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Fenerbahce vs Bayern Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 16 Oct 2020
Tip-off: 17:45
Final 71-75
28-9 17-16 13-23 13-27
Position#9
Record2-1
FormWWWWL
Points / game78.0
Allowed / game70.7
Fenerbahce
vs
Bayern 🏆
Position#5
Record2-1
FormLWLWW
Points / game84.7
Allowed / game78.3
EuropeEuroleagueRound 4
European cup2020
Meetings · Fenerbahce v Bayern
29 Sep 2026
FEN100
BAY76
16 Oct 2025
FEN88
BAY73
12 Nov 2024
FEN87
BAY76
11 Jan 2024
FEN98
BAY91
12 Jan 2023
FEN79
BAY71
04 Apr 2022
FEN81
BAY76
16 Oct 2020
FEN71
BAY75
01 Nov 2018
FEN88
BAY84
16 Oct 2015
FEN74
BAY67
19 Dec 2014
FEN87
BAY81
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Fenerbahce winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Bayern winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

FenerbahceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormFenerbahce
Date
Competition
Galatasaray
#4
L
75-80
75
80
-5
no box
H26/02
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Afyon Belediye
#13
W
64-62
64
62
+2
no box
A01/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Besiktas
#8
W
74-73
74
73
+1
no box
A08/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Tofas
#5
W
84-75
84
75
+9
no box
H15/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
OGM Ormanspor
#16
W
105-72
105
72
+33
102avg 92
H26/09
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Crvena zvezda
#17
W
77-63
77
63
+14
69avg 92
H02/10
Euroleague
Besiktas
#5
W
83-74
83
74
+9
no box
A04/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Anadolu Efes
#3
W
80-71
80
71
+9
80avg 92
A08/10
Euroleague
Fethiye Bld.
#15
W
113-74
113
74
+39
118avg 92
H11/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
CSKA Moscow
#1
L
77-78 OT
77
78
-1
no box
H14/10
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-19
17-19
14-19
22-23
20-17
12-15
12-19
20-11
25-10
21-19
15-18
13-26
19-20
25-17
22-17
18-21
20-15
32-16
25-19
28-22
24-20
18-10
15-11
20-22
27-14
27-22
11-17
18-21
16-23
26-12
19-19
19-17
39-24
21-17
32-10
21-23
10-12
21-20
20-17
18-20
155.4Avg total
83.2Scored
72.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)78.070.7148.7+7.367%
Season at home (2)77.070.5147.5+6.550%
Season away (1)80.071.0151.0+9.0100%
Last 10 (10)83.272.2155.4+11.080%
Last 5 (5)86.072.0158.0+14.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)70.074.0144.0-4.025%
vs Similar ◀ (4)81.572.2153.8+9.2100%
vs Weaker (21)83.973.4157.2+10.586%
This opponent (Bayern) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BayernLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBayern
Date
Competition
Bayreuth
#12
W
91-75
91
75
+16
no box
A08/03
BBL
Ulm
#6
L
85-95
85
95
-10
no box
H06/06
BBL
Crailsheim Merlins
#5
W
110-79
110
79
+31
no box
A08/06
BBL
Gottingen
#11
W
90-55
90
55
+35
no box
A12/06
BBL
Oldenburg
#4
L
81-89
81
89
-8
no box
H14/06
BBL
Ludwigsburg
#3
L
83-87
83
87
-4
no box
H17/06
BBL
Ludwigsburg
#3
W
74-73
74
73
+1
no box
A19/06
BBL
Olimpia Milano
#4
L
79-81 OT
79
81
-2
no box
H02/10
Euroleague
Alba Berlin
#15
W
90-72
90
72
+18
88avg 82
A09/10
Euroleague
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#13
W
85-82
85
82
+3
77avg 82
A14/10
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-14
25-21
12-25
31-15
20-18
20-23
18-21
27-33
26-11
25-24
35-21
24-23
26-18
21-13
24-12
19-12
28-26
16-16
15-18
22-29
15-21
27-15
23-23
18-28
23-18
22-18
11-16
18-21
14-15
17-17
24-22
15-16
21-27
31-9
19-18
19-18
15-15
19-10
26-30
25-27
165.6Avg total
86.8Scored
78.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)84.778.3163.0+6.367%
Season at home (1)79.081.0160.0-2.00%
