Crvena zvezda vs Real Madrid Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 27 Nov 2015

Tip-off: 19:00

Final 94-88

28-18 18-25 20-24 28-21

Position#13

Record2-4

FormWWLLW

Points / game71.7

Allowed / game79.8

Crvena zvezda 🏆

Real Madrid

Position#12

Record2-4

FormWLWLW

Points / game83.8

Allowed / game84.8

EuroleagueRound 7

European cup2015

Meetings · Crvena zvezda v Real Madrid

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Crvena zvezda winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Real Madrid winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Crvena zvezdaLast 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Real Madrid

#12

71-98

-27

A22/10

Euroleague

KK Metalac

#12

68-62

A26/10

ABA League

Khimki M.

#10

53-91

-38

A30/10

Euroleague

Partizan

92-77

+15

H03/11

ABA League

Fenerbahce

60-74

-14

H06/11

Euroleague

MZT Skopje

#10

71-66

A09/11

ABA League

Bayern

#14

90-79

+11

A12/11

Euroleague

Igokea

81-87

-6

H15/11

ABA League

Strasbourg

#20

75-78

-3

A19/11

Euroleague

Sutjeska

#13

70-62

A23/11

ABA League

6-22

14-34

21-26

30-16

16-14

19-17

16-13

17-18

17-22

13-29

9-20

14-20

13-24

32-16

23-20

24-17

19-25

12-20

11-14

18-15

20-20

20-9

14-16

17-21

19-19

19-24

25-23

27-13

27-18

21-23

15-17

18-29

30-19

22-15

12-22

11-22

16-17

20-15

13-15

21-15

150.5Avg total

73.1Scored

77.4Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (6)	71.7	79.8	151.5	-8.2	33%
Season at home (2)	70.5	66.5	137.0	+4.0	50%
Season away (4)	72.2	86.5	158.8	-14.2	25%
Last 10 (10)	73.1	77.4	150.5	-4.3	50%
Last 5 (5)	77.4	74.4	151.8	+3.0	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	56.5	82.5	139.0	-26.0	0%
vs Similar ◀ (3)	81.3	79.7	161.0	+1.7	67%
vs Weaker (25)	81.8	71.4	153.2	+10.4	80%

This opponent (Real Madrid) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Real MadridLast 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Crvena zvezda

#13

98-71

+27

H22/10

Euroleague

Tenerife

#10

112-89

112

+23

H25/10

ACB

Fenerbahce

66-77

-11

A30/10

Euroleague

Tecnyconta Zaragoza

#12

88-80

A01/11

ACB

Bayern

#14

101-99

101

H05/11

Euroleague

Estudiantes

#17

80-75

A08/11

ACB

Strasbourg

#20

86-93

-7

A13/11

Euroleague

Manresa

#16

106-68

106

+38

H15/11

ACB

Khimki M.

#10

82-85

-3

H18/11

Euroleague

Joventut Badalona

#13

79-69

+10

A22/11

ACB

22-6

34-14

26-21

16-30

26-18

28-22

29-23

29-26

18-20

14-19

24-24

10-14

17-17

23-23

24-16

24-24

33-20

18-31

22-30

28-18

15-19

25-14

19-18

21-24

25-24

19-27

23-15

29-15

22-17

28-20

27-16

22-24

20-20

21-22

19-19

19-12

17-12

25-20

18-25

170.4Avg total

89.8Scored

80.6Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (6)	83.8	84.8	168.7	-1.0	33%
Season at home (3)	93.7	85.0	178.7	+8.7	67%
Season away (3)	74.0	84.7	158.7	-10.7	0%
Last 10 (10)	89.8	80.6	170.4	+9.2	70%
Last 5 (5)	86.6	78.0	164.6	+8.6	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	66.0	77.0	143.0	-11.0	0%
vs Similar ◀ (8)	87.5	83.8	171.2	+3.8	62%
vs Weaker (20)	90.2	81.0	171.2	+9.2	75%

This opponent (Crvena zvezda) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

Crvena zvezdaReal Madrid

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.6	18.4	38.0	+1.2	57%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.9	18.6	40.5	+3.3	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	17.3	18.1	35.4	-0.9	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.3	20.0	38.3	-1.7	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.4	18.6	41.0	+3.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	18.0	23.5	41.5	-5.5	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (3)	16.0	20.3	36.3	-4.3	33%	-
vs Weaker (25)	20.2	17.7	37.9	+2.4	64%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.1	18.8	40.8	+3.3	57%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	24.3	17.9	42.2	+6.4	75%	-
Last 30 away (14)	19.5	19.8	39.3	-0.3	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.6	17.5	40.1	+5.1	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.0	18.8	40.8	+3.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	18.0	20.0	38.0	-2.0	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (8)	23.1	18.0	41.1	+5.1	50%	-
vs Weaker (20)	22.1	19.1	41.2	+3.0	65%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.0	18.4	38.5	+1.6	57%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.6	17.0	37.6	+3.6	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.5	19.9	39.3	-0.4	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.2	20.2	39.4	-1.0	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.4	17.2	37.6	+3.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	12.5	24.5	37.0	-12.0	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (3)	16.3	25.0	41.3	-8.7	0%	-
vs Weaker (25)	21.1	17.2	38.2	+3.9	68%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.4	20.1	41.5	+1.3	43%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	21.9	20.3	42.2	+1.6	44%	-
Last 30 away (14)	20.9	19.9	40.7	+1.0	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.0	19.9	41.9	+2.1	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.6	18.0	38.6	+2.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	14.0	19.0	33.0	-5.0	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (8)	21.9	21.1	43.0	+0.8	25%	-
vs Weaker (20)	21.7	19.3	41.0	+2.4	55%	-

