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Fenerbahce vs Alba Berlin Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 29 Mar 2024
Tip-off: 17:45
Final 103-68
34-18 18-22 31-13 20-15
Position#7
Record19-12
FormWWWLW
Points / game84.8
Allowed / game81.2
vs
Position#18
Record5-26
FormLWLLW
Points / game76.3
Allowed / game85.9
EuropeEuroleagueRound 32· Ülker Sports Arena
European cup2023
Meetings · Fenerbahce v Alba Berlin
09 Jan 2025
FEN90
ABE73
29 Mar 2024
FEN103
ABE68
03 Feb 2023
FEN101
ABE86
29 Mar 2022
FEN57
ABE66
19 Feb 2021
FEN89
ABE84
30 Oct 2008
FEN82
ABE73
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Fenerbahce winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Alba Berlin winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

FenerbahceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormFenerbahce
Date
Competition
Anadolu Efes
#2
W
80-67
80
67
+13
75avg 83
A18/02
Turkish Cup
Baskonia
#9
W
111-96
111
96
+15
112avg 83
H01/03
Euroleague
Tofas
#11
W
109-77
109
77
+32
112avg 83
H03/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Real Madrid
#1
W
89-79
89
79
+10
83avg 83
A07/03
Euroleague
Merkezefendi
#14
W
93-68
93
68
+25
91avg 83
A09/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Valencia
#14
W
118-88
118
88
+30
116avg 83
H14/03
Euroleague
Manisa
#6
W
98-82
98
82
+16
98avg 83
H16/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Barcelona
#5
W
88-74
88
74
+14
81avg 83
H20/03
Euroleague
Olimpia Milano
#12
L
76-77
76
77
-1
73avg 83
A22/03
Euroleague
Petkim Spor
#7
W
81-59
81
59
+22
84avg 83
A25/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-20
16-15
21-14
17-18
32-34
23-20
23-24
33-18
30-13
32-15
25-23
22-26
20-15
23-18
24-25
22-21
19-16
29-14
24-23
21-15
22-19
35-18
28-24
33-27
21-29
26-15
23-19
28-19
23-11
23-14
16-32
26-17
18-28
18-15
15-16
25-18
21-8
10-19
23-15
27-17
171.0Avg total
94.3Scored
76.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (31)84.881.2166.0+3.661%
Season at home (15)92.981.6174.5+11.393%
Season away (16)77.380.8158.1-3.531%
Last 10 (10)94.376.7171.0+17.690%
Last 5 (5)92.276.0168.2+16.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)89.079.0168.0+10.0100%
vs Similar (8)82.579.1161.6+3.450%
vs Weaker ◀ (20)95.077.1172.1+17.995%
This opponent (Alba Berlin) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Alba BerlinLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBerlin
Date
Competition
Ulm
#3
L
79-87
79
87
-8
72avg 79
H17/02
German Cup
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#6
L
71-106
71
106
-35
59avg 79
H29/02
Euroleague
Oldenburg
#8
W
85-67
85
67
+18
87avg 79
H03/03
BBL
Baskonia
#9
L
71-88
71
88
-17
66avg 79
A08/03
Euroleague
Rostock
#15
W
76-75
76
75
+1
63avg 79
A10/03
BBL
Monaco
#3
L
82-90
82
90
-8
79avg 79
H14/03
Euroleague
Tubingen
#18
W
112-69
112
69
+43
112avg 79
H16/03
BBL
Real Madrid
#1
L
79-86
79
86
-7
67avg 79
H19/03
Euroleague
Anadolu Efes
#10
L
84-85
84
85
-1
81avg 79
A21/03
Euroleague
Chemnitz
#3
W
84-79
84
79
+5
83avg 79
A24/03
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-19
22-23
21-17
18-28
15-27
23-30
18-30
15-19
28-21
17-15
20-12
20-19
10-23
24-19
13-21
24-25
27-19
15-17
10-25
24-14
27-13
12-32
23-24
20-21
21-24
35-10
32-16
24-19
26-16
14-20
17-22
22-28
23-23
17-30
27-12
17-20
18-22
21-13
24-21
21-23
165.5Avg total
82.3Scored
83.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (31)76.385.9162.2-9.616%
Season at home (16)76.285.4161.7-9.225%
Season away (15)76.386.4162.7-10.17%
Last 10 (10)82.383.2165.5-0.940%
