PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Fenerbahce vs Bayern Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 29 Sep 2026
Tip-off: 17:45
Final 100-76
31-15 19-16 25-20 25-25
Position#7
Record1-0
FormWWWWL
Points / game78.0
Allowed / game68.0
Fenerbahce 🏆
vs
Bayern
Position#18
Record1-0
FormLLWWW
Points / game86.0
Allowed / game84.0
EuropeEuroleagueRound 2· Ulker Spor ve Etkinlik Salonu
European cup2026
Meetings · Fenerbahce v Bayern
29 Sep 2026
FEN100
BAY76
16 Oct 2025
FEN88
BAY73
12 Nov 2024
FEN87
BAY76
11 Jan 2024
FEN98
BAY91
12 Jan 2023
FEN79
BAY71
04 Apr 2022
FEN81
BAY76
16 Oct 2020
FEN71
BAY75
01 Nov 2018
FEN88
BAY84
16 Oct 2015
FEN74
BAY67
19 Dec 2014
FEN87
BAY81
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Fenerbahce winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Bayern winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

FenerbahceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormFenerbahce
Date
Competition
Anadolu Efes
#4
W
60-59
60
59
+1
48avg 80
H01/06
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Anadolu Efes
#4
W
73-72
73
72
+1
62avg 80
H03/06
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Anadolu Efes
#4
L
93-102
93
102
-9
86avg 80
A05/06
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Anadolu Efes
#4
W
102-93 OT
102
93
+9
99avg 80
A07/06
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Besiktas
#2
L
80-88
80
88
-8
72avg 80
H13/06
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Besiktas
#2
W
93-68
93
68
+25
95avg 80
H15/06
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Besiktas
#2
W
82-71
82
71
+11
79avg 80
A17/06
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Besiktas
#2
W
77-75
77
75
+2
71avg 80
A19/06
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Virtus Bologna
#16
W
78-68
78
68
+10
77avg 80
H25/09
Euroleague
Bahcesehir Kol.
#1
L
83-98
83
98
-15
76avg 80
A27/09
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
6-21
15-13
15-17
24-8
16-18
16-29
24-11
17-14
26-29
24-20
17-27
26-26
25-24
19-25
19-18
24-20
16-27
26-16
19-19
19-26
23-18
27-19
22-14
21-17
19-23
24-17
21-18
18-13
16-20
24-25
16-15
21-15
23-17
16-21
20-17
19-13
16-28
27-23
22-23
18-24
161.5Avg total
82.1Scored
79.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)78.068.0146.0+10.0100%
Season at home (1)78.068.0146.0+10.0100%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)82.179.4161.5+2.770%
Last 5 (5)82.676.0158.6+6.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)61.079.0140.0-18.00%
vs Similar (20)83.382.4165.8+0.955%
vs Weaker ◀ (9)85.077.8162.8+7.278%
This opponent (Bayern) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BayernLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBayern
Date
Competition
Bonn
#4
W
91-69
91
69
+22
88avg 80
H01/06
BBL
Bonn
#4
W
77-57
77
57
+20
76avg 80
A04/06
BBL
Alba Berlin
#3
W
102-94
102
94
+8
100avg 80
H12/06
BBL
Alba Berlin
#3
L
79-86
79
86
-7
68avg 80
H14/06
BBL
Alba Berlin
#3
W
91-83
91
83
+8
80avg 80
A17/06
BBL
Alba Berlin
#3
L
61-71
61
71
-10
47avg 80
A19/06
BBL
Alba Berlin
#3
L
81-84
81
84
-3
72avg 80
H21/06
BBL
Bamberg
#10
W
108-72
108
72
+36
106avg 80
H20/09
BBL
Hapoel Tel-Aviv
#10
W
86-84
86
84
+2
82avg 80
A24/09
Euroleague
Alba Berlin
#8
W
95-61
95
61
+34
95avg 80
H26/09
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-15
27-12
20-27
21-15
19-17
18-8
24-21
16-11
27-27
31-28
21-21
23-18
18-24
27-16
15-24
19-22
25-24
18-16
18-20
30-23
23-26
22-16
9-16
7-13
25-20
22-7
19-26
15-31
30-13
25-15
28-22
25-22
16-21
28-18
24-18
18-27
22-12
18-12
26-18
29-19
163.2Avg total
87.1Scored
76.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)86.084.0170.0+2.0100%
Season at homeno games
Season away (1)86.084.0170.0+2.0100%
Last 10 (10)87.176.1163.2+11.070%
