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Fenerbahce vs CSKA Moscow Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 18 Dec 2018
Tip-off: 17:45
Final 79-75
18-26 18-22 24-14 19-13
Position#2
Record11-1
FormWWWWW
Points / game85.1
Allowed / game76.4
Fenerbahce 🏆
vs
CSKA Moscow
Position#1
Record10-2
FormLWLWW
Points / game88.8
Allowed / game82.0
EuropeEuroleagueRound 13
European cup2018
Meetings · Fenerbahce v CSKA Moscow
28 Apr 2021
FEN68
CMO85
14 Oct 2020
FEN77
CMO78
18 Dec 2018
FEN79
CMO75
16 Mar 2018
FEN79
CMO81
02 Feb 2017
FEN77
CMO71
15 May 2016
FEN96
CMO101
17 May 2015
FEN80
CMO86
02 Jan 2015
FEN81
CMO84
31 Oct 2013
FEN86
CMO60
29 Jan 2009
FEN48
CMO66
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Fenerbahce winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
CSKA Moscow winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

FenerbahceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Olympiacos
#6
W
73-72
73
72
+1
A15/11
Euroleague
Darussafaka
#16
W
100-79
100
79
+21
H20/11
Euroleague
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#10
W
74-70
74
70
+4
A22/11
Euroleague
Tofas
#4
W
74-69
74
69
+5
A25/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Barcelona
#5
W
84-65
84
65
+19
A30/11
Euroleague
Karsiyaka
#11
W
80-72
80
72
+8
H04/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Panathinaikos
#7
W
81-69
81
69
+12
A07/12
Euroleague
Istanbul BB
#14
W
103-86
103
86
+17
A09/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Olimpia Milano
#11
W
92-85
92
85
+7
H13/12
Euroleague
Afyon Belediye
#13
W
92-68
92
68
+24
H15/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-18
18-21
11-14
23-19
25-10
21-27
22-19
32-23
13-16
23-25
19-12
19-17
26-19
15-14
17-20
16-16
23-17
22-19
19-11
20-18
18-28
19-14
18-13
25-17
18-12
17-21
21-19
25-17
27-15
24-28
26-11
26-32
15-21
25-19
27-18
25-27
28-16
15-15
23-22
26-15
158.8Avg total
85.3Scored
73.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)85.176.4161.5+8.792%
Season at home (5)94.081.0175.0+13.0100%
Season away (7)78.773.1151.9+5.686%
Last 10 (10)85.373.5158.8+11.8100%
Last 5 (5)89.676.0165.6+13.6100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (2)84.584.0168.5+0.550%
vs Weaker (27)86.774.4161.1+12.496%
This opponent (CSKA Moscow) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CSKA MoscowLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Olimpia Milano
#11
W
90-85
90
85
+5
A08/11
Euroleague
Lokomotiv Kuban
#5
W
93-76
93
76
+17
A11/11
VTB United League
Bayern
#12
W
93-79
93
79
+14
A16/11
Euroleague
Minsk
#14
W
119-88
119
88
+31
H18/11
VTB United League
Zalgiris Kaunas
#9
W
99-97 OT
99
97
+2
H21/11
Euroleague
Buducnost
#15
L
92-93
92
93
-1
A23/11
Euroleague
Real Madrid
#3
W
93-88
93
88
+5
A29/11
Euroleague
Baskonia
#8
L
73-76
73
76
-3
A07/12
Euroleague
Enisey
#9
W
101-71
101
71
+30
H10/12
VTB United League
Khimki M.
