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Fenerbahce vs Real Madrid Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 08 Apr 2021
Tip-off: 17:45
Final 67-93
11-23 25-26 21-18 10-26
Position#9
Record20-13
FormWWWLW
Points / game78.8
Allowed / game78.6
vs
Position#7
Record19-14
FormWWLWW
Points / game79.7
Allowed / game77.8
EuropeEuroleagueRound 34
European cup2020
Meetings · Fenerbahce v Real Madrid
29 Jan 2027
FEN v MAD
upcoming
09 Apr 2026
FEN69
MAD74
06 Feb 2025
FEN78
MAD67
30 Nov 2023
FEN100
MAD99
02 Dec 2022
FEN71
MAD85
08 Feb 2022
FEN66
MAD51
08 Apr 2021
FEN67
MAD93
19 May 2019
FEN75
MAD94
28 Dec 2018
FEN65
MAD63
28 Dec 2017
FEN77
MAD79
19 May 2017
FEN84
MAD75
01 Dec 2016
FEN78
MAD77
14 Apr 2016
FEN100
MAD78
12 Apr 2016
FEN75
MAD69
30 Oct 2015
FEN77
MAD66
25 Oct 2012
FEN75
MAD83
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Fenerbahce winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Real Madrid winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

FenerbahceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormFenerbahce
Date
Competition
Turk Telekom
#6
W
99-77
99
77
+22
108avg 81
H07/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Valencia
#8
L
52-66
52
66
-14
43avg 81
A12/03
Euroleague
Bahcesehir Kol.
#12
W
78-61
78
61
+17
81avg 81
A14/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Zalgiris Kaunas
#11
W
84-61
84
61
+23
92avg 81
H18/03
Euroleague
Buyukcekmece
#13
W
81-70
81
70
+11
87avg 81
H21/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Olympiacos
#12
W
76-71
76
71
+5
73avg 81
A26/03
Euroleague
Afyon Belediye
#9
W
97-87
97
87
+10
92avg 81
A28/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Bayern
#5
W
77-68
77
68
+9
69avg 81
A30/03
Euroleague
Barcelona
#2
L
73-82
73
82
-9
66avg 81
H02/04
Euroleague
Karsiyaka
#3
W
117-59
117
59
+58
131avg 81
H04/04
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-18
26-24
28-17
18-18
10-18
18-19
11-8
13-21
18-18
19-7
24-23
17-13
28-18
17-8
21-20
18-15
23-20
18-19
23-15
17-16
20-11
23-16
15-22
18-22
28-27
28-12
21-19
20-29
18-15
17-19
18-10
24-24
25-26
17-21
16-15
15-20
29-10
34-19
25-20
29-10
153.6Avg total
83.4Scored
70.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (33)78.878.6157.5+0.261%
Season at home (16)82.577.1159.6+5.462%
Season away (17)75.480.1155.5-4.659%
Last 10 (10)83.470.2153.6+13.280%
Last 5 (5)88.073.4161.4+14.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)87.387.2174.5+0.267%
vs Similar ◀ (11)83.770.4154.1+13.491%
vs Weaker (13)86.277.1163.3+9.277%
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Real MadridLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMadrid
Date
Competition
Barcelona
#2
L
76-81
76
81
-5
74avg 78
H11/03
Euroleague
Baskonia
#5
W
85-74
85
74
+11
86avg 78
A14/03
ACB
CSKA Moscow
#1
L
89-96
89
96
-7
86avg 78
H18/03
Euroleague
Real Betis
#16
W
95-77
95
77
+18
78avg 78
H21/03
ACB
Obradoiro CAB
#15
W
87-71
87
71
+16
76avg 78
A23/03
ACB
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#14
W
74-71
74
71
+3
66avg 78
A25/03
Euroleague
Manresa
#11
W
77-76
77
76
+1
72avg 78
A27/03
ACB
Anadolu Efes
#3
L
83-108
83
108
-25
78avg 78
H30/03
Euroleague
Olympiacos
#12
W
72-63
72
63
+9
68avg 78
H02/04
Euroleague
Gipuzkoa
#19
W
97-71
97
71
+26
95avg 78
H04/04
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-24
19-17
16-16
22-24
27-20
18-16
21-24
19-14
21-23
20-32
26-19
22-22
18-14
28-24
24-13
25-26
23-16
19-16
16-17
29-22
20-23
12-14
24-14
18-20
17-13
18-19
19-16
23-28
20-20
22-21
22-35
19-32
20-11
16-15
17-12
19-25
18-15
26-15
23-16
30-25
162.3Avg total
83.5Scored
78.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (33)79.777.8157.5+1.858%
