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Fenerbahce vs CSKA Moscow Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 02 Feb 2017
Tip-off: 17:45
Final 77-71
15-14 21-26 24-11 17-20
Position#3
Record13-7
FormWWWWW
Points / game78.2
Allowed / game76.3
vs
Position#1
Record15-5
FormWWLWW
Points / game87.8
Allowed / game80.5
EuropeEuroleagueRound 21
European cup2016
Meetings · Fenerbahce v CSKA Moscow
28 Apr 2021
FEN68
CMO85
14 Oct 2020
FEN77
CMO78
18 Dec 2018
FEN79
CMO75
16 Mar 2018
FEN79
CMO81
02 Feb 2017
FEN77
CMO71
15 May 2016
FEN96
CMO101
17 May 2015
FEN80
CMO86
02 Jan 2015
FEN81
CMO84
31 Oct 2013
FEN86
CMO60
29 Jan 2009
FEN48
CMO66
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Fenerbahce winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
CSKA Moscow winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

FenerbahceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormFenerbahce
Date
Competition
Olympiacos
#4
L
62-71
62
71
-9
87avg 104
A29/12
Euroleague
Anadolu Efes
#4
W
81-75
81
75
+6
no box
H02/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Olimpia Milano
#16
W
86-79
86
79
+7
114avg 104
H06/01
Euroleague
Besiktas
#2
W
79-76
79
76
+3
no box
A08/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Crvena zvezda
#7
L
73-75
73
75
-2
98avg 104
A12/01
Euroleague
Panathinaikos
#5
W
84-63
84
63
+21
114avg 104
H19/01
Euroleague
Ankara Kolejliler
#16
W
89-76
89
76
+13
no box
H21/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Unics Kazan
#15
W
86-81
86
81
+5
111avg 104
A24/01
Euroleague
Galatasaray
#12
W
85-80
85
80
+5
111avg 104
H26/01
Euroleague
Usak Sportif
#14
W
98-89
98
89
+9
no box
H29/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
9-18
12-22
19-18
22-13
20-14
21-20
20-22
20-19
18-19
23-21
22-18
23-21
21-21
18-24
21-18
19-13
23-23
19-21
17-17
14-14
27-16
17-12
16-17
24-18
24-18
20-11
16-18
29-29
22-15
17-19
29-26
18-21
19-27
22-27
23-12
21-14
34-21
24-19
18-21
22-28
158.8Avg total
82.3Scored
76.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)78.276.3154.5+1.965%
Season at home (10)79.473.7153.1+5.780%
Season away (10)77.078.9155.9-1.950%
Last 10 (10)82.376.5158.8+5.880%
Last 5 (5)88.477.8166.2+10.6100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)95.079.0174.0+16.0100%
vs Similar (10)73.775.2148.9-1.550%
vs Weaker (19)85.877.7163.6+8.184%
This opponent (CSKA Moscow) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CSKA MoscowLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMoscow
Date
Competition
Enisey
#6
W
85-63
85
63
+22
no box
H26/12
VTB United League
Crvena zvezda
#7
L
67-78
67
78
-11
95avg 117
A29/12
Euroleague
Real Madrid
#2
L
85-95
85
95
-10
105avg 117
A06/01
Euroleague
Minsk
#11
W
100-63
100
63
+37
no box
A08/01
VTB United League
Olimpia Milano
#16
W
101-64
101
64
+37
131avg 117
H13/01
Euroleague
Unics Kazan
#5
W
105-91
105
91
+14
no box
A16/01
VTB United League
Bamberg
#13
W
85-64
85
64
+21
117avg 117
H19/01
Euroleague
Zalgiris Kaunas
#10
L
74-79
74
79
-5
97avg 117
A24/01
Euroleague
Anadolu Efes
#6
W
80-77
80
77
+3
109avg 117
H27/01
Euroleague
Astana
#10
W
81-63
81
63
+18
no box
H29/01
VTB United League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-15
19-21
24-11
21-16
14-27
20-21
22-16
11-14
24-23
22-27
24-24
15-21
23-6
21-19
26-19
30-19
27-9
29-16
22-21
23-18
30-26
28-24
20-18
27-23
21-17
23-16
25-15
16-16
20-20
25-18
16-19
13-22
25-24
17-11
23-17
15-25
17-13
19-17
18-16
27-17
160.0Avg total
86.3Scored
73.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)87.880.5168.2+7.275%
Season at home (10)91.479.3170.7+12.190%