Last 5 (5)88.281.8170.0+6.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)76.385.4161.7-9.118%
vs Similar (6)91.084.0175.0+7.083%
vs Weaker (7)90.381.0171.3+9.371%
This opponent (Fenerbahce) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: +3.9+3.9Q1: +0.6+0.6Q2Q2: +7.2+7.2Q2: -0.9-0.9Q3Q3: +0.7+0.7Q3: +0.5+0.5Q4Q4: +5.8+5.8Q4: -1.1-1.1
-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: +3.9+3.9Q1: +0.6+0.6Q2Q2: +7.2+7.2Q2: -0.9-0.9Q3Q3: +0.7+0.7Q3: +0.5+0.5Q4Q4: +5.8+5.8Q4: -1.1-1.1
FenerbahceAlba Berlin
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
FenerbahceLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Anadolu Efes
#2
W
42-35
42
35
+7
A18/02
Turkish Cup
Baskonia
#9
W
55-54
55
54
+1
H01/03
Euroleague
Tofas
#11
W
62-28
62
28
+34
H03/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Real Madrid
#1
W
43-33
43
33
+10
A07/03
Euroleague
Merkezefendi
#14
W
48-30
48
30
+18
A09/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Valencia
#14
W
57-37
57
37
+20
H14/03
Euroleague
Manisa
#6
W
47-44
47
44
+3
H16/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Barcelona
#5
W
46-25
46
25
+21
H20/03
Euroleague
Olimpia Milano
#12
L
36-43
36
43
-7
A22/03
Euroleague
Petkim Spor
#7
W
31-27
31
27
+4
A25/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
82.3Avg total
46.7Scored
35.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.936.881.7+8.173%-
Last 30 at home (14)48.937.786.6+11.179%-
Last 30 away (16)41.436.177.5+5.469%-
Last 10 (10)46.735.682.3+11.190%-
Last 5 (5)43.435.278.6+8.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)43.033.076.0+10.0100%-
vs Similar (8)42.239.581.8+2.838%-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)46.436.282.6+10.185%-
This opponent (Alba Berlin) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Alba BerlinLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ulm
#3
L
40-42
40
42
-2
H17/02
German Cup
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#6
L
38-57
38
57
-19
H29/02
Euroleague
Oldenburg
#8
W
45-36
45
36
+9
H03/03
BBL
Baskonia
#9
L
34-42
34
42
-8
A08/03
Euroleague
Rostock
#15
W
42-36
42
36
+6
A10/03
BBL
Monaco
#3
L
39-45
39
45
-6
H14/03
Euroleague
Tubingen
#18
W
56-34
56
34
+22
H16/03
BBL
Real Madrid
#1
W
40-36
40
36
+4
H19/03
Euroleague
Anadolu Efes
#10
L
40-53
40
53
-13
A21/03
Euroleague
Chemnitz
#3
W
39-35
39
35
+4
A24/03
BBL
82.9Avg total
41.3Scored
41.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.942.183.9-0.253%-
Last 30 at home (17)42.942.585.5+0.453%-
Last 30 away (13)40.541.581.9-1.054%-
Last 10 (10)41.341.682.9-0.350%-
Last 5 (5)42.840.683.4+2.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)38.944.283.1-5.429%-
vs Similar (6)45.340.285.5+5.2100%-
vs Weaker (7)46.138.484.6+7.771%-
This opponent (Fenerbahce) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Fenerbahcetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Fenerbahce: 93.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀40%
🏀🏀🏀46%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.6 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers42.9 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.8 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.818.8
59.1%
53.4%37.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.614.3
43.9%
36.6%42.9
🏀 Free throws14.712.8
87.1%
77.4%12.8
They take 64.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 51% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Alba Berlintheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Alba Berlin: 81.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.8 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.6 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.3 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.419.4
