PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Olympiacos vs AEK Athens Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 07 Dec 2025
Tip-off: 11:00
Final 100-93
18-24 33-12 24-24 25-33
Position#1
Record8-0
FormLWWWL
Points / game93.4
Allowed / game76.5
vs
Position#4
Record5-2
FormWLLWW
Points / game83.4
Allowed / game74.3
GreeceBasket LeagueRound 9· Peace and Friendship Stadium
Domestic2025-26
Meetings · Olympiacos v AEK Athens
14 Feb 2027
OLY v AAT
upcoming
28 May 2026
OLY94
AAT77
07 Dec 2025
OLY100
AAT93
04 May 2025
OLY87
AAT85
26 Jan 2025
OLY89
AAT70
15 May 2024
OLY92
AAT75
15 Oct 2023
OLY79
AAT71
08 Jan 2023
OLY111
AAT71
18 Feb 2022
OLY76
AAT70
03 Oct 2021
OLY103
AAT78
06 Jan 2019
OLY101
AAT75
01 Apr 2018
OLY100
AAT86
17 Feb 2018
OLY83
AAT88
26 Nov 2016
OLY78
AAT67
19 Feb 2015
OLY83
AAT77
31 Oct 2010
OLY82
AAT50
11 Apr 2010
OLY84
AAT53
19 Nov 2008
OLY81
AAT66
16 Nov 2008
OLY101
AAT84
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Olympiacos winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
AEK Athens winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

OlympiacosGreeceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormOlympiacos
Date
Competition
Hapoel Tel-Aviv
#6
W
62-58
62
58
+4
56avg 86
H31/10
Euroleague
Iraklis
#8
W
103-87
103
87
+16
108avg 86
H02/11
Basket League
Partizan
#15
W
80-71
80
71
+9
77avg 86
H07/11
Euroleague
AS Karditsas
#11
W
102-82
102
82
+20
104avg 86
H09/11
Basket League
Zalgiris Kaunas
#5
W
95-78
95
78
+17
92avg 86
H12/11
Euroleague
Olimpia Milano
#13
L
87-88
87
88
-1
82avg 86
A14/11
Euroleague
Promitheas
#9
W
88-64
88
64
+24
96avg 86
A16/11
Basket League
Paris
#16
W
98-86
98
86
+12
91avg 86
H21/11
Euroleague
PAOK
#3
W
92-81
92
81
+11
92avg 86
A23/11
Basket League
Crvena zvezda
#9
L
80-91
80
91
-11
76avg 86
A26/11
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-21
15-18
11-4
18-15
22-23
28-17
26-27
27-20
20-20
18-19
15-19
27-13
24-21
31-18
23-25
24-18
28-14
22-22
24-17
21-25
21-27
22-20
13-20
31-21
19-12
26-11
23-23
20-18
21-29
37-20
17-20
23-17
23-17
25-24
25-15
19-25
15-21
23-16
27-22
15-32
167.3Avg total
88.7Scored
78.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)93.476.5169.9+16.9100%
Season at home (4)94.080.2174.2+13.8100%
Season away (4)92.872.8165.5+20.0100%
Last 10 (10)88.778.6167.3+10.180%
Last 5 (5)89.082.0171.0+7.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (7)83.683.1166.7+0.457%
vs Weaker ◀ (22)89.878.8168.5+11.082%
This opponent (AEK Athens) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AEK AthensGreeceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAthens
Date
Competition
VEF Riga
#38
W
69-53
69
53
+16
67avg 79
A07/10
Champions League
Panionios
#13
W
93-73
93
73
+20
90avg 79
H12/10
Basket League
Szolnoki Olaj
#24
W
91-77
91
77
+14
90avg 79
H15/10
Champions League
AS Karditsas
#11
W
77-62
77
62
+15
71avg 79
H18/10
Basket League
Iraklis
#8
W
82-61
82
61
+21
78avg 79
A25/10
Basket League
Levice
#13
W
71-69
71
69
+2
63avg 79
A28/10
Champions League
Peristeri
#6
L
66-79
66
79
-13
57avg 79
A01/11
Basket League
PAOK
#3
L
76-78
76
78
-2
70avg 79
H09/11
Basket League
VEF Riga
#38
W
95-64
95
64
+31
97avg 79
H12/11
Champions League
Maroussi
#12
W
103-82
103
82
+21
105avg 79
A15/11
Basket League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-12
15-12
16-16
12-13
25-16
19-22
25-11
24-24
22-10
23-23
22-23
24-21
14-15
23-7
24-17
16-23
24-19
21-13
19-18
18-11
19-17
19-19
18-15
15-18
19-23
21-20
14-14
12-22
23-18
17-13
14-27
22-20
26-20