Season away (2)87.577.0164.5+10.5100%
Last 10 (10)86.878.8165.6+8.060%
Last 5 (5)82.279.0161.2+3.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (3)82.781.0163.7+1.767%
vs Weaker (27)85.875.0160.8+10.881%
This opponent (Fenerbahce) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +4.8+4.8Q1: +2.8+2.8Q2Q2: +5.3+5.3Q2: +5.7+5.7Q3Q3: +1.9+1.9Q3: +0.1+0.1Q4Q4: -0.9-0.9Q4: -0.4-0.4
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +4.8+4.8Q1: +2.8+2.8Q2Q2: +5.3+5.3Q2: +5.7+5.7Q3Q3: +1.9+1.9Q3: +0.1+0.1Q4Q4: -0.9-0.9Q4: -0.4-0.4
FenerbahceBayern
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
FenerbahceLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Galatasaray
#4
W
39-38
39
38
+1
H26/02
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Afyon Belediye
#13
D
32-32
32
32
+0
A01/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Besiktas
#8
W
46-29
46
29
+17
A08/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Tofas
#5
W
44-37
44
37
+7
H15/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
OGM Ormanspor
#16
W
52-31
52
31
+21
H26/09
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Crvena zvezda
#17
W
42-30
42
30
+12
H02/10
Euroleague
Besiktas
#5
W
54-36
54
36
+18
A04/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Anadolu Efes
#3
W
42-35
42
35
+7
A08/10
Euroleague
Fethiye Bld.
#15
W
60-41
60
41
+19
H11/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
CSKA Moscow
#1
L
31-32
31
32
-1
H14/10
Euroleague
78.3Avg total
44.2Scored
34.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.034.375.3+6.770%-
Last 30 at home (16)43.133.676.8+9.581%-
Last 30 away (14)38.635.073.6+3.657%-
Last 10 (10)44.234.178.3+10.180%-
Last 5 (5)45.834.880.6+11.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)33.034.267.2-1.225%-
vs Similar ◀ (4)41.234.075.2+7.2100%-
vs Weaker (21)42.234.476.7+7.871%-
This opponent (Bayern) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BayernLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bayreuth
#12
W
48-35
48
35
+13
A08/03
BBL
Ulm
#6
L
40-41
40
41
-1
H06/06
BBL
Crailsheim Merlins
#5
W
51-35
51
35
+16
A08/06
BBL
Gottingen
#11
W
47-31
47
31
+16
A12/06
BBL
Oldenburg
#4
W
44-42
44
42
+2
H14/06
BBL
Ludwigsburg
#3
W
42-36
42
36
+6
H17/06
BBL
Ludwigsburg
#3
W
45-36
45
36
+9
A19/06
BBL
Olimpia Milano
#4
L
31-32
31
32
-1
H02/10
Euroleague
Alba Berlin
#15
W
52-36
52
36
+16
A09/10
Euroleague
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#13
W
34-25
34
25
+9
A14/10
Euroleague
78.3Avg total
43.4Scored
34.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.635.376.9+6.467%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.334.175.3+7.267%-
Last 30 away (15)42.036.578.5+5.567%-
Last 10 (10)43.434.978.3+8.580%-
Last 5 (5)40.833.073.8+7.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (3)35.331.767.0+3.767%-
vs Weaker (27)42.335.778.0+6.767%-
This opponent (Fenerbahce) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Fenerbahcetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Fenerbahce: 84.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.0 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.2 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.1 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.2 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.720.5
54.4%
52.7%41.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.610.4
44.1%
38.1%31.2
🏀 Free throws14.912.1
81.2%
79.3%12.1