53.3%
53.4%38.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.39.2
35.0%
36.6%27.6
🏀 Free throws20.015.3
76.5%
77.4%15.3
They take 62.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 29 Mar 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Fenerbahce
WLWWWWWWWW
Alba Berlin
WLLWLWLWLL
#7
League position
#18
+24.5
Net rating
-0.4
129.8
Offensive rating
106.8
105.3
Defensive rating
107.2
62.5%
Effective FG%
53.0%
50.8%
Opp. effective FG%
53.9%
15.5%
Turnover %
21.1%
33.0%
Off. rebound %
31.4%
0.23
Free-throw rate
0.32
43.9%
3-point %
35.0%
66.5%
Assist %
66.8%
90%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence129.8 · 106.8Defence105.3 · 107.2Shooting62.5% · 53.0%3-point %43.9% · 35.0%Ball care15.5% · 21.1%Off. rebounds33.0% · 31.4%Free throws0.23 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)90% · 40%
■ Fenerbahce   ■ Alba Berlin
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Fenerbahce wins
4
Alba Berlin wins
Fenerbahcelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/03/24APetkim Spor81-59
22/03/24AOlimpia Milano76-77
20/03/24HBarcelona88-74
16/03/24HManisa98-82
14/03/24HValencia118-88
09/03/24AMerkezefendi93-68
07/03/24AReal Madrid89-79
03/03/24HTofas109-77
01/03/24HBaskonia111-96
18/02/24AAnadolu Efes80-67
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/03/24AChemnitz84-79
21/03/24AAnadolu Efes84-85
19/03/24HReal Madrid79-86
16/03/24HTubingen112-69
14/03/24HMonaco82-90
10/03/24ARostock76-75
08/03/24ABaskonia71-88
03/03/24HOldenburg85-67
29/02/24HMaccabi Tel Aviv71-106
17/02/24HUlm79-87

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Fenerbahce
Euroleague 2023
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL61%
HomeWWWWW93%
AwayWLLWL31%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games311516
Win %61%93%31%
Points / game84.892.977.3
Allowed / game81.281.680.8
Point differential+3.6+11.3-3.5
Avg total166.0174.5158.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+35%60%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (10)100% (4)17% (6)
Overtime %10%20%0%
Alba Berlin
Euroleague 2023
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL16%
HomeWLLLL25%
AwayWLLLL7%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games311615
Win %16%25%7%
Points / game76.376.276.3
Allowed / game85.985.486.4
Point differential-9.6-9.2-10.1
Avg total162.2161.7162.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+3%0%7%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)60% (5)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Real Madrid3125681%88.580.4+8.1
2 Barcelona32211166%82.879.0+3.8
3 Monaco32211166%82.079.3+2.8
4 Panathinaikos31201165%81.577.2+4.3
5 Olympiacos32201262%78.574.5+4.0
6 Fenerbahce31191261%84.881.2+3.6
7 Maccabi Tel Aviv32191359%87.686.6+1.0
8 Virtus Bologna31171455%80.181.9-1.8
9 Baskonia32161650%83.684.5-0.9
10 Anadolu Efes32151747%85.886.8-1.0
11 Zalgiris Kaunas32141844%80.480.3+0.1
12 Olimpia Milano32141844%77.677.8-0.2
13 Partizan32141844%82.884.0-1.2
14 Valencia32141844%76.578.5-2.0
15 Bayern32131941%78.681.8-3.3
16 Crvena zvezda31112035%81.681.5+0.1
17 Lyon-Villeurbanne3272522%78.185.8-7.7
18 Alba Berlin3152616%76.385.9-9.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Fenerbahce34183120103
Alba Berlin1822131568
← all games of the day
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