#13
W
88-74
88
74
+14
H13/12
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-21
24-20
23-25
27-19
32-18
18-21
22-22
21-15
30-23
26-17
21-25
16-14
33-24
21-23
39-15
26-26
16-18
21-20
22-22
27-26
21-17
28-18
18-30
25-28
24-20
14-21
29-20
26-27
21-21
17-19
17-15
18-21
16-21
23-14
33-19
29-17
24-17
25-23
26-13
13-21
176.8Avg total
94.1Scored
82.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)88.882.0170.8+6.883%
Season at home (5)86.077.2163.2+8.8100%
Season away (7)90.985.4176.3+5.471%
Last 10 (10)94.182.7176.8+11.480%
Last 5 (5)89.480.4169.8+9.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (2)88.090.0178.0-2.050%
vs Weaker (28)94.578.5172.9+16.089%
This opponent (Fenerbahce) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +4.2+4.2Q1: +3.3+3.3Q2Q2: -0.4-0.4Q2: +2.1+2.1Q3Q3: +4.4+4.4Q3: +4.4+4.4Q4Q4: +3.6+3.6Q4: +1.4+1.4
FenerbahceCSKA Moscow
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
FenerbahceLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Olympiacos
#6
D
39-39
39
39
+0
A15/11
Euroleague
Darussafaka
#16
W
46-37
46
37
+9
H20/11
Euroleague
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#10
L
36-41
36
41
-5
A22/11
Euroleague
Tofas
#4
W
41-33
41
33
+8
A25/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Barcelona
#5
W
45-36
45
36
+9
A30/11
Euroleague
Karsiyaka
#11
L
37-42
37
42
-5
H04/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Panathinaikos
#7
W
35-33
35
33
+2
A07/12
Euroleague
Istanbul BB
#14
W
51-43
51
43
+8
A09/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Olimpia Milano
#11
D
40-40
40
40
+0
H13/12
Euroleague
Afyon Belediye
#13
W
43-31
43
31
+12
H15/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
78.8Avg total
41.3Scored
37.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.336.879.1+5.670%-
Last 30 at home (14)42.836.279.0+6.686%-
Last 30 away (16)41.937.279.2+4.756%-
Last 10 (10)41.337.578.8+3.860%-
Last 5 (5)41.237.879.0+3.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (2)48.039.087.0+9.0100%-
vs Weaker (27)42.436.979.3+5.467%-
This opponent (CSKA Moscow) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CSKA MoscowLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Olimpia Milano
#11
L
40-41
40
41
-1
A08/11
Euroleague
Lokomotiv Kuban
#5
W
50-39
50
39
+11
A11/11
VTB United League
Bayern
#12
W
56-40
56
40
+16
A16/11
Euroleague
Minsk
#14
W
54-47
54
47
+7
H18/11
VTB United League
Zalgiris Kaunas
#9
L
37-38
37
38
-1
H21/11
Euroleague
Buducnost
#15
W
49-35
49
35
+14
A23/11
Euroleague
Real Madrid
#3
L
38-41
38
41
-3
A29/11
Euroleague
Baskonia
#8
L
38-40
38
40
-2
A07/12
Euroleague
Enisey
#9
W
39-35
39
35
+4
H10/12
VTB United League
Khimki M.