Crvena zvezdaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Real Madrid

#12

20-56

-36

A22/10

Euroleague

KK Metalac

#12

35-31

A26/10

ABA League

Khimki M.

#10

30-51

-21

A30/10

Euroleague

Partizan

45-40

H03/11

ABA League

Fenerbahce

31-45

-14

H06/11

Euroleague

MZT Skopje

#10

40-29

+11

A09/11

ABA League

Bayern

#14

38-43

-5

A12/11

Euroleague

Igokea

48-41

H15/11

ABA League

Strasbourg

#20

52-34

+18

A19/11

Euroleague

Sutjeska

#13

36-32

A23/11

ABA League

77.7Avg total

37.5Scored

40.2Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.6	36.8	76.4	+2.8	70%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	42.5	35.6	78.1	+6.9	80%	-
Last 30 away (15)	36.7	38.0	74.7	-1.3	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	37.5	40.2	77.7	-2.7	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	42.8	35.8	78.6	+7.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	30.5	48.0	78.5	-17.5	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (3)	32.3	45.3	77.7	-13.0	33%	-
vs Weaker (25)	41.2	34.9	76.1	+6.4	80%	-

This opponent (Real Madrid) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Real MadridLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Crvena zvezda

#13

56-20

+36

H22/10

Euroleague

Tenerife

#10

54-40

+14

H25/10

ACB

Fenerbahce

32-39

-7

A30/10

Euroleague

Tecnyconta Zaragoza

#12

40-40

A01/11

ACB

Bayern

#14

51-51

H05/11

Euroleague

Estudiantes

#17

40-33

A08/11

ACB

Strasbourg

#20

44-51

-7

A13/11

Euroleague

Manresa

#16

51-32

+19

H15/11

ACB

Khimki M.

#10

42-44

-2

H18/11

Euroleague

Joventut Badalona

#13

36-24

+12

A22/11

ACB

82.0Avg total

44.6Scored

37.4Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	43.5	38.9	82.4	+4.6	57%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	46.2	38.2	84.4	+8.1	69%	-
Last 30 away (14)	40.4	39.6	80.0	+0.7	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	44.6	37.4	82.0	+7.2	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	42.6	36.8	79.4	+5.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	32.0	39.0	71.0	-7.0	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (8)	45.0	39.1	84.1	+5.9	50%	-
vs Weaker (20)	43.8	38.4	82.2	+5.4	65%	-

This opponent (Crvena zvezda) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.4	17.2	36.7	+2.2	60%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.3	14.7	35.1	+5.6	80%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.5	19.7	38.3	-1.2	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	15.9	18.6	34.5	-2.7	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	15.8	18.6	34.4	-2.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	10.0	17.0	27.0	-7.0	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (3)	22.0	18.7	40.7	+3.3	67%	-
vs Weaker (25)	19.9	17.1	37.0	+2.8	64%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.9	21.4	43.4	+0.5	50%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	22.4	21.0	43.4	+1.4	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	21.4	21.9	43.4	-0.5	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.7	22.1	45.8	+1.6	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.4	21.4	43.8	+1.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	24.0	24.0	48.0	+0.0	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (8)	20.9	22.9	43.8	-2.0	38%	-
vs Weaker (20)	22.6	20.5	43.1	+2.1	60%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.0	18.9	40.0	+2.1	63%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	22.3	20.7	43.0	+1.7	73%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.7	17.2	36.9	+2.5	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.7	18.6	38.3	+1.1	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.8	20.0	38.8	-1.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	16.0	17.5	33.5	-1.5	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (3)	27.0	15.7	42.7	+11.3	100%	-
vs Weaker (25)	20.7	19.4	40.2	+1.3	60%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.3	21.3	43.7	+1.0	47%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	22.6	21.3	43.9	+1.2	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	22.1	21.4	43.4	+0.7	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.5	21.1	42.6	+0.4	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.6	19.8	41.4	+1.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	10.0	14.0	24.0	-4.0	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (8)	21.6	21.8	43.4	-0.1	38%	-
vs Weaker (20)	23.0	21.5	44.5	+1.5	50%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.5	36.2	76.6	+4.3	73%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	42.7	35.4	78.1	+7.3	80%	-
Last 30 away (15)	38.3	36.9	75.2	+1.3	67%	-
Last 10 (10)	35.6	37.2	72.8	-1.6	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	34.6	38.6	73.2	-4.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	26.0	34.5	60.5	-8.5	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (3)	49.0	34.3	83.3	+14.7	100%	-
vs Weaker (25)	40.6	36.5	77.1	+4.1	76%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	44.3	42.8	87.0	+1.5	53%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	44.9	42.3	87.2	+2.6	62%	-
Last 30 away (14)	43.5	43.3	86.8	+0.2	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	45.2	43.2	88.4	+2.0	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	44.0	41.2	85.2	+2.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	34.0	38.0	72.0	-4.0	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (8)	42.5	44.6	87.1	-2.1	38%	-
vs Weaker (20)	45.6	42.0	87.6	+3.6	65%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Crvena zvezda wins