They take 61.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Bayerntheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bayern: 79.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.2 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.8 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.2 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.919.6
56.2%
52.7%39.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.49.0
38.5%
38.1%27.0
🏀 Free throws16.812.8
76.2%
79.3%12.8
They take 58.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 16 Oct 2020 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Fenerbahce
LWWWWWWWWL
Bayern
WWLWLLWWLW
#9
League position
#5
+12.5
Net rating
-2.4
119.8
Offensive rating
110.2
107.3
Defensive rating
112.5
58.9%
Effective FG%
56.8%
54.3%
Opp. effective FG%
56.3%
17.1%
Turnover %
16.1%
29.9%
Off. rebound %
21.5%
0.24
Free-throw rate
0.29
44.1%
3-point %
38.5%
61.5%
Assist %
63.3%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence119.8 · 110.2Defence107.3 · 112.5Shooting58.9% · 56.8%3-point %44.1% · 38.5%Ball care17.1% · 16.1%Off. rebounds29.9% · 21.5%Free throws0.24 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)80% · 60%
■ Fenerbahce   ■ Bayern
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Fenerbahce wins
1
Bayern wins
DateGameScore
31/01/19Bayern v Fenerbahce90-86 OT
01/11/18Fenerbahce v Bayern88-84
19/11/15Bayern v Fenerbahce67-84
16/10/15Fenerbahce v Bayern74-67
19/12/14Fenerbahce v Bayern87-81
13/11/14Bayern v Fenerbahce86-93
Fenerbahcelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/10/20HCSKA Moscow77-78 OT
11/10/20HFethiye Bld.113-74
08/10/20AAnadolu Efes80-71
04/10/20ABesiktas83-74
02/10/20HCrvena zvezda77-63
26/09/20HOGM Ormanspor105-72
15/03/20HTofas84-75
08/03/20ABesiktas74-73
01/03/20AAfyon Belediye64-62
26/02/20HGalatasaray75-80
Bayernlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/10/20AMaccabi Tel Aviv85-82
09/10/20AAlba Berlin90-72
02/10/20HOlimpia Milano79-81 OT
19/06/20ALudwigsburg74-73
17/06/20HLudwigsburg83-87
14/06/20HOldenburg81-89
12/06/20AGottingen90-55
08/06/20ACrailsheim Merlins110-79
06/06/20HUlm85-95
08/03/20ABayreuth91-75

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Fenerbahce
Euroleague 2020
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWL67%
HomeWL50%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321
Win %67%50%100%
Points / game78.077.080.0
Allowed / game70.770.571.0
Point differential+7.3+6.5+9.0
Avg total148.7147.5151.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %33%50%0%
Bayern
Euroleague 2020
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWW67%
HomeL0%
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games312
Win %67%0%100%
Points / game84.779.087.5
Allowed / game78.381.077.0
Point differential+6.3-2.0+10.5
Avg total163.0160.0164.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%0%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)0% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %33%100%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Zalgiris Kaunas440100%79.069.8+9.2
2 Zenit Petersburg220100%73.569.5+4.0
3 Barcelona43175%78.573.8+4.8
4 Fenerbahce32167%78.070.7+7.3
5 Bayern32167%84.778.3+6.3
6 Olympiacos32167%77.071.3+5.7
7 Valencia32167%74.770.3+4.3
8 Olimpia Milano32167%81.079.3+1.7
9 Baskonia21150%74.576.5-2.0
10 CSKA Moscow42250%77.079.5-2.5
11 Maccabi Tel Aviv31233%78.078.0+0.0
12 Crvena zvezda31233%74.075.0-1.0
13 Panathinaikos31233%79.383.7-4.3
14 Real Madrid31233%78.084.7-6.7
15 Anadolu Efes41325%76.578.5-2.0
16 Alba Berlin41325%77.587.8-10.2
17 Lyon-Villeurbanne2020%68.076.0-8.0
18 Khimki M.3030%77.085.3-8.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Fenerbahce2817131371
Bayern916232775
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