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Fenerbahce vs Crvena zvezda Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 10 Oct 2025
Tip-off: 17:45
Final 81-86
17-25 13-18 18-13 33-30
Position#4
Record1-1
FormWLWLW
Points / game88.5
Allowed / game80.5
vs
Position#9
Record0-2
FormLWLLL
Points / game85.0
Allowed / game94.5
EuropeEuroleagueRound 3· Ülker Sports Arena
European cup2025
Meetings · Fenerbahce v Crvena zvezda
03 Dec 2026
FEN v CZV
upcoming
10 Oct 2025
FEN81
CZV86
15 Oct 2024
FEN57
CZV76
02 Jan 2024
FEN76
CZV85
10 Nov 2022
FEN93
CZV79
01 Oct 2021
FEN61
CZV57
02 Oct 2020
FEN77
CZV63
19 Dec 2017
FEN82
CZV56
08 Dec 2016
FEN87
CZV72
04 Mar 2016
FEN72
CZV65
11 Dec 2015
FEN79
CZV61
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Fenerbahce winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Crvena zvezda winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

FenerbahceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormFenerbahce
Date
Competition
Besiktas
#3
W
94-76
94
76
+18
95avg 81
H17/06
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Besiktas
#3
W
84-76
84
76
+8
82avg 81
H19/06
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Besiktas
#3
L
77-98
77
98
-21
66avg 81
A21/06
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Besiktas
#3
W
91-87
91
87
+4
81avg 81
A23/06
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Besiktas
#3
W
84-68
84
68
+16
79avg 81
H25/06
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Besiktas
#2
W
85-83
85
83
+2
80avg 81
H24/09
Super Cup
Tofas
#9
L
78-80
78
80
-2
63avg 81
A27/09
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Paris
#16
W
96-77
96
77
+19
96avg 81
H01/10
Euroleague
Zalgiris Kaunas
#5
L
81-84
81
84
-3
68avg 81
A03/10
Euroleague
Petkim Spor
#14
W
105-83
105
83
+22
106avg 81
H06/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-16
28-18
23-18
21-24
28-18
20-16
20-21
16-21
9-22
22-28
25-22
21-26
26-22
23-23
19-20
23-22
21-18
27-22
21-14
15-14
25-13
18-21
24-16
18-33
18-18
21-25
22-15
17-22
25-19
18-21
27-19
26-18
20-29
17-14
16-22
28-19
31-27
29-14
22-25
23-17
168.7Avg total
87.5Scored
81.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)88.580.5169.0+8.050%
Season at home (1)96.077.0173.0+19.0100%
Season away (1)81.084.0165.0-3.00%
Last 10 (10)87.581.2168.7+6.370%
Last 5 (5)89.081.4170.4+7.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (14)84.178.9163.0+5.171%
vs Weaker (15)88.680.3168.9+8.380%
This opponent (Crvena zvezda) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Crvena zvezdaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 Formzvezda
Date
Competition
Buducnost
#3
L
70-104
70
104
-34
61avg 81
A26/05
ABA League
Buducnost
#3
W
100-81
100
81
+19
98avg 81
H29/05
ABA League
Buducnost
#3
L
78-81
78
81
-3
72avg 81
A01/06
ABA League
Spartak Subotica
#3
L
81-93
81
93
-12
61avg 81
H14/06
Super League
Spartak Subotica
#3
L
77-93
77
93
-16
51avg 81
A16/06
Super League
CSKA Moscow
#1
L
67-89
67
89
-22
no box
H24/09
VTB Super Cup
Dubai
#4
W
82-80
82
80
+2
no box
A25/09
VTB Super Cup
Olimpia Milano
#13
L
82-92
82
92
-10
75avg 81
H30/09
Euroleague
Bayern
#14
L
88-97
88
97
-9
82avg 81
A02/10
Euroleague
Zadar
#9
L
79-85
79
85
-6
67avg 81
H06/10
ABA League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-27
22-29
13-25
17-23
25-17
25-23
21-14
29-27
25-22
19-21
16-20
18-18
20-20
21-31
17-23
23-19
12-24
23-22
22-26
20-21
19-30
20-17
16-17
12-25
22-19
22-22
15-20
23-19
20-22
21-23
22-24
19-23
28-24
27-26
16-27
17-20
21-27
16-16
16-19
26-23
169.9Avg total
80.4Scored
89.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)85.094.5179.5-9.50%
