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Fenerbahce vs Bayern Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 11 Jan 2024
Tip-off: 17:45
Final 98-91 (OT)
22-22 16-17 19-20 24-22 17-10
Position#7
Record12-8
FormWLWWW
Points / game83.6
Allowed / game80.8
vs
Position#15
Record8-12
FormWLLWL
Points / game78.5
Allowed / game81.9
EuropeEuroleagueRound 21· Ülker Sports Arena
European cup2023
Meetings · Fenerbahce v Bayern
29 Sep 2026
FEN100
BAY76
16 Oct 2025
FEN88
BAY73
12 Nov 2024
FEN87
BAY76
11 Jan 2024
FEN98
BAY91
12 Jan 2023
FEN79
BAY71
04 Apr 2022
FEN81
BAY76
16 Oct 2020
FEN71
BAY75
01 Nov 2018
FEN88
BAY84
16 Oct 2015
FEN74
BAY67
19 Dec 2014
FEN87
BAY81
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Fenerbahce winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Bayern winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

FenerbahceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormFenerbahce
Date
Competition
Turk Telekom
#9
W
99-71
99
71
+28
104avg 79
H17/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Zalgiris Kaunas
#13
W
80-78
80
78
+2
75avg 79
H20/12
Euroleague
Alba Berlin
#18
W
91-82
91
82
+9
93avg 79
A22/12
Euroleague
Darussafaka
#13
W
98-56
98
56
+42
101avg 79
A25/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Anadolu Efes
#10
W
89-84
89
84
+5
89avg 79
A28/12
Euroleague
Bursaspor
#8
W
97-90
97
90
+7
93avg 79
H30/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Crvena zvezda
#16
L
76-85
76
85
-9
71avg 79
H02/01
Euroleague
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#6
W
109-74
109
74
+35
113avg 79
H04/01
Euroleague
Buyukcekmece
#10
W
89-58
89
58
+31
97avg 79
A06/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Partizan
#11
W
91-76
91
76
+15
89avg 79
H09/01
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-18
20-10
25-20
28-23
22-26
15-22
19-14
24-16
24-26
27-21
21-12
19-23
29-14
22-15
25-12
22-15
29-29
18-23
22-16
20-16
25-19
19-29
29-23
24-19
26-18
9-16
22-23
19-28
22-22
35-9
23-17
29-26
20-15
28-11
24-19
17-13
19-31
24-17
25-16
23-12
167.3Avg total
91.9Scored
75.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)83.680.8164.4+2.860%
Season at home (10)89.080.0169.0+9.090%
Season away (10)78.281.6159.8-3.430%
Last 10 (10)91.975.4167.3+16.590%
Last 5 (5)92.476.6169.0+15.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)100.099.0199.0+1.0100%
vs Similar (10)85.578.4163.9+7.170%
vs Weaker ◀ (19)84.574.6159.1+9.968%
This opponent (Bayern) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BayernLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBayern
Date
Competition
Ulm
#5
W
95-80
95
80
+15
89avg 75
H17/12
BBL
Anadolu Efes
#10
W
86-71
86
71
+15
80avg 75
H20/12
Euroleague
Monaco
#3
L
80-91
80
91
-11
77avg 75
H22/12
Euroleague
Tubingen
#18
W
96-74
96
74
+22
90avg 75
A26/12
BBL
Valencia
#14
W
85-84
85
84
+1
78avg 75
H28/12
Euroleague
Heidelberg
#16
W
83-57
83
57
+26
84avg 75
H30/12
BBL
Virtus Bologna
#8
L
83-85
83
85
-2
80avg 75
A03/01
Euroleague
Olimpia Milano
#12
L
62-76
62
76
-14
52avg 75
A05/01
Euroleague
Rostock
#15
W
91-85
91
85
+6
88avg 75
A07/01
BBL
Real Madrid
#1
L
71-92
71
92
-21
62avg 75
H09/01
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-17
18-28
23-18
29-17
20-17
30-24
21-18
15-12
14-17
17-29
29-21
20-24
28-13
18-19
28-22
22-20
16-16
22-23
22-23
25-22
24-7
17-19
17-11
25-20
24-22
22-20
23-23
14-20
12-19
15-15
20-16
15-26
27-16
24-23
16-18
24-28
18-24
18-21
17-19
18-28
162.7Avg total
83.2Scored
79.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)78.581.9160.4-3.540%
Season at home (9)82.780.8163.4+1.967%
Season away (11)75.082.8157.8-7.818%
Last 10 (10)83.279.5162.7+3.760%