Season away (10)84.181.7165.8+2.460%
Last 10 (10)86.373.7160.0+12.670%
Last 5 (5)85.074.8159.8+10.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (2)88.092.5180.5-4.550%
vs Weaker ◀ (28)89.676.3165.9+13.482%
This opponent (Fenerbahce) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +2.5+2.5Q1: +4.2+4.2Q2Q2: -0.3-0.3Q2: +3.3+3.3Q3Q3: +1.4+1.4Q3: +4.4+4.4Q4Q4: +2.2+2.2Q4: +0.7+0.7
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +2.5+2.5Q1: +4.2+4.2Q2Q2: -0.3-0.3Q2: +3.3+3.3Q3Q3: +1.4+1.4Q3: +4.4+4.4Q4Q4: +2.2+2.2Q4: +0.7+0.7
FenerbahceCSKA Moscow
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
FenerbahceLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Olympiacos
#4
L
21-40
21
40
-19
A29/12
Euroleague
Anadolu Efes
#4
W
41-34
41
34
+7
H02/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Olimpia Milano
#16
W
41-40
41
40
+1
H06/01
Euroleague
Besiktas
#2
L
39-45
39
45
-6
A08/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Crvena zvezda
#7
L
42-44
42
44
-2
A12/01
Euroleague
Panathinaikos
#5
W
44-28
44
28
+16
H19/01
Euroleague
Ankara Kolejliler
#16
W
44-29
44
29
+15
H21/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Unics Kazan
#15
W
39-34
39
34
+5
A24/01
Euroleague
Galatasaray
#12
L
41-54
41
54
-13
H26/01
Euroleague
Usak Sportif
#14
W
58-40
58
40
+18
H29/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
79.8Avg total
41.0Scored
38.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.739.479.1+0.350%-
Last 30 at home (16)41.438.179.5+3.462%-
Last 30 away (14)37.840.978.7-3.136%-
Last 10 (10)41.038.879.8+2.260%-
Last 5 (5)45.237.082.2+8.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)36.041.077.0-5.00%-
vs Similar (10)36.538.975.4-2.430%-
vs Weaker (19)41.639.681.2+2.163%-
This opponent (CSKA Moscow) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CSKA MoscowLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Enisey
#6
W
40-36
40
36
+4
H26/12
VTB United League
Crvena zvezda
#7
L
34-48
34
48
-14
A29/12
Euroleague
Real Madrid
#2
L
46-50
46
50
-4
A06/01
Euroleague
Minsk
#11
W
44-25
44
25
+19
A08/01
VTB United League
Olimpia Milano
#16
W
56-25
56
25
+31
H13/01
Euroleague
Unics Kazan
#5
W
58-50
58
50
+8
A16/01
VTB United League
Bamberg
#13
W
44-33
44
33
+11
H19/01
Euroleague
Zalgiris Kaunas
#10
W
45-38
45
38
+7
A24/01
Euroleague
Anadolu Efes
#6
W
42-35
42
35
+7
H27/01
Euroleague
Astana
#10
W
36-30
36
30
+6
H29/01
VTB United League
81.5Avg total
44.5Scored
37.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.538.083.4+7.577%-
Last 30 at home (16)47.236.783.9+10.688%-
Last 30 away (14)43.439.482.9+4.064%-
Last 10 (10)44.537.081.5+7.580%-
Last 5 (5)45.037.282.2+7.8100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (2)47.544.091.5+3.550%-
vs Weaker ◀ (28)45.337.582.9+7.879%-
This opponent (Fenerbahce) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Fenerbahcetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Fenerbahce: 76.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.8 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.2 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.9 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.0 points a game
50%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.620.4
55.7%
50.7%40.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.28.4
41.6%
37.3%25.2
🏀 Free throws15.710.9
69.4%
75.6%10.9
They take 56.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
CSKA Moscowtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