Season at home (17)81.678.2159.9+3.459%
Season away (16)77.677.4154.9+0.256%
Last 10 (10)83.578.8162.3+4.770%
Last 5 (5)80.677.8158.4+2.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)77.392.3169.7-15.00%
vs Similar ◀ (10)77.478.2155.6-0.850%
vs Weaker (16)83.273.5156.7+9.788%
This opponent (Fenerbahce) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +4.5+4.5Q1: +2.4+2.4Q2Q2: +5.3+5.3Q2: +0.9+0.9Q3Q3: +3.3+3.3Q3: +2.6+2.6Q4Q4: +0.1+0.1Q4: -1.2-1.2
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +4.5+4.5Q1: +2.4+2.4Q2Q2: +5.3+5.3Q2: +0.9+0.9Q3Q3: +3.3+3.3Q3: +2.6+2.6Q4Q4: +0.1+0.1Q4: -1.2-1.2
FenerbahceReal Madrid
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
FenerbahceLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Turk Telekom
#6
W
53-42
53
42
+11
H07/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Valencia
#8
L
28-37
28
37
-9
A12/03
Euroleague
Bahcesehir Kol.
#12
W
37-25
37
25
+12
A14/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Zalgiris Kaunas
#11
W
45-26
45
26
+19
H18/03
Euroleague
Buyukcekmece
#13
W
41-39
41
39
+2
H21/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Olympiacos
#12
W
43-27
43
27
+16
A26/03
Euroleague
Afyon Belediye
#9
W
56-39
56
39
+17
A28/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Bayern
#5
W
35-34
35
34
+1
A30/03
Euroleague
Barcelona
#2
L
42-47
42
47
-5
H02/04
Euroleague
Karsiyaka
#3
W
63-29
63
29
+34
H04/04
Basketbol Süper Ligi
78.8Avg total
44.3Scored
34.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.838.282.0+5.777%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.839.584.3+5.380%-
Last 30 away (15)42.936.879.7+6.173%-
Last 10 (10)44.334.578.8+9.880%-
Last 5 (5)47.835.283.0+12.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)44.545.790.2-1.233%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)41.733.975.6+7.882%-
vs Weaker (13)45.338.383.6+7.092%-
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Real MadridLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Barcelona
#2
L
38-41
38
41
-3
H11/03
Euroleague
Baskonia
#5
W
45-36
45
36
+9
A14/03
ACB
CSKA Moscow
#1
L
41-55
41
55
-14
H18/03
Euroleague
Real Betis
#16
W
46-38
46
38
+8
H21/03
ACB
Obradoiro CAB
#15
W
42-32
42
32
+10
A23/03
ACB
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#14
L
32-37
32
37
-5
A25/03
Euroleague
Manresa
#11
W
35-32
35
32
+3
A27/03
ACB
Anadolu Efes
#3
W
42-41
42
41
+1
H30/03
Euroleague
Olympiacos
#12
W
36-26
36
26
+10
H02/04
Euroleague
Gipuzkoa
#19
W
44-30
44
30
+14
H04/04
ACB
76.9Avg total
40.1Scored
36.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.237.778.0+2.560%-
Last 30 at home (18)41.838.880.6+3.056%-
Last 30 away (12)37.936.274.1+1.867%-
Last 10 (10)40.136.876.9+3.370%-
Last 5 (5)37.833.271.0+4.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)37.044.781.7-7.733%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)38.439.778.1-1.350%-
vs Weaker (16)41.435.476.9+6.069%-
This opponent (Fenerbahce) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Fenerbahcetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Fenerbahce: 82.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.4 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.0 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.2 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.922.2
61.8%
52.7%44.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.39.0
38.6%
38.1%27.0
🏀 Free throws13.711.0
80.3%
79.3%11.0
