.2
3	Ovarense	10	6	4	60%	77.7	75.1	+2.6
4	Esgueira	9	5	4	56%	82.7	83.3	-0.7
5	Lusitania	9	5	4	56%	81.3	82.3	-1.0
6	FC Porto	8	4	4	50%	85.8	81.4	+4.4
7	Terceira	10	5	5	50%	79.3	80.6	-1.3
8	Vitoria	9	4	5	44%	81.2	81.1	+0.1
9	Galitos	9	3	6	33%	75.2	83.2	-8.0
10	CAB Madeira	9	2	7	22%	76.2	82.2	-6.0
11	Illiabum	10	2	8	20%	78.2	85.5	-7.3
12	Imortal	10	2	8	20%	77.1	88.8	-11.7

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
FC Porto	25	27	23	19	94
Vitoria	21	22	23	20	86

← all games of the day

FC Porto vs Vitoria Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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