CSKA Moscow: 82.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.2 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.7 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.2 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.0 points a game
50%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.819.6
54.7%
50.7%39.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.18.9
40.3%
37.3%26.7
🏀 Free throws20.116.2
80.6%
75.6%16.2
They take 57.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 02 Feb 2017 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Fenerbahce
WWWWWLWWWL
CSKA Moscow
WWLWWWWLLW
#3
League position
#1
+4.1
Net rating
+9.2
110.0
Offensive rating
111.3
105.8
Defensive rating
102.1
58.1%
Effective FG%
56.9%
51.7%
Opp. effective FG%
52.3%
18.0%
Turnover %
19.6%
25.7%
Off. rebound %
24.7%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.35
41.6%
3-point %
40.3%
65.3%
Assist %
70.5%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence110.0 · 111.3Defence105.8 · 102.1Shooting58.1% · 56.9%3-point %41.6% · 40.3%Ball care18.0% · 19.6%Off. rebounds25.7% · 24.7%Free throws0.28 · 0.35Form (last 10/10)80% · 70%
■ Fenerbahce   ■ CSKA Moscow
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Fenerbahce wins
6
CSKA Moscow wins
Fenerbahcelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/01/17HUsak Sportif98-89
26/01/17HGalatasaray85-80
24/01/17AUnics Kazan86-81
21/01/17HAnkara Kolejliler89-76
19/01/17HPanathinaikos84-63
12/01/17ACrvena zvezda73-75
08/01/17ABesiktas79-76
06/01/17HOlimpia Milano86-79
02/01/17HAnadolu Efes81-75
29/12/16AOlympiacos62-71
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/01/17HAstana81-63
27/01/17HAnadolu Efes80-77
24/01/17AZalgiris Kaunas74-79
19/01/17HBamberg85-64
16/01/17AUnics Kazan105-91
13/01/17HOlimpia Milano101-64
08/01/17AMinsk100-63
06/01/17AReal Madrid85-95
29/12/16ACrvena zvezda67-78
26/12/16HEnisey85-63

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Fenerbahce
Euroleague 2016
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW65%
HomeWLWWW80%
AwayLWLLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games201010
Win %65%80%50%
Points / game78.279.477.0
Allowed / game76.373.778.9
Point differential+1.9+5.7-1.9
Avg total154.5153.1155.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%30%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won83% (6)100% (3)67% (3)
Overtime %5%0%10%
CSKA Moscow
Euroleague 2016
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW75%
HomeWLWWW90%
AwayWWLLL60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games201010
Win %75%90%60%
Points / game87.891.484.1
Allowed / game80.579.381.7
Point differential+7.2+12.1+2.4
Avg total168.2170.7165.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+35%50%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won83% (6)100% (3)67% (3)
Overtime %5%10%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 CSKA Moscow2015575%87.880.5+7.2
2 Real Madrid2015575%86.980.0+6.8
3 Olympiacos2115671%79.774.4+5.3
4 Fenerbahce2013765%78.276.3+1.9
5 Crvena zvezda2012860%74.872.7+2.2
6 Baskonia2012860%81.079.2+1.8
7 Panathinaikos2011955%77.475.7+1.8
8 Darussafaka20101050%79.079.0-0.1
9 Anadolu Efes2091145%83.884.6-0.8
10 Zalgiris Kaunas2081240%78.280.7-2.5
11 Barcelona2081240%72.375.7-3.4
12 Bamberg2071335%79.780.2-0.5
13 Maccabi Tel Aviv2071335%78.082.8-4.8
14 Unics Kazan2171433%76.680.9-4.3
15 Galatasaray2061430%79.884.5-4.7
16 Olimpia Milano2061430%82.588.5-6.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Fenerbahce1521241777
CSKA Moscow1426112071
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