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FC Porto vs Vitoria Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 29 Mar 2024
Tip-off: 20:00
Final 91-84
21-20 19-32 31-15 20-17
Position#4
Record3-1
FormWLWWW
Points / game85.8
Allowed / game66.8
FC Porto 🏆
Portugal
vs
Vitoria
Portugal
Position#7
Record2-2
FormLLWLL
Points / game81.0
Allowed / game82.2
PortugalTaca da Liga· Pavilhão Dragão Arena
Other2024
Meetings · FC Porto v Vitoria
20 Mar 2027
POR v VITO
upcoming
08 Nov 2025
POR105
VITO85
19 Oct 2024
POR88
VITO80
29 Mar 2024
POR91
VITO84
04 Nov 2023
POR94
VITO72
10 May 2023
POR119
VITO82
28 Oct 2022
POR96
VITO83
12 Feb 2022
POR109
VITO75
17 Oct 2020
POR76
VITO71
15 Feb 2020
POR99
VITO86
15 Dec 2018
POR94
VITO86
05 May 2018
POR102
VITO100
29 Dec 2017
POR100
VITO64
21 May 2017
POR83
VITO78
20 May 2017
POR80
VITO69
23 Apr 2017
POR101
VITO96
10 Feb 2017
POR92
VITO71
24 Apr 2016
POR88
VITO81
22 Apr 2016
POR90
VITO80
18 Oct 2015
POR69
VITO62
15 Apr 2012
POR78
VITO70
13 Apr 2012
POR77
VITO59
17 Mar 2012
POR75
VITO63
01 May 2011
POR72
VITO48
29 Apr 2011
POR82
VITO78
16 Oct 2010
POR70
VITO59
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

FC Porto winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Vitoria winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