#13
W
49-40
49
40
+9
H13/12
Euroleague
84.6Avg total
45.0Scored
39.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)46.839.786.4+7.170%-
Last 30 at home (18)45.839.485.2+6.472%-
Last 30 away (12)48.240.188.2+8.167%-
Last 10 (10)45.039.684.6+5.460%-
Last 5 (5)42.638.280.8+4.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (2)42.044.086.0-2.00%-
vs Weaker (28)47.139.486.5+7.875%-
This opponent (Fenerbahce) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Fenerbahcetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Fenerbahce: 81.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.6 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.1 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.4 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.120.3
56.2%
52.7%40.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.99.0
45.2%
37.0%27.0
🏀 Free throws17.314.1
81.5%
76.7%14.1
They take 56.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 19.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
CSKA Moscowtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

CSKA Moscow: 86.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.0 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.7 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.4 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.4 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.521.5
53.1%
52.7%43.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.99.9
41.4%
37.0%29.7
🏀 Free throws16.413.4
81.7%
76.7%13.4
They take 64.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 18 Dec 2018 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Fenerbahce
WWWWWWWWWW
CSKA Moscow
WWLWLWWWWW
#2
League position
#1
+9.3
Net rating
+6.7
120.9
Offensive rating
118.5
111.6
Defensive rating
111.8
60.4%
Effective FG%
56.4%
53.0%
Opp. effective FG%
52.4%
15.5%
Turnover %
15.4%
28.2%
Off. rebound %
33.3%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.25
45.2%
3-point %
41.4%
66.9%
Assist %
58.6%
100%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence120.9 · 118.5Defence111.6 · 111.8Shooting60.4% · 56.4%3-point %45.2% · 41.4%Ball care15.5% · 15.4%Off. rebounds28.2% · 33.3%Free throws0.31 · 0.25Form (last 10/10)100% · 80%
■ Fenerbahce   ■ CSKA Moscow
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Fenerbahce wins
4
CSKA Moscow wins
DateGameScore
16/03/18Fenerbahce v CSKA Moscow79-81
17/11/17CSKA Moscow v Fenerbahce93-95 OT
02/02/17Fenerbahce v CSKA Moscow77-71
23/12/16CSKA Moscow v Fenerbahce79-95 OT
15/05/16Fenerbahce v CSKA Moscow96-101 OT
17/05/15Fenerbahce v CSKA Moscow80-86
27/02/15CSKA Moscow v Fenerbahce75-81
02/01/15Fenerbahce v CSKA Moscow81-84 OT
06/12/13CSKA Moscow v Fenerbahce74-78
31/10/13Fenerbahce v CSKA Moscow86-60
Fenerbahcelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/12/18HAfyon Belediye92-68
13/12/18HOlimpia Milano92-85
09/12/18AIstanbul BB103-86
07/12/18APanathinaikos81-69
04/12/18HKarsiyaka80-72
30/11/18ABarcelona84-65
25/11/18ATofas74-69
22/11/18AMaccabi Tel Aviv74-70
20/11/18HDarussafaka100-79
15/11/18AOlympiacos73-72
CSKA Moscowlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/12/18HKhimki M.88-74
10/12/18HEnisey101-71
07/12/18ABaskonia73-76
29/11/18AReal Madrid93-88
23/11/18ABuducnost92-93
21/11/18HZalgiris Kaunas99-97 OT
18/11/18HMinsk119-88
16/11/18ABayern93-79
11/11/18ALokomotiv Kuban93-76
08/11/18AOlimpia Milano90-85

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Fenerbahce
Euroleague 2018
Recent: 10 Wins / 0 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW92%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWWWWW86%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1257
Win %92%100%86%
Points / game85.194.078.7
Allowed / game76.481.073.1
Point differential+8.7+13.0+5.6
Avg total161.5175.0151.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%40%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (4)100% (1)100% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
CSKA Moscow
Euroleague 2018
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW83%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWWLWL71%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1257
Win %83%100%71%
Points / game88.886.090.9
Allowed / game82.077.285.4
Point differential+6.8+8.8+5.4
Avg total170.8163.2176.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%40%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (8)100% (3)60% (5)
Overtime %8%20%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Fenerbahce1211192%85.176.4+8.7
2 Real Madrid1210283%89.877.9+11.9
3 CSKA Moscow1210283%88.882.0+6.8
4 Anadolu Efes139469%87.981.1+6.8
5 Olympiacos127558%80.678.2+2.3
6 Olimpia Milano126650%86.185.7+0.4
7 Panathinaikos126650%78.878.6+0.2
8 Bayern126650%80.280.3-0.2
9 Barcelona126650%77.279.0-1.8
10 Zalgiris Kaunas125742%83.382.8+0.6
11 Baskonia125742%81.182.1-1.0
12 Gran Canaria125742%83.189.2-6.1
13 Khimki M.124833%78.380.3-2.0
14 Maccabi Tel Aviv123925%77.080.5-3.5
15 Buducnost1331023%71.983.2-11.3
16 Darussafaka121118%75.386.8-11.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Fenerbahce1818241979
CSKA Moscow2622141375
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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