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FC Porto vs Vitoria Prediction & Stats

Date: Sat 20 Mar 2027
Tip-off: 18:00
Scheduled
Position#2
Record6-1
FormWLLWW
Points / game91.6
Allowed / game81.6
vs
Form · last 5 games
4.9/10
Around normal
5.1/10
Around normal
Position#9
Record2-5
FormLWLLL
Points / game68.7
Allowed / game83.9
PortugalLPBRound 18· Pavilhão Dragão Arena
Other2026-27
Meetings · FC Porto v Vitoria
20 Mar 2027
POR v VITO
upcoming
08 Nov 2025
POR105
VITO85
19 Oct 2024
POR88
VITO80
29 Mar 2024
POR91
VITO84
04 Nov 2023
POR94
VITO72
10 May 2023
POR119
VITO82
28 Oct 2022
POR96
VITO83
12 Feb 2022
POR109
VITO75
17 Oct 2020
POR76
VITO71
15 Feb 2020
POR99
VITO86
15 Dec 2018
POR94
VITO86
05 May 2018
POR102
VITO100
29 Dec 2017
POR100
VITO64
21 May 2017
POR83
VITO78
20 May 2017
POR80
VITO69
23 Apr 2017
POR101
VITO96
10 Feb 2017
POR92
VITO71
24 Apr 2016
POR88
VITO81
22 Apr 2016
POR90
VITO80
18 Oct 2015
POR69
VITO62
15 Apr 2012
POR78
VITO70
13 Apr 2012
POR77
VITO59
17 Mar 2012
POR75
VITO63
01 May 2011
POR72
VITO48
29 Apr 2011
POR82
VITO78
16 Oct 2010
POR70
VITO59
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

FC Porto win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Vitoria win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

