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FC Porto vs Vitoria Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 04 Nov 2023
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 94-72
28-13 25-15 24-23 17-21
Position#2
Record3-0
FormWWWWW
Points / game92.0
Allowed / game73.3
vs
Position#7
Record3-2
FormLLWWW
Points / game81.0
Allowed / game82.2
PortugalLPBRound 6· Pavilhão Dragão Arena
Other2023-24
Meetings · FC Porto v Vitoria
20 Mar 2027
POR v VITO
upcoming
08 Nov 2025
POR105
VITO85
19 Oct 2024
POR88
VITO80
29 Mar 2024
POR91
VITO84
04 Nov 2023
POR94
VITO72
10 May 2023
POR119
VITO82
28 Oct 2022
POR96
VITO83
12 Feb 2022
POR109
VITO75
17 Oct 2020
POR76
VITO71
15 Feb 2020
POR99
VITO86
15 Dec 2018
POR94
VITO86
05 May 2018
POR102
VITO100
29 Dec 2017
POR100
VITO64
21 May 2017
POR83
VITO78
20 May 2017
POR80
VITO69
23 Apr 2017
POR101
VITO96
10 Feb 2017
POR92
VITO71
24 Apr 2016
POR88
VITO81
22 Apr 2016
POR90
VITO80
18 Oct 2015
POR69
VITO62
15 Apr 2012
POR78
VITO70
13 Apr 2012
POR77
VITO59
17 Mar 2012
POR75
VITO63
01 May 2011
POR72
VITO48
29 Apr 2011
POR82
VITO78
16 Oct 2010
POR70
VITO59
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

FC Porto winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Vitoria winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