They take 59.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Real Madridtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Real Madrid: 85.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.8 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.9 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.0 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.2 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.620.4
57.3%
52.7%40.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.410.3
39.0%
38.1%30.9
🏀 Free throws17.214.0
81.4%
79.3%14.0
They take 62.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 08 Apr 2021 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Fenerbahce
WLWWWWWWLW
Real Madrid
WWLWWWWLWL
#9
League position
#7
+18.7
Net rating
+5.4
116.9
Offensive rating
117.6
98.2
Defensive rating
112.3
60.3%
Effective FG%
57.8%
48.5%
Opp. effective FG%
52.1%
18.9%
Turnover %
17.3%
29.7%
Off. rebound %
31.6%
0.23
Free-throw rate
0.28
38.6%
3-point %
39.0%
66.0%
Assist %
54.1%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence116.9 · 117.6Defence98.2 · 112.3Shooting60.3% · 57.8%3-point %38.6% · 39.0%Ball care18.9% · 17.3%Off. rebounds29.7% · 31.6%Free throws0.23 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)80% · 70%
■ Fenerbahce   ■ Real Madrid
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Fenerbahce wins
6
Real Madrid wins
Fenerbahcelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/04/21HKarsiyaka117-59
02/04/21HBarcelona73-82
30/03/21ABayern77-68
28/03/21AAfyon Belediye97-87
26/03/21AOlympiacos76-71
21/03/21HBuyukcekmece81-70
18/03/21HZalgiris Kaunas84-61
14/03/21ABahcesehir Kol.78-61
12/03/21AValencia52-66
07/03/21HTurk Telekom99-77
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/04/21HGipuzkoa97-71
02/04/21HOlympiacos72-63
30/03/21HAnadolu Efes83-108
27/03/21AManresa77-76
25/03/21ALyon-Villeurbanne74-71
23/03/21AObradoiro CAB87-71
21/03/21HReal Betis95-77
18/03/21HCSKA Moscow89-96
14/03/21ABaskonia85-74
11/03/21HBarcelona76-81

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Fenerbahce
Euroleague 2020
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL61%
HomeWWLWL62%
AwayWWLWW59%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games331617
Win %61%62%59%
Points / game78.882.575.4
Allowed / game78.677.180.1
Point differential+0.2+5.4-4.6
Avg total157.5159.6155.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+24%38%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won57% (7)25% (4)100% (3)
Overtime %3%6%0%
Real Madrid
Euroleague 2020
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW58%
HomeWLLLW59%
AwayWLLWW56%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games331716
Win %58%59%56%
Points / game79.781.677.6
Allowed / game77.878.277.4
Point differential+1.8+3.4+0.2
Avg total157.5159.9154.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+18%35%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (12)0% (3)67% (9)
Overtime %9%0%19%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Barcelona3324973%80.973.3+7.6
2 CSKA Moscow33231070%84.179.5+4.5
3 Anadolu Efes33221167%84.376.2+8.1
4 Olimpia Milano33201361%80.978.0+2.8
5 Bayern33201361%78.177.4+0.7
6 Fenerbahce33201361%78.878.6+0.2
7 Real Madrid33191458%79.777.8+1.8
8 Zenit Petersburg32181456%77.274.8+2.4
9 Baskonia33181555%80.977.3+3.6
10 Valencia33181555%81.781.2+0.5
11 Zalgiris Kaunas34171750%77.477.8-0.4
12 Olympiacos33151845%78.579.9-1.4
13 Maccabi Tel Aviv33141942%78.679.0-0.4
14 Lyon-Villeurbanne34132138%76.780.6-3.9
15 Panathinaikos32112134%79.482.5-3.1
16 Alba Berlin33112233%78.683.5-4.9
17 Crvena zvezda33102330%74.679.6-5.0
18 Khimki M.3342912%77.590.5-12.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Fenerbahce1125211067
Real Madrid2326182693
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