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Fenerbahce vs Bayern Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 16 Oct 2025
Tip-off: 17:45
Final 88-73
14-20 23-12 25-14 26-27
Position#4
Record1-3
FormLWLWL
Points / game81.8
Allowed / game85.0
vs
Position#14
Record2-2
FormWWLWW
Points / game77.5
Allowed / game81.5
EuropeEuroleagueRound 5· Ülker Sports Arena
European cup2025
Meetings · Fenerbahce v Bayern
29 Sep 2026
FEN100
BAY76
16 Oct 2025
FEN88
BAY73
12 Nov 2024
FEN87
BAY76
11 Jan 2024
FEN98
BAY91
12 Jan 2023
FEN79
BAY71
04 Apr 2022
FEN81
BAY76
16 Oct 2020
FEN71
BAY75
01 Nov 2018
FEN88
BAY84
16 Oct 2015
FEN74
BAY67
19 Dec 2014
FEN87
BAY81
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Fenerbahce winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Bayern winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

FenerbahceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormFenerbahce
Date
Competition
Besiktas
#3
W
91-87
91
87
+4
81avg 81
A23/06
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Besiktas
#3
W
84-68
84
68
+16
79avg 81
H25/06
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Besiktas
#2
W
85-83
85
83
+2
80avg 81
H24/09
Super Cup
Tofas
#9
L
78-80
78
80
-2
63avg 81
A27/09
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Paris
#16
W
96-77
96
77
+19
96avg 81
H01/10
Euroleague
Zalgiris Kaunas
#5
L
81-84
81
84
-3
68avg 81
A03/10
Euroleague
Petkim Spor
#14
W
105-83
105
83
+22
106avg 81
H06/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Crvena zvezda
#9
L
81-86
81
86
-5
75avg 81
H10/10
Euroleague
Karsiyaka
#15
W
87-73
87
73
+14
84avg 81
H12/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Dubai
#11
L
69-93
69
93
-24
59avg 81
H14/10
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-22
23-23
19-20
23-22
21-18
27-22
21-14
15-14
25-13
18-21
24-16
18-33
18-18
21-25
22-15
17-22
25-19
18-21
27-19
26-18
20-29
17-14
16-22
28-19
31-27
29-14
22-25
23-17
17-25
13-18
18-13
33-30
27-15
16-23
22-12
22-23
20-25
11-21
17-25
21-22
167.1Avg total
85.7Scored
81.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)81.885.0166.8-3.225%
Season at home (3)82.085.3167.3-3.333%
Season away (1)81.084.0165.0-3.00%
Last 10 (10)85.781.4167.1+4.360%
Last 5 (5)84.683.8168.4+0.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (15)83.580.1163.5+3.467%
vs Weaker ◀ (14)88.179.7167.8+8.479%
This opponent (Bayern) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BayernLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBayern
Date
Competition
Ulm
#2
L
79-81
79
81
-2
75avg 80
H21/06
BBL
Ulm
#2
W
67-53
67
53
+14
62avg 80
A24/06
BBL
Ulm
#2
W
81-77
81
77
+4
79avg 80
H26/06
BBL
Jena
#16
W
93-77
93
77
+16
91avg 80
H26/09
BBL
Panathinaikos
#7
L
79-87
79
87
-8
74avg 80
A30/09
Euroleague
Crvena zvezda
#9
W
97-88
97
88
+9
91avg 80
H02/10
Euroleague
Hamburg
#14
W
96-79
96
79
+17
90avg 80
H05/10
BBL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#5
L
70-98
70
98
-28
60avg 80
H10/10
Euroleague
Bamberg
#2
W
96-81
96
81
+15
100avg 80
H12/10
BBL
Olimpia Milano
#13
W
64-53
64
53
+11
57avg 80
H14/10
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-17
22-20
20-22
17-22
19-13
13-19
17-12
18-9
28-21
20-20
17-20
16-16
21-23
27-24
22-15
23-15
22-23
19-24
20-21
18-19
24-28
26-27
27-16
20-17
30-17
17-18
26-26
23-18
20-26
13-19
24-23
13-30
32-13
20-29
20-21
24-18
16-14
12-19
18-7
18-13
159.6Avg total
82.2Scored
77.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)77.581.5159.0-4.050%
Season at home (3)77.079.7156.7-2.767%
Season away (1)79.087.0166.0-8.00%
Last 10 (10)82.277.4159.6+4.870%
Last 5 (5)84.679.8164.4+4.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)75.391.3166.7-16.00%