Season at home (1)82.092.0174.0-10.00%
Season away (1)88.097.0185.0-9.00%
Last 10 (10)80.489.5169.9-9.120%
Last 5 (5)79.688.6168.2-9.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)76.888.0164.8-11.220%
vs Similar ◀ (12)85.591.1176.6-5.617%
vs Weaker (13)88.376.6164.9+11.777%
This opponent (Fenerbahce) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +2.3+2.3Q1: -2.2-2.2Q2Q2: +2.1+2.1Q2: -1.4-1.4Q3Q3: +2.7+2.7Q3: -4.1-4.1Q4Q4: -0.8-0.8Q4: -1.4-1.4
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +2.3+2.3Q1: -2.2-2.2Q2Q2: +2.1+2.1Q2: -1.4-1.4Q3Q3: +2.7+2.7Q3: -4.1-4.1Q4Q4: -0.8-0.8Q4: -1.4-1.4
FenerbahceCrvena zvezda
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
FenerbahceLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Besiktas
#3
W
50-34
50
34
+16
H17/06
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Besiktas
#3
W
48-34
48
34
+14
H19/06
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Besiktas
#3
L
31-50
31
50
-19
A21/06
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Besiktas
#3
W
49-45
49
45
+4
A23/06
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Besiktas
#3
W
48-40
48
40
+8
H25/06
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Besiktas
#2
W
43-34
43
34
+9
H24/09
Super Cup
Tofas
#9
L
39-43
39
43
-4
A27/09
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Paris
#16
W
43-40
43
40
+3
H01/10
Euroleague
Zalgiris Kaunas
#5
L
37-43
37
43
-6
A03/10
Euroleague
Petkim Spor
#14
W
60-41
60
41
+19
H06/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
85.2Avg total
44.8Scored
40.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.639.283.8+5.473%-
Last 30 at home (18)47.838.386.1+9.683%-
Last 30 away (12)39.840.680.3-0.858%-
Last 10 (10)44.840.485.2+4.470%-
Last 5 (5)44.440.284.6+4.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (14)44.138.882.9+5.486%-
vs Weaker (15)45.139.985.1+5.260%-
This opponent (Crvena zvezda) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Crvena zvezdaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Buducnost
#3
L
40-56
40
56
-16
A26/05
ABA League
Buducnost
#3
W
50-40
50
40
+10
H29/05
ABA League
Buducnost
#3
W
44-43
44
43
+1
A01/06
ABA League
Spartak Subotica
#3
L
41-51
41
51
-10
H14/06
Super League
Spartak Subotica
#3
L
35-46
35
46
-11
A16/06
Super League
CSKA Moscow
#1
L
39-47
39
47
-8
H24/09
VTB Super Cup
Dubai
#4
W
44-41
44
41
+3
A25/09
VTB Super Cup
Olimpia Milano
#13
L
41-45
41
45
-4
H30/09
Euroleague
Bayern
#14
W
55-50
55
50
+5
A02/10
Euroleague
Zadar
#9
L
37-43
37
43
-6
H06/10
ABA League
88.8Avg total
42.6Scored
46.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.242.085.3+1.257%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.740.382.9+2.453%-
Last 30 away (15)43.843.887.6+0.060%-
Last 10 (10)42.646.288.8-3.640%-
Last 5 (5)43.245.288.4-2.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)38.244.883.0-6.620%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)44.044.488.4-0.458%-
vs Weaker (13)44.538.883.2+5.769%-
This opponent (Fenerbahce) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Fenerbahcetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Fenerbahce: 87.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.4 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.5 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.3 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 75.0 points a game
48%
38%
14%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.020.7
54.5%
60.4%41.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.010.5
38.9%
35.9%31.5
🏀 Free throws18.414.3
77.7%
78.2%14.3
