PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Fenerbahce vs Bayern Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 12 Nov 2024
Tip-off: 17:45
Final 87-76
13-21 22-9 32-28 20-18
Position#1
Record6-2
FormWWLWW
Points / game78.2
Allowed / game75.5
vs
Position#7
Record6-2
FormWWWWW
Points / game86.9
Allowed / game85.6
EuropeEuroleagueRound 9· Ülker Sports Arena
European cup2024
Meetings · Fenerbahce v Bayern
29 Sep 2026
FEN100
BAY76
16 Oct 2025
FEN88
BAY73
12 Nov 2024
FEN87
BAY76
11 Jan 2024
FEN98
BAY91
12 Jan 2023
FEN79
BAY71
04 Apr 2022
FEN81
BAY76
16 Oct 2020
FEN71
BAY75
01 Nov 2018
FEN88
BAY84
16 Oct 2015
FEN74
BAY67
19 Dec 2014
FEN87
BAY81
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Fenerbahce winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Bayern winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

FenerbahceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormFenerbahce
Date
Competition
Crvena zvezda
#10
L
57-76
57
76
-19
48avg 84
H15/10
Euroleague
Alba Berlin
#18
W
78-71
78
71
+7
67avg 84
A17/10
Euroleague
Bursaspor
#9
W
95-78
95
78
+17
94avg 84
H20/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Panathinaikos
#3
L
76-81
76
81
-5
68avg 84
H25/10
Euroleague
Darussafaka
#15
W
97-87
97
87
+10
100avg 84
A27/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#16
W
84-82
84
82
+2
78avg 84
H29/10
Euroleague
Partizan
#12
W
89-72
89
72
+17
88avg 84
H01/11
Euroleague
Petkim Spor
#11
L
66-75
66
75
-9
56avg 84
H03/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#15
W
77-73
77
73
+4
68avg 84
A08/11
Euroleague
Manisa
#12
W
90-82
90
82
+8
89avg 84
A10/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
12-26
19-12
11-16
15-22
15-16
23-15
20-16
20-24
25-19
18-15
27-16
25-28
15-21
20-25
19-16
22-19
21-29
27-21
28-23
21-14
16-21
22-19
20-27
26-15
22-15
22-16
23-22
22-19
9-22
24-15
18-20
15-18
15-19
18-17
18-16
26-21
24-21
24-20
26-21
16-20
158.6Avg total
80.9Scored
77.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)78.275.5153.8+2.875%
Season at home (5)77.676.4154.0+1.260%
Season away (3)79.374.0153.3+5.3100%
Last 10 (10)80.977.7158.6+3.270%
Last 5 (5)81.276.8158.0+4.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (9)74.475.8150.2-1.344%
vs Weaker ◀ (20)90.980.2171.1+10.890%
This opponent (Bayern) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BayernLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBayern
Date
Competition
Bonn
#17
W
91-85
91
85
+6
93avg 79
A13/10
German Cup
Partizan
#12
L
78-86
78
86
-8
67avg 79
A15/10
Euroleague
Paris
#9
W
109-107
109
107
+2
107avg 79
H17/10
Euroleague
Syntainics MBC
#11
L
75-79
75
79
-4
72avg 79
A19/10
BBL
Olympiacos
#2
W
84-80
84
80
+4
47avg 79
H25/10
Euroleague
Wurzburg
#5
W
70-69
70
69
+1
63avg 79
H27/10
BBL
Virtus Bologna
#17
W
87-84
87
84
+3
81avg 79
A29/10
Euroleague
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#15
W
84-71
84
71
+13
83avg 79
A01/11
Euroleague
Basketball Braunschweig
#3
W
90-72
90
72
+18
87avg 79
A03/11
BBL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#13
W
77-74
77
74
+3
74avg 79
H07/11
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-26
22-20
29-15
21-24
15-24
17-25
20-22
26-15
24-21
30-26
27-31
28-29
19-17
16-23
20-19
20-20
20-19
12-24
27-18
25-19
18-18
10-15
21-20
21-16
19-25
21-8
28-27
19-24
19-17
24-16
21-16
20-22
17-20
24-15
29-19
20-18
19-7
19-21
20-19
19-27
165.2Avg total
84.5Scored
80.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)86.985.6172.5+1.275%
Season at home (4)91.887.5179.2+4.2100%
Season away (4)82.083.8165.8-1.850%
Last 10 (10)84.580.7165.2+3.880%
Last 5 (5)81.674.0155.6+7.6100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)81.587.0168.5-5.550%
