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CD Povoa vs Vitoria Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 23 Mar 2024
Tip-off: 15:00
Final 75-73
13-16 19-12 15-21 28-24
Position#6
Record9-8
FormWLWWL
Points / game82.8
Allowed / game84.6
CD Povoa 🏆
Portugal
vs
Vitoria
Portugal
Position#7
Record8-9
FormLLLWL
Points / game80.8
Allowed / game80.2
PortugalLPBRound 18· Clube Desportivo Póvoa
Other2023-24
Meetings · CD Povoa v Vitoria
13 Feb 2027
CD P v VITO
upcoming
05 Apr 2025
CD P81
VITO71
23 Mar 2024
CD P75
VITO73
11 Mar 2023
CD P97
VITO84
01 Oct 2022
CD P76
VITO86
26 Mar 2022
CD P87
VITO81
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

CD Povoa winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Vitoria winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

CD PovoaPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPovoa
Date
Competition
FC Porto
#2
L
81-97
81
97
-16
75avg 75
A05/01
LPB
Maia
#8
W
98-68
98
68
+30
102avg 75
H14/01
Taca de Portugal
Imortal
#8
L
86-88 OT
86
88
-2
no box
H20/01
LPB
Galomar
#10
W
88-81
88
81
+7
85avg 75
A03/02
LPB
Galomar
#8
L
81-107
81
107
-26
no box
A04/02
Taca da Liga
Ovarense
#5
W
87-76
87
76
+11
80avg 75
H10/02
LPB
Oliveirense
#3
L
83-86 OT
83
86
-3
no box
A14/02
Taca da Liga
Sporting CP
#4
W
79-78
79
78
+1
70avg 75
A02/03
LPB
Lusitania
#12
W
99-87
99
87
+12
86avg 75
H09/03
LPB
Benfica
#2
L
86-103
86
103
-17
74avg 75
A16/03
Taca de Portugal
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-27
17-25
22-22
22-23
28-20
26-21
25-13
19-14
22-16
22-19
20-27
17-19
23-22
13-21
22-22
30-16
20-27
23-29
21-20
17-31
16-18
19-23
29-16
23-19
19-19
25-16
22-20
10-21
17-22
15-19
24-16
23-21
25-23
24-26
28-13
22-25
28-29
17-31
22-19
19-24
173.9Avg total
86.8Scored
87.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)82.884.6167.5-1.853%
Season at home (8)80.185.2165.4-5.138%
Season away (9)85.284.1169.3+1.167%
Last 10 (10)86.887.1173.9-0.350%
Last 5 (5)86.886.0172.8+0.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)76.392.2168.6-15.917%
vs Similar ◀ (6)80.780.0160.7+0.767%
vs Weaker (11)87.776.6164.4+11.173%
This opponent (Vitoria) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VitoriaPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormVitoria
Date
Competition
Galomar
#10
W
82-56
82
56
+26
79avg 70
H16/12
LPB
Oliveirense
#3
W
100-80
100
80
+20
100avg 70
A23/12
LPB
Ovarense
#5
L
90-91
90
91
-1
77avg 70
A06/01
LPB
Benfica
#1
W
91-71
91
71
+20
83avg 70
H20/01
LPB
Sporting CP
#2
L
80-88
80
88
-8
66avg 70
H27/01
Taca da Liga
Sporting CP
#4
L
68-98
68
98
-30
58avg 70
A04/02
LPB
Esgueira
#9
L
60-78
60
78
-18
44avg 70
H10/02
LPB
Imortal
#5
L
72-80
72
80
-8
56avg 70
H14/02
Taca da Liga
Lusitania
#12
W
102-68
102
68
+34
98avg 70
A02/03
LPB
FC Porto
#2
L
83-88
83
88
-5
68avg 70
H09/03
LPB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-9
19-13
24-22
22-12
24-13
22-26
19-18
35-23
26-29
23-17
17-21
24-24
19-18
22-15
22-14
28-24