They take 65.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 47%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Crvena zvezdatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Crvena zvezda: 82.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.0 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.7 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.2 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 75.0 points a game
48%
38%
14%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.119.5
54.0%
60.4%39.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.48.9
33.7%
35.9%26.7
🏀 Free throws22.817.2
75.4%
78.2%17.2
They take 62.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 47%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 10 Oct 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Fenerbahce
WLWLWWWLWW
Crvena zvezda
LLLWLLLLWL
#4
League position
#9
+12.1
Net rating
-6.6
121.4
Offensive rating
109.9
109.2
Defensive rating
116.5
56.1%
Effective FG%
52.6%
52.4%
Opp. effective FG%
58.9%
15.3%
Turnover %
15.8%
36.0%
Off. rebound %
28.3%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.36
38.9%
3-point %
33.7%
55.4%
Assist %
68.7%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence121.4 · 109.9Defence109.2 · 116.5Shooting56.1% · 52.6%3-point %38.9% · 33.7%Ball care15.3% · 15.8%Off. rebounds36.0% · 28.3%Free throws0.28 · 0.36Form (last 10/10)70% · 20%
■ Fenerbahce   ■ Crvena zvezda
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Fenerbahce wins
5
Crvena zvezda wins
Fenerbahcelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/10/25HPetkim Spor105-83
03/10/25AZalgiris Kaunas81-84
01/10/25HParis96-77
27/09/25ATofas78-80
24/09/25HBesiktas85-83
25/06/25HBesiktas84-68
23/06/25ABesiktas91-87
21/06/25ABesiktas77-98
19/06/25HBesiktas84-76
17/06/25HBesiktas94-76
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/10/25HZadar79-85
02/10/25ABayern88-97
30/09/25HOlimpia Milano82-92
25/09/25ADubai82-80
24/09/25HCSKA Moscow67-89
16/06/25ASpartak Subotica77-93
14/06/25HSpartak Subotica81-93
01/06/25ABuducnost78-81
29/05/25HBuducnost100-81
26/05/25ABuducnost70-104

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Fenerbahce
Euroleague 2025
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWL50%
HomeW100%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %50%100%0%
Points / game88.596.081.0
Allowed / game80.577.084.0
Point differential+8.0+19.0-3.0
Avg total169.0173.0165.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Crvena zvezda
Euroleague 2025
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLL0%
HomeL0%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game85.082.088.0
Allowed / game94.592.097.0
Point differential-9.5-10.0-9.0
Avg total179.5174.0185.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Valencia220100%91.585.5+6.0
2 Zalgiris Kaunas220100%86.582.5+4.0
3 Monaco32167%89.783.0+6.7
4 Real Madrid32167%80.774.3+6.3
5 Hapoel Tel-Aviv32167%93.390.3+3.0
6 Panathinaikos32167%89.788.7+1.0
7 Paris32167%89.389.7-0.3
8 Partizan32167%83.084.7-1.7
9 Fenerbahce21150%88.580.5+8.0
10 Bayern21150%88.087.5+0.5
11 Olympiacos21150%89.592.5-3.0
12 Barcelona21150%95.099.5-4.5
13 Dubai21150%85.089.5-4.5
14 Olimpia Milano31233%83.081.3+1.7
15 Maccabi Tel Aviv31233%91.792.0-0.3
16 Anadolu Efes31233%84.386.0-1.7
17 Lyon-Villeurbanne31233%83.786.7-3.0
18 Virtus Bologna31233%82.387.0-4.7
19 Baskonia3030%91.796.7-5.0
20 Crvena zvezda2020%85.094.5-9.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Fenerbahce1713183381
Crvena zvezda2518133086
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