vs Similar (11)80.878.3159.1+2.573%
vs Weaker (16)84.174.6158.8+9.581%
This opponent (Fenerbahce) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -3.5-3.5Q1: -0.5-0.5Q2Q2: +4.2+4.2Q2: +0.2+0.2Q3Q3: +1.7+1.7Q3: +3.6+3.6Q4Q4: +0.8+0.8Q4: +0.5+0.5
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -3.5-3.5Q1: -0.5-0.5Q2Q2: +4.2+4.2Q2: +0.2+0.2Q3Q3: +1.7+1.7Q3: +3.6+3.6Q4Q4: +0.8+0.8Q4: +0.5+0.5
FenerbahceBayern
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
FenerbahceLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Crvena zvezda
#10
L
31-38
31
38
-7
H15/10
Euroleague
Alba Berlin
#18
W
38-31
38
31
+7
A17/10
Euroleague
Bursaspor
#9
W
43-34
43
34
+9
H20/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Panathinaikos
#3
L
35-46
35
46
-11
H25/10
Euroleague
Darussafaka
#15
L
48-50
48
50
-2
A27/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#16
L
38-40
38
40
-2
H29/10
Euroleague
Partizan
#12
W
44-31
44
31
+13
H01/11
Euroleague
Petkim Spor
#11
L
33-37
33
37
-4
H03/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#15
L
33-36
33
36
-3
A08/11
Euroleague
Manisa
#12
W
48-41
48
41
+7
A10/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
77.5Avg total
39.1Scored
38.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.838.880.6+3.060%-
Last 30 at home (16)40.638.078.6+2.662%-
Last 30 away (14)43.239.782.9+3.557%-
Last 10 (10)39.138.477.5+0.740%-
Last 5 (5)39.237.076.2+2.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (9)36.638.274.8-1.733%-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)44.139.083.2+5.170%-
This opponent (Bayern) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BayernLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bonn
#17
L
41-46
41
46
-5
A13/10
German Cup
Partizan
#12
L
32-49
32
49
-17
A15/10
Euroleague
Paris
#9
W
54-47
54
47
+7
H17/10
Euroleague
Syntainics MBC
#11
L
35-40
35
40
-5
A19/10
BBL
Olympiacos
#2
L
32-43
32
43
-11
H25/10
Euroleague
Wurzburg
#5
L
28-33
28
33
-5
H27/10
BBL
Virtus Bologna
#17
W
40-33
40
33
+7
A29/10
Euroleague
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#15
W
43-33
43
33
+10
A01/11
Euroleague
Basketball Braunschweig
#3
W
41-35
41
35
+6
A03/11
BBL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#13
W
38-28
38
28
+10
H07/11
Euroleague
77.1Avg total
38.4Scored
38.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.538.478.9+2.063%-
Last 30 at home (14)42.538.180.6+4.479%-
Last 30 away (16)38.738.777.4+0.050%-
Last 10 (10)38.438.777.1-0.350%-
Last 5 (5)38.032.470.4+5.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)33.045.078.0-12.00%-
vs Similar (11)40.038.878.8+1.264%-
vs Weaker (16)41.736.978.6+4.875%-
This opponent (Fenerbahce) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Fenerbahcetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Fenerbahce: 71.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀41%
🏀🏀🏀41%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers29.6 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.4 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.4 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.0 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.914.8
47.9%
54.5%29.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.09.8
37.7%
36.2%29.4
🏀 Free throws15.612.4
79.5%
78.0%12.4
They take 56.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Bayerntheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bayern: 83.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.0 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.3 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.2 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.0 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.518.0