FC PortoPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPorto
Date
Competition
CA Queluz
#8
W
110-93
110
93
+17
107avg 79
A02/10
LPB
Bonn
#14
L
74-78
74
78
-4
65avg 79
A07/10
Champions League
Benfica
#1
W
93-86
93
86
+7
80avg 79
H11/10
LPB
Esgueira
#12
W
95-91
95
91
+4
91avg 79
A16/10
LPB
Bnei Herzliya
#47
W
86-74
86
74
+12
81avg 79
A21/10
Champions League
CAB Madeira
#10
W
93-82
93
82
+11
90avg 79
H25/10
LPB
Ovarense
#3
L
76-78
76
78
-2
66avg 79
A31/10
LPB
Joventut Badalona
#2
L
64-81
64
81
-17
no box
H03/11
Champions League
Braga
#6
W
81-76
81
76
+5
no box
H08/11
LPB
Vitoria
#9
W
93-65
93
65
+28
no box
A13/11
LPB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-20
28-23
29-28
27-22
16-25
16-18
16-19
26-16
16-26
24-19
32-27
21-14
25-27
24-19
22-14
24-31
22-16
25-13
16-27
23-18
26-15
22-20
18-21
27-26
12-23
24-15
20-17
20-23
17-14
6-26
16-11
25-30
20-21
29-29
15-13
17-13
23-16
26-10
23-17
21-22
166.9Avg total
86.5Scored
80.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)91.681.6173.1+10.086%
Season at home (3)89.081.3170.3+7.7100%
Season away (4)93.581.8175.2+11.875%
Last 10 (10)86.580.4166.9+6.170%
Last 5 (5)81.476.4157.8+5.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)82.079.8161.8+2.262%
vs Similar (7)81.978.6160.4+3.371%
vs Weaker ◀ (15)91.678.3169.9+13.387%
This opponent (Vitoria) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VitoriaPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormVitoria
Date
Competition
Esgueira
#8
W
93-87
93
87
+6
83avg 69
H11/04
LPB
Vasco Da Gama
#11
L
89-96
89
96
-7
77avg 69
A18/04
LPB
Oliveirense
#5
W
84-74
84
74
+10
71avg 69
H25/04
LPB
CAB Madeira
#10
W
83-78
83
78
+5
74avg 69
A03/10
LPB
Ovarense
#3
L
71-87
71
87
-16
56avg 69
H10/10
LPB
Braga
#6
L
72-91
72
91
-19
54avg 69
A18/10
LPB
Portimonense
#11
W
74-72
74
72
+2
61avg 69
H24/10
LPB
CD Povoa
#7
L
68-75
68
75
-7
57avg 69
H01/11
LPB
Sporting CP
#5
L
48-91
48
91
-43
no box
A07/11
LPB
FC Porto
#2
L
65-93
65
93
-28
no box
H13/11
LPB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-17
23-15
29-30
20-25
14-28
17-20
24-18
34-30
29-18
15-12
22-17
18-27
14-18
17-24
25-21
27-15
21-17
17-20
9-30
24-20
12-20
18-23
22-26
20-22
24-21
19-13
15-20
16-18
18-12
21-16
14-23
15-24
10-21
11-34
12-22
15-14
16-23
10-26
17-23
22-21
159.1Avg total
74.7Scored
84.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)68.783.9152.6-15.129%
Season at home (4)69.581.8151.2-12.225%
Season away (3)67.786.7154.3-19.033%
Last 10 (10)74.784.4159.1-9.740%
Last 5 (5)65.484.4149.8-19.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)74.588.8163.3-14.425%
vs Similar (6)89.587.2176.7+2.367%
vs Weaker (4)88.590.0178.5-1.525%
This opponent (FC Porto) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: -1.6-1.6Q2Q2: +3.2+3.2Q2: -3.5-3.5Q3Q3: +1.3+1.3Q3: -4.1-4.1Q4Q4: +1.6+1.6Q4: -0.5-0.5
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: -1.6-1.6Q2Q2: +3.2+3.2Q2: -3.5-3.5Q3Q3: +1.3+1.3Q3: -4.1-4.1Q4Q4: +1.6+1.6Q4: -0.5-0.5
FC PortoVitoria
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
FC PortoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
CA Queluz
#8
W
54-43
54
43
+11
A02/10
LPB
Bonn
#14
L
32-43
32
43
-11
A07/10
Champions League
Benfica
#1
L
40-45
40
45
-5
H11/10
LPB
Esgueira
#12
W
49-46
49
46
+3
A16/10
LPB
Bnei Herzliya
#47
W
47-29
47
29
+18
A21/10
Champions League
CAB Madeira
#10
W
48-35
48
35
+13
H25/10
LPB
Ovarense
#3
L
36-38
36
38
-2
A31/10
LPB
Joventut Badalona
#2
L
23-40
23
40
-17
H03/11
Champions League
Braga
#6
L
49-50
49
50
-1
H08/11
LPB
Vitoria
#9
W
49-26
49
26
+23
A13/11
LPB
82.2Avg total
42.7Scored
39.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.640.685.2+4.063%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.939.484.3+5.573%-
Last 30 away (15)44.341.886.1+2.553%-
Last 10 (10)42.739.582.2+3.250%-
Last 5 (5)41.037.878.8+3.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)36.942.179.0-5.225%-
vs Similar (7)45.444.990.3+0.643%-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)48.337.886.1+10.593%-
This opponent (Vitoria) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VitoriaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Esgueira
#8
W
44-32
44
32
+12
H11/04
LPB
Vasco Da Gama
#11
L
31-48
31
48
-17
A18/04
LPB
Oliveirense
#5
W
44-30
44
30
+14
H25/04
LPB
CAB Madeira
#10
L
31-42
31
42
-11
A03/10
LPB
Ovarense
#3
W
38-37
38
37
+1
H10/10
LPB
Braga
#6
L
30-43
30
43
-13
A18/10
LPB
Portimonense
#11
W
43-34
43
34
+9
H24/10
LPB
CD Povoa
#7
W
39-28
39
28
+11
H01/11
LPB
Sporting CP
#5
L
21-55
21
55
-34
A07/11
LPB
FC Porto
#2
L
26-49
26
49
-23
H13/11
LPB
74.5Avg total
34.7Scored
39.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.643.082.6-3.340%-
Last 30 at home (16)40.339.079.3+1.362%-
Last 30 away (14)38.947.586.4-8.614%-
Last 10 (10)34.739.874.5-5.150%-
Last 5 (5)31.841.873.6-10.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)37.543.080.5-5.535%-
vs Similar (6)44.742.787.3+2.050%-
vs Weaker (4)42.843.286.0-0.550%-
This opponent (FC Porto) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
FC Portotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