Last 5 (5)78.079.0157.0-1.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)72.787.9160.6-15.10%
vs Similar (11)82.679.7162.4+2.964%
vs Weaker (11)88.776.0164.7+12.782%
This opponent (Fenerbahce) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +2.4+2.4Q1: +4.0+4.0Q2Q2: +4.4+4.4Q2: -2.0-2.0Q3Q3: +6.3+6.3Q3: +2.7+2.7Q4Q4: +3.4+3.4Q4: -1.0-1.0
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +2.4+2.4Q1: +4.0+4.0Q2Q2: +4.4+4.4Q2: -2.0-2.0Q3Q3: +6.3+6.3Q3: +2.7+2.7Q4Q4: +3.4+3.4Q4: -1.0-1.0
FenerbahceBayern
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
FenerbahceLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Turk Telekom
#9
W
46-28
46
28
+18
H17/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Zalgiris Kaunas
#13
L
37-48
37
48
-11
H20/12
Euroleague
Alba Berlin
#18
W
51-47
51
47
+4
A22/12
Euroleague
Darussafaka
#13
W
51-29
51
29
+22
A25/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Anadolu Efes
#10
L
47-52
47
52
-5
A28/12
Euroleague
Bursaspor
#8
L
44-48
44
48
-4
H30/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Crvena zvezda
#16
W
35-34
35
34
+1
H02/01
Euroleague
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#6
W
57-31
57
31
+26
H04/01
Euroleague
Buyukcekmece
#10
W
48-26
48
26
+22
A06/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Partizan
#11
L
43-48
43
48
-5
H09/01
Euroleague
85.0Avg total
45.9Scored
39.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.039.282.2+3.960%-
Last 30 at home (14)42.938.981.7+4.057%-
Last 30 away (16)43.239.482.6+3.862%-
Last 10 (10)45.939.185.0+6.860%-
Last 5 (5)45.437.482.8+8.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)37.044.081.0-7.00%-
vs Similar (10)47.140.887.9+6.370%-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)41.238.179.3+3.258%-
This opponent (Bayern) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BayernLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ulm
#5
L
43-45
43
45
-2
H17/12
BBL
Anadolu Efes
#10
W
50-41
50
41
+9
H20/12
Euroleague
Monaco
#3
L
31-46
31
46
-15
H22/12
Euroleague
Tubingen
#18
W
46-32
46
32
+14
A26/12
BBL
Valencia
#14
L
38-39
38
39
-1
H28/12
Euroleague
Heidelberg
#16
W
41-26
41
26
+15
H30/12
BBL
Virtus Bologna
#8
W
46-42
46
42
+4
A03/01
Euroleague
Olimpia Milano
#12
L
27-34
27
34
-7
A05/01
Euroleague
Rostock
#15
W
51-39
51
39
+12
A07/01
BBL
Real Madrid
#1
L
36-45
36
45
-9
H09/01
Euroleague
79.8Avg total
40.9Scored
38.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.439.380.7+2.053%-
Last 30 at home (13)42.639.682.2+3.054%-
Last 30 away (17)40.439.179.5+1.353%-
Last 10 (10)40.938.979.8+2.050%-
Last 5 (5)40.237.277.4+3.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)34.643.478.0-8.90%-
vs Similar (11)41.640.782.4+0.955%-
vs Weaker (11)44.235.779.9+8.582%-
This opponent (Fenerbahce) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Fenerbahcetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Fenerbahce: 91.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀41%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.8 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.9 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.4 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.620.9
60.4%
53.4%41.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.912.3
45.7%
36.6%36.9
🏀 Free throws16.312.4
76.1%
77.4%12.4
They take 61.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Bayerntheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bayern: 82.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀42%
🏀🏀🏀42%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.6 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.5 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.5 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.617.3