15-21
24-7
30-16
28-24
20-19
29-28
26-11
152.1Avg total
82.3Scored
69.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)83.474.3157.7+9.171%
Season at home (3)82.071.0153.0+11.067%
Season away (4)84.576.8161.2+7.875%
Last 10 (10)82.369.8152.1+12.580%
Last 5 (5)82.274.4156.6+7.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)72.880.2153.0-7.525%
vs Similar (3)74.780.0154.7-5.30%
vs Weaker (22)84.972.8157.6+12.191%
This opponent (Olympiacos) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +0.6+0.6Q1: +5.2+5.2Q2Q2: +6.2+6.2Q2: +2.4+2.4Q3Q3: +1.2+1.2Q3: +2.9+2.9Q4Q4: +2.1+2.1Q4: +2.0+2.0
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +0.6+0.6Q1: +5.2+5.2Q2Q2: +6.2+6.2Q2: +2.4+2.4Q3Q3: +1.2+1.2Q3: +2.9+2.9Q4Q4: +2.1+2.1Q4: +2.0+2.0
OlympiacosAEK Athens
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
OlympiacosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Hapoel Tel-Aviv
#6
L
33-39
33
39
-6
H31/10
Euroleague
Iraklis
#8
W
50-40
50
40
+10
H02/11
Basket League
Partizan
#15
L
38-39
38
39
-1
H07/11
Euroleague
AS Karditsas
#11
W
55-39
55
39
+16
H09/11
Basket League
Zalgiris Kaunas
#5
W
50-36
50
36
+14
H12/11
Euroleague
Olimpia Milano
#13
L
43-47
43
47
-4
A14/11
Euroleague
Promitheas
#9
W
45-23
45
23
+22
A16/11
Basket League
Paris
#16
W
58-49
58
49
+9
H21/11
Euroleague
PAOK
#3
W
48-41
48
41
+7
A23/11
Basket League
Crvena zvezda
#9
W
38-37
38
37
+1
A26/11
Euroleague
84.8Avg total
45.8Scored
39.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.739.083.7+5.673%-
Last 30 at home (17)45.238.583.7+6.876%-
Last 30 away (13)43.939.883.7+4.269%-
Last 10 (10)45.839.084.8+6.870%-
Last 5 (5)46.439.485.8+7.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (7)43.340.683.9+2.757%-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)45.039.284.2+5.877%-
This opponent (AEK Athens) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AEK AthensLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
VEF Riga
#38
W
41-24
41
24
+17
A07/10
Champions League
Panionios
#13
W
44-38
44
38
+6
H12/10
Basket League
Szolnoki Olaj
#24
W
45-33
45
33
+12
H15/10
Champions League
AS Karditsas
#11
W
37-22
37
22
+15
H18/10
Basket League
Iraklis
#8
W
45-32
45
32
+13
A25/10
Basket League
Levice
#13
W
38-36
38
36
+2
A28/10
Champions League
Peristeri
#6
L
40-43
40
43
-3
A01/11
Basket League
PAOK
#3
W
40-31
40
31
+9
H09/11
Basket League
VEF Riga
#38
D
41-41
41
41
+0
H12/11
Champions League
Maroussi
#12
W
48-43
48
43
+5
A15/11
Basket League
76.2Avg total
41.9Scored
34.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.937.578.5+3.460%-
Last 30 at home (16)42.036.178.1+5.969%-
Last 30 away (14)39.739.178.9+0.650%-
Last 10 (10)41.934.376.2+7.680%-
Last 5 (5)41.438.880.2+2.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)35.241.576.8-6.20%-
vs Similar (3)39.039.778.7-0.733%-
vs Weaker (22)42.436.378.7+6.177%-
This opponent (Olympiacos) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Olympiacostheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Olympiacos: 88.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.6 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.1 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.6 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.3 points a game
48%
33%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.821.3
59.5%
54.1%42.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.89.7
34.9%
34.9%29.1
🏀 Free throws21.116.6
78.7%
74.4%16.6
They take 63.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