Real Madrid wins

Date	Game	Score
22/10/15	Real Madrid v Crvena zvezda	98-71
26/02/15	Real Madrid v Crvena zvezda	85-61
02/01/15	Crvena zvezda v Real Madrid	72-79

Crvena zvezdalast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
23/11/15	A	Sutjeska	70-62
19/11/15	A	Strasbourg	75-78
15/11/15	H	Igokea	81-87
12/11/15	A	Bayern	90-79
09/11/15	A	MZT Skopje	71-66
06/11/15	H	Fenerbahce	60-74
03/11/15	H	Partizan	92-77
30/10/15	A	Khimki M.	53-91
26/10/15	A	KK Metalac	68-62
22/10/15	A	Real Madrid	71-98

Real Madridlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
22/11/15	A	Joventut Badalona	79-69
18/11/15	H	Khimki M.	82-85
15/11/15	H	Manresa	106-68
13/11/15	A	Strasbourg	86-93
08/11/15	A	Estudiantes	80-75
05/11/15	H	Bayern	101-99
01/11/15	A	Tecnyconta Zaragoza	88-80
30/10/15	A	Fenerbahce	66-77
25/10/15	H	Tenerife	112-89
22/10/15	H	Crvena zvezda	98-71

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Crvena zvezda

Euroleague 2015

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLLWL	33%
Home	WL	50%
Away	LLWL	25%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	6	2	4
Win %	33%	50%	25%
Points / game	71.7	70.5	72.2
Allowed / game	79.8	66.5	86.5
Point differential	-8.2	+4.0	-14.2
Avg total	151.5	137.0	158.8
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	33%	50%	25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	0% (1)	-	0% (1)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Real Madrid

Euroleague 2015

Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLWLL	33%
Home	WWL	67%
Away	LLL	0%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	6	3	3
Win %	33%	67%	0%
Points / game	83.8	93.7	74.0
Allowed / game	84.8	85.0	84.7
Point differential	-1.0	+8.7	-10.7
Avg total	168.7	178.7	158.7
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	17%	33%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	50% (2)	50% (2)	-
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Barcelona	7	6	1	86%	82.0	69.1	+12.9
2	CSKA Moscow	7	6	1	86%	89.9	79.1	+10.7
3	Lokomotiv Kuban	7	6	1	86%	76.7	66.4	+10.3
4	Olympiacos	7	6	1	86%	77.7	68.7	+9.0
5	Fenerbahce	7	6	1	86%	78.3	71.1	+7.1
6	Unicaja	7	6	1	86%	78.7	71.9	+6.9
7	Bamberg	6	4	2	67%	79.0	71.2	+7.8
8	Khimki M.	7	4	3	57%	80.1	72.1	+8.0
9	Baskonia	7	4	3	57%	83.4	77.9	+5.6
10	Cedevita	7	4	3	57%	74.7	74.6	+0.1
11	Darussafaka	6	3	3	50%	75.8	75.7	+0.2
12	Anadolu Efes	7	3	4	43%	86.6	82.3	+4.3
13	Panathinaikos	7	3	4	43%	72.3	71.6	+0.7
14	Bayern	7	3	4	43%	76.9	77.1	-0.3
15	Strasbourg	7	3	4	43%	72.6	79.6	-7.0
16	Zalgiris Kaunas	7	3	4	43%	65.6	73.7	-8.1
17	Real Madrid	6	2	4	33%	83.8	84.8	-1.0
18	Crvena zvezda	6	2	4	33%	71.7	79.8	-8.2
19	Karsiyaka	7	2	5	29%	69.3	75.6	-6.3
20	Olimpia Milano	7	2	5	29%	74.3	80.7	-6.4
21	Limoges	7	2	5	29%	71.1	83.7	-12.6
22	Zielona Gora	7	1	6	14%	66.6	76.0	-9.4
23	Maccabi Tel Aviv	7	1	6	14%	74.1	83.9	-9.7
24	Sassari	7	0	7	0%	71.0	85.7	-14.7

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 24 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Crvena zvezda	28	18	20	28	94
Real Madrid	18	25	24	21	88

← all games of the day

Crvena zvezda vs Real Madrid Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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