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Fenerbahce vs Olympiacos Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 06 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 17:45
Final 88-80
18-22 18-18 26-22 26-18
Position#4
Record12-6
FormLWWWW
Points / game81.7
Allowed / game79.1
vs
Position#1
Record11-7
FormWWWWW
Points / game88.4
Allowed / game84.4
EuropeEuroleagueRound 20· Ülker Sports Arena
European cup2025
Meetings · Fenerbahce v Olympiacos
06 Apr 2027
FEN v OLY
upcoming
06 Jan 2026
FEN88
OLY80
04 Oct 2024
FEN82
OLY71
02 Nov 2023
FEN79
OLY77
05 May 2023
FEN73
OLY69
03 May 2023
FEN71
OLY72
31 Jan 2023
FEN73
OLY93
11 Jan 2022
FEN94
OLY80
23 Dec 2020
FEN84
OLY77
24 Jan 2019
FEN90
OLY75
15 Nov 2017
FEN83
OLY90
21 May 2017
FEN80
OLY64
23 Feb 2017
FEN67
OLY64
16 Jan 2015
FEN68
OLY74
28 Feb 2014
FEN78
OLY74
29 Mar 2013
FEN73
OLY78
01 Dec 2011
FEN86
OLY70
24 Feb 2011
FEN65
OLY80
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Fenerbahce winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Olympiacos winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

FenerbahceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormFenerbahce
Date
Competition
Merkezefendi
#10
W
87-64
87
64
+23
79avg 82
A07/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Monaco
#10
W
92-86
92
86
+6
83avg 82
A12/12
Euroleague
Anadolu Efes
#4
W
97-94 OT
97
94
+3
92avg 82
H14/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Panathinaikos
#7
L
77-81
77
81
-4
74avg 82
H16/12
Euroleague
Olimpia Milano
#13
W
87-72
87
72
+15
81avg 82
A18/12
Euroleague
Trabzonspor
#6
L
73-99
73
99
-26
58avg 82
A20/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Barcelona
#8
W
72-71
72
71
+1
67avg 82
H23/12
Euroleague
Manisa
#11
W
93-79
93
79
+14
95avg 82
H27/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Baskonia
#18
W
108-93
108
93
+15
98avg 82
A02/01
Euroleague
Besiktas
#2
W
101-87
101
87
+14
99avg 82
A04/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-20
24-18
25-17
24-9
14-21
24-25
22-23
32-17
27-15
20-24
22-28
14-16
16-17
21-24
20-9
20-31
19-11
21-21
16-23
31-17
29-25
16-28
11-22
17-24
17-13
18-20
18-19
19-19
26-20
17-18
23-14
27-27
24-28
29-25
32-29
23-11
23-24
25-23
34-15
19-25
171.3Avg total
88.7Scored
82.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)81.779.1160.8+2.667%
Season at home (10)78.875.5154.3+3.370%
Season away (8)85.483.6169.0+1.862%
Last 10 (10)88.782.6171.3+6.180%
Last 5 (5)89.485.8175.2+3.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀no games
vs Similar (14)81.782.8164.5-1.157%
vs Weaker (16)88.478.5166.9+9.994%
This opponent (Olympiacos) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
OlympiacosLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormOlympiacos
Date
Competition
Crvena zvezda
#9
L
80-91
80
91
-11
76avg 87
A26/11
Euroleague
AEK Athens
#4
W
100-93
100
93
+7
94avg 87
H07/12
Basket League
Barcelona
#8
L
85-98
85
98
-13
83avg 87
A12/12
Euroleague
Peristeri
#6
W
105-62
105
62
+43
117avg 87
A14/12
Basket League
Valencia
#3
L
92-99
92
99
-7
86avg 87
H16/12
Euroleague
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#20
W
107-84
107
84
+23
104avg 87
H19/12
Euroleague
Kolossos Rhodes
#10
W
100-86
100
86
+14
98avg 87
H21/12
Basket League
Virtus Bologna
#17
W
97-94
97
94
+3
97avg 87
A26/12
Euroleague
Panathinaikos
#7
W
87-82
87
82
+5
84avg 87
A02/01
Euroleague
Aris
#5
W
95-84
95
84
+11
100avg 87
A04/01
Basket League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-21
23-16
27-22
15-32
18-24
33-12
24-24
25-33
22-21
17-21
17-30
29-26
22-23
28-12
32-9
23-18
27-25
20-24
29-18
16-32
26-14
18-20
31-22
32-28
27-23
20-22
32-23
21-18
23-25
27-16
27-19
20-34
28-13
15-30
18-18
26-21
25-21
20-22
28-20
22-21
182.1Avg total
94.8Scored