Last 5 (5)86.274.4160.6+11.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)85.580.0165.5+5.5100%
vs Similar (3)82.786.3169.0-3.767%
vs Weaker (25)88.676.2164.8+12.480%
This opponent (Fenerbahce) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-11-6+0+6+11Q1Q1: -3.9-3.9Q1: +2.9+2.9Q2Q2: +1.0+1.0Q2: +8.8+8.8Q3Q3: +1.6+1.6Q3: -0.9-0.9Q4Q4: +3.1+3.1Q4: +0.2+0.2
-11-6+0+6+11Q1Q1: -3.9-3.9Q1: +2.9+2.9Q2Q2: +1.0+1.0Q2: +8.8+8.8Q3Q3: +1.6+1.6Q3: -0.9-0.9Q4Q4: +3.1+3.1Q4: +0.2+0.2
FenerbahceBayern
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
FenerbahceLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Anadolu Efes
#4
L
21-34
21
34
-13
H01/06
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Anadolu Efes
#4
L
32-47
32
47
-15
H03/06
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Anadolu Efes
#4
W
50-49
50
49
+1
A05/06
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Anadolu Efes
#4
L
44-49
44
49
-5
A07/06
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Besiktas
#2
L
42-43
42
43
-1
H13/06
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Besiktas
#2
W
50-37
50
37
+13
H15/06
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Besiktas
#2
W
43-40
43
40
+3
A17/06
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Besiktas
#2
L
40-45
40
45
-5
A19/06
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Virtus Bologna
#16
W
39-38
39
38
+1
H25/09
Euroleague
Bahcesehir Kol.
#1
L
43-51
43
51
-8
A27/09
Basketbol Süper Ligi
83.7Avg total
40.4Scored
43.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.941.283.1+0.853%-
Last 30 at home (13)40.438.779.1+1.754%-
Last 30 away (17)43.143.186.2+0.153%-
Last 10 (10)40.443.383.7-2.940%-
Last 5 (5)43.042.285.2+0.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)24.033.057.0-9.00%-
vs Similar (20)41.643.084.7-1.445%-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)44.638.082.6+6.678%-
This opponent (Bayern) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BayernLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bonn
#4
W
50-27
50
27
+23
H01/06
BBL
Bonn
#4
W
37-25
37
25
+12
A04/06
BBL
Alba Berlin
#3
W
58-55
58
55
+3
H12/06
BBL
Alba Berlin
#3
W
45-40
45
40
+5
H14/06
BBL
Alba Berlin
#3
W
43-40
43
40
+3
A17/06
BBL
Alba Berlin
#3
W
45-42
45
42
+3
A19/06
BBL
Alba Berlin
#3
W
47-27
47
27
+20
H21/06
BBL
Bamberg
#10
W
55-28
55
28
+27
H20/09
BBL
Hapoel Tel-Aviv
#10
W
44-39
44
39
+5
A24/09
Euroleague
Alba Berlin
#8
W
40-24
40
24
+16
H26/09
BBL
81.1Avg total
46.4Scored
34.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.737.482.1+7.377%-
Last 30 at home (17)44.936.080.9+8.988%-
Last 30 away (13)44.539.283.8+5.362%-
Last 10 (10)46.434.781.1+11.7100%-
Last 5 (5)46.232.078.2+14.2100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)43.534.578.0+9.0100%-
vs Similar (3)42.039.781.7+2.333%-
vs Weaker (25)45.237.482.5+7.880%-
This opponent (Fenerbahce) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Fenerbahcetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Fenerbahce: 82.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀24%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.4 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.1 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.6 pts a game · 24% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.8 points a game
49%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.818.2
55.5%
55.2%36.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.18.7
32.1%
35.7%26.1
🏀 Free throws25.919.6
75.7%
77.1%19.6
They take 59.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Bayerntheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bayern: 87.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.2 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.0 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.8 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.8 points a game