50.0%
53.4%34.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.111.5
40.9%
36.6%34.5
🏀 Free throws17.013.5
79.4%
77.4%13.5
They take 62.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 11 Jan 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Fenerbahce
WWWLWWWWWW
Bayern
LWLLWWWLWW
#7
League position
#15
+23.1
Net rating
+5.8
124.3
Offensive rating
114.5
101.3
Defensive rating
108.7
64.0%
Effective FG%
55.1%
48.3%
Opp. effective FG%
52.1%
17.5%
Turnover %
16.9%
28.7%
Off. rebound %
30.9%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.27
45.7%
3-point %
40.9%
66.9%
Assist %
61.8%
90%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence124.3 · 114.5Defence101.3 · 108.7Shooting64.0% · 55.1%3-point %45.7% · 40.9%Ball care17.5% · 16.9%Off. rebounds28.7% · 30.9%Free throws0.27 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)90% · 60%
■ Fenerbahce   ■ Bayern
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Fenerbahce wins
3
Bayern wins
DateGameScore
27/10/23Bayern v Fenerbahce67-76
12/01/23Fenerbahce v Bayern79-71
06/10/22Bayern v Fenerbahce62-74
04/04/22Fenerbahce v Bayern81-76
16/11/21Bayern v Fenerbahce71-63
30/03/21Bayern v Fenerbahce68-77
16/10/20Fenerbahce v Bayern71-75
31/01/19Bayern v Fenerbahce90-86 OT
01/11/18Fenerbahce v Bayern88-84
19/11/15Bayern v Fenerbahce67-84
Fenerbahcelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/01/24HPartizan91-76
06/01/24ABuyukcekmece89-58
04/01/24HMaccabi Tel Aviv109-74
02/01/24HCrvena zvezda76-85
30/12/23HBursaspor97-90
28/12/23AAnadolu Efes89-84
25/12/23ADarussafaka98-56
22/12/23AAlba Berlin91-82
20/12/23HZalgiris Kaunas80-78
17/12/23HTurk Telekom99-71
Bayernlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/01/24HReal Madrid71-92
07/01/24ARostock91-85
05/01/24AOlimpia Milano62-76
03/01/24AVirtus Bologna83-85
30/12/23HHeidelberg83-57
28/12/23HValencia85-84
26/12/23ATubingen96-74
22/12/23HMonaco80-91
20/12/23HAnadolu Efes86-71
17/12/23HUlm95-80

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Fenerbahce
Euroleague 2023
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW60%
HomeWWLWW90%
AwayLLLWW30%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games201010
Win %60%90%30%
Points / game83.689.078.2
Allowed / game80.880.081.6
Point differential+2.8+9.0-3.4
Avg total164.4169.0159.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won56% (9)100% (4)20% (5)
Overtime %10%20%0%
Bayern
Euroleague 2023
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL40%
HomeWWLWL67%
AwayWLLLL18%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games20911
Win %40%67%18%
Points / game78.582.775.0
Allowed / game81.980.882.8
Point differential-3.5+1.9-7.8
Avg total160.3163.4157.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+15%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)100% (1)25% (4)
Overtime %10%11%9%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Real Madrid2018290%89.377.3+12.0
2 Barcelona2014670%83.079.2+3.8
3 Virtus Bologna2014670%82.380.6+1.8
4 Fenerbahce2012860%83.680.8+2.8
5 Panathinaikos2012860%81.779.2+2.5
6 Maccabi Tel Aviv2012860%86.687.2-0.6
7 Olympiacos2011955%77.474.5+2.9
8 Monaco2011955%81.579.9+1.6
9 Valencia20101050%76.176.0+0.1
10 Partizan20101050%84.384.3-0.1
11 Baskonia20101050%82.083.0-1.1
12 Olimpia Milano2091145%78.876.5+2.4
13 Crvena zvezda2081240%81.980.9+1.0
14 Bayern2081240%78.581.9-3.5
15 Zalgiris Kaunas2071335%78.881.2-2.4
16 Anadolu Efes2071335%83.589.3-5.8
17 Lyon-Villeurbanne2041620%80.287.6-7.5
18 Alba Berlin2031715%75.385.4-10.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
Fenerbahce221619241798
Bayern221720221091
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