FC PortoPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPorto
Date
Competition
Gottingen
#8
W
82-64
82
64
+18
72avg 77
H06/02
FIBA Europe Cup
Benfica
#1
L
78-84
78
84
-6
71avg 77
A10/02
LPB
Sporting CP
#2
L
71-81
71
81
-10
54avg 77
A14/02
Taca da Liga
Esgueira
#9
W
104-45
104
45
+59
109avg 77
A02/03
LPB
Bahcesehir Kol.
#4
W
90-80
90
80
+10
80avg 77
H06/03
FIBA Europe Cup
Vitoria
#7
W
88-83
88
83
+5
75avg 77
A09/03
LPB
Bahcesehir Kol.
#4
L
52-88
52
88
-36
33avg 77
A13/03
FIBA Europe Cup
Imortal
#4
W
85-65
85
65
+20
86avg 77
A16/03
Taca de Portugal
Benfica
#2
W
81-78
81
78
+3
70avg 77
A17/03
Taca de Portugal
Imortal
#8
W
108-85
108
85
+23
105avg 77
A23/03
LPB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-18
13-20
20-14
22-12
13-18
18-27
23-12
24-27
17-23
19-28
23-12
12-18
24-9
32-7
21-17
27-12
23-15
19-17
20-25
28-23
23-13
18-20
31-20
16-30
14-31
14-22
16-18
8-17
20-10
16-27
29-10
20-18
27-11
22-25
13-25
19-17
28-25
25-26
27-14
28-20
159.2Avg total
83.9Scored
75.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)85.866.8152.5+19.075%
Season at home (2)85.558.0143.5+27.5100%
Season away (2)86.075.5161.5+10.550%
Last 10 (10)83.975.3159.2+8.670%
Last 5 (5)82.879.8162.6+3.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)76.582.5159.0-6.033%
vs Similar (5)77.076.8153.8+0.240%
vs Weaker ◀ (18)88.374.4162.7+13.889%
This opponent (Vitoria) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VitoriaPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormVitoria
Date
Competition
Oliveirense
#3
W
100-80
100
80
+20
100avg 70
A23/12
LPB
Ovarense
#5
L
90-91
90
91
-1
77avg 70
A06/01
LPB
Benfica
#1
W
91-71
91
71
+20
83avg 70
H20/01
LPB
Sporting CP
#2
L
80-88
80
88
-8
66avg 70
H27/01
Taca da Liga
Sporting CP
#4
L
68-98
68
98
-30
58avg 70
A04/02
LPB
Esgueira
#9
L
60-78
60
78
-18
44avg 70
H10/02
LPB
Imortal
#5
L
72-80
72
80
-8
56avg 70
H14/02
Taca da Liga
Lusitania
#12
W
102-68
102
68
+34
98avg 70
A02/03
LPB
FC Porto
#2
L
83-88
83
88
-5
68avg 70
H09/03
LPB
CD Povoa
#6
L
73-75
73
75
-2
61avg 70
A23/03
LPB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-13
22-26
19-18
35-23
26-29
23-17
17-21
24-24
19-18
22-15
22-14
28-24
24-21
13-23
21-23
22-21
22-28
14-21
13-23
19-26
11-23
17-8
16-27
16-20
15-23
14-18
17-15
26-24
30-15
16-21
23-19
33-13
13-23
20-18
20-31
30-16
16-13
12-19
21-15
24-28
163.6Avg total
81.9Scored
81.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)81.082.2163.2-1.250%
Season at home (3)80.783.3164.0-2.733%
Season away (1)82.079.0161.0+3.0100%
Last 10 (10)81.981.7163.6+0.230%
Last 5 (5)78.077.8155.8+0.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)81.396.6177.9-15.211%
vs Similar (10)88.284.2172.4+4.060%
vs Weaker (10)81.972.6154.5+9.380%
This opponent (FC Porto) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +4.3+4.3Q1: -0.6-0.6Q2Q2: -2.3-2.3Q2: -1.3-1.3Q3Q3: +5.6+5.6Q3: -1.7-1.7Q4Q4: +1.0+1.0Q4: +3.8+3.8
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +4.3+4.3Q1: -0.6-0.6Q2Q2: -2.3-2.3Q2: -1.3-1.3Q3Q3: +5.6+5.6Q3: -1.7-1.7Q4Q4: +1.0+1.0Q4: +3.8+3.8
FC PortoVitoria
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
FC PortoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Gottingen
#8
W
40-38
40
38
+2
H06/02
FIBA Europe Cup
Benfica
#1
L
31-45
31
45
-14
A10/02
LPB
Sporting CP
#2
L
36-51
36
51
-15
A14/02
Taca da Liga
Esgueira
#9
W
56-16
56
16
+40
A02/03
LPB
Bahcesehir Kol.
#4
W
42-32
42
32
+10
H06/03
FIBA Europe Cup
Vitoria
#7
W
41-33
41
33
+8
A09/03
LPB
Bahcesehir Kol.
#4
L
28-53
28
53
-25
A13/03
FIBA Europe Cup
Imortal
#4
L
36-37
36
37
-1
A16/03
Taca de Portugal
Benfica
#2
W
49-36
49
36
+13
A17/03
Taca de Portugal
Imortal
#8
W
53-51
53
51
+2
A23/03
LPB
80.4Avg total
41.2Scored
39.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.438.681.0+3.867%-
Last 30 at home (13)45.535.981.4+9.592%-
Last 30 away (17)40.140.680.6-0.547%-
Last 10 (10)41.239.280.4+2.060%-
Last 5 (5)41.442.083.4-0.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)38.739.578.2-0.867%-
vs Similar (5)32.643.676.2-11.020%-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)46.137.383.4+8.778%-
This opponent (Vitoria) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VitoriaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Oliveirense
#3
W
46-39
46
39
+7
A23/12
LPB
Ovarense
#5
W
49-46
49
46
+3
A06/01
LPB
Benfica
#1
W
41-33
41
33
+8
H20/01
LPB
Sporting CP
#2
L
37-44
37
44
-7
H27/01
Taca da Liga
Sporting CP
#4
L
36-49
36
49
-13
A04/02
LPB
Esgueira
#9
L
28-31
28
31
-3
H10/02
LPB
Imortal
#5
L
29-41
29
41
-12
H14/02
Taca da Liga
Lusitania
#12
W
46-36
46
36
+10
A02/03
LPB
FC Porto
#2
L
33-41
33
41
-8
H09/03
LPB
CD Povoa
#6
L
28-32
28
32
-4
A23/03
LPB
76.5Avg total
37.3Scored
39.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.241.081.2-0.850%-
Last 30 at home (16)40.139.779.8+0.450%-
Last 30 away (14)40.442.582.9-2.150%-
Last 10 (10)37.339.276.5-1.940%-
Last 5 (5)32.836.269.0-3.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)38.249.187.3-10.911%-
vs Similar (10)42.440.482.8+2.060%-
vs Weaker (10)40.333.974.2+6.480%-
This opponent (FC Porto) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
FC Portotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