49%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.521.1
56.3%
55.2%42.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.910.0
35.8%
35.7%30.0
🏀 Free throws19.914.8
74.4%
77.1%14.8
They take 65.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 29 Sep 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Fenerbahce
LWWWWLWLWW
Bayern
WWWLLWLWWW
#7
League position
#18
+3.3
Net rating
+12.9
100.9
Offensive rating
100.5
97.5
Defensive rating
87.5
52.2%
Effective FG%
55.2%
52.1%
Opp. effective FG%
49.4%
13.7%
Turnover %
14.3%
0.43
Free-throw rate
0.30
32.1%
3-point %
35.8%
59.1%
Assist %
57.2%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence100.9 · 100.5Defence97.5 · 87.5Shooting52.2% · 55.2%3-point %32.1% · 35.8%Ball care13.7% · 14.3%Free throws0.43 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)70% · 70%
■ Fenerbahce   ■ Bayern
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
8
Fenerbahce wins
2
Bayern wins
DateGameScore
01/04/26Bayern v Fenerbahce85-76
16/10/25Fenerbahce v Bayern88-73
10/04/25Bayern v Fenerbahce77-89
12/11/24Fenerbahce v Bayern87-76
11/01/24Fenerbahce v Bayern98-91 OT
27/10/23Bayern v Fenerbahce67-76
12/01/23Fenerbahce v Bayern79-71
06/10/22Bayern v Fenerbahce62-74
04/04/22Fenerbahce v Bayern81-76
16/11/21Bayern v Fenerbahce71-63
Fenerbahcelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/09/26ABahcesehir Kol.83-98
25/09/26HVirtus Bologna78-68
19/06/26ABesiktas77-75
17/06/26ABesiktas82-71
15/06/26HBesiktas93-68
13/06/26HBesiktas80-88
07/06/26AAnadolu Efes102-93 OT
05/06/26AAnadolu Efes93-102
03/06/26HAnadolu Efes73-72
01/06/26HAnadolu Efes60-59
Bayernlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/09/26HAlba Berlin95-61
24/09/26AHapoel Tel-Aviv86-84
20/09/26HBamberg108-72
21/06/26HAlba Berlin81-84
19/06/26AAlba Berlin61-71
17/06/26AAlba Berlin91-83
14/06/26HAlba Berlin79-86
12/06/26HAlba Berlin102-94
04/06/26ABonn77-57
01/06/26HBonn91-69

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Fenerbahce
Euroleague 2026
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallW100%
HomeW100%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games11-
Win %100%100%-
Points / game78.078.0-
Allowed / game68.068.0-
Point differential+10.0+10.0-
Avg total146.0146.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%100%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
Bayern
Euroleague 2026
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallW100%
Home--
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1-1
Win %100%-100%
Points / game86.0-86.0
Allowed / game84.0-84.0
Point differential+2.0-+2.0
Avg total170.0-170.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%-0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%-0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Panathinaikos110100%91.072.0+19.0
2 Partizan110100%92.076.0+16.0
3 Fenerbahce110100%78.068.0+10.0
4 Lyon-Villeurbanne110100%84.074.0+10.0
5 Olympiacos220100%99.590.0+9.5
6 Dubai220100%86.082.0+4.0
7 Bayern110100%86.084.0+2.0
8 Valencia110100%96.094.0+2.0
9 Zalgiris Kaunas21150%87.085.0+2.0
10 Anadolu Efes21150%88.086.5+1.5
11 Barcelona21150%88.088.0+0.0
12 Besiktas1010%94.096.0-2.0
13 Hapoel Tel-Aviv1010%84.086.0-2.0
14 Real Madrid2020%80.586.0-5.5
15 Crvena zvezda1010%77.083.0-6.0
16 Maccabi Tel Aviv1010%74.084.0-10.0
17 Virtus Bologna1010%68.078.0-10.0
18 Olimpia Milano1010%76.092.0-16.0
19 Baskonia1010%89.0106.0-17.0
20 Paris1010%72.091.0-19.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Fenerbahce31192525100
Bayern1516202576
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.