87.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)88.484.4172.8+3.961%
Season at home (9)87.279.7166.9+7.667%
Season away (9)89.689.2178.8+0.356%
Last 10 (10)94.887.3182.1+7.570%
Last 5 (5)97.286.0183.2+11.2100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (2)84.594.0178.5-9.50%
vs Weaker ◀ (28)91.881.0172.8+10.782%
This opponent (Fenerbahce) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +1.5+1.5Q1: +2.3+2.3Q2Q2: -1.1-1.1Q2: +2.6+2.6Q3Q3: +2.4+2.4Q3: +6.0+6.0Q4Q4: +3.0+3.0Q4: -3.4-3.4
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +1.5+1.5Q1: +2.3+2.3Q2Q2: -1.1-1.1Q2: +2.6+2.6Q3Q3: +2.4+2.4Q3: +6.0+6.0Q4Q4: +3.0+3.0Q4: -3.4-3.4
FenerbahceOlympiacos
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
FenerbahceLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Merkezefendi
#10
D
38-38
38
38
+0
A07/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Monaco
#10
L
38-46
38
46
-8
A12/12
Euroleague
Anadolu Efes
#4
W
47-39
47
39
+8
H14/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Panathinaikos
#7
L
37-41
37
41
-4
H16/12
Euroleague
Olimpia Milano
#13
W
40-32
40
32
+8
A18/12
Euroleague
Trabzonspor
#6
L
45-53
45
53
-8
A20/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Barcelona
#8
W
35-33
35
33
+2
H23/12
Euroleague
Manisa
#11
W
43-38
43
38
+5
H27/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Baskonia
#18
D
53-53
53
53
+0
A02/01
Euroleague
Besiktas
#2
W
48-47
48
47
+1
A04/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
84.4Avg total
42.4Scored
42.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.141.182.2+0.053%-
Last 30 at home (16)40.138.578.6+1.656%-
Last 30 away (14)42.344.186.4-1.850%-
Last 10 (10)42.442.084.4+0.450%-
Last 5 (5)44.844.889.6+0.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀no games
vs Similar (14)37.640.878.4-3.143%-
vs Weaker (16)44.141.485.5+2.862%-
This opponent (Olympiacos) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
OlympiacosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Crvena zvezda
#9
W
38-37
38
37
+1
A26/11
Euroleague
AEK Athens
#4
W
51-36
51
36
+15
H07/12
Basket League
Barcelona
#8
L
39-42
39
42
-3
A12/12
Euroleague
Peristeri
#6
W
50-35
50
35
+15
A14/12
Basket League
Valencia
#3
L
47-49
47
49
-2
H16/12
Euroleague
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#20
W
44-34
44
34
+10
H19/12
Euroleague
Kolossos Rhodes
#10
W
47-45
47
45
+2
H21/12
Basket League
Virtus Bologna
#17
W
50-41
50
41
+9
A26/12
Euroleague
Panathinaikos
#7
D
43-43
43
43
+0
A02/01
Euroleague
Aris
#5
W
45-43
45
43
+2
A04/01
Basket League
85.9Avg total
45.4Scored
40.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.640.185.7+5.573%-
Last 30 at home (15)46.040.586.5+5.573%-
Last 30 away (15)45.239.784.9+5.573%-
Last 10 (10)45.440.585.9+4.970%-
Last 5 (5)45.841.287.0+4.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (2)50.048.098.0+2.050%-
vs Weaker ◀ (28)45.339.584.8+5.875%-
This opponent (Fenerbahce) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Fenerbahcetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Fenerbahce: 87.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.6 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.1 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.8 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 75.0 points a game
48%
38%
14%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.219.3
53.3%
60.4%38.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.510.7
40.4%
35.9%32.1
🏀 Free throws22.516.8
74.7%
78.2%16.8
They take 62.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 47%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Olympiacostheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Olympiacos: 93.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.0 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.1 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.5 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 75.0 points a game