24-21
13-23
21-23
22-21
22-28
14-21
13-23
19-26
11-23
17-8
16-27
16-20
15-23
14-18
17-15
26-24
30-15
16-21
23-19
33-13
13-23
20-18
20-31
30-16
162.6Avg total
82.8Scored
79.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)80.880.2161.0+0.547%
Season at home (9)78.375.3153.7+3.056%
Season away (8)83.585.8169.2-2.238%
Last 10 (10)82.879.8162.6+3.040%
Last 5 (5)77.082.4159.4-5.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)81.396.6177.9-15.211%
vs Similar ◀ (10)89.786.5176.2+3.260%
vs Weaker (10)81.972.6154.5+9.380%
This opponent (CD Povoa) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.5-0.5Q1: -0.1-0.1Q2Q2: -2.9-2.9Q2: +0.0+0.0Q3Q3: +4.7+4.7Q3: -2.1-2.1Q4Q4: -1.1-1.1Q4: +5.2+5.2
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.5-0.5Q1: -0.1-0.1Q2Q2: -2.9-2.9Q2: +0.0+0.0Q3Q3: +4.7+4.7Q3: -2.1-2.1Q4Q4: -1.1-1.1Q4: +5.2+5.2
CD PovoaVitoria
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
CD PovoaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
FC Porto
#2
L
37-52
37
52
-15
A05/01
LPB
Maia
#8
W
54-41
54
41
+13
H14/01
Taca de Portugal
Imortal
#8
W
44-35
44
35
+9
H20/01
LPB
Galomar
#10
L
36-43
36
43
-7
A03/02
LPB
Galomar
#8
L
43-56
43
56
-13
A04/02
Taca da Liga
Ovarense
#5
L
35-41
35
41
-6
H10/02
LPB
Oliveirense
#3
W
44-35
44
35
+9
A14/02
Taca da Liga
Sporting CP
#4
L
32-41
32
41
-9
A02/03
LPB
Lusitania
#12
D
49-49
49
49
+0
H09/03
LPB
Benfica
#2
L
45-60
45
60
-15
A16/03
Taca de Portugal
87.2Avg total
41.9Scored
45.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.442.883.2-2.443%-
Last 30 at home (14)40.441.181.4-0.743%-
Last 30 away (16)40.444.284.7-3.844%-
Last 10 (10)41.945.387.2-3.430%-
Last 5 (5)41.045.286.2-4.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)36.247.683.8-11.38%-
vs Similar ◀ (6)42.542.384.8+0.250%-
vs Weaker (11)43.437.681.0+5.773%-
This opponent (Vitoria) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VitoriaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Galomar
#10
W
36-22
36
22
+14
H16/12
LPB
Oliveirense
#3
W
46-39
46
39
+7
A23/12
LPB
Ovarense
#5
W
49-46
49
46
+3
A06/01
LPB
Benfica
#1
W
41-33
41
33
+8
H20/01
LPB
Sporting CP
#2
L
37-44
37
44
-7
H27/01
Taca da Liga
Sporting CP
#4
L
36-49
36
49
-13
A04/02
LPB
Esgueira
#9
L
28-31
28
31
-3
H10/02
LPB
Imortal
#5
L
29-41
29
41
-12
H14/02
Taca da Liga
Lusitania
#12
W
46-36
46
36
+10
A02/03
LPB
FC Porto
#2
L
33-41
33
41
-8
H09/03
LPB
76.3Avg total
38.1Scored
38.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.741.582.2-0.850%-
Last 30 at home (16)40.139.779.8+0.450%-
Last 30 away (14)41.443.584.9-2.150%-
Last 10 (10)38.138.276.3-0.150%-
Last 5 (5)34.439.674.0-5.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)38.249.187.3-10.911%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)43.841.885.6+2.060%-
vs Weaker (10)40.333.974.2+6.480%-
This opponent (CD Povoa) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
CD Povoatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