FC PortoPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPorto
Date
Competition
Sporting CP
#2
L
66-94
66
94
-28
no box
A26/05
LPB
CD Povoa
#6
W
91-76
91
76
+15
89avg 80
A23/09
LPB
Nevezis
#48
W
100-84
100
84
+16
89avg 80
H03/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Manisa
#13
L
70-80
70
80
-10
54avg 80
A05/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Imortal
#5
W
92-60
92
60
+32
85avg 80
H14/10
Taca da Liga
Norrkoping
#43
W
79-71
79
71
+8
60avg 80
A17/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Benfica
#1
W
79-62
79
62
+17
70avg 80
H21/10
LPB
Bakken Bears
#30
W
89-78
89
78
+11
83avg 80
H24/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Esgueira
#9
W
106-82
106
82
+24
113avg 80
H27/10
LPB
Manisa
#13
W
84-67
84
67
+17
77avg 80
H01/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-24
8-20
18-30
19-20
28-19
20-24
19-14
24-19
25-23
13-12
32-24
30-25
14-23
18-20
17-22
21-15
26-12
27-18
23-16
16-14
17-19
24-18
19-20
19-14
20-14
16-10
14-16
29-22
26-16
22-18
23-19
18-25
23-15
28-21
27-15
28-31
20-18
17-17
24-19
23-13
161.0Avg total
85.6Scored
75.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)92.073.3165.3+18.7100%
Season at home (2)92.572.0164.5+20.5100%
Season away (1)91.076.0167.0+15.0100%
Last 10 (10)85.675.4161.0+10.280%
Last 5 (5)87.472.0159.4+15.4100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)79.083.5162.5-4.533%
vs Similar (7)81.985.6167.4-3.743%
vs Weaker ◀ (17)92.980.0172.9+12.976%
This opponent (Vitoria) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VitoriaPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormVitoria
Date
Competition
Sangalhos
#12
W
86-81
86
81
+5
no box
A22/04
LPB
Esgueira
#7
W
101-99
101
99
+2
no box
H06/05
LPB
FC Porto
#3
L
82-119
82
119
-37
no box
A10/05
LPB
FC Porto
#3
L
101-112
101
112
-11
no box
H14/05
LPB
Ovarense
#5
W
79-76
79
76
+3
66avg 72
H23/09
LPB
Benfica
#1
L
66-107
66
107
-41
46avg 72
A04/10
LPB
Sporting CP
#4
L
89-92
89
92
-3
75avg 72
H08/10
LPB
Lusitania
#12
W
90-82
90
82
+8
85avg 72
H14/10
Taca da Liga
Esgueira
#9
W
96-66
96
66
+30
93avg 72
A21/10
LPB
Lusitania
#12
W
75-70
75
70
+5
66avg 72
H28/10
LPB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-19
22-18
15-19
24-25
22-13
27-27
28-38
24-21
25-29
17-24
25-31
15-35
32-33
15-35
28-23
26-21
28-16
20-18
13-24
18-18
17-28
22-25
10-25
17-29
18-20
23-28
27-21
21-23
22-20
21-22
28-15
19-25
17-17
23-13
30-22
26-14
17-18
20-24
15-12
23-16
176.9Avg total
86.5Scored
90.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)81.082.2163.2-1.260%
Season at home (3)81.079.3160.3+1.767%
Season away (2)81.086.5167.5-5.550%
Last 10 (10)86.590.4176.9-3.960%
Last 5 (5)83.283.4166.6-0.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)85.1100.7185.9-15.614%
vs Similar (14)89.188.4177.5+0.657%
vs Weaker (8)91.679.5171.1+12.188%
This opponent (FC Porto) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +3.7+3.7Q1: +1.0+1.0Q2Q2: +1.5+1.5Q2: -2.4-2.4Q3Q3: +2.1+2.1Q3: -1.1-1.1Q4Q4: +2.9+2.9Q4: -1.4-1.4
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +3.7+3.7Q1: +1.0+1.0Q2Q2: +1.5+1.5Q2: -2.4-2.4Q3Q3: +2.1+2.1Q3: -1.1-1.1Q4Q4: +2.9+2.9Q4: -1.4-1.4
FC PortoVitoria
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
FC PortoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sporting CP
#2
L
29-44
29
44
-15
A26/05
LPB
CD Povoa
#6
W
48-43
48
43
+5
A23/09
LPB
Nevezis
#48
W
38-35
38
35
+3
H03/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Manisa
#13
L
32-43
32
43
-11
A05/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Imortal
#5
W
53-30
53
30
+23
H14/10
Taca da Liga
Norrkoping
#43
W
41-37
41
37
+4
A17/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Benfica
#1
W
36-24
36
24
+12
H21/10
LPB
Bakken Bears
#30
W
48-34
48
34
+14
H24/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Esgueira
#9
W
51-36
51
36
+15
H27/10
LPB
Manisa
#13
W
37-35
37
35
+2
H01/11
FIBA Europe Cup
77.4Avg total
41.3Scored
36.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.041.384.3+1.760%-
Last 30 at home (16)43.838.582.3+5.375%-
Last 30 away (14)42.144.686.6-2.543%-
Last 10 (10)41.336.177.4+5.280%-
Last 5 (5)42.633.275.8+9.4100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)37.745.583.2-7.833%-
vs Similar (7)36.742.379.0-5.629%-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)47.539.586.9+8.082%-
This opponent (Vitoria) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VitoriaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sangalhos
#12
W
47-37
47
37
+10
A22/04
LPB
Esgueira
#7
W
49-40
49
40
+9
H06/05
LPB
FC Porto
#3
L
42-53
42
53
-11
A10/05
LPB
FC Porto
#3
L
47-68
47
68
-21
H14/05
LPB
Ovarense
#5
W
48-34
48
34
+14
H23/09
LPB
Benfica
#1
L
39-53
39
53
-14
A04/10
LPB
Sporting CP
#4
L
41-48
41
48
-7
H08/10
LPB
Lusitania
#12
W
43-42
43
42
+1
H14/10
Taca da Liga
Esgueira
#9
W
40-30
40
30
+10
A21/10
LPB
Lusitania
#12
L
37-42
37
42
-5
H28/10
LPB
88.0Avg total
43.3Scored
44.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.243.587.7+0.653%-
Last 30 at home (17)46.943.990.8+3.171%-
Last 30 away (13)40.543.183.6-2.531%-
Last 10 (10)43.344.788.0-1.450%-
Last 5 (5)40.043.083.0-3.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)42.949.792.6-6.914%-
vs Similar (14)43.641.284.9+2.464%-
vs Weaker (8)46.640.186.8+6.575%-
This opponent (FC Porto) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
FC Portotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