57.1%
54.5%36.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.510.1
35.4%
36.2%30.3
🏀 Free throws20.917.2
82.3%
78.0%17.2
They take 60.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 12 Nov 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Fenerbahce
WWLWWWLWWL
Bayern
WWWWWWLWLW
#1
League position
#7
+5.3
Net rating
+5.0
109.5
Offensive rating
116.6
104.2
Defensive rating
111.5
51.8%
Effective FG%
55.2%
48.9%
Opp. effective FG%
51.9%
18.9%
Turnover %
19.1%
36.6%
Off. rebound %
35.9%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.35
37.7%
3-point %
35.4%
64.2%
Assist %
60.9%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence109.5 · 116.6Defence104.2 · 111.5Shooting51.8% · 55.2%3-point %37.7% · 35.4%Ball care18.9% · 19.1%Off. rebounds36.6% · 35.9%Free throws0.27 · 0.35Form (last 10/10)70% · 80%
■ Fenerbahce   ■ Bayern
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Fenerbahce wins
3
Bayern wins
DateGameScore
11/01/24Fenerbahce v Bayern98-91 OT
27/10/23Bayern v Fenerbahce67-76
12/01/23Fenerbahce v Bayern79-71
06/10/22Bayern v Fenerbahce62-74
04/04/22Fenerbahce v Bayern81-76
16/11/21Bayern v Fenerbahce71-63
30/03/21Bayern v Fenerbahce68-77
16/10/20Fenerbahce v Bayern71-75
31/01/19Bayern v Fenerbahce90-86 OT
01/11/18Fenerbahce v Bayern88-84
Fenerbahcelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/11/24AManisa90-82
08/11/24ALyon-Villeurbanne77-73
03/11/24HPetkim Spor66-75
01/11/24HPartizan89-72
29/10/24HMaccabi Tel Aviv84-82
27/10/24ADarussafaka97-87
25/10/24HPanathinaikos76-81
20/10/24HBursaspor95-78
17/10/24AAlba Berlin78-71
15/10/24HCrvena zvezda57-76
Bayernlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/11/24HZalgiris Kaunas77-74
03/11/24ABasketball Braunschweig90-72
01/11/24ALyon-Villeurbanne84-71
29/10/24AVirtus Bologna87-84
27/10/24HWurzburg70-69
25/10/24HOlympiacos84-80
19/10/24ASyntainics MBC75-79
17/10/24HParis109-107
15/10/24APartizan78-86
13/10/24ABonn91-85

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Fenerbahce
Euroleague 2024
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW75%
HomeWLLWW60%
AwayWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games853
Win %75%60%100%
Points / game78.277.679.3
Allowed / game75.576.474.0
Point differential+2.8+1.2+5.3
Avg total153.8154.0153.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%40%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)50% (2)100% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Bayern
Euroleague 2024
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW75%
HomeWWWW100%
AwayLLWW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %75%100%50%
Points / game86.991.882.0
Allowed / game85.687.583.8
Point differential+1.2+4.2-1.8
Avg total172.5179.2165.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%0%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (4)100% (3)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Barcelona86275%86.480.8+5.6
2 Fenerbahce86275%78.275.5+2.8
3 Zalgiris Kaunas86275%74.972.1+2.8
4 Bayern86275%86.985.6+1.2
5 Olympiacos85362%83.978.1+5.8
6 Panathinaikos85362%86.280.6+5.6
7 Monaco85362%81.577.9+3.6
8 Paris85362%82.880.9+1.9
9 Crvena zvezda84450%81.679.5+2.1
10 Anadolu Efes84450%84.483.0+1.4
11 Baskonia84450%75.675.8-0.1
12 Real Madrid83538%82.882.5+0.2
13 Olimpia Milano83538%82.586.4-3.9
14 Maccabi Tel Aviv83538%80.184.1-4.0
15 Partizan82625%78.981.2-2.4
16 Virtus Bologna82625%79.183.4-4.2
17 Lyon-Villeurbanne82625%77.483.8-6.4
18 Alba Berlin81712%73.285.2-12.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Fenerbahce1322322087
Bayern219281876
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.