FC Porto: 82.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.4 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.9 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.0 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.0 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.419.2
54.2%
51.1%38.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.09.3
34.4%
32.1%27.9
🏀 Free throws21.716.0
73.7%
69.0%16.0
They take 62.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Vitoriatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Vitoria: 81.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀42%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.0 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.2 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.0 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.0 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.117.5
48.5%
51.1%35.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.011.4
32.6%
32.1%34.2
🏀 Free throws17.512.0
68.6%
69.0%12.0
They take 71.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 35.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 49% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 29 Mar 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
FC Porto
WWWLWWWLLW
Vitoria
LLWLLLLWLW
#4
League position
#7
+9.9
Net rating
+0.1
113.7
Offensive rating
103.8
103.8
Defensive rating
103.7
53.1%
Effective FG%
48.7%
50.3%
Opp. effective FG%
47.9%
15.6%
Turnover %
18.4%
30.3%
Off. rebound %
33.8%
0.35
Free-throw rate
0.25
34.4%
3-point %
32.6%
53.7%
Assist %
51.6%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence113.7 · 103.8Defence103.8 · 103.7Shooting53.1% · 48.7%3-point %34.4% · 32.6%Ball care15.6% · 18.4%Off. rebounds30.3% · 33.8%Free throws0.35 · 0.25Form (last 10/10)70% · 30%
■ FC Porto   ■ Vitoria
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
10
FC Porto wins
0
Vitoria wins
DateGameScore
09/03/24Vitoria v FC Porto83-88
04/11/23FC Porto v Vitoria94-72
14/05/23Vitoria v FC Porto101-112
10/05/23FC Porto v Vitoria119-82
21/01/23Vitoria v FC Porto83-85
28/10/22FC Porto v Vitoria96-83
12/02/22FC Porto v Vitoria109-75
22/12/21Vitoria v FC Porto66-99
17/01/21Vitoria v FC Porto62-74
17/10/20FC Porto v Vitoria76-71
FC Portolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/03/24AImortal108-85
17/03/24ABenfica81-78
16/03/24AImortal85-65
13/03/24ABahcesehir Kol.52-88
09/03/24AVitoria88-83
06/03/24HBahcesehir Kol.90-80
02/03/24AEsgueira104-45
14/02/24ASporting CP71-81
10/02/24ABenfica78-84
06/02/24HGottingen82-64
Vitorialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/03/24ACD Povoa73-75
09/03/24HFC Porto83-88
02/03/24ALusitania102-68
14/02/24HImortal72-80
10/02/24HEsgueira60-78
04/02/24ASporting CP68-98
27/01/24HSporting CP80-88
20/01/24HBenfica91-71
06/01/24AOvarense90-91
23/12/23AOliveirense100-80

📊 11. Overall Statistics

FC Porto
Taca da Liga 2024
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWL75%
HomeWW100%
AwayWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %75%100%50%
Points / game85.885.586.0
Allowed / game66.858.075.5
Point differential+19.0+27.5+10.5
Avg total152.5143.5161.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+75%100%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Vitoria
Taca da Liga 2024
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLL50%
HomeWLL33%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games431
Win %50%33%100%
Points / game81.080.782.0
Allowed / game82.283.379.0
Point differential-1.2-2.7+3.0
Avg total163.2164.0161.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Oliveirense550100%86.469.4+17.0
2 Sporting CP440100%90.575.2+15.2
3 FC Porto43175%85.866.8+19.0
4 Benfica43175%85.269.8+15.5
5 Imortal53260%80.476.8+3.6
6 Vitoria42250%81.082.2-1.2
7 Ovarense42250%76.594.0-17.5
8 CD Povoa41325%83.589.0-5.5
9 Esgueira41325%70.077.0-7.0
10 Galomar51420%79.084.4-5.4
11 Portimonense51420%70.885.8-15.0
12 Lusitania4040%73.292.0-18.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
FC Porto2119312091
Vitoria2032151784
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