FC Porto: 86.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.1 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.0 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.4 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.2 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.723.6
50.5%
51.0%47.1
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.48.7
34.1%
33.5%26.0
🏀 Free throws20.213.4
66.5%
69.3%13.4
They take 72.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Vitoriatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Vitoria: 82.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.7 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.0 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.8 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.2 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.319.8
48.0%
51.0%39.7
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.58.7
34.0%
33.5%26.0
🏀 Free throws26.216.8
64.3%
69.3%16.8
They take 66.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 9/6 games with a box score before 04 Nov 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
FC Porto
WWWWWWLWWL
Vitoria
WWWLLWLLWW
#2
League position
#7
+19.1
Net rating
+1.5
116.1
Offensive rating
102.8
97.0
Defensive rating
101.3
50.7%
Effective FG%
49.1%
47.0%
Opp. effective FG%
49.9%
12.6%
Turnover %
18.7%
36.8%
Off. rebound %
31.1%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.39
34.1%
3-point %
34.0%
53.4%
Assist %
49.1%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence116.1 · 102.8Defence97.0 · 101.3Shooting50.7% · 49.1%3-point %34.1% · 34.0%Ball care12.6% · 18.7%Off. rebounds36.8% · 31.1%Free throws0.28 · 0.39Form (last 10/10)80% · 60%
■ FC Porto   ■ Vitoria
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
10
FC Porto wins
0
Vitoria wins
DateGameScore
14/05/23Vitoria v FC Porto101-112
10/05/23FC Porto v Vitoria119-82
21/01/23Vitoria v FC Porto83-85
28/10/22FC Porto v Vitoria96-83
12/02/22FC Porto v Vitoria109-75
22/12/21Vitoria v FC Porto66-99
17/01/21Vitoria v FC Porto62-74
17/10/20FC Porto v Vitoria76-71
15/02/20FC Porto v Vitoria99-86
16/11/19Vitoria v FC Porto78-82
FC Portolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/11/23HManisa84-67
27/10/23HEsgueira106-82
24/10/23HBakken Bears89-78
21/10/23HBenfica79-62
17/10/23ANorrkoping79-71
14/10/23HImortal92-60
05/10/23AManisa70-80
03/10/23HNevezis100-84
23/09/23ACD Povoa91-76
26/05/23ASporting CP66-94
Vitorialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/10/23HLusitania75-70
21/10/23AEsgueira96-66
14/10/23HLusitania90-82
08/10/23HSporting CP89-92
04/10/23ABenfica66-107
23/09/23HOvarense79-76
14/05/23HFC Porto101-112
10/05/23AFC Porto82-119
06/05/23HEsgueira101-99
22/04/23ASangalhos86-81

📊 11. Overall Statistics

FC Porto
LPB 2023-24
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWW100%
HomeWW100%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game92.092.591.0
Allowed / game73.372.076.0
Point differential+18.7+20.5+15.0
Avg total165.3164.5167.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%100%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Vitoria
LPB 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW60%
HomeWLW67%
AwayLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games532
Win %60%67%50%
Points / game81.081.081.0
Allowed / game82.279.386.5
Point differential-1.2+1.7-5.5
Avg total163.2160.3167.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%0%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)67% (3)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 FC Porto330100%92.073.3+18.7
2 Sporting CP550100%96.482.6+13.8
3 Portimonense440100%76.271.5+4.8
4 Oliveirense54180%76.269.2+7.0
5 Benfica64267%88.869.5+19.3
6 Vitoria53260%81.082.2-1.2
7 Ovarense63350%79.079.8-0.8
8 Galomar62433%78.080.0-2.0
9 CD Povoa51420%82.290.4-8.2
10 Imortal51420%71.683.2-11.6
11 Lusitania5050%76.288.2-12.0
12 Esgueira5050%71.694.2-22.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
FC Porto2825241794
Vitoria1315232172
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