vs Similar (10)79.679.2158.8+0.460%
vs Weaker (17)88.276.4164.6+11.988%
This opponent (Fenerbahce) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +1.9+1.9Q1: +3.7+3.7Q2Q2: -0.9-0.9Q2: -3.0-3.0Q3Q3: +2.7+2.7Q3: +2.8+2.8Q4Q4: +0.6+0.6Q4: +1.3+1.3
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +1.9+1.9Q1: +3.7+3.7Q2Q2: -0.9-0.9Q2: -3.0-3.0Q3Q3: +2.7+2.7Q3: +2.8+2.8Q4Q4: +0.6+0.6Q4: +1.3+1.3
FenerbahceBayern
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
FenerbahceLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Besiktas
#3
W
49-45
49
45
+4
A23/06
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Besiktas
#3
W
48-40
48
40
+8
H25/06
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Besiktas
#2
W
43-34
43
34
+9
H24/09
Super Cup
Tofas
#9
L
39-43
39
43
-4
A27/09
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Paris
#16
W
43-40
43
40
+3
H01/10
Euroleague
Zalgiris Kaunas
#5
L
37-43
37
43
-6
A03/10
Euroleague
Petkim Spor
#14
W
60-41
60
41
+19
H06/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Crvena zvezda
#9
L
30-43
30
43
-13
H10/10
Euroleague
Karsiyaka
#15
W
43-38
43
38
+5
H12/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Dubai
#11
L
31-46
31
46
-15
H14/10
Euroleague
83.6Avg total
42.3Scored
41.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.739.683.2+4.170%-
Last 30 at home (19)46.338.584.7+7.879%-
Last 30 away (11)39.241.580.6-2.355%-
Last 10 (10)42.341.383.6+1.060%-
Last 5 (5)40.242.282.4-2.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (15)41.939.581.5+2.473%-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)45.640.085.6+5.664%-
This opponent (Bayern) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BayernLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ulm
#2
W
42-37
42
37
+5
H21/06
BBL
Ulm
#2
D
32-32
32
32
+0
A24/06
BBL
Ulm
#2
W
48-41
48
41
+7
H26/06
BBL
Jena
#16
W
48-47
48
47
+1
H26/09
BBL
Panathinaikos
#7
L
41-47
41
47
-6
A30/09
Euroleague
Crvena zvezda
#9
L
50-55
50
55
-5
H02/10
Euroleague
Hamburg
#14
W
47-35
47
35
+12
H05/10
BBL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#5
L
33-45
33
45
-12
H10/10
Euroleague
Bamberg
#2
W
52-42
52
42
+10
H12/10
BBL
Olimpia Milano
#13
L
28-33
28
33
-5
H14/10
Euroleague
83.5Avg total
42.1Scored
41.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.241.382.5-0.157%-
Last 30 at home (19)42.041.683.6+0.463%-
Last 30 away (11)39.740.780.5-1.045%-
Last 10 (10)42.141.483.5+0.750%-
Last 5 (5)42.042.084.0+0.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)35.046.081.0-11.00%-
vs Similar (10)39.742.482.1-2.740%-
vs Weaker (17)43.139.882.9+3.376%-
This opponent (Fenerbahce) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Fenerbahcetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Fenerbahce: 84.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.0 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.9 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.2 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 75.0 points a game
48%
38%
14%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.818.5
53.2%
60.4%37.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.510.3
37.5%
35.9%30.9
🏀 Free throws21.016.2
77.1%
78.2%16.2
They take 62.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 47%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Bayerntheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bayern: 81.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.6 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.0 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.2 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 75.0 points a game