CD Povoa: 82.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.0 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.6 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.9 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.2 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.222.0
52.1%
51.0%44.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.77.2
33.2%
33.5%21.6
🏀 Free throws27.116.9
62.4%
69.3%16.9
They take 63.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Vitoriatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Vitoria: 82.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀41%
🏀🏀🏀43%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.0 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.7 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.6 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.2 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.817.0
47.5%
51.0%34.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.911.9
34.1%
33.5%35.7
🏀 Free throws18.312.6
68.9%
69.3%12.6
They take 70.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 34.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 49% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 23 Mar 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
CD Povoa
LWWLWLWLWL
Vitoria
LWLLLLWLWW
#6
League position
#7
-2.4
Net rating
+4.3
105.1
Offensive rating
106.0
107.5
Defensive rating
101.7
51.3%
Effective FG%
49.3%
52.5%
Opp. effective FG%
47.2%
22.7%
Turnover %
18.4%
39.0%
Off. rebound %
35.0%
0.42
Free-throw rate
0.26
33.2%
3-point %
34.1%
50.3%
Assist %
53.3%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence105.1 · 106.0Defence107.5 · 101.7Shooting51.3% · 49.3%3-point %33.2% · 34.1%Ball care22.7% · 18.4%Off. rebounds39.0% · 35.0%Free throws0.42 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)50% · 40%
■ CD Povoa   ■ Vitoria
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
CD Povoa wins
3
Vitoria wins
DateGameScore
18/11/23Vitoria v CD Povoa74-83 OT
08/04/23Vitoria v CD Povoa96-92
11/03/23CD Povoa v Vitoria97-84
17/12/22Vitoria v CD Povoa79-76
01/10/22CD Povoa v Vitoria76-86
26/03/22CD Povoa v Vitoria87-81
11/12/21Vitoria v CD Povoa65-77
CD Povoalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/03/24ABenfica86-103
09/03/24HLusitania99-87
02/03/24ASporting CP79-78
14/02/24AOliveirense83-86 OT
10/02/24HOvarense87-76
04/02/24AGalomar81-107
03/02/24AGalomar88-81
20/01/24HImortal86-88 OT
14/01/24HMaia98-68
05/01/24AFC Porto81-97
Vitorialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/03/24HFC Porto83-88
02/03/24ALusitania102-68
14/02/24HImortal72-80
10/02/24HEsgueira60-78
04/02/24ASporting CP68-98
27/01/24HSporting CP80-88
20/01/24HBenfica91-71
06/01/24AOvarense90-91
23/12/23AOliveirense100-80
16/12/23HGalomar82-56

📊 11. Overall Statistics

CD Povoa
LPB 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW53%
HomeWLLWW38%
AwayLWLWW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1789
Win %53%38%67%
Points / game82.880.185.2
Allowed / game84.685.284.1
Point differential-1.8-5.1+1.1
Avg total167.5165.4169.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+18%25%11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)0% (2)67% (3)
Overtime %18%25%11%
Vitoria
LPB 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL47%
HomeWWWLL56%
AwayLWLLW38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1798
Win %47%56%38%
Points / game80.878.383.5
Allowed / game80.275.385.8
Point differential+0.5+3.0-2.2
Avg total161.0153.7169.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%22%38%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)50% (4)0% (1)
Overtime %6%11%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 FC Porto1714382%87.374.0+13.3
2 Benfica1713476%88.268.8+19.5
3 Sporting CP1813572%91.380.1+11.2
4 Oliveirense1813572%80.174.7+5.4
5 Ovarense1711665%79.978.1+1.8
6 CD Povoa179853%82.884.6-1.8
7 Vitoria178947%80.880.2+0.5
8 Imortal178947%78.582.0-3.5
9 Galomar1751229%73.479.5-6.2
10 Portimonense1751229%70.879.2-8.5
11 Esgueira1731418%71.886.9-15.2
12 Lusitania171166%74.091.6-17.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
CD Povoa1319152875
Vitoria1612212473
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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