AEK Athenstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

AEK Athens: 81.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀24%
🏀24%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.8 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.5 pts a game · 24% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.2 pts a game · 24% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.3 points a game
48%
33%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.321.4
54.5%
54.1%42.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.46.5
31.9%
34.9%19.5
🏀 Free throws23.319.2
82.4%
74.4%19.2
They take 59.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 07 Dec 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Olympiacos
LWWWLWWWWW
AEK Athens
WWLLWWWWWW
#1
League position
#4
+14.6
Net rating
+17.5
118.6
Offensive rating
112.2
104.0
Defensive rating
94.7
56.4%
Effective FG%
52.2%
51.0%
Opp. effective FG%
46.6%
18.6%
Turnover %
16.0%
35.6%
Off. rebound %
28.8%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.39
34.9%
3-point %
31.9%
71.3%
Assist %
62.4%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence118.6 · 112.2Defence104.0 · 94.7Shooting56.4% · 52.2%3-point %34.9% · 31.9%Ball care18.6% · 16.0%Off. rebounds35.6% · 28.8%Free throws0.33 · 0.39Form (last 10/10)80% · 80%
■ Olympiacos   ■ AEK Athens
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
10
Olympiacos wins
0
AEK Athens wins
Olympiacoslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/11/25ACrvena zvezda80-91
23/11/25APAOK92-81
21/11/25HParis98-86
16/11/25APromitheas88-64
14/11/25AOlimpia Milano87-88
12/11/25HZalgiris Kaunas95-78
09/11/25HAS Karditsas102-82
07/11/25HPartizan80-71
02/11/25HIraklis103-87
31/10/25HHapoel Tel-Aviv62-58
AEK Athenslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/11/25AMaroussi103-82
12/11/25HVEF Riga95-64
09/11/25HPAOK76-78
01/11/25APeristeri66-79
28/10/25ALevice71-69
25/10/25AIraklis82-61
18/10/25HAS Karditsas77-62
15/10/25HSzolnoki Olaj91-77
12/10/25HPanionios93-73
07/10/25AVEF Riga69-53

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Olympiacos
Basket League 2025-26
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW100%
HomeWWWW100%
AwayWWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game93.494.092.8
Allowed / game76.580.272.8
Point differential+16.9+13.8+20.0
Avg total169.9174.2165.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+88%75%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
AEK Athens
Basket League 2025-26
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW71%
HomeWWL67%
AwayWWLW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games734
Win %71%67%75%
Points / game83.482.084.5
Allowed / game74.371.076.8
Point differential+9.1+11.0+7.8
Avg total157.7153.0161.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+57%67%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)0% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Olympiacos880100%93.476.5+16.9
2 Panathinaikos76186%87.074.9+12.1
3 PAOK86275%81.079.0+2.0
4 AEK Athens75271%83.474.3+9.1
5 Peristeri85362%79.278.0+1.2
6 Iraklis84450%82.283.2-1.0
7 Promitheas94544%82.483.8-1.3
8 Aris83538%82.480.8+1.6
9 AS Karditsas83538%80.686.0-5.4
10 Mykonos83538%75.083.0-8.0
11 Maroussi82625%86.491.0-4.6
12 Kolossos Rhodes92722%74.481.1-6.7
13 Panionios81712%76.689.0-12.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Olympiacos18332425100
AEK Athens2412243393
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.