48%
38%
14%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.919.3
56.9%
60.4%38.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.510.0
35.1%
35.9%30.0
🏀 Free throws17.113.2
77.2%
78.2%13.2
They take 62.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 47%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 16 Oct 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Fenerbahce
LWLWLWLWWW
Bayern
WWLWWLWWWL
#4
League position
#14
+6.3
Net rating
+8.1
116.0
Offensive rating
114.5
109.7
Defensive rating
106.4
54.5%
Effective FG%
55.0%
52.7%
Opp. effective FG%
50.6%
17.2%
Turnover %
17.2%
34.3%
Off. rebound %
32.3%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.27
37.5%
3-point %
35.1%
58.7%
Assist %
65.2%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence116.0 · 114.5Defence109.7 · 106.4Shooting54.5% · 55.0%3-point %37.5% · 35.1%Ball care17.2% · 17.2%Off. rebounds34.3% · 32.3%Free throws0.34 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)60% · 70%
■ Fenerbahce   ■ Bayern
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
8
Fenerbahce wins
2
Bayern wins
DateGameScore
10/04/25Bayern v Fenerbahce77-89
12/11/24Fenerbahce v Bayern87-76
11/01/24Fenerbahce v Bayern98-91 OT
27/10/23Bayern v Fenerbahce67-76
12/01/23Fenerbahce v Bayern79-71
06/10/22Bayern v Fenerbahce62-74
04/04/22Fenerbahce v Bayern81-76
16/11/21Bayern v Fenerbahce71-63
30/03/21Bayern v Fenerbahce68-77
16/10/20Fenerbahce v Bayern71-75
Fenerbahcelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/10/25HDubai69-93
12/10/25HKarsiyaka87-73
10/10/25HCrvena zvezda81-86
06/10/25HPetkim Spor105-83
03/10/25AZalgiris Kaunas81-84
01/10/25HParis96-77
27/09/25ATofas78-80
24/09/25HBesiktas85-83
25/06/25HBesiktas84-68
23/06/25ABesiktas91-87
Bayernlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/10/25HOlimpia Milano64-53
12/10/25HBamberg96-81
10/10/25HZalgiris Kaunas70-98
05/10/25HHamburg96-79
02/10/25HCrvena zvezda97-88
30/09/25APanathinaikos79-87
26/09/25HJena93-77
26/06/25HUlm81-77
24/06/25AUlm67-53
21/06/25HUlm79-81

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Fenerbahce
Euroleague 2025
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLL25%
HomeWLL33%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games431
Win %25%33%0%
Points / game81.882.081.0
Allowed / game85.085.384.0
Point differential-3.2-3.3-3.0
Avg total166.8167.3165.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Bayern
Euroleague 2025
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLW50%
HomeWLW67%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games431
Win %50%67%0%
Points / game77.577.079.0
Allowed / game81.579.787.0
Point differential-4.0-2.7-8.0
Avg total159.0156.7166.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Real Madrid43175%83.877.2+6.5
2 Paris43175%93.289.0+4.2
3 Hapoel Tel-Aviv43175%95.091.0+4.0
4 Panathinaikos43175%90.087.8+2.2
5 Zalgiris Kaunas53260%85.682.4+3.2
6 Barcelona53260%93.691.0+2.6
7 Dubai53260%82.682.4+0.2
8 Monaco42250%85.581.5+4.0
9 Olympiacos42250%85.883.5+2.2
10 Anadolu Efes42250%83.884.0-0.2
11 Valencia42250%94.594.8-0.2
12 Crvena zvezda42250%86.087.2-1.2
13 Virtus Bologna42250%81.083.5-2.5
14 Partizan42250%83.886.8-3.0
15 Bayern42250%77.581.5-4.0
16 Olimpia Milano52340%78.277.2+1.0
17 Fenerbahce41325%81.885.0-3.2
18 Lyon-Villeurbanne41325%84.087.8-3.8
19 Maccabi Tel Aviv41325%86.592.0-5.5
20 Baskonia4040%90.598.8-8.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Fenerbahce1423252688
Bayern2012142773
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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