48%
38%
14%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.720.0
59.3%
60.4%40.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.211.7
40.1%
35.9%35.1
🏀 Free throws23.118.5
80.1%
78.2%18.5
They take 62.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 47%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 06 Jan 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Fenerbahce
WWWWLWLWWW
Olympiacos
WWWWWLWLWL
#4
League position
#1
+7.4
Net rating
+9.8
118.4
Offensive rating
128.8
110.9
Defensive rating
119.1
56.4%
Effective FG%
59.7%
50.7%
Opp. effective FG%
55.6%
18.9%
Turnover %
15.3%
38.3%
Off. rebound %
36.8%
0.36
Free-throw rate
0.37
40.4%
3-point %
40.1%
55.7%
Assist %
74.8%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence118.4 · 128.8Defence110.9 · 119.1Shooting56.4% · 59.7%3-point %40.4% · 40.1%Ball care18.9% · 15.3%Off. rebounds38.3% · 36.8%Free throws0.36 · 0.37Form (last 10/10)80% · 70%
■ Fenerbahce   ■ Olympiacos
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Fenerbahce wins
5
Olympiacos wins
Fenerbahcelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/01/26ABesiktas101-87
02/01/26ABaskonia108-93
27/12/25HManisa93-79
23/12/25HBarcelona72-71
20/12/25ATrabzonspor73-99
18/12/25AOlimpia Milano87-72
16/12/25HPanathinaikos77-81
14/12/25HAnadolu Efes97-94 OT
12/12/25AMonaco92-86
07/12/25AMerkezefendi87-64
Olympiacoslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/01/26AAris95-84
02/01/26APanathinaikos87-82
26/12/25AVirtus Bologna97-94
21/12/25HKolossos Rhodes100-86
19/12/25HLyon-Villeurbanne107-84
16/12/25HValencia92-99
14/12/25APeristeri105-62
12/12/25ABarcelona85-98
07/12/25HAEK Athens100-93
26/11/25ACrvena zvezda80-91

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Fenerbahce
Euroleague 2025
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW67%
HomeWWWLW70%
AwayLWWWW62%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games18108
Win %67%70%62%
Points / game81.778.885.4
Allowed / game79.175.583.6
Point differential+2.6+3.3+1.8
Avg total160.8154.3169.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+39%30%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)50% (4)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Olympiacos
Euroleague 2025
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW61%
HomeWWWLW67%
AwayLLLWW56%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1899
Win %61%67%56%
Points / game88.487.289.6
Allowed / game84.479.789.2
Point differential+3.9+7.6+0.3
Avg total172.8166.9178.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+28%44%11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won57% (7)33% (3)75% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Valencia1913668%89.484.6+4.8
2 Hapoel Tel-Aviv1913668%88.183.3+4.7
3 Fenerbahce1812667%81.779.1+2.6
4 Monaco1912763%90.783.5+7.2
5 Panathinaikos1912763%88.485.6+2.8
6 Barcelona1912763%87.485.2+2.2
7 Olympiacos1811761%88.484.4+3.9
8 Zalgiris Kaunas1911858%87.282.0+5.2
9 Crvena zvezda1911858%85.882.4+3.4
10 Real Madrid1911858%86.984.9+2.0
11 Virtus Bologna1991047%83.183.2-0.1
12 Olimpia Milano1991047%84.885.6-0.8
13 Dubai1991047%87.188.6-1.5
14 Maccabi Tel Aviv1981142%89.391.6-2.3
15 Paris1961332%90.592.8-2.3
16 Baskonia1961332%87.992.0-4.1
17 Anadolu Efes1961332%80.585.7-5.2
18 Bayern1961332%78.483.8-5.4
19 Lyon-Villeurbanne1961332%79.387.5-8.3
20 Partizan1961332%80.488.9-8.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Fenerbahce1818262688
Olympiacos2218221880
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