FC Porto: 86.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.8 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.5 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.8 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.8 points a game
49%
32%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.118.4
49.6%
51.1%36.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.511.5
36.5%
31.9%34.5
🏀 Free throws20.014.8
74.0%
71.1%14.8
They take 68.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Vitoriatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Vitoria: 79.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.2 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.5 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.4 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.8 points a game
49%
32%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.020.1
46.7%
51.1%40.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.87.5
29.1%
31.9%22.5
🏀 Free throws26.816.4
61.2%
71.1%16.4
They take 68.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 20 Mar 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
FC Porto
WWLLWWWWLW
Vitoria
LLLWLLWWLW
#2
League position
#9
+6.5
Net rating
-5.3
95.9
Offensive rating
83.7
89.5
Defensive rating
88.9
52.0%
Effective FG%
45.6%
49.7%
Opp. effective FG%
50.1%
14.8%
Turnover %
14.7%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.39
36.5%
3-point %
29.1%
60.2%
Assist %
55.8%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence95.9 · 83.7Defence89.5 · 88.9Shooting52.0% · 45.6%3-point %36.5% · 29.1%Ball care14.8% · 14.7%Free throws0.29 · 0.39Form (last 10/10)70% · 40%
■ FC Porto   ■ Vitoria
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
9
FC Porto wins
1
Vitoria wins
DateGameScore
13/11/26Vitoria v FC Porto65-93
14/03/26Vitoria v FC Porto69-115
08/11/25FC Porto v Vitoria105-85
02/02/25Vitoria v FC Porto100-97 OT
19/10/24FC Porto v Vitoria88-80
29/03/24FC Porto v Vitoria91-84
09/03/24Vitoria v FC Porto83-88
04/11/23FC Porto v Vitoria94-72
14/05/23Vitoria v FC Porto101-112
10/05/23FC Porto v Vitoria119-82
FC Portolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/11/26AVitoria93-65
08/11/26HBraga81-76
03/11/26HJoventut Badalona64-81
31/10/26AOvarense76-78
25/10/26HCAB Madeira93-82
21/10/26ABnei Herzliya86-74
16/10/26AEsgueira95-91
11/10/26HBenfica93-86
07/10/26ABonn74-78
02/10/26ACA Queluz110-93
Vitorialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/11/26HFC Porto65-93
07/11/26ASporting CP48-91
01/11/26HCD Povoa68-75
24/10/26HPortimonense74-72
18/10/26ABraga72-91
10/10/26HOvarense71-87
03/10/26ACAB Madeira83-78
25/04/26HOliveirense84-74
18/04/26AVasco Da Gama89-96
11/04/26HEsgueira93-87

📊 11. Overall Statistics

FC Porto
LPB 2026-27
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW86%
HomeWWW100%
AwayWWLW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games734
Win %86%100%75%
Points / game91.689.093.5
Allowed / game81.681.381.8
Point differential+10.0+7.7+11.8
Avg total173.1170.3175.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+43%33%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Vitoria
LPB 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL29%
HomeLWLL25%
AwayWLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743
Win %29%25%33%
Points / game68.769.567.7
Allowed / game83.981.886.7
Point differential-15.1-12.2-19.0
Avg total152.6151.2154.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Benfica76186%88.373.6+14.7
2 FC Porto76186%91.681.6+10.0
3 Ovarense76186%84.476.9+7.6
4 Oliveirense64267%92.290.0+2.2
5 Sporting CP74357%83.674.6+9.0
6 Braga74357%88.181.1+7.0
7 CD Povoa74357%75.075.3-0.3
8 CA Queluz63350%87.891.7-3.8
9 Vitoria72529%68.783.9-15.1
10 CAB Madeira71614%82.786.4-3.7
11 Portimonense71614%78.789.0-10.3
12 Esgueira7